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EFI and SOT 2 metre temperature over Extended range

Base Time: Sat 16 Nov 2024 00 UTC T+216 Valid time: Mon 18 Nov 2024 00 UTC - Mon 25 Nov 2024 00 UTC

The Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) represented by the colour shading provides specialized forecast guidance for anomalous or extreme weather events by comparing the ensemble forecast members with the model climate for the chosen location, time of year and forecast lead time.
The Shift of Tails (SOT) index complements the EFI by providing information about how extreme an anomalous event might be. Note that the charts indicate an average of the 2m temperature over successive one-week periods.

A detailed description of the extended range Extreme forecast Index and Shift of Tails products can be found in ECMWF Forecast User Guide.

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