Hurricane RICK (original) (raw)

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 2100 UTC SAT OCT 17 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.5W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 934 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......135NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.5W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 103.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.3N 106.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 108.8W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.0N 110.7W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 50 KT... 85NE 75SE 65SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 135SE 125SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.9N 111.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 85NE 75SE 65SW 80NW. 34 KT...165NE 140SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 85NE 85SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...165NE 165SE 140SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 22.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N 108.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 104.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN

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