Peter Midmore | Aberystwyth University (original) (raw)

Papers by Peter Midmore

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural science research impact in the Eastern European Union Member States

Studies in Agricultural Economics, Apr 1, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Income Distribution and the Structure of Production: Insights from a SAM-Based Model of UK Agriculture

Research paper thumbnail of Models of Rural Development and Approaches To Analysis Evaluation And Decision-Making

Économie rurale, Dec 15, 2008

Research paper thumbnail of Parametric Decomposition of Output Growth: An Input-Distance Function Approach

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2002

Research paper thumbnail of Separating Technical Change from Time-Varying Technical Inefficiency in the Absence of Distributional Assumptions

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 1999

This paper proposes an alternative approach for separating technical change from time-varying tec... more This paper proposes an alternative approach for separating technical change from time-varying technical inefficiency. The approach uses the general index, developed by Baltagi and Griffin (1988), to model technical change along the production function, and a quadratic function of time trend, as in Cornwell, Schmidt and Sickles (1990), to capture the temporal pattern of technical inefficiency. In such a setting, all parameters associated with the rate of technical change and the temporal pattern of technical inefficiency are identified separately. Moreover, the proposed approach is independent of any distributional assumption concerning the one-sided error term associated with technical inefficiency, and can easily be estimated using FGLS. Comparative empirical results based on a translog production frontier function, and estimates of technical inefficiency and technical change are presented for the UK dairy sector over the period 1982-1992.

Research paper thumbnail of Consumption of Organic Foods from a Life History Perspective: An Exploratory Study of British Consumers

Exploring the development of organic consumption in The UK 1.1 Objectives and methods 1.2 The dev... more Exploring the development of organic consumption in The UK 1.1 Objectives and methods 1.2 The development of the organic market in the UK 2. Life histories regarding food habits 2.1 Current food habits 2.2 Changes in food habits 2.3 Influences on changing food habits 2.4 Conclusion: The food habits of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 3. Mind-sets with regard to organic consumption 3.1 Thinking about organic foods 3.2 Assessing organic foods 3.3 Changing minds about organic foods 3.4 Conclusion: The mind-sets of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 4. Shopping habits with respect to organic consumption 4.1 Buying organic foods 4.2 Loyalty towards organic products: Substitution strategies 4.3 Loyalty towards organic products: Choice of shopping venues 4.4 Barriers to loyalty 4.4 Conclusion: The shopping habits of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 5. The role of particular events and persons in the development of organic consumption patterns 5.1 The influences of lifecycle events, family members and friends 5.2 The influences of external events and agents 5.3 The first encounter with organic foods and the character of changes of mind 5.4 Conclusion: Major influences on regular consumption of organic food products 6. Conclusions: The character of demand for organic foods 6.1 Organic consumption as a change of mind and habits 6.2 Influences on the development of organic food habits 6.3 Barriers to increasing demand 6.4 Potentialities for future demand-an extrapolation H (London) 54 Female Close friend (35) Empty nesting female Film of shopping at local Coop in London I (Bristol) 49 Female Son (age 16) Single, children 11> No film obtained-shopping was observed at Bristol Farmers market 'I guess shopping is something that is more than just functional but we think about it and enjoy it' 2 Regular Organic food consumers Shopping Locations Shopping habits of our sample of consumers are often creative and resourceful. With such an abundance of choice of shopping venues in both the London and Bristol, shopping locations and general shopping habits vary considerably between and within organic consumer groups and life cycle phases. 'I am a lazy shopper in Asda I would want to get it over and done with.' 14 Trust 9 Regular Organic Consumer H 10 Regular Organic Consumer G (2) 11 Regular Organic Consumer F 12 Regular Organic Consumer F (2) 13 Regular Organic Consumer A 14 Regular Organic Consumer G (2) 'I don't know if ethical is the right word, but in terms of Colin he is horrified by supermarkets because of the fact that products have come from all over the world and are air freighted, not knowing where meat comes from and not .. I suppose not trusting them anymore.' 18 'I think it is really expensive. I mean I have picked up organic strawberries and seen they cost four pounds and put them back. I really can't afford that.' 21 'I don't understand the basic economics of it….I think that someone is making money from it especially now that the big supermarket are so heavily involved…I really don't want to buy into that…' 39 Price Whether it is shopping sporadically and spontaneously to buy when the best value deal presents itself, or deliberately sourcing the best value after many years of assessing the shopping arena, the bottom line when shopping, for the non organic consumers in this sample, is value for money. 'But obviously its time and money are the two central factors in governing my shopping habits I would say' 40 37 Non Organic Consumer A 38 Non Organic Consumer B 39 Non Organic Consumer C 40 Non Organic Consumer A 'We basically steam our veggies, do a carbohydrate and a protein and we put it in the oven or like we fry it in olive oil, that's it. Its not fussy it's really simple.' 52 'I think I've been quite lucky because I've seen food bringing people together from am early age and I've picked that up myself and I do like to have people around and bring people together for it, even if the food I cook isn't anything special you know…' 55 'A meal has to be tasty too. It has to be fun, it has to be a whole event and sit down and eat it together and enjoy it.' 56 Most occasional consumers in our sample cook food which adheres to the traditional British concept of a meal. 'We would have a typical kind of meat and two veg dinner because I am at home I cook something like that every night.' 57

Research paper thumbnail of Parametric Decomposition of Output Growth

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2002

This paper proposes a tractable approach for analyzing the sources of TFP changes (i.e., technica... more This paper proposes a tractable approach for analyzing the sources of TFP changes (i.e., technical change, changes in technical and allocative inefficiency, and the scale effect) in a multi-output setting, while retaining the single-equation nature of the econometric procedure used to estimate the parameters of the underlying technology. The proposed approach relies on Bauer's cost function based decomposition of TFP changes and the duality between input distance and cost functions. The empirical results are based on a sample of 121 UK livestock farms observed over the period 1983-92 and a translog input distance function. It is found that improvements in technical efficiency appear to provide greater potential for enhancing farm returns than that which may be obtained from shifting the production frontier itself. In addition, scale economies and allocative inefficiency are also important sources for TFP changes on UK livestock farms.

Research paper thumbnail of Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches to Rural Development Analysis: The Case of Agricultural Intensification in Lebanon

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, Apr 1, 2011

... Macro SAM accounts Micro SAM accounts Activities 9 accounts Agriculture (AGR), agro-industry ... more ... Macro SAM accounts Micro SAM accounts Activities 9 accounts Agriculture (AGR), agro-industry (AGIND), industry (IND), construction (CONS), energy and water (ENW), Transport and telecommunication (TTCOM), services (SER), trade (TRADE), public administration (ADMIN ...

Research paper thumbnail of An index of sustainable economic welfare for Wales 1990-2005

Research paper thumbnail of Regional input-output analysis and agriculture

Cahiers d'économie et sociologie rurales, 1997

inptt-autput analyt it, regiona/ econort1, lYatet Résumé-I'intérêc du modèle rnpur-ourpur pour an... more inptt-autput analyt it, regiona/ econort1, lYatet Résumé-I'intérêc du modèle rnpur-ourpur pour analyser les performances d'uoe agricultute régionale esr désormars reconnu. En effer, cerre technique permer de prendre en compte la spécialisation du secreur er son incégration croissanre dans l'économie globale gûce au calcul des mr-rlriplicareurs économiques régionaux, d'une parr, er de ceux qui relienc l'économie d'une région donnée à l'économie nationale, de I'aurre Dans cet article, les auteurs examinenr les apporrs er les limices du modèle input-ourpur régional et de ses prolongemenrs ii..nrs qu. ,onc la macrice de comprabiliré sociale et le modèle d'équilibre général calculable. Lesrimarion des coefficients régronaux faic I'objet d'uoe analyse décaillée; en effet, le coûten temps et en ressoucces diversesdes enquêres sur lesquels ils sonc basés limice sérieusemenc l'obtenrion de coefficieots permertaot une évaluarion fiable des effets multiplicareurs régionaux Le reste de I'arcicle esr consacré à la conslrucrion d un modèle inpur output de l'économie du Pays de Galles, cencré sur I'agriculrure er les secreurs qui lur sonr liés. Il esr urilisé pour analyser la diversificacion des sources de revenu des ménages agcicoles, seloo deux modalirés suscepribles d améliorer le caractère durable de l'agricukure galloise d'un poinr de vue social er environnemenral. Dans un premier exemple, on compare I'inrérét de la rescauration de forêrs anciennes non enrretenues déoendanr d exoloitations aglcoles er de nouvelles planrarrons. C esr la reprise p,ogr"rlu. de la gesrion ec de I'enrretien des forêrs caduques acruellemenr abandonnées qui procure I'améLorarion la plus sensible du revenu rural au Pays de Galles, alors que I'accenr mrs aujourd hr.ri sur les oouvelles planrarions est moins 1usrifié du poinr de vue du reveou er des emplois qu elle génère. le deuxième rhème concerne I'agriculrure biologique. On compafe la réduction de la demande d inrranrs à I'accroissemenr de l'urilisarion locale des produirs qu elle génère et on évalue I'effer probable de son développement graduel sur léconomie des régions rurales galloises Des simula-(ions pfenan! en compce des degrés croissanrs de conversion de sysrèmes convenrionnels à I agriculture biologique monrren! que cecre évolurion conduirait à de faibles baisses du revenu er de Iemploi, même si elle concernaic des zones assez étendues. De plus, les aménités fournies par I'agrobiologie en ce qui concerne la quaLré de Ienvironnemenr er la baisse de la produccion jusrifienr rour à fait de lui apporrer un sourien. Ces exemples moDrren! l'inrérêr des rechniques inpucoutpur pour l'analyse de nombre de questions concernanr la policique agricole er le développemenc rural, er en parciculier lorsque des problèmes économiques, sociaux e! d envrronnement sont en cause. Stmmary ' :u article exauiaes the ue af the itiput-aurput appraacù ix tbe undertanding and analyfu of the role af agrit tute ir regional econaaiu Tho4b thi uorh u nore or lett eqtal\ di rcgional analfu and deueloping couatries, the focut it The coutraitu offered by the technrque are contidered, erIeutlnt lutb ii ond tCe nodtlling. Sonu of the pon*ial af the tecùnique u illat*atù fu reent uork related t0 agricultute atd ruta/ dneloprnnt ix the regiana/ econonl of rValet.

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring the economic achievement: the role of GDP targets

Welsh economic review, Mar 1, 2001

Research paper thumbnail of Barriers facing young entrants to farming in wales: economic and legal aspects

Research paper thumbnail of Rural economic modelling : an input-output approach

CAB International eBooks, 1996

Rural economic modelling - multi-sectoral approaches, Peter Midmore and Lucy Harrison-Mayfield ag... more Rural economic modelling - multi-sectoral approaches, Peter Midmore and Lucy Harrison-Mayfield agriculture's links with the rural economy - an input-output approach?, Lucy Harrison-Mayfield measuring the regional economic impact of pluriactitvity on Scottish farms, Morag Mitchell methodological issues in forestry - input-output modelling, Ken Thomson and Dmitrios Psaltopoulos income distribution and the structure of production - insights from an SAM-based model of UK agriculture, Debbie Roberts and Noel Russell structural changes in final demands and productivity growth, Scott MacDonald problems with Leontief technology and agriculture - the case of producing commodities with more than one input, Alistair Bailey future directions for multi-sectoral modelling and rural economics, Peter Midmore.

Research paper thumbnail of D2.2 Report on analysis of biographical narratives exploring short- and long-term adaptive behaviour of farmers under various challenges

This Project has received funds from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation pr... more This Project has received funds from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Grant Agreement No. 727520 D2.2 Narrative Report by those who farmed because it was their vocation, to those who perceived themselves first and foremost as business operators. To an extent, these identities reflected the degree of attachment to land, with the more vocational farmers having a strong attachment to their farmed land (particularly in the Flemish case) and the more business-minded (particularly in Northeast Bulgaria and the East of England) having less attachment. The long-term nature of the hazelnut crop in Central Italy meant that attachment to the land was strong, regardless of farmer identity. Family support, whether perceived as positive or negative by the narrator, was found to influence decision-making, and changing work/life balance expectations, particularly amongst early-career farmers with young families, was also influential. The narratives revealed different approaches to risk alleviation, both within and across case studies. In instances where land availability was not restricted (for example, Northeast Bulgaria, and to some extent, East Anglia), scale enlargement was predominant, but where land was restricted, diversification was the predominant response (for example, in the Flemish narratives). There were strong similarities and distinctive differences across the narrative contexts. Similarities included the dominance of internal drivers, intergenerational change as a major critical decision point, the perception of many external drivers as noise, and more frustration with policy drivers compared with weather events. There were few mentions of insurance by the narrators. The findings indicate that robustness is demonstrated in response to many drivers classified as cycles and shocks, whilst prolonged trends result primarily in adaptation. Transformations were relatively infrequent in the narratives and those identified were not radical in nature. The main policy related conclusions from the study suggest that farming systems are ill-equipped for a rapid move from direct payments to income insurance. They also appear to be unprepared for climate change. Long-term, coherent strategies required for dealing with intergenerational change were not apparent, confirming parallel literature that suggests that legal, social welfare and policy obstacles to farm succession need to be addressed.

Research paper thumbnail of A framework to analyse the resilience of EU farming systems

Due to a changing risk environment, resilience of European farming systems can no longer be taken... more Due to a changing risk environment, resilience of European farming systems can no longer be taken for granted. In this paper we define resilience as maintaining the essential functions of EU farming systems in the face of increasingly complex and volatile economic, social, ecological and institutional risks. The aim of this paper is to develop a comprehensive resilience enabling framework for farming systems building on the concept of adaptive cycles. Three main adaptive cycle processes contributing to the essential functions of EU farming systems are considered: agricultural, farm demographics and governance processes. The framework distinguishes five phases: (1) characterising the farming system, (2) appraising key risks affecting the system, (3) framing the essential functions of the system, (4) assessing resilience over time along a spectrum of robustness, adaptability and transformability, and (5) identifying resilience attributes which contribute to the robustness, adaptabilit...

Research paper thumbnail of Understanding the experiences of Indigenous minorities through the lens of spatial justice: The case of Orang Asli in Peninsular Malaysia

Regional Science Policy & Practice, 2022

Like many Indigenous people around the world, the original inhabitants of Peninsular Malaysia, th... more Like many Indigenous people around the world, the original inhabitants of Peninsular Malaysia, the Orang Asli, live predominantly in marginal, remote areas, and have below‐average levels of education, health and living standards. Their customary reliance on natural forest resources and assets to support their livelihood is threatened by modernization and conversion of land for commercial crops. The main challenge facing the Orang Asli communities has been maintaining this livelihood against encroaching land conversion projects. The weakness of land rights, remoteness and limited access to public services and economic opportunities appear to be major contributors to deprivation. The perspective of spatial justice provides an important conceptual tool to explore spatial and territorial problems facing the Orang Asli. The objective of our study is to document and analyse the life experiences of the Orang Asli, interpreting it through the lens of spatial justice to inform policymaking. ...

Research paper thumbnail of An index of sustainable economic welfare for Wales 1990-2005

Research paper thumbnail of After Brexit: 10 key questions for rural policy in Scotland

UK rural living has long been a mass of contradictions where aspiration and reality can clash. Li... more UK rural living has long been a mass of contradictions where aspiration and reality can clash. Living in the countryside is in various ways desirable or disadvantaged and the supposed “rural idyll” is an illusion for many. At the same time, the countryside is a place we rely on to produce a large proportion of our food and other goods, both private and public and where we go for pleasure and relaxation.

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring the economic achievement: the role of GDP targets

Welsh Economic Review, 2001

Research paper thumbnail of David Bateman (1935–2018)

Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural science research impact in the Eastern European Union Member States

Studies in Agricultural Economics, Apr 1, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Income Distribution and the Structure of Production: Insights from a SAM-Based Model of UK Agriculture

Research paper thumbnail of Models of Rural Development and Approaches To Analysis Evaluation And Decision-Making

Économie rurale, Dec 15, 2008

Research paper thumbnail of Parametric Decomposition of Output Growth: An Input-Distance Function Approach

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2002

Research paper thumbnail of Separating Technical Change from Time-Varying Technical Inefficiency in the Absence of Distributional Assumptions

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 1999

This paper proposes an alternative approach for separating technical change from time-varying tec... more This paper proposes an alternative approach for separating technical change from time-varying technical inefficiency. The approach uses the general index, developed by Baltagi and Griffin (1988), to model technical change along the production function, and a quadratic function of time trend, as in Cornwell, Schmidt and Sickles (1990), to capture the temporal pattern of technical inefficiency. In such a setting, all parameters associated with the rate of technical change and the temporal pattern of technical inefficiency are identified separately. Moreover, the proposed approach is independent of any distributional assumption concerning the one-sided error term associated with technical inefficiency, and can easily be estimated using FGLS. Comparative empirical results based on a translog production frontier function, and estimates of technical inefficiency and technical change are presented for the UK dairy sector over the period 1982-1992.

Research paper thumbnail of Consumption of Organic Foods from a Life History Perspective: An Exploratory Study of British Consumers

Exploring the development of organic consumption in The UK 1.1 Objectives and methods 1.2 The dev... more Exploring the development of organic consumption in The UK 1.1 Objectives and methods 1.2 The development of the organic market in the UK 2. Life histories regarding food habits 2.1 Current food habits 2.2 Changes in food habits 2.3 Influences on changing food habits 2.4 Conclusion: The food habits of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 3. Mind-sets with regard to organic consumption 3.1 Thinking about organic foods 3.2 Assessing organic foods 3.3 Changing minds about organic foods 3.4 Conclusion: The mind-sets of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 4. Shopping habits with respect to organic consumption 4.1 Buying organic foods 4.2 Loyalty towards organic products: Substitution strategies 4.3 Loyalty towards organic products: Choice of shopping venues 4.4 Barriers to loyalty 4.4 Conclusion: The shopping habits of regular consumers of organic food as compared with occasional and non-users 5. The role of particular events and persons in the development of organic consumption patterns 5.1 The influences of lifecycle events, family members and friends 5.2 The influences of external events and agents 5.3 The first encounter with organic foods and the character of changes of mind 5.4 Conclusion: Major influences on regular consumption of organic food products 6. Conclusions: The character of demand for organic foods 6.1 Organic consumption as a change of mind and habits 6.2 Influences on the development of organic food habits 6.3 Barriers to increasing demand 6.4 Potentialities for future demand-an extrapolation H (London) 54 Female Close friend (35) Empty nesting female Film of shopping at local Coop in London I (Bristol) 49 Female Son (age 16) Single, children 11> No film obtained-shopping was observed at Bristol Farmers market 'I guess shopping is something that is more than just functional but we think about it and enjoy it' 2 Regular Organic food consumers Shopping Locations Shopping habits of our sample of consumers are often creative and resourceful. With such an abundance of choice of shopping venues in both the London and Bristol, shopping locations and general shopping habits vary considerably between and within organic consumer groups and life cycle phases. 'I am a lazy shopper in Asda I would want to get it over and done with.' 14 Trust 9 Regular Organic Consumer H 10 Regular Organic Consumer G (2) 11 Regular Organic Consumer F 12 Regular Organic Consumer F (2) 13 Regular Organic Consumer A 14 Regular Organic Consumer G (2) 'I don't know if ethical is the right word, but in terms of Colin he is horrified by supermarkets because of the fact that products have come from all over the world and are air freighted, not knowing where meat comes from and not .. I suppose not trusting them anymore.' 18 'I think it is really expensive. I mean I have picked up organic strawberries and seen they cost four pounds and put them back. I really can't afford that.' 21 'I don't understand the basic economics of it….I think that someone is making money from it especially now that the big supermarket are so heavily involved…I really don't want to buy into that…' 39 Price Whether it is shopping sporadically and spontaneously to buy when the best value deal presents itself, or deliberately sourcing the best value after many years of assessing the shopping arena, the bottom line when shopping, for the non organic consumers in this sample, is value for money. 'But obviously its time and money are the two central factors in governing my shopping habits I would say' 40 37 Non Organic Consumer A 38 Non Organic Consumer B 39 Non Organic Consumer C 40 Non Organic Consumer A 'We basically steam our veggies, do a carbohydrate and a protein and we put it in the oven or like we fry it in olive oil, that's it. Its not fussy it's really simple.' 52 'I think I've been quite lucky because I've seen food bringing people together from am early age and I've picked that up myself and I do like to have people around and bring people together for it, even if the food I cook isn't anything special you know…' 55 'A meal has to be tasty too. It has to be fun, it has to be a whole event and sit down and eat it together and enjoy it.' 56 Most occasional consumers in our sample cook food which adheres to the traditional British concept of a meal. 'We would have a typical kind of meat and two veg dinner because I am at home I cook something like that every night.' 57

Research paper thumbnail of Parametric Decomposition of Output Growth

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, 2002

This paper proposes a tractable approach for analyzing the sources of TFP changes (i.e., technica... more This paper proposes a tractable approach for analyzing the sources of TFP changes (i.e., technical change, changes in technical and allocative inefficiency, and the scale effect) in a multi-output setting, while retaining the single-equation nature of the econometric procedure used to estimate the parameters of the underlying technology. The proposed approach relies on Bauer's cost function based decomposition of TFP changes and the duality between input distance and cost functions. The empirical results are based on a sample of 121 UK livestock farms observed over the period 1983-92 and a translog input distance function. It is found that improvements in technical efficiency appear to provide greater potential for enhancing farm returns than that which may be obtained from shifting the production frontier itself. In addition, scale economies and allocative inefficiency are also important sources for TFP changes on UK livestock farms.

Research paper thumbnail of Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches to Rural Development Analysis: The Case of Agricultural Intensification in Lebanon

RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, Apr 1, 2011

... Macro SAM accounts Micro SAM accounts Activities 9 accounts Agriculture (AGR), agro-industry ... more ... Macro SAM accounts Micro SAM accounts Activities 9 accounts Agriculture (AGR), agro-industry (AGIND), industry (IND), construction (CONS), energy and water (ENW), Transport and telecommunication (TTCOM), services (SER), trade (TRADE), public administration (ADMIN ...

Research paper thumbnail of An index of sustainable economic welfare for Wales 1990-2005

Research paper thumbnail of Regional input-output analysis and agriculture

Cahiers d'économie et sociologie rurales, 1997

inptt-autput analyt it, regiona/ econort1, lYatet Résumé-I'intérêc du modèle rnpur-ourpur pour an... more inptt-autput analyt it, regiona/ econort1, lYatet Résumé-I'intérêc du modèle rnpur-ourpur pour analyser les performances d'uoe agricultute régionale esr désormars reconnu. En effer, cerre technique permer de prendre en compte la spécialisation du secreur er son incégration croissanre dans l'économie globale gûce au calcul des mr-rlriplicareurs économiques régionaux, d'une parr, er de ceux qui relienc l'économie d'une région donnée à l'économie nationale, de I'aurre Dans cet article, les auteurs examinenr les apporrs er les limices du modèle input-ourpur régional et de ses prolongemenrs ii..nrs qu. ,onc la macrice de comprabiliré sociale et le modèle d'équilibre général calculable. Lesrimarion des coefficients régronaux faic I'objet d'uoe analyse décaillée; en effet, le coûten temps et en ressoucces diversesdes enquêres sur lesquels ils sonc basés limice sérieusemenc l'obtenrion de coefficieots permertaot une évaluarion fiable des effets multiplicareurs régionaux Le reste de I'arcicle esr consacré à la conslrucrion d un modèle inpur output de l'économie du Pays de Galles, cencré sur I'agriculrure er les secreurs qui lur sonr liés. Il esr urilisé pour analyser la diversificacion des sources de revenu des ménages agcicoles, seloo deux modalirés suscepribles d améliorer le caractère durable de l'agricukure galloise d'un poinr de vue social er environnemenral. Dans un premier exemple, on compare I'inrérét de la rescauration de forêrs anciennes non enrretenues déoendanr d exoloitations aglcoles er de nouvelles planrarrons. C esr la reprise p,ogr"rlu. de la gesrion ec de I'enrretien des forêrs caduques acruellemenr abandonnées qui procure I'améLorarion la plus sensible du revenu rural au Pays de Galles, alors que I'accenr mrs aujourd hr.ri sur les oouvelles planrarions est moins 1usrifié du poinr de vue du reveou er des emplois qu elle génère. le deuxième rhème concerne I'agriculrure biologique. On compafe la réduction de la demande d inrranrs à I'accroissemenr de l'urilisarion locale des produirs qu elle génère et on évalue I'effer probable de son développement graduel sur léconomie des régions rurales galloises Des simula-(ions pfenan! en compce des degrés croissanrs de conversion de sysrèmes convenrionnels à I agriculture biologique monrren! que cecre évolurion conduirait à de faibles baisses du revenu er de Iemploi, même si elle concernaic des zones assez étendues. De plus, les aménités fournies par I'agrobiologie en ce qui concerne la quaLré de Ienvironnemenr er la baisse de la produccion jusrifienr rour à fait de lui apporrer un sourien. Ces exemples moDrren! l'inrérêr des rechniques inpucoutpur pour l'analyse de nombre de questions concernanr la policique agricole er le développemenc rural, er en parciculier lorsque des problèmes économiques, sociaux e! d envrronnement sont en cause. Stmmary ' :u article exauiaes the ue af the itiput-aurput appraacù ix tbe undertanding and analyfu of the role af agrit tute ir regional econaaiu Tho4b thi uorh u nore or lett eqtal\ di rcgional analfu and deueloping couatries, the focut it The coutraitu offered by the technrque are contidered, erIeutlnt lutb ii ond tCe nodtlling. Sonu of the pon*ial af the tecùnique u illat*atù fu reent uork related t0 agricultute atd ruta/ dneloprnnt ix the regiana/ econonl of rValet.

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring the economic achievement: the role of GDP targets

Welsh economic review, Mar 1, 2001

Research paper thumbnail of Barriers facing young entrants to farming in wales: economic and legal aspects

Research paper thumbnail of Rural economic modelling : an input-output approach

CAB International eBooks, 1996

Rural economic modelling - multi-sectoral approaches, Peter Midmore and Lucy Harrison-Mayfield ag... more Rural economic modelling - multi-sectoral approaches, Peter Midmore and Lucy Harrison-Mayfield agriculture's links with the rural economy - an input-output approach?, Lucy Harrison-Mayfield measuring the regional economic impact of pluriactitvity on Scottish farms, Morag Mitchell methodological issues in forestry - input-output modelling, Ken Thomson and Dmitrios Psaltopoulos income distribution and the structure of production - insights from an SAM-based model of UK agriculture, Debbie Roberts and Noel Russell structural changes in final demands and productivity growth, Scott MacDonald problems with Leontief technology and agriculture - the case of producing commodities with more than one input, Alistair Bailey future directions for multi-sectoral modelling and rural economics, Peter Midmore.

Research paper thumbnail of D2.2 Report on analysis of biographical narratives exploring short- and long-term adaptive behaviour of farmers under various challenges

This Project has received funds from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation pr... more This Project has received funds from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Grant Agreement No. 727520 D2.2 Narrative Report by those who farmed because it was their vocation, to those who perceived themselves first and foremost as business operators. To an extent, these identities reflected the degree of attachment to land, with the more vocational farmers having a strong attachment to their farmed land (particularly in the Flemish case) and the more business-minded (particularly in Northeast Bulgaria and the East of England) having less attachment. The long-term nature of the hazelnut crop in Central Italy meant that attachment to the land was strong, regardless of farmer identity. Family support, whether perceived as positive or negative by the narrator, was found to influence decision-making, and changing work/life balance expectations, particularly amongst early-career farmers with young families, was also influential. The narratives revealed different approaches to risk alleviation, both within and across case studies. In instances where land availability was not restricted (for example, Northeast Bulgaria, and to some extent, East Anglia), scale enlargement was predominant, but where land was restricted, diversification was the predominant response (for example, in the Flemish narratives). There were strong similarities and distinctive differences across the narrative contexts. Similarities included the dominance of internal drivers, intergenerational change as a major critical decision point, the perception of many external drivers as noise, and more frustration with policy drivers compared with weather events. There were few mentions of insurance by the narrators. The findings indicate that robustness is demonstrated in response to many drivers classified as cycles and shocks, whilst prolonged trends result primarily in adaptation. Transformations were relatively infrequent in the narratives and those identified were not radical in nature. The main policy related conclusions from the study suggest that farming systems are ill-equipped for a rapid move from direct payments to income insurance. They also appear to be unprepared for climate change. Long-term, coherent strategies required for dealing with intergenerational change were not apparent, confirming parallel literature that suggests that legal, social welfare and policy obstacles to farm succession need to be addressed.

Research paper thumbnail of A framework to analyse the resilience of EU farming systems

Due to a changing risk environment, resilience of European farming systems can no longer be taken... more Due to a changing risk environment, resilience of European farming systems can no longer be taken for granted. In this paper we define resilience as maintaining the essential functions of EU farming systems in the face of increasingly complex and volatile economic, social, ecological and institutional risks. The aim of this paper is to develop a comprehensive resilience enabling framework for farming systems building on the concept of adaptive cycles. Three main adaptive cycle processes contributing to the essential functions of EU farming systems are considered: agricultural, farm demographics and governance processes. The framework distinguishes five phases: (1) characterising the farming system, (2) appraising key risks affecting the system, (3) framing the essential functions of the system, (4) assessing resilience over time along a spectrum of robustness, adaptability and transformability, and (5) identifying resilience attributes which contribute to the robustness, adaptabilit...

Research paper thumbnail of Understanding the experiences of Indigenous minorities through the lens of spatial justice: The case of Orang Asli in Peninsular Malaysia

Regional Science Policy & Practice, 2022

Like many Indigenous people around the world, the original inhabitants of Peninsular Malaysia, th... more Like many Indigenous people around the world, the original inhabitants of Peninsular Malaysia, the Orang Asli, live predominantly in marginal, remote areas, and have below‐average levels of education, health and living standards. Their customary reliance on natural forest resources and assets to support their livelihood is threatened by modernization and conversion of land for commercial crops. The main challenge facing the Orang Asli communities has been maintaining this livelihood against encroaching land conversion projects. The weakness of land rights, remoteness and limited access to public services and economic opportunities appear to be major contributors to deprivation. The perspective of spatial justice provides an important conceptual tool to explore spatial and territorial problems facing the Orang Asli. The objective of our study is to document and analyse the life experiences of the Orang Asli, interpreting it through the lens of spatial justice to inform policymaking. ...

Research paper thumbnail of An index of sustainable economic welfare for Wales 1990-2005

Research paper thumbnail of After Brexit: 10 key questions for rural policy in Scotland

UK rural living has long been a mass of contradictions where aspiration and reality can clash. Li... more UK rural living has long been a mass of contradictions where aspiration and reality can clash. Living in the countryside is in various ways desirable or disadvantaged and the supposed “rural idyll” is an illusion for many. At the same time, the countryside is a place we rely on to produce a large proportion of our food and other goods, both private and public and where we go for pleasure and relaxation.

Research paper thumbnail of Measuring the economic achievement: the role of GDP targets

Welsh Economic Review, 2001

Research paper thumbnail of David Bateman (1935–2018)

Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2018