J Mankoff | NDU - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by J Mankoff

Research paper thumbnail of Liberalism and American Hegemony: Over and Out

Journal of International Analytics, 2021

Cooley, Alexander, and Daniel Nexon. Exit from Hegemony: The Unravelingof American Global Order. ... more Cooley, Alexander, and Daniel Nexon. Exit from Hegemony: The Unravelingof American Global Order. Oxford University Press, 2020.

Research paper thumbnail of The United States in a World of Great Power Competition

International Analytics, 2020

The adoption of the 2017 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) marked Washington's official p... more The adoption of the 2017 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) marked Washington's official pivot to "great power competition" as the conceptual framework for U.S. foreign policy. The shift to great power competition as the foundation for U.S. foreign policy represents an acknowledgment that the "forever wars" in the Middle East had become an expensive, strategically dubious distraction from the more pressing challenge posed by a revanchist Russia and a rising China. The template for much of the "new" thinking about great power competition is the Cold War – the last time the U.S. faced a peer competitor – whose shadow hangs over much thinking about U.S. policy toward Beijing and Moscow. In many ways, though, the Cold War was an outlier in the history of U.S. foreign policy, a product of very specific circumstances that are unlikely to be replicated in the 21st century. A danger exists in seeing the Cold War as a typical example of great power compet...

Research paper thumbnail of Prospects for US-Russia Cooperation in Asia-Pacific

Research paper thumbnail of Russia’s Weak Society and Weak State:The Role of Political Parties

Problems of Post-Communism, 2003

Because of the weakness of Russia’s political parties, the state too often does more for the bene... more Because of the weakness of Russia’s political parties, the state too often does more for the benefit of autonomous social cliques than for the masses.

Research paper thumbnail of United by Barbed Wire: Russian POWs in Germany, National Stereotypes, and International Relations, 1914–22

Kritika: Explorations in Russian and Eurasian History, 2009

During World War I and the revolutionary turmoil in Central and Eastern Europe, Russian prisoners... more During World War I and the revolutionary turmoil in Central and Eastern Europe, Russian prisoners of war (POWs), 1.5 million strong and thus the largest group of enemy officers and men in German camps, became one of the few points of contact between Russia and ...

Research paper thumbnail of Better Off Than You Might Think: Russia Is Not a Basket Case

Research paper thumbnail of Changing Course in Moscow-Is Medvedev Serious About a New Vision for Russian Foreign Policy?”

Research paper thumbnail of China-Russia Competition Opens a Door for America

Research paper thumbnail of Changing course in Moscow

Research paper thumbnail of Eurasian Energy Security: Council on Foreign Relations, 2009

Putin's Russia,” 4th CEEISA Convention, University of …, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Vladimir Putin and the re-emergence of Russian foreign policy

International Security Studies Certificate Paper Series, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Kremlin turns a blind eye to racism

Research paper thumbnail of Babi Yar and the Struggle for Memory

Research paper thumbnail of Reforming the Euro-Atlantic Security Architecture: An Opportunity for U.S. Leadership

The Washington Quarterly, 2010

For the past year and a half, President Dmitry Medvedev of Russia has been pressing the United St... more For the past year and a half, President Dmitry Medvedev of Russia has been pressing the United States and its European allies to open negotiations on a treaty establishing a new Euro-Atlantic security architecture. After enunciating a series of broad aims in mid-2008, the Russian leadership did not initially provide much detail about its idea for a new security agreement. Without a clearer sense of Moscow's aims, officials in many countries came to view the idea in a poor light, seeing it as a clumsy attempt to undermine existing European and Euro-Atlantic security institutions as well as weaken Europe's ability to pursue a unified policy toward Russia. Although Moscow finally released a draft treaty proposal in late November 2009, the Russian draft did little to allay these concerns. Russia's continued intervention in affairs of its neighbors, manipulation of energy supplies, and failure to abide by existing agreements have all made Washington and its allies wary of Moscow's proposal. Nonetheless, the underlying concept of a new security framework encompassing the United States, EU, and Russia is an attractive one, insofar as it offers hope of ameliorating Russia's post-Cold War estrangement from the West, while reducing the likelihood of conflict across the unstable post-Soviet space between the borders of the EU and Russia. Between the lingering effects of

Research paper thumbnail of Russia and the West: Taking the Longer View

The Washington Quarterly, 2007

... The Kremlin's decision to challenge Western participation in several major oil and gas e... more ... The Kremlin's decision to challenge Western participation in several major oil and gas exploration projects, notably Sakhalin-2, and its prominent support for separatist rebels in Georgia (South Ossetia and Abkhazia) and Moldova (Transdnistria) had exacerbated tension with ...

Research paper thumbnail of Russian Foreign Policy and the United States After Putin

Problems of Post-Communism, 2008

Russian foreign policy under Medvedev will probably continue to have a powerful streak of economi... more Russian foreign policy under Medvedev will probably continue to have a powerful streak of economic self-interest. W ith enormous constitutional authority and controlling access to both wealth and power, the Russian president is the central factor in determining Russia's foreign policy course. The transition from Vladimir Putin to Dmitry Medvedev thus has serious implications for Russia's relations with other countries, above all the United States, still the chief reference point for Russian diplomacy. Since Medvedev was Putin's hand-picked heir, it would seem logical to expect a fair degree of continuity in terms of the objectives Russia will pursue in its relationships with other powers-especially since Putin is positioned to continue influencing events as prime minister. This expectation is hardly far-fetched, yet there are enough uncertainties that the problem deserves closer attention. Despite the increasingly authoritarian, centralized nature of the Russian political system, the president's preferences are not the only factor shaping foreign policy. Looking ahead, at least three additional considerations bear close watching: the ideological preferences of the country's elites, the interests of important bureaucratic players who are intertwined with the decision-making authorities, and the ease (or lack thereof) with which Medvedev asserts his authority over these competing factions. Understanding how Medvedev's elevation to the presidency will affect Russian foreign policy also requires an appreciation of Putin's impact in this sphere, which was far from negligible. Putin has had substantial influence on foreign policy, and especially on relations with the United States (despite the end of the cold war, still Rus-JeffRey Mankoff is the Chauncey Postdoctoral fellow in International Security Studies at yale University and an adjunct fellow for Russia and eurasian Studies at the Council on foreign Relations.

Research paper thumbnail of The future of Poland, 1914–1917: France and Great Britain in the Triple Entente

The International History Review, 2008

Abstract The Polish question—whether, and if so how and in what form, to recreate an independent ... more Abstract The Polish question—whether, and if so how and in what form, to recreate an independent Polish state—was one of the most vexing problems that faced European diplomats during the First World War. Believing that aroused Polish patriotism could be a ...

Research paper thumbnail of Eurasian energy security

... gas through pipelines that transit both Russia and Ukraine, bore the brunt of this confrontat... more ... gas through pipelines that transit both Russia and Ukraine, bore the brunt of this confrontation between the ... deployed against Georgia in August 2008, has only reinforced Russian dominance in the energy sphere, raising the stakes for coun-tries in the region that would ...

Research paper thumbnail of Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis

Proliferation Papers, 2010

Page 1. Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis Jeffrey Mankoff March 2... more Page 1. Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis Jeffrey Mankoff March 2010 ... 7 © Ifri Origins and Depth of the Russian Crisis While the global crisis has exacerbated Russia's economic difficulties, the origins of the Russian crisis are not entirely economic. ...

Research paper thumbnail of The Russian Economic Crisis

Page 1. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page... more Page 1. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page 2. The Russian Economic Crisis Page 3. Page 4. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page 5. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Liberalism and American Hegemony: Over and Out

Journal of International Analytics, 2021

Cooley, Alexander, and Daniel Nexon. Exit from Hegemony: The Unravelingof American Global Order. ... more Cooley, Alexander, and Daniel Nexon. Exit from Hegemony: The Unravelingof American Global Order. Oxford University Press, 2020.

Research paper thumbnail of The United States in a World of Great Power Competition

International Analytics, 2020

The adoption of the 2017 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) marked Washington's official p... more The adoption of the 2017 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) marked Washington's official pivot to "great power competition" as the conceptual framework for U.S. foreign policy. The shift to great power competition as the foundation for U.S. foreign policy represents an acknowledgment that the "forever wars" in the Middle East had become an expensive, strategically dubious distraction from the more pressing challenge posed by a revanchist Russia and a rising China. The template for much of the "new" thinking about great power competition is the Cold War – the last time the U.S. faced a peer competitor – whose shadow hangs over much thinking about U.S. policy toward Beijing and Moscow. In many ways, though, the Cold War was an outlier in the history of U.S. foreign policy, a product of very specific circumstances that are unlikely to be replicated in the 21st century. A danger exists in seeing the Cold War as a typical example of great power compet...

Research paper thumbnail of Prospects for US-Russia Cooperation in Asia-Pacific

Research paper thumbnail of Russia’s Weak Society and Weak State:The Role of Political Parties

Problems of Post-Communism, 2003

Because of the weakness of Russia’s political parties, the state too often does more for the bene... more Because of the weakness of Russia’s political parties, the state too often does more for the benefit of autonomous social cliques than for the masses.

Research paper thumbnail of United by Barbed Wire: Russian POWs in Germany, National Stereotypes, and International Relations, 1914–22

Kritika: Explorations in Russian and Eurasian History, 2009

During World War I and the revolutionary turmoil in Central and Eastern Europe, Russian prisoners... more During World War I and the revolutionary turmoil in Central and Eastern Europe, Russian prisoners of war (POWs), 1.5 million strong and thus the largest group of enemy officers and men in German camps, became one of the few points of contact between Russia and ...

Research paper thumbnail of Better Off Than You Might Think: Russia Is Not a Basket Case

Research paper thumbnail of Changing Course in Moscow-Is Medvedev Serious About a New Vision for Russian Foreign Policy?”

Research paper thumbnail of China-Russia Competition Opens a Door for America

Research paper thumbnail of Changing course in Moscow

Research paper thumbnail of Eurasian Energy Security: Council on Foreign Relations, 2009

Putin's Russia,” 4th CEEISA Convention, University of …, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Vladimir Putin and the re-emergence of Russian foreign policy

International Security Studies Certificate Paper Series, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Kremlin turns a blind eye to racism

Research paper thumbnail of Babi Yar and the Struggle for Memory

Research paper thumbnail of Reforming the Euro-Atlantic Security Architecture: An Opportunity for U.S. Leadership

The Washington Quarterly, 2010

For the past year and a half, President Dmitry Medvedev of Russia has been pressing the United St... more For the past year and a half, President Dmitry Medvedev of Russia has been pressing the United States and its European allies to open negotiations on a treaty establishing a new Euro-Atlantic security architecture. After enunciating a series of broad aims in mid-2008, the Russian leadership did not initially provide much detail about its idea for a new security agreement. Without a clearer sense of Moscow's aims, officials in many countries came to view the idea in a poor light, seeing it as a clumsy attempt to undermine existing European and Euro-Atlantic security institutions as well as weaken Europe's ability to pursue a unified policy toward Russia. Although Moscow finally released a draft treaty proposal in late November 2009, the Russian draft did little to allay these concerns. Russia's continued intervention in affairs of its neighbors, manipulation of energy supplies, and failure to abide by existing agreements have all made Washington and its allies wary of Moscow's proposal. Nonetheless, the underlying concept of a new security framework encompassing the United States, EU, and Russia is an attractive one, insofar as it offers hope of ameliorating Russia's post-Cold War estrangement from the West, while reducing the likelihood of conflict across the unstable post-Soviet space between the borders of the EU and Russia. Between the lingering effects of

Research paper thumbnail of Russia and the West: Taking the Longer View

The Washington Quarterly, 2007

... The Kremlin's decision to challenge Western participation in several major oil and gas e... more ... The Kremlin's decision to challenge Western participation in several major oil and gas exploration projects, notably Sakhalin-2, and its prominent support for separatist rebels in Georgia (South Ossetia and Abkhazia) and Moldova (Transdnistria) had exacerbated tension with ...

Research paper thumbnail of Russian Foreign Policy and the United States After Putin

Problems of Post-Communism, 2008

Russian foreign policy under Medvedev will probably continue to have a powerful streak of economi... more Russian foreign policy under Medvedev will probably continue to have a powerful streak of economic self-interest. W ith enormous constitutional authority and controlling access to both wealth and power, the Russian president is the central factor in determining Russia's foreign policy course. The transition from Vladimir Putin to Dmitry Medvedev thus has serious implications for Russia's relations with other countries, above all the United States, still the chief reference point for Russian diplomacy. Since Medvedev was Putin's hand-picked heir, it would seem logical to expect a fair degree of continuity in terms of the objectives Russia will pursue in its relationships with other powers-especially since Putin is positioned to continue influencing events as prime minister. This expectation is hardly far-fetched, yet there are enough uncertainties that the problem deserves closer attention. Despite the increasingly authoritarian, centralized nature of the Russian political system, the president's preferences are not the only factor shaping foreign policy. Looking ahead, at least three additional considerations bear close watching: the ideological preferences of the country's elites, the interests of important bureaucratic players who are intertwined with the decision-making authorities, and the ease (or lack thereof) with which Medvedev asserts his authority over these competing factions. Understanding how Medvedev's elevation to the presidency will affect Russian foreign policy also requires an appreciation of Putin's impact in this sphere, which was far from negligible. Putin has had substantial influence on foreign policy, and especially on relations with the United States (despite the end of the cold war, still Rus-JeffRey Mankoff is the Chauncey Postdoctoral fellow in International Security Studies at yale University and an adjunct fellow for Russia and eurasian Studies at the Council on foreign Relations.

Research paper thumbnail of The future of Poland, 1914–1917: France and Great Britain in the Triple Entente

The International History Review, 2008

Abstract The Polish question—whether, and if so how and in what form, to recreate an independent ... more Abstract The Polish question—whether, and if so how and in what form, to recreate an independent Polish state—was one of the most vexing problems that faced European diplomats during the First World War. Believing that aroused Polish patriotism could be a ...

Research paper thumbnail of Eurasian energy security

... gas through pipelines that transit both Russia and Ukraine, bore the brunt of this confrontat... more ... gas through pipelines that transit both Russia and Ukraine, bore the brunt of this confrontation between the ... deployed against Georgia in August 2008, has only reinforced Russian dominance in the energy sphere, raising the stakes for coun-tries in the region that would ...

Research paper thumbnail of Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis

Proliferation Papers, 2010

Page 1. Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis Jeffrey Mankoff March 2... more Page 1. Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis Jeffrey Mankoff March 2010 ... 7 © Ifri Origins and Depth of the Russian Crisis While the global crisis has exacerbated Russia's economic difficulties, the origins of the Russian crisis are not entirely economic. ...

Research paper thumbnail of The Russian Economic Crisis

Page 1. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page... more Page 1. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page 2. The Russian Economic Crisis Page 3. Page 4. Council Special Report No. 53 April 2010 Jeffrey Mankoff The Russian Economic Crisis Page 5. ...