Arizona's 7th Congressional District (original) (raw)

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Arizona's 7th Congressional District

Incumbent

Assumed office: January 3, 2023

Arizona's 7th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Raúl Grijalva (D).

As of the 2020 Census, Arizona representatives represented an average of 795,436 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 712,522 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024

Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Democratic primary)

General election

Democratic primary election

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2022

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

Democratic primary election

Republican primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

Democratic primary election

2016

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Eve Nunez (R) and Joe Cobb (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[1][2][3]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2016

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRuben Gallego Incumbent 75.2%
Republican Eve Nunez 24.7%
N/A Write-in 0%
Total Votes 158,811
Source: Arizona Secretary of State

2014

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 7th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ed Pastor (D) did not seek re-election in 2014.[4] Ruben Gallego (D) defeated Joe Cobb (L), Rebecca DeWitt (Americans Elect) and Jose Penalosa (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2014

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRuben Gallego 74.9%
Libertarian Joe Cobb 14.8%
Americans Elect Rebecca DeWitt 5.3%
Independent Jose Penalosa 4.8%
Write-in Gary Dunn 0.2%
Write-in Gustavo Ortega 0%
Write-in Samuel Esquivel 0%
Total Votes 72,454
Source: Arizona Secretary of State

2012

See also: Arizona's 7th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 7th Congressional District of Arizona held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Raul Grijalva (D) ran for the 3rd District instead in 2012, and 5th District incumbent Ed Pastor (D) won the 7th District seat.[5]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2012

Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEd Pastor Incumbent 81.7%
Libertarian Joe Cobb 18.3%
Total Votes 127,827
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Raul Grijalva won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ruth McClung (R), Harley Meyer (I) and George Keane (L) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva incumbent 50.2%
Republican Ruth McClung 44.2%
Independent Harley Meyer 2.8%
Libertarian George Keane 2.7%
Total Votes 159,144

2008
On November 4, 2008, Raul Grijalva won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joseph Sweeney (R), Raymond Petrulsky (L) and Harley Meyer (Write-in) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva incumbent 63.3%
Republican Joseph Sweeney 32.8%
Libertarian Raymond Petrulsky 3.9%
Write-in Harley Meyer 0%
Total Votes 196,489

2006
On November 7, 2006, Raul Grijalva won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ron Drake (R) and Joe Cobb (L) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva incumbent 61.1%
Republican Ron Drake 35.4%
Libertarian Joe Cobb 3.6%
Total Votes 131,525

2004
On November 2, 2004, Raul Grijalva won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joseph Sweeney (R) and Dave Kaplan (L) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva incumbent 62.1%
Republican Joseph Sweeney 33.7%
Libertarian Dave Kaplan 4.3%
Total Votes 175,437

2002
On November 5, 2002, Raul Grijalva won election to the United States House. He defeated Ross Hieb (R) and John Nemeth (L) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRaul Grijalva 59%
Republican Ross Hieb 37.1%
Libertarian John Nemeth 3.9%
Total Votes 103,818

District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2020 census

On January 24, 2022, Arizona enacted its new congressional map after the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission transmitted its finalized congressional map plan to the secretary of state.[11] The commission initially voted to finalize and certify the congressional map plan on Jan. 18.[12] The commission's nonpartisan chairwoman, Erika Neuberg, joined the two Republican members—David Mehl and Douglas York—voting in favor of the map. The commission's two Democratic members—Shereen Lerner and Derrick Watchman—were opposed. This map took effect for Arizona's 2022 congressional elections.[12]

The commission previously voted in favor of the congressional map by a 5-0 vote on Dec. 22, 2021, which was followed by a period for counties to request administrative changes before the final vote on Jan. 18.[13]

How does redistricting in Arizona work? The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. The commission is composed of five members. Of these, four are selected by the majority and minority leaders of each chamber of the state legislature from a list of 25 candidates nominated by the state commission on appellate court appointments. These 25 nominees comprise 10 Democrats, 10 Republicans, and 5 unaffiliated citizens. The four commission members appointed by legislative leaders then select the fifth member to round out the commission. The fifth member of the commission must belong to a different political party than the other commissioners. The governor, with a two-thirds vote in the Arizona State Senate, may remove a commissioner "for substantial neglect of duty, gross misconduct in office, or inability to discharge the duties of office." The Arizona State Legislature may make recommendations to the commission, but ultimate authority is vested with the commission.[14][15][16]

The Arizona Constitution requires that both congressional and state legislative districts be "contiguous, geographically compact, and respect communities of interest–all to the extent practicable." The state constitution further mandates that district lines "should [follow] visible geographic features, city, town, and county boundaries, and undivided census tracts." In addition, the constitution requires that "competitive districts be favored where doing so would not significantly detract from the goals above."[16]

Arizona District 7

until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arizona District 7

starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

2010-2011

This is the 7th Congressional District of Arizona after the 2001 redistricting process.

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Arizona State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th the 94th most Democratic district nationally.[17]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 65.6%-32.9%.[18]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th the 91st most Democratic district nationally.[19]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 65.6% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 32.9%.[20]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+23. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 23 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 7th Congressional District the 50th most Democratic nationally.[21]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.13. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.13 points toward that party.[22]

See also

Footnotes

  1. Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
  2. Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
  3. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  4. Reuters, "Arizona Democratic Rep. Ed Pastor says will retire," February 27, 2014
  5. ABC News, "General Election Results 2012-Arizona," November 7, 2012
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. Phone conversation with Valerie Neumann, AIRC executive assistant, Jan. 25, 2022]
  12. 12.0 12.1 YouTube, "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission Meeting Jan. 18, 2022," Jan. 18, 2022
  13. KTAR, "Arizona redistricting panel approves Republican-leaning congressional map," Dec. 13, 2021
  14. Supreme Court of the United States, "Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, et al. - Appellant's Jurisdictional Statement," accessed March 6, 2015
  15. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, "Home page," accessed March 6, 2015
  16. 16.0 16.1 All About Redistricting, "Arizona," accessed April 17, 2015
  17. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  18. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  21. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  22. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018

Senators

Representatives

Republican Party (6)

Democratic Party (5)