Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primary) (original) (raw)
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| 2022 → ← 2018 |
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| Kentucky's 6th Congressional District |
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: January 10, 2020 |
| Primary: June 23, 2020General: November 3, 2020Pre-election incumbent:Andy Barr (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.Voting in Kentucky |
| Race ratings |
| Cook Political Report: Likely Republican_Inside Elections: Solid RepublicanSabato's Crystal Ball_: Likely Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegroundsU.S. House battlegroundsFederal and state primary competitivenessBallotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
| Kentucky's 6th Congressional DistrictU.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6thKentucky elections, 2020U.S. Congress elections, 2020U.S. Senate elections, 2020U.S. House elections, 2020 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on June 23, 2020, in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 3, 2020.
Josh Hicks advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 6.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
| January 10, 2020 | June 23, 2020 | November 3, 2020 |
Heading into the election, the incumbent was Andy Barr (Republican), who was first elected in 2012.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Kentucky utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)
- Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Kentucky modified its primary election process as follows:
- Election postponements: The primary election was postponed from May 19, 2020, to June 23.
- Voting procedures: Absentee voting eligibility was extended to all voters in the primary election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
District analysis
See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 6th Congressional District the 147th most Republican nationally.[6]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.92. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.92 points toward that party.[7]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[8] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[9]The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hicks | Democratic Party | 2,993,050∣2,993,050 | 2,993,050∣2,992,345 | $705 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Daniel Kemph | Democratic Party | 52,096∣52,096 | 52,096∣67,414 | $-15,972 | As of July 15, 2020 |
| Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." ** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. |
General election race ratings
See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]
| Race ratings: Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | |||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | |
| The Cook Political Report | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican |
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican |
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican |
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
See also
- Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)
- Kentucky's 6th Congressional District election, 2020
- United States House elections in Kentucky, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Kentucky, 2020 (June 23 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Note: Kentucky's primary election was postponed to June 23, 2020, in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
- ↑ Note: Kentucky's primary election was postponed to June 23, 2020, in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," February 06, 2024
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ Kentucky State Board of Elections,"Key Information," accessed July 26, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
Senators
Representatives
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)
