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Risks

In micro-lending markets, lack of recorded credit history is a significant impediment to assessin... more In micro-lending markets, lack of recorded credit history is a significant impediment to assessing individual borrowers’ creditworthiness and therefore deciding fair interest rates. This research compares various machine learning algorithms on real micro-lending data to test their efficacy at classifying borrowers into various credit categories. We demonstrate that off-the-shelf multi-class classifiers such as random forest algorithms can perform this task very well, using readily available data about customers (such as age, occupation, and location). This presents inexpensive and reliable means to micro-lending institutions around the developing world with which to assess creditworthiness in the absence of credit history or central credit databases.

Sensors

This paper focuses on developing a particle filter based solution for randomly delayed measuremen... more This paper focuses on developing a particle filter based solution for randomly delayed measurements with an unknown latency probability. A generalized measurement model that includes measurements randomly delayed by an arbitrary but fixed maximum number of time steps along with random packet drops is proposed. Owing to random delays and packet drops in receiving the measurements, the measurement noise sequence becomes correlated. A model for the modified noise is formulated and subsequently its probability density function (pdf) is derived. The recursion equation for the importance weights is developed using pdf of the modified measurement noise in the presence of random delays. Offline and online algorithms for identification of the unknown latency parameter using the maximum likelihood criterion are proposed. Further, this work explores the conditions that ensure the convergence of the proposed particle filter. Finally, three numerical examples, one with a non-stationary growth mo...

Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics

IEEE Control Systems Letters

2016 24th European Signal Processing Conference (EUSIPCO), 2016

IET Control Theory & Applications, 2016

2003 European Control Conference, Sep 1, 2003

Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2016

IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 2015

Circuits and Systems, 2003 …, 2003

ABSTRACT This paper reformulates the valuation of interest rate swaps, swap leg payments and swap... more ABSTRACT This paper reformulates the valuation of interest rate swaps, swap leg payments and swap risk measures, all under stochastic interest rates, as a problem of solving a system of linear equations with random perturbations. A sequence of uniform approximations which solves this system is developed and allows for fast and accurate computation. The proposed method provides a computationally efficient alternative to Monte Carlo based valuations and risk measurement of swaps. This is demonstrated by conducting numerical experiments and so our method provides a potentially important real-time application for analysis and calculation in markets.

Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2008

Automatica, 2004

This paper considers two robustly convergent algorithms for the identification of a linear system... more This paper considers two robustly convergent algorithms for the identification of a linear system from (possibly) noisy frequency response data. Both algorithms are based on the same principle; obtaining a good worst case fit to the data under a smoothness constraint on the obtained model. However they differ in their notions of distance and smoothness. The first algorithm yields an