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M. Paserman

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Papers by M. Paserman

Research paper thumbnail of Replication data for: The Cycle of Violence? An Empirical Analysis of Fatalities in the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict

This paper examines the dynamics of violence in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict during the Secon... more This paper examines the dynamics of violence in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict during the Second Intifada. Using data on the daily number of fatalities between September 2000 and January 2005, we estimate reaction functions for both Israelis and Palestinians and find evidence of Granger causality from Palestinian to Israeli violence, but not vice versa. This finding is consistent using either the incidence or level of fatalities and is robust to the specification of the lag structure and the level of time aggregation. We find no evidence that the Palestinians and Israelis are engaged in a predictable "tit-for-tat" cycle of violence. (JEL D74, H56, O17)

Research paper thumbnail of Article Can Militants Use Violence to Win Public Support? Evidence from the Second Intifada

This article investigates whether attacks against Israeli targets help Palestinian factions gain ... more This article investigates whether attacks against Israeli targets help Palestinian factions gain public support. We link individual-level survey data to the full list of Israeli and Palestinian fatalities during the period of the Second Intifada (2000– 2005) and estimate a flexible discrete choice model for faction supported. We find some support for the ‘‘outbidding’ ’ hypothesis, the notion that Palestinian factions use violence to gain prestige and influence public opinion within the community. In particular, the two leading Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, gain in popularity following successful attacks against Israeli targets. Our results suggest, however, that most movement occurs within either the secular groups or the Islamist groups, but not between them. That is, Fatah’s gains come at the expense of smaller secular fac-tions, while Hamas’s gains come at the expense of smaller Islamic factions and the disaffected. In contrast, attacks by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad ...

Research paper thumbnail of Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940

Research paper thumbnail of Comments on “So you want to go to graduate school? Factors that influence admissions to economics PhD programs” by Jones et al

The Journal of Economic Education, 2020

In, “So You Want to Go to Graduate School? Factors that Influence Admissions to Economics PhD Pro... more In, “So You Want to Go to Graduate School? Factors that Influence Admissions to Economics PhD Programs,” Jones et al. (2020) provide a welcome and useful analysis of the factors that graduate admis...

Research paper thumbnail of Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents

Research paper thumbnail of National Tax Journal

National Tax Journal, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Corruption and Openness

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2003

Research paper thumbnail of IZA DP No. 997 Job Search and Hyperbolic Discounting: Structural Estimation and Policy Evaluation

Die ZBW räumt Ihnen als Nutzerin/Nutzer das unentgeltliche, räumlich unbeschränkte und zeitlich a... more Die ZBW räumt Ihnen als Nutzerin/Nutzer das unentgeltliche, räumlich unbeschränkte und zeitlich auf die Dauer des Schutzrechts beschränkte einfache Recht ein, das ausgewählte Werk im Rahmen der unter

Research paper thumbnail of Israel, the Palestinian Factions, and the Cycle of Violence

American Economic Review, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Interactions within Hierarchies: Evidence from the Political Arena

This paper studies gender interactions within hierarchical organizations using a large data set o... more This paper studies gender interactions within hierarchical organizations using a large data set on the duration of Italian municipal governments elected between 1993 and 2003. A municipal government can be viewed as a hierarchy, whose stability over time depends on the degree of cooperation between and within ranks. We find that in municipalities headed by female mayors, the probability of

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Differences in Cooperative Environments? Evidence from the U.S. Congress

Research paper thumbnail of Inside the Black of Box of Ability Peer Effects: Evidence from Variation in the Proportion of Low Achievers in the Classroom

In this paper, we estimate the extent of ability peer effects in the classroom and explore the un... more In this paper, we estimate the extent of ability peer effects in the classroom and explore the underlying mechanisms through which these peer effects operate. We identify as low ability students those who are enrolled at least one year behind their birth cohort (“repeaters”). We show that there are marked differences between the academic performance and behavior of repeaters and

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Differences in Performance in Competitive Environments: Evidence from Professional Tennis Players

Research paper thumbnail of Overidentification Tests with Grouped Data

Nber Technical Working Papers, Feb 1, 1998

Research paper thumbnail of Overidentification Tests with Grouped Data

Research paper thumbnail of Job search and impatience

Research paper thumbnail of Bayesian Inference for Duration Data with Unobserved and Unknown Heterogeneity: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application

This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed e... more This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed estimator specifies a complete functional form for duration spells, but allows flexibility by introducing an individual het- erogeneity term, which follows a Dirichlet mixture distribution. I show how to obtain predictive distributions for duration data that correctly account for the uncertainty present in the model. I also

Research paper thumbnail of Do high-skill immigrants raise productivity? Evidence from Israeli manufacturing firms, 1990-1999

IZA Journal of Migration, 2013

Research paper thumbnail of Inside the Black of Box of Ability Peer Effects: Evidence from Variation in the Proportion of Low Achievers in the Classroom

Research paper thumbnail of Replication data for: The Cycle of Violence? An Empirical Analysis of Fatalities in the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict

This paper examines the dynamics of violence in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict during the Secon... more This paper examines the dynamics of violence in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict during the Second Intifada. Using data on the daily number of fatalities between September 2000 and January 2005, we estimate reaction functions for both Israelis and Palestinians and find evidence of Granger causality from Palestinian to Israeli violence, but not vice versa. This finding is consistent using either the incidence or level of fatalities and is robust to the specification of the lag structure and the level of time aggregation. We find no evidence that the Palestinians and Israelis are engaged in a predictable "tit-for-tat" cycle of violence. (JEL D74, H56, O17)

Research paper thumbnail of Article Can Militants Use Violence to Win Public Support? Evidence from the Second Intifada

This article investigates whether attacks against Israeli targets help Palestinian factions gain ... more This article investigates whether attacks against Israeli targets help Palestinian factions gain public support. We link individual-level survey data to the full list of Israeli and Palestinian fatalities during the period of the Second Intifada (2000– 2005) and estimate a flexible discrete choice model for faction supported. We find some support for the ‘‘outbidding’ ’ hypothesis, the notion that Palestinian factions use violence to gain prestige and influence public opinion within the community. In particular, the two leading Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, gain in popularity following successful attacks against Israeli targets. Our results suggest, however, that most movement occurs within either the secular groups or the Islamist groups, but not between them. That is, Fatah’s gains come at the expense of smaller secular fac-tions, while Hamas’s gains come at the expense of smaller Islamic factions and the disaffected. In contrast, attacks by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad ...

Research paper thumbnail of Who Married, (to) Whom, and Where? Trends in Marriage in the United States, 1850-1940

Research paper thumbnail of Comments on “So you want to go to graduate school? Factors that influence admissions to economics PhD programs” by Jones et al

The Journal of Economic Education, 2020

In, “So You Want to Go to Graduate School? Factors that Influence Admissions to Economics PhD Pro... more In, “So You Want to Go to Graduate School? Factors that Influence Admissions to Economics PhD Programs,” Jones et al. (2020) provide a welcome and useful analysis of the factors that graduate admis...

Research paper thumbnail of Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2019

Research paper thumbnail of Three-generation Mobility in the United States, 1850-1940: The Role of Maternal and Paternal Grandparents

Research paper thumbnail of National Tax Journal

National Tax Journal, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Corruption and Openness

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2003

Research paper thumbnail of IZA DP No. 997 Job Search and Hyperbolic Discounting: Structural Estimation and Policy Evaluation

Die ZBW räumt Ihnen als Nutzerin/Nutzer das unentgeltliche, räumlich unbeschränkte und zeitlich a... more Die ZBW räumt Ihnen als Nutzerin/Nutzer das unentgeltliche, räumlich unbeschränkte und zeitlich auf die Dauer des Schutzrechts beschränkte einfache Recht ein, das ausgewählte Werk im Rahmen der unter

Research paper thumbnail of Israel, the Palestinian Factions, and the Cycle of Violence

American Economic Review, 2006

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Interactions within Hierarchies: Evidence from the Political Arena

This paper studies gender interactions within hierarchical organizations using a large data set o... more This paper studies gender interactions within hierarchical organizations using a large data set on the duration of Italian municipal governments elected between 1993 and 2003. A municipal government can be viewed as a hierarchy, whose stability over time depends on the degree of cooperation between and within ranks. We find that in municipalities headed by female mayors, the probability of

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Differences in Cooperative Environments? Evidence from the U.S. Congress

Research paper thumbnail of Inside the Black of Box of Ability Peer Effects: Evidence from Variation in the Proportion of Low Achievers in the Classroom

In this paper, we estimate the extent of ability peer effects in the classroom and explore the un... more In this paper, we estimate the extent of ability peer effects in the classroom and explore the underlying mechanisms through which these peer effects operate. We identify as low ability students those who are enrolled at least one year behind their birth cohort (“repeaters”). We show that there are marked differences between the academic performance and behavior of repeaters and

Research paper thumbnail of Gender Differences in Performance in Competitive Environments: Evidence from Professional Tennis Players

Research paper thumbnail of Overidentification Tests with Grouped Data

Nber Technical Working Papers, Feb 1, 1998

Research paper thumbnail of Overidentification Tests with Grouped Data

Research paper thumbnail of Job search and impatience

Research paper thumbnail of Bayesian Inference for Duration Data with Unobserved and Unknown Heterogeneity: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application

This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed e... more This paper describes a semiparametric Bayesian method for analyzing duration data. The proposed estimator specifies a complete functional form for duration spells, but allows flexibility by introducing an individual het- erogeneity term, which follows a Dirichlet mixture distribution. I show how to obtain predictive distributions for duration data that correctly account for the uncertainty present in the model. I also

Research paper thumbnail of Do high-skill immigrants raise productivity? Evidence from Israeli manufacturing firms, 1990-1999

IZA Journal of Migration, 2013

Research paper thumbnail of Inside the Black of Box of Ability Peer Effects: Evidence from Variation in the Proportion of Low Achievers in the Classroom

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