Neophytos Lambertides | Cyprus University of Technology (original) (raw)

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Papers by Neophytos Lambertides

Research paper thumbnail of The Role of Growth Options in Explaining Stock Returns

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014

We extend the Fama-French (1992) model by considering growth option (as well as distress/leverage... more We extend the Fama-French (1992) model by considering growth option (as well as distress/leverage) variables in explaining the cross section of stock returns. We find that growth option variables, namely growth in capital investment and yet-unexercised growth options (GO), are significantly and negatively related to stock returns. Investors may be willing to accept lower average returns from growth stocks in exchange for a more favorable (positively skewed) risk-return profile. Book-to-market (BM) ratio seems to proxy for omitted distress/leverage variables. When these are explicitly accounted for, BM is not that significant. Our growth options variables have added explanatory power.

Research paper thumbnail of Misvaluation and the Asset Growth Anomaly

Research paper thumbnail of Corporate governance transformation: Editorial review

The British Accounting Review

Research paper thumbnail of Distress risk anomaly and misvaluation

The British Accounting Review

Research paper thumbnail of Stock Price Crash Risk: A Critique of the Agency Theory Viewpoint

Research paper thumbnail of What Matters for Consumer Sentiment? World Oil Price or Retail Gasoline Price?

Research paper thumbnail of CEO Departure and Stock Price Crashes: The Effects of Crepuscular Behavior

Research paper thumbnail of Sovereign Credit Risk and Global Equity Fund Returns in Emerging Markets

Journal of International Money and Finance

Research paper thumbnail of The non-inclusive nature of ‘all inclusive’ economics: Paradoxes and possibilities of the resort complex

Research paper thumbnail of Tourism, Instability and Regional Interdependency: Evidence from the Eastern-Mediterranean

Defence and Peace Economics

Research paper thumbnail of The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Prices of EU Emission Trading System and European Stock Returns

Research paper thumbnail of Tourism Stocks in Times of Crisis: An Econometric Investigation of Unexpected Nonmacroeconomic Factors

Journal of Travel Research

The relationship between the tourism industry and unexpected nonmacro incidents has received limi... more The relationship between the tourism industry and unexpected nonmacro incidents has received limited academic coverage. As a result, the quantifiable impact of such events on tourism-specific stock values, both in terms of returns and volatility, remains grossly underexamined. Motivated by the reasoning that the well-established features inherent to the tourism industry may trigger a different pattern of stock price movement compared with other industries, and by using econometric methodology, this article investigates the reaction of five hospitality/tourism stock indices to 150 incidents, depicting major Acts of Terrorism, natural catastrophes, and War conflicts that have taken place since the year 2000. Empirical findings underscore the effect of such incidents on stock indices, with distinctive differences among the types and specificities of each event under investigation. This article contributes to the extant literature and enhances our conceptual capital pertaining to the to...

Research paper thumbnail of Large Dividend Increases and Leverage

SSRN Electronic Journal

Large dividend increases and leverage.

Research paper thumbnail of The effects of oil price shocks on U.S. stock order flow imbalances and stock returns

Journal of International Money and Finance

Research paper thumbnail of Sentiment, order imbalance, and co-movement: An examination of shocks to retail and institutional trading activity

European Financial Management

Using order flow imbalance as a measure of sentiment we show that positive and negative shocks to... more Using order flow imbalance as a measure of sentiment we show that positive and negative shocks to sentiment captured by the Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model (STCC GARCH model) lead to lower co-movement between portfolio and market returns in the post-shock period. We find an asymmetry is present as positive shocks to sentiment have less impact on co-movement changes than negative shocks. We also find that shocks to retail sentiment and the sentiment of two types of institutional investors leads to a reduction in co-movement. Positive shocks to institutional order flow imbalance lead to smaller reductions in co-movement than associated with retail shocks. These effects exist even after we control for firm specific and market-wide news.

Research paper thumbnail of Reforming public port authorities through multiple concession agreements: The case of Cyprus

Research in Transportation Business & Management, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Short-horizon excess returns and exchange rate and interest rate effects

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2015

We examine the effects of foreign exchange (FX) and interest rate changes on the excess returns o... more We examine the effects of foreign exchange (FX) and interest rate changes on the excess returns of U.S. stocks, for short-horizons of 1 to 40 days. Our new evidence shows a tendency for the volatility of both excess returns and FX rate changes to be negatively related with FX rate and interest rate effects. Both the number of firms with significant FX rate and interest rate effects and the magnitude of their exposures increase with the length of the return horizon. Our finding seems inconsistent with the view that firms hedge effectively at short-return horizons.

Research paper thumbnail of The Effect of Security and Market Order Flow Shocks on Co-movement

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2015

Where a licence is displayed above, please note the terms and conditions of the licence govern yo... more Where a licence is displayed above, please note the terms and conditions of the licence govern your use of this document. When citing, please reference the published version. Take down policy While the University of Birmingham exercises care and attention in making items available there are rare occasions when an item has been uploaded in error or has been deemed to be commercially or otherwise sensitive.

Research paper thumbnail of Explaining Turn of the Year Order Flow Imbalance

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2015

The paper provides evidence of a turn of the year effect in the order flow imbalance of both reta... more The paper provides evidence of a turn of the year effect in the order flow imbalance of both retail and institutional investors. In December there is net selling pressure which is reversed in January. We examine high frequency intraday order flow information and find that the changes in order flow imbalance between December and January are related to firm risk factors and characteristics. We find that retail order flow imbalances are associated with a wide range of risk characteristics including beta, illiquidity and unsystematic risk. Imbalances in institutional order flow are associated with only a small number of risk variables. We show that these order flow changes are important because risk premiums are elevated in January. Our results are robust to the effects of decimalization.

Research paper thumbnail of Motives for corporate cash holdings: the CEO optimism effect

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2015

We examine the chief executive officer (CEO) optimism effect on managerial motives for cash holdi... more We examine the chief executive officer (CEO) optimism effect on managerial motives for cash holdings and find that optimistic and non-optimistic managers have significantly dissimilar purposes for holding more cash. This is consistent with both theory and evidence that optimistic managers are reluctant to use external funds. Optimistic managers hoard cash for growth opportunities, use relatively more cash for capital expenditure and acquisitions, and save more cash in adverse conditions. By contrast, they hold fewer inventories and receivables and their precautionary demand for cash holdings is less than that of non-optimistic managers. In addition, we consider debt conservatism in our model and find no evidence that optimistic managers' cash hoarding is related to their preference to use debt conservatively. We also document that optimistic managers hold more cash in bad times than non-optimistic managers do. Our work highlights the crucial role that CEO characteristics play in shaping corporate cash holding policy.

Research paper thumbnail of The Role of Growth Options in Explaining Stock Returns

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014

We extend the Fama-French (1992) model by considering growth option (as well as distress/leverage... more We extend the Fama-French (1992) model by considering growth option (as well as distress/leverage) variables in explaining the cross section of stock returns. We find that growth option variables, namely growth in capital investment and yet-unexercised growth options (GO), are significantly and negatively related to stock returns. Investors may be willing to accept lower average returns from growth stocks in exchange for a more favorable (positively skewed) risk-return profile. Book-to-market (BM) ratio seems to proxy for omitted distress/leverage variables. When these are explicitly accounted for, BM is not that significant. Our growth options variables have added explanatory power.

Research paper thumbnail of Misvaluation and the Asset Growth Anomaly

Research paper thumbnail of Corporate governance transformation: Editorial review

The British Accounting Review

Research paper thumbnail of Distress risk anomaly and misvaluation

The British Accounting Review

Research paper thumbnail of Stock Price Crash Risk: A Critique of the Agency Theory Viewpoint

Research paper thumbnail of What Matters for Consumer Sentiment? World Oil Price or Retail Gasoline Price?

Research paper thumbnail of CEO Departure and Stock Price Crashes: The Effects of Crepuscular Behavior

Research paper thumbnail of Sovereign Credit Risk and Global Equity Fund Returns in Emerging Markets

Journal of International Money and Finance

Research paper thumbnail of The non-inclusive nature of ‘all inclusive’ economics: Paradoxes and possibilities of the resort complex

Research paper thumbnail of Tourism, Instability and Regional Interdependency: Evidence from the Eastern-Mediterranean

Defence and Peace Economics

Research paper thumbnail of The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Prices of EU Emission Trading System and European Stock Returns

Research paper thumbnail of Tourism Stocks in Times of Crisis: An Econometric Investigation of Unexpected Nonmacroeconomic Factors

Journal of Travel Research

The relationship between the tourism industry and unexpected nonmacro incidents has received limi... more The relationship between the tourism industry and unexpected nonmacro incidents has received limited academic coverage. As a result, the quantifiable impact of such events on tourism-specific stock values, both in terms of returns and volatility, remains grossly underexamined. Motivated by the reasoning that the well-established features inherent to the tourism industry may trigger a different pattern of stock price movement compared with other industries, and by using econometric methodology, this article investigates the reaction of five hospitality/tourism stock indices to 150 incidents, depicting major Acts of Terrorism, natural catastrophes, and War conflicts that have taken place since the year 2000. Empirical findings underscore the effect of such incidents on stock indices, with distinctive differences among the types and specificities of each event under investigation. This article contributes to the extant literature and enhances our conceptual capital pertaining to the to...

Research paper thumbnail of Large Dividend Increases and Leverage

SSRN Electronic Journal

Large dividend increases and leverage.

Research paper thumbnail of The effects of oil price shocks on U.S. stock order flow imbalances and stock returns

Journal of International Money and Finance

Research paper thumbnail of Sentiment, order imbalance, and co-movement: An examination of shocks to retail and institutional trading activity

European Financial Management

Using order flow imbalance as a measure of sentiment we show that positive and negative shocks to... more Using order flow imbalance as a measure of sentiment we show that positive and negative shocks to sentiment captured by the Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model (STCC GARCH model) lead to lower co-movement between portfolio and market returns in the post-shock period. We find an asymmetry is present as positive shocks to sentiment have less impact on co-movement changes than negative shocks. We also find that shocks to retail sentiment and the sentiment of two types of institutional investors leads to a reduction in co-movement. Positive shocks to institutional order flow imbalance lead to smaller reductions in co-movement than associated with retail shocks. These effects exist even after we control for firm specific and market-wide news.

Research paper thumbnail of Reforming public port authorities through multiple concession agreements: The case of Cyprus

Research in Transportation Business & Management, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Short-horizon excess returns and exchange rate and interest rate effects

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2015

We examine the effects of foreign exchange (FX) and interest rate changes on the excess returns o... more We examine the effects of foreign exchange (FX) and interest rate changes on the excess returns of U.S. stocks, for short-horizons of 1 to 40 days. Our new evidence shows a tendency for the volatility of both excess returns and FX rate changes to be negatively related with FX rate and interest rate effects. Both the number of firms with significant FX rate and interest rate effects and the magnitude of their exposures increase with the length of the return horizon. Our finding seems inconsistent with the view that firms hedge effectively at short-return horizons.

Research paper thumbnail of The Effect of Security and Market Order Flow Shocks on Co-movement

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2015

Where a licence is displayed above, please note the terms and conditions of the licence govern yo... more Where a licence is displayed above, please note the terms and conditions of the licence govern your use of this document. When citing, please reference the published version. Take down policy While the University of Birmingham exercises care and attention in making items available there are rare occasions when an item has been uploaded in error or has been deemed to be commercially or otherwise sensitive.

Research paper thumbnail of Explaining Turn of the Year Order Flow Imbalance

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2015

The paper provides evidence of a turn of the year effect in the order flow imbalance of both reta... more The paper provides evidence of a turn of the year effect in the order flow imbalance of both retail and institutional investors. In December there is net selling pressure which is reversed in January. We examine high frequency intraday order flow information and find that the changes in order flow imbalance between December and January are related to firm risk factors and characteristics. We find that retail order flow imbalances are associated with a wide range of risk characteristics including beta, illiquidity and unsystematic risk. Imbalances in institutional order flow are associated with only a small number of risk variables. We show that these order flow changes are important because risk premiums are elevated in January. Our results are robust to the effects of decimalization.

Research paper thumbnail of Motives for corporate cash holdings: the CEO optimism effect

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2015

We examine the chief executive officer (CEO) optimism effect on managerial motives for cash holdi... more We examine the chief executive officer (CEO) optimism effect on managerial motives for cash holdings and find that optimistic and non-optimistic managers have significantly dissimilar purposes for holding more cash. This is consistent with both theory and evidence that optimistic managers are reluctant to use external funds. Optimistic managers hoard cash for growth opportunities, use relatively more cash for capital expenditure and acquisitions, and save more cash in adverse conditions. By contrast, they hold fewer inventories and receivables and their precautionary demand for cash holdings is less than that of non-optimistic managers. In addition, we consider debt conservatism in our model and find no evidence that optimistic managers' cash hoarding is related to their preference to use debt conservatively. We also document that optimistic managers hold more cash in bad times than non-optimistic managers do. Our work highlights the crucial role that CEO characteristics play in shaping corporate cash holding policy.