Forecasting Shifts in Hoosiers’ Travel Demand and Behavior (original) (raw)

• Rajat Verma, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Hao Luo, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Saloni Deodhar, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Eunhan Ka, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Ricardo Chahine, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Pallavi Natu, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Harshit Malhotra, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Vineeth Polisetty, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Dutt J. Thakkar, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Satish V. Ukkusuri, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Hua Cai, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Steven R. Dunlop, Purdue UniversityFollow
• Anath V. Iyer, University at BuffaloFollow
• Konstantina Gkritza, Purdue UniversityFollow

Abstract

The changing landscape of transportation technology and traveler behavior, accelerated by recent events like COVID-19, has led to significant shifts in travel demand and vehicle miles traveled in Indiana. This study seeks to understand the long-term implications of these changes and their potential impact on passenger, freight, and micro-mobility movements across the state. To achieve this objective, this project focused on forecasting future transportation demand conditions and carrying out long-range scenario planning by accomplishing four tasks: forecasting travel demand shifts based on location-based data, evaluating medium-term inter- and intra-urban transportation demand shifts, forecasting county-level industry shifts using scenario-based growth models, and providing recommendations and guidance to the Indiana Department of Transportation (INDOT) based on the study results. Results offer improved planning for infrastructure investments and operations, the incorporation of emerging technologies into transportation planning processes, and an enhanced understanding of passenger and freight movements at the statewide and regional levels. Deliverables from this study include valuable tools and models that can help INDOT navigate potential transportation system changes and accommodate the evolving needs of the future.

Keywords

travel demand, transport planning, travel behavior, large-scale data, freight, e-commerce

Report Number

FHWA/IN/JTRP-2023/28

Performing Organization

Joint Transportation Research Program

Publisher Place

West Lafayette, Indiana

DOI

10.5703/1288284317685

Recommended Citation

Verma, R., Luo, H., Deodhar, S., Ka, E., Chahine, R., Natu, P., Malhotra, H., & Polisetty, V., Thakkar, D. J., Ukkusuri, S. V., Cai, H., Dunlop, S. R., Iyer, A. V., & Gkritza, K. (2023). Forecasting shifts in Hoosiers’ travel demand and behavior (Joint Transportation Research Program Publication No. FHWA/IN/JTRP-2023/28). West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University. https://doi.org/10.5703/1288284317685

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