The Development of Land-Use-Based High-Resolution Spatial Global Biodiversity Damage Factors in LCIA (original) (raw)

Abstract

Our planet is currently confronted with a significant challenge of ecosystem disturbance, leading to a loss of biodiversity on a global scale. In previous studies within the field of life cycle impact assessment (LCIA), the inclusion of biodiversity loss in the endpoint categories has been proposed. However, there still remains a substantial research gap between LCIA and ecology. Therefore, in this study, we utilized species distribution models based on ecological predictions of habitat change, combined with land-use data for the year 2100 under the RCP8.5 scenario, to model the distribution of 160 species from four different biotic groups. After predicting the future distribution of species habitats, we established species damage factors by creating spatial potentially disappeared fraction (PDF). Our results indicate that under future land-use change scenarios, the four taxa and 160 species all experience varying degrees of loss on a global scale. Particularly, some underdeveloped regions, including South Africa, face higher risks and greater challenges with biodiversity loss. It is worth noting that agricultural land shows high-loss hotspots in South Africa under different land-use effects, which is closely related to the increasing demand for agricultural land due to population growth in the region.

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Acknowledgments

This study was partly funded by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF20202002) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency provided by the Ministry of Environment of Japan and JST SPRING, Grant Number JPMJSP 2118.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Graduate School of Environmental Information Studies, Tokyo City University, Yokohama, Japan
    Runya Liu & Ryuzo Furukawa
  2. Center for Biodiversity and Climate Change, Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan
    Haruka Ohashi, Akiko Hirata & Tetsuya Matsui
  3. Faculty of Creative Science, Resources and Environmental Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
    Norihiro Itsubo

Authors

  1. Runya Liu
  2. Haruka Ohashi
  3. Akiko Hirata
  4. Tetsuya Matsui
  5. Ryuzo Furukawa
  6. Norihiro Itsubo

Corresponding author

Correspondence toRunya Liu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. School of Creative Science and Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
    Shinichi Fukushige
  2. School of Creative Science and Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
    Tomomi Nonaka
  3. Graduate School of Engineering, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan
    Hideki Kobayashi
  4. School of Creative Science and Engineering, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan
    Chiharu Tokoro
  5. Department of Mechanical Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, Shiga, Japan
    Eiji Yamasue

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© 2025 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

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Liu, R., Ohashi, H., Hirata, A., Matsui, T., Furukawa, R., Itsubo, N. (2025). The Development of Land-Use-Based High-Resolution Spatial Global Biodiversity Damage Factors in LCIA. In: Fukushige, S., Nonaka, T., Kobayashi, H., Tokoro, C., Yamasue, E. (eds) EcoDesign for Circular Value Creation: Volume II. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-9076-0\_35

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