Perspectives on the linkage between typhoon activity and global warming from recent research advances in paleotempestology (original) (raw)

References

  1. Fan D D. Variations in tropical cyclone activity, storm-surge devastation since the 1950s in China. Gulf Coast Association of Geological Societies Transactions, 2006, 56: 185–192
    Google Scholar
  2. Emanuel K. Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 2005, 436: 686–688
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  3. Chan J C L. Comment on “Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and intensity in a warming environment”. Science, 2006, 311: 1713
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  4. Goldenberg S B, Landsea C W, Mesta-Nunez A M, et al. The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: causes and implications. Science, 2001, 293: 474–479
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  5. IPCC. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007
    Google Scholar
  6. Oouchi K, Yoshimura J, Yoshimura H, et al. Tropical cyclone climatology in a global-warming climate as simulated in a 20 km-mesh global atmospheric model: frequency and wind intensity analysis. J Meteorol Soc JPN, 2006, 84: 259–276
    Article Google Scholar
  7. Liu K B. Paleotempestology: Principles, Methods, and Examples from Gulf Coast Lake Sediments. In: Murnane R J, Liu K B, eds. Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Columbia University Press, 2004. 13–57
    Google Scholar
  8. Liu K B. Paleotempestology. In: Elias S, ed. Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2007. 1978–1986
    Google Scholar
  9. Nott J. Palaeotempestology: the study of prehistoric tropical cyclones — a review and implications for hazard assessment. Environ INT, 2004, 30: 433–447
    Article PubMed Google Scholar
  10. Liu K B. Paleotempestology: Geographic Solutions to Hurricane Hazard Assessment and Risk Prediction. In: Warf B, Janelle D, Hansen K, eds. WorldMinds: Geographical Perspectives on 100 Problems. London: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2004. 443–448
    Google Scholar
  11. Liu K B, Fearn M L. Lake-sediment record of late Holocene hurricane activities from coastal Alabama. Geology, 1993, 21: 793–796
    Article Google Scholar
  12. Liu K B, Fearn M L. Reconstruction of prehistoric landfall frequencies of catastrophic hurricanes in northwestern Florida from lake sediment records. Quaternary Res, 2000, 54: 238–245
    Article Google Scholar
  13. Donnelly J P, Roll S, Wengren M, et al. Sedimentary evidence of intense hurricane strikes from New Jersey. Geology, 2001, 29: 615–618
    Article Google Scholar
  14. Hayne M, Chappell J. Cyclone frequency during the last 5000 years from Curacoa Island, Queensland. Palaeogeogr, Palaeocl, 2001, 168: 201–219
    Article Google Scholar
  15. Nott J, Hayne M. High frequency of “super-cyclones” along the Great Barrier Reef over the past 5000 years. Nature, 2001, 413: 508–512
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  16. Hamblin A P, Duke W L, Walker, R G, Hummocky-cross stratification: indicator of storm-dominated shallow-marine environments. AAPG Bull, 1979, 63: 460–461
    Google Scholar
  17. Li P R, Huang G Q, Wang W, et al. Storm Sedimentation in the Pearl River Estuary (in Chinese). Guangzhou: Guangdong Science & Technology Press, 2002. 153
    Google Scholar
  18. Allison M A, Sheremet A, Goñi M A, et al. Storm layer deposition on the Mississippi-Atchafalaya subaqueous delta generated by Hurricane Lili in 2002. Cont Shelf Res, 2005, 25: 2213–2232
    Article Google Scholar
  19. Fan D D, Xu G D, Shi Z. Past typhoon activities reconstructed from sedimentary record in the Yangtze Delta, China. AAG 2007 Annual Meeting Abstracts, 2007, 365
  20. Yu K F, Zhao J X, Collerson K D, et al. Storm cycles in the last millennium recorded in Yongshu Reef, southern South China Sea. Palaeogeogr, Palaeocl, 2004, 210: 89–100
    Article Google Scholar
  21. Huang G Q, Yan W S. Foraminifera as an indicator of Holocene storm deposits in the Pearl River Delta. Chin Sci Bull (in Chinese), 1997, 42: 423–426
    Google Scholar
  22. Collins E S, Scott D B, Gayes P T. Hurricane records on the South Carolina coast: can they be detected in the sediment record? Quatern Int, 1999, 56: 15–26
    Article Google Scholar
  23. Hippensteel S P, Martin R E. Foraminifera as an indicator of overwash deposits, barrier island sediment supply, and barrier island evolution: Folly Island, South Carolina. Palaeogeogr, Palaeocl, 1999, 149: 115–125
    Article Google Scholar
  24. Zong Y, Tooley M J. Evidence of mid-Holocene storm-surge deposits from Morecambe Bay, northwest England: a biostratigraphical approach. Quat Int, 1999, 55: 43–50
    Article Google Scholar
  25. Scott D B, Collins E S, Gayes P T, et al. Records of prehistoric hurricanes on the South Carolina coast based on micropaleontological and sedimentological evidence, with comparison to other Atlantic Coast record. Geol Soc Am Bull, 2003, 115: 1027–1039
    Article Google Scholar
  26. Liu K B, Lu H Y, Shen C. A 1200-year record of hurricanes and fires from the Gulf of Mexico coast: Testing the hypothesis of hurricanefire interactions. Quat Res, 2008, 69: 29–41
    Article Google Scholar
  27. Lu H Y, Liu K B. Phytolith assemblages as indicators of coastal environmental changes and hurricane overwash deposition. Holocene, 2005, 15: 965–972
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  28. Meyers P A. Preservation of elemental and isotopic source identification of sedimentary organic matter. Chem Geol, 1994, 114: 289–302
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  29. Lawrence J R, Gedzelman S D. Low stable isotope ratios of tropical cyclone rains. Geophys Res Lett, 1996, 23: 527–530
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  30. Lawrence J R, Gedzelman S D, Gamache J, et al. Stable isotope ratios: Hurricane Olivia-stable isotope ratios of precipitation collected at 3 km elevation in Hurricane Olivia (1994). J Atmos Chem, 2002, 41: 67–82
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  31. Miller D L, Mora C I, Grissino-Mayer H D, et al. Tree-ring isotope records of tropical cyclone activity. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 2006, 103: 14294–14297
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  32. Mora C I, Miller DL, Grissino-Mayer H D. Tempest in a tree ring: paleotempestology and the record of past hurricanes. Sediment Record, 2006, 4(3): 4–8
    Google Scholar
  33. Frappier A B, Carpenter S J, Gonzalez L A, et al. Stalagmite stable isotope record of recent tropical cyclone events. Geology, 2007, 35(2): 111–114
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  34. Cohen A. Paleohurricanes day by day: Can we do it? In: Research Update 2001, Risk Prediction Initiative, Proceedings of a Workshop Held on June 8, 2001, Hamilton, Bermuda
  35. Hetzinger S, Pfeiffer M, Dullo W C, et al. Caribbean coral tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and past hurricane activity. Geology, 2008, 36: 11–14
    Article Google Scholar
  36. Lu R J. Compiling Data on Disastrous Storm Tides in Different Dynasties of China (in Chinese). Beijing: Ocean Press, 1984. 295
    Google Scholar
  37. Louie K S, Liu K B. Earliest historical records of typhoons in China. J Hist Geograp, 2003, 29: 299–316
    Article Google Scholar
  38. Davis R A Jr, Knowles S C, Bland M J. Role of hurricanes in the Holocene stratigraphy of estuaries: examples from the Gulf Coast of Florida. J Sediment Petrol, 1989, 59: 1052–1061
    Google Scholar
  39. Donnelly J P, Webb T. Backbarrier sedimentary records of intense hurricane landfalls in the northeastern United States. In: Murnane R J, Liu K B, eds. Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Columbia University Press, 2004. 58–95
    Google Scholar
  40. Donnelly J P, Bryant S S, Butler J, et al. A 700 yr sedimentary record of intense hurricane landfalls in southern New England. Geol Soc Am Bull, 2001, 113: 714–727
    Article Google Scholar
  41. Donnelly J P, Butler J, Roll S, et al. A backbarrier overwash record of intense storms from Brigantine, New Jersey. Mar Geol, 2004, 210: 107–121
    Article Google Scholar
  42. Liu C Z, Wu L C, Cao M. Sedimentary characteristics of cheniers in southern Changjiang delta and their origin and age determination. Acta Oceanol Sin (in Chinese), 1985, 7(1): 55–66
    Google Scholar
  43. Davis R A Jr, Fitzgerald D M. Beaches and Coasts. Malden: Blackwell Publishing, 2004. 419
    Google Scholar
  44. Nott J. Intensity of prehistoric tropical cyclones. J Geophys Res, 2003, 108(D7): 4212–4223
    Article Google Scholar
  45. Harper B. Strom Tide Threat in Queensland: History, Prediction and Relative Risks. Technical report 10, Queensland Department of Environment & Heritage, Brisbane, 1998
  46. Aigner T. Calcareous tempestite: Storm-dominated stratification in upper Muschelkalk limestones. In: Einsele G., Scilacher A, eds. Cyclic and Event Stratification. New York: Springer, 1982. 180–198
    Google Scholar
  47. Sun S., Li J L. Developing direction and studying advance of turbulent flow and other gravity flow in our country. Acta Sediment Sin (in Chinese), 1984, 2(4): 1–5
    Google Scholar
  48. Fan D D, Li C X, Archer A W, et al. Temporal distribution of diastems in deposits of an open-coast tidal-flat with high suspended sediment concentrations. Sediment Geol, 2002, 152: 173–181
    Article Google Scholar
  49. Fan D D. Formation and Preservation on Rhythmic Deposition on Mudflats and Quantitative Analysis of Diastems (in Chinese). Shanghai: Tongji University Press, 2007. 110
    Google Scholar
  50. Keen T R, Bentley S J, Vaughan C, et al. The generation and preservation of multiple hurricane beds in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Mar Geol, 2004, 210: 79–105
    Article Google Scholar
  51. Li C X, Li P. Sediments and sand bodies on the tidal flats. Oceanol Limnol Sin (in Chinese), 1982, 13(1): 48–59
    Google Scholar
  52. Ren M E, Zhang R S, Yang J H, et al. The influence of storm tide on mud plain coast-with special reference to Jiangsu Province. Mar Geol Quatern Geo (in Chinese)l, 1983, 3(4): 1–23
    Google Scholar
  53. Chen Z Y. Characteristics of storm-generated sediments off modern subaqueous Changjiang (Yangtze) River mouth. In: Yan Q S, ed. Recent Yangtze Delta Deposits (in Chinese). Shanghai: East China Normal University Press, 1987. 246–257
    Google Scholar
  54. Li Y, Xie Q C. Dynamical development of the Andong tidal flat in Hangzhou Bay, China. Donghai Mar Sci (in Chinese), 1993, 11(2): 25–33
    Google Scholar
  55. Xu S Y. Storm Deposits in the Yangtze Delta (in Chinese). Beijing: Science Press, 1997. 150
    Google Scholar
  56. Wang Z H, Saito Y, Hori K, et al. Yangtze offshore, China: highly laminated sediments from the transition zone between subaqueous delta and the continental shelf. Estuar, Coast Shelf S, 2005, 62: 161–168
    Article Google Scholar
  57. Cai D L, Tan F C, Edmond J M. Organic carbon isotope geochemistry of the Changjiang (Yangtze River) estuary. Geochimica (in Chinese), 1992, 3: 305–312
    Google Scholar
  58. Andrews J E, Greenaway A M, Dennis P F. Combined carbon isotope and C/N ratios as indicators of source and fate of organic matter in a poorly flushed, tropical estuary: Hunts Bay, Kingston Harbour, Jamaica. Estuar, Coast Shelf S, 1998, 46: 743–756
    Article CAS Google Scholar
  59. Kao S J, Lin F J, Liu K K. Organic carbon and nitrogen contents and their isotopic compositions in surficial sediments from the East China Sea shelf and the southern Okinawa Trough. Deep-Sea Res PT II, 2003, 11: 1203–1217
    Google Scholar
  60. Goñi M A, Gordon E S, Monacci N M, et al. The effect of Hurricane Lili on the distribution of organic matter along the inner Louisiana shelf (Gulf of Mexico, USA). Cont Shelf Res, 2006, 26(17–18): 2260–2280
    Article Google Scholar
  61. Malmquist D L. Oxygen isotopes in cave stalagmites as a proxy record of past tropical cyclone activity. In: Proceedings of the 22nd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Fort Collins, Colorado, American Meteorological Society, 1997. 393–394
  62. Schwehr K A. Oxygen isotopic variations of soda straw cave deposits from the Yucatan Peninsula: a test of their use as a paleoprecipitation tool. Master Thesis. Houston: University of Houston, 1998
    Google Scholar
  63. Ludlam D M. Early American Hurricanes, 1492–1870. Boston: American Meteorological Society, 1963
    Google Scholar
  64. Millás J C. Hurricanes of the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions, 1492–1800. Miami: Academy of the Arts and Sciences of the America, 1968
    Google Scholar
  65. Mock C J. Tropical Cyclone Reconstructions from Documentary Records: Examples for South Carolina, United State. In: Murnane R J, Liu K B, eds. Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Columbia University Press, 2004. 121–148
    Google Scholar
  66. Garcia Herrera R, Rubio F, Wheeler D, et al. The Use of Spanish and British Documentary Sources in the Investigation of Atlantic Hurricane Incidence in Historical Times. In: Murnane R J, Liu K B, eds. Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Columbia University Press, 2004. 149–176
    Google Scholar
  67. Wang S M, Liu J, Zhou J. The Climate of Little Ice Age Maximum in China (in Chinese). J Lake Sci, 2003, 15(4): 369–376
    CAS Google Scholar
  68. Zhang D E. A Compendium of Chinese Meteorological Records of the Last 3000 Year (in Chinese). Nangjing: Jiangsu Education Publishing House, 2004
    Google Scholar
  69. Liang Y Y, Zhang D E. Landing typhoon in China during the last millennium and its relationship with ENSO. Adv Clim Change Res (in Chinese), 2007, 3(2): 120–121
    Google Scholar
  70. Lee K, Hsu S I. Typhoon Records from Ancient Chronicles of Guangdong Province. Occasional Paper 98. Hong Kong: Department of Geography, Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1989. 59
    Google Scholar
  71. Qiao S X, Tang W Y. Compilation and Research of Climatic Data From Historical Records of the Guangzhou Area (in Chinese). Guangzhou: Guangdong People’s Press, 1993. 722
    Google Scholar
  72. Yuan Z L. Flood and Drought Disasters in Shanghai (in Chinese). Nangjing: Hohai University Press, 1999
    Google Scholar
  73. Huo E J, Liu C S. Compilation of Natural Disaster Data From 751 to 1949 in Shanghai (in Chinese). Beijing: Seismic Press, 2002
    Google Scholar
  74. Chan J C L, Shi J E. Frequency of typhoon landfall over Guangdong Province of China during the period 1470–1931. Int J Climatol, 2000, 20: 183–190
    Article Google Scholar
  75. Liu K B, Shen C, Louie K S. A 1000-year history of typhoon landfalls in Guangdong, southern China, reconstructed from Chinese historical documentary records. Ann Assoc Am Geograph, 2001, 91: 453–464
    Article Google Scholar
  76. Donnelly J P, Woodruff J D. Intense hurricane activity over the past 5,000 years controlled by El Niño and the West African monsoon. Nature, 2007, 447: 465–468
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  77. Scileppi E, Donnelly J P. Sedimentary evidence of hurricane strikes in western Long Island, New York. Geochem Geophy Geosy, 2007, 8, Q06011, doi: 10.1029/2006GC001463
    Article Google Scholar
  78. Boose E R, Serrano M I, Folser D R. Landscape and regional impacts of hurricane in Puerto Rico. Ecol Monogr, 2004, 74: 335–352
    Article Google Scholar
  79. Moy C M, Seltzer G O, Rodbell D T, et al. Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescale during the Holocene epoch. Nature, 2002, 420: 162–165
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  80. Bove M C, Elsner J B, Landsea C W, et al. Effect of El Niño on US landfalling hurricanes, revisited. B Am Meteorol Soc, 1998, 79: 2477–2482
    Article Google Scholar
  81. Lin H J, Zhang Y C. Climatic features of the tropical cyclone influencing China and its relationship with the sea surface temperature in the Pacific ocean. J Tropical Meteorol (in Chinese), 2004, 20(4): 218–224
    Google Scholar
  82. Elsner J B, Liu K B. Examining the ENSO-Typhoon hypothesis. Climate Res, 2003, 25: 43–54
    Article Google Scholar
  83. Liu, K B. Uncovering prehistoric hurricane activity. Am Sci, 2007, 95: 126–133
    Google Scholar
  84. Elsner J B, Liu K B, Kocher B L. Spatial variations in major U.S. hurricane activity: Statistics and a physical mechanism. J Climate, 2000, 13: 2293–2305
    Article Google Scholar
  85. Tappin D R. Sedimentary features of tsunami deposits — Their origin, recognition and discrimination: An introduction. Sediment Geol, 2007, 200: 151–154
    Article Google Scholar
  86. Morton R A, Gelfenbaum G, Jaffe B E. Physical criteria for distinguishing sandy tsunami and storm deposits using modern examples. Sediment Geol, 2007, 200: 184–207
    Article Google Scholar
  87. Kortekaas S, Dawson A G. Distinguishing tsunami and storm deposits: An example from Martinhal, SW Portugal. Sediment Geol, 2007, 200: 208–221
    Article Google Scholar
  88. Kim J H, Rimbu N, Lorenz S J, et al. North Pacific and North Atlantic sea-surface temperature variability during the Holocene. Quat Sci Rev, 2004, 23: 2141–2154
    Article Google Scholar
  89. Stott L, Cannariato K G, Thunell R, et al. Decline in surface temperature and salinity in the western tropical Pacific Ocean in Holocene epoch. Nature, 2004, 431: 56–59
    Article PubMed CAS Google Scholar
  90. Lorentz S J, Kim J H, Rimbu N, et al. Orbitally driven insolation forcing on Holocene climate trends: evidence from alkenone data and climate modeling. Paleoceanography, 2006, 21, doi:10.1029/2005PA001152

Download references