Long-range energy forecasts are no more than fairy tales (original) (raw)

Sir

I largely agree with the overall conclusion of Pielke et al. in their Commentary ‘Dangerous assumptions’ (Nature 452, 531–532; 2008) that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment is overly optimistic, but I fear that the situation is even worse than the authors imply.

Access options

Subscribe to this journal

Receive 52 print issues and online access

$199.00 per year

only $3.83 per issue

Buy this article

USD 39.95

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Additional access options:

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, R3T 2N2, Manitoba, Canada
    Vaclav Smil

Rights and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Smil, V. Long-range energy forecasts are no more than fairy tales.Nature 453, 154 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1038/453154a

Download citation

This article is cited by