Importance of food-demand management for climate mitigation (original) (raw)
References
Houghton, R. A. Carbon emissions and the drivers of deforestation and forest degradation in the tropics. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain.4, 1–7 (2012). Article Google Scholar
Alexandratos, N. & Bruinsma, J. World Agriculture Towards 2030/2050. The 2012 Revision (FAO, 2012). Google Scholar
Tilman, D., Balzer, C., Hill, J. & Befort, B. L. Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA108, 1–5 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Ray, D. K., Mueller, N. D., West, P. C. & Foley, J. A. Yield trends are insufficient to double global crop production by 2050. PLoS ONE8, e66428 (2013). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Reaping the Benefits; Science and the Sustainable Intensification of Global Agriculture (The Royal Society, 2009)
Godfray, H. C. J. et al. Food security: The challenge of feeding 9 billion people. Science327, 812–818 (2010). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Foley, J. A. et al. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature478, 337–342 (2011). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Garnett, T. et al. Sustainable intensification in agriculture: Premises and policies. Science341, 33–34 (2013). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Mueller, N. D. et al. Closing yield gaps through nutrient and water management. Nature490, 254–257 (2012). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
IIASA and FAO, Global Agro-ecological Zones (GAEZ v3.0) (IASSA/FAO, 2010); www.gaez.iiasa.ac.at
Ripple, W. J. et al. Ruminants, climate change and climate policy. Nature Clim. Change4, 2–5 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Stehfest, E. et al. Climate benefits of changing diet. Climatic Change95, 83–102 (2009). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Smith, P. Delivering food security without increasing pressure on land. Glob. Food Sec.2, 18–23 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Smith, P. et al. Competition for land. Phil. Trans. R. Soc.365, 2941–2957 (2010) Article Google Scholar
Westhoek, H. et al. Food choices, health and environment: Effects of cutting Europe’s meat and dairy intake. Glob. Environ. Change26, 196–205 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Hedenus, F., Wirsenius, S. & Johansson, D. J. A. The importance of reduced meat and dairy consumption for meeting stringent climate change targets. Climatic Change124, 79–91 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Rosegrant, M. W. et al. International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) (IFPRI, 2008). Google Scholar
Havlík, P. et al. Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA111, 3709–3714 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Schmitz, C. et al. Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: Insights from a global agro-economic model comparison. Agric. Econ.45, 69–84 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Ramankutty, N., Evan, A. T., Monfreda, C. & Foley, J. A. Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles22, 1–19 (2008). Article Google Scholar
Wirsenius, S. Human Use of Land and Organic Materials Modeling the Turnover of Biomass in the Global Food System PhD thesis, Chalmers Univ. Technology and Göteborg Univ. (2000)
Gustavsson, J., Cederberg, C., Sonnesson, U., van Otterdijk, R. & Meybeck, A. Global Food Losses and Food Waste (FAO, 2011). Google Scholar
Scarlat, N., Martinov, M. & Dallemand, J-F. Assessment of the availability of agricultural crop residues in the European Union: Potential and limitations for bioenergy use. Waste Manage.30, 1889–1897 (2010). Article Google Scholar
Haberl, H. et al. Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in Earth’s terrestrial ecosystems. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA104, 12942–12947 (2007). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Oerke, E. & Dehne, H. Global crop production and the efficacy of crop protection—current situation and future trends. Eur. J. Plant Pathol.103, 203–215 (1997). Article Google Scholar
Faurès, J-M., Svendsen, M. & Turral, H. in Water Food, Water Life A Compr. Assess. Water Manage. Agric. (ed Molden, D.) 353–394 (IWMI/Earthscan, 2007). Google Scholar
Valin, H. et al. Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions: Trade-offs or synergies between mitigation and food security? Environ. Res. Lett.8, 035019 (2013). Article Google Scholar
The Future of Food and Farming. Final Project Report (The Government Office for Science, 2011)
Kummu, M. et al. Lost food, wasted resources: Global food supply chain losses and their impacts on freshwater, cropland, and fertiliser use. Sci. Total Environ.438, 477–489 (2012). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Simopoulos, A. P., Bourne, P. G. & Faergeman, O. Bellagio report on healthy agriculture, healthy nutrition, healthy people. Nutrients5, 411–423 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Garnett, T. Changing What We Eat (The Food Climate Research Network, 2014). Google Scholar
Smith, P. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) Ch. 11 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014). Google Scholar
Smith, P. et al. How much land-based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals? Glob. Change Biol.19, 2285–2302 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Gleeson, T., Wada, Y., Bierkens, M. F. P. & van Beek, L. P. H. Water balance of global aquifers revealed by groundwater footprint. Nature488, 197–200 (2012). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Rogelj, J. et al. Emission pathways consistent with a 2 °C global temperature limit. Nature Clim. Change1, 413–418 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Schneider, A., Friedl, M. A. & Potere, D. A new map of global urban extent from MODIS satellite data. Environ. Res. Lett.4, 044003 (2009). Article Google Scholar
Streets, D. G., Yarber, K. F., Woo, J. H. & Carmichael, G. R. Biomass burning in Asia: Annual and seasonal estimates and atmospheric emissions. Glob. Biogeochem. Cycles17, 1099 (2003). Article Google Scholar
Anderson-Teixeira, K. J. & DeLucia, E. H. The greenhouse gas value of ecosystems. Glob. Change Biol.17, 425–438 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Bajželj, B., Allwood, J. M. & Cullen, J. M. Designing climate change mitigation plans that add up. Environ. Sci. Technol.47, 8062–8069 (2013). Article Google Scholar
European Commission, Joint Research Centre & Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), Release Version 4.2., 2012 (JRC, 2014); http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu