The changing nature of flooding across the central United States (original) (raw)
References
Downton, M. W., Miller, J. Z. B. & Pielke Jr, R. A. Reanalysis of US National Weather Service flood loss database. Nat. Hazards Rev.6, 13–22 (2005). Article Google Scholar
Xiao, Y., Wan, J. & Hewings, G. J. D. Flooding and the Midwest economy: Assessing the Midwest floods of 1993 and 2008. GeoJournal78, 245–258 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Sillmann, J., Kharin, V. V., Zwiers, F. W., Zhang, X. & Bronaugh, D. Climate extremes indices in the CMIP5 multimodel ensemble: Part 2. Future climate projections. J. Geophys. Res.118, 2473–2493 (2013). Google Scholar
IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) 1535 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013). Google Scholar
Lins, H. F. & Slack, J. R. Seasonal and regional characteristics of US streamflow trends in the United States from 1940 to 1999. Phys. Geogr.26, 489–501 (2005). Article Google Scholar
Novotny, E. V. & Stefan, H. G. Stream flow in Minnesota: Indicator of climate change. J. Hydrol.334, 319–333 (2007). Article Google Scholar
Villarini, G., Serinaldi, F., Smith, J. A. & Krajewski, W. F. On the stationarity of annual flood peaks in the continental United States during the 20th century. Wat. Resour. Res.45, W08417 (2009). Google Scholar
Villarini, G., Smith, J. A., Baeck, M. L. & Krajewski, W. F. Examining flood frequency distributions in the Midwest US. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc.47, 447–463 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Schilling, K. E. & Libra, R. D. Increased baseflow in Iowa over the second half of the 20th century. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc.39, 851–860 (2003). Article Google Scholar
Peterson, T. C. et al. Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods, and droughts in the United States: State of knowledge. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.94, 821–834 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Hirsch, R. M. & Ryberg, K. R. Has the magnitude of floods across the USA changed with global CO2 levels? Hydrol. Sci. J.57, 1–9 (2012). ArticleCAS Google Scholar
Pryor, S. C., Howe, J. A. & Kunkel, K. E. How spatially coherent and statistically robust are temporal changes in extreme precipitation in the contiguous USA? Int. J. Climatol.29, 31–45 (2009). Article Google Scholar
Villarini, G. et al. On the frequency of heavy rainfall for the Midwest of the United States. J. Hydrol.400, 103–120 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Villarini, G., Smith, J. A. & Vecchi, G. A. Changing frequency of heavy rainfall over the central United States. J. Clim.26, 351–357 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Rasmussen, T. J. & Perry, C. A. Trends in Peak Flows of Selected Streams in Kansas Water Resources Investigations Report No. 01-4203, 62 (USGS, 2001). Google Scholar
Olsen, J. R., Stedinger, J. R., Matalas, N. C. & Stakhiv, E. Z. Climate variability and flood frequency estimation for the Upper Mississippi and Lower Missouri. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc.35, 1509–1523 (1999). Article Google Scholar
Pederson, G. T. et al. Climatic controls on the snowmelt hydrology of the Northern Rocky Mountains. J. Clim.24, 1666–1687 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Lavers, D. A. & Villarini, G. Atmospheric rivers and flooding over the central United States. J. Clim.26, 7829–7836 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Ryberg, K. R., Lin, W. & Vecchia, A. V. Impact of climate variability on runoff in the North-Central United States. J. Hydrol. Eng.19, 148–158 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Yang, L. et al. Urbanization and climate change: An examination of nonstationarities in urban flooding. J. Hydrometeorol.14, 1791–1809 (2013). Article Google Scholar
Villarini, G. & Strong, A. Roles of climate and agricultural practices in discharge changes in an agricultural watershed in Iowa. Agr. Ecosyst. Environ.188, 204–211 (2014). Article Google Scholar
Hegerl, G. & Zwiers, F. Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change. WIREs Clim. Change2, 570–591 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Hirsch, R. M. A perspective on nonstationarity and water management. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc.47, 436–446 (2011). Article Google Scholar
Higgins, R. W., Shi, W., Yarosh, E. & Joyce, R. Improved United States Precipitation Quality Control System and Analysis (NCEP/Climate Prediction Center Atlas, 2000). Google Scholar
Willmott, C. J. & Robeson, S. M. Climatologically aided interpolation (CAI) of terrestrial air temperature. Int. J. Climatol.15, 221–229 (1995). Article Google Scholar
Lombard, F. Rank tests for changepoint problems. Biometrika74, 615–624 (1987). Article Google Scholar
Muggeo, V. M. R. Estimating regression models with unknown break-points. Stat. Med.22, 3055–3071 (2003). Article Google Scholar