Reconciling warming trends (original) (raw)
- Commentary
- Published: 27 February 2014
Nature Geoscience volume 7, pages 158–160 (2014) Cite this article
- 7774 Accesses
- 236 Citations
- 227 Altmetric
- Metrics details
Subjects
Climate models projected stronger warming over the past 15 years than has been seen in observations. Conspiring factors of errors in volcanic and solar inputs, representations of aerosols, and El Niño evolution, may explain most of the discrepancy.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution
Relevant articles
Open Access articles citing this article.
Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment
- Shipra Jain
- , Adam A. Scaife
- … Thea Turkington
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Open Access 17 June 2023
An observation-based scaling model for climate sensitivity estimates and global projections to 2100
- Raphaël Hébert
- , Shaun Lovejoy
- & Bruno Tremblay
Climate Dynamics Open Access 18 December 2020
Pacific variability reconciles observed and modelled global mean temperature increase since 1950
- Martin B. Stolpe
- , Kevin Cowtan
- … Reto Knutti
Climate Dynamics Open Access 28 October 2020
Access options
Subscribe to this journal
Receive 12 print issues and online access
$259.00 per year
only $21.58 per issue
Buy this article
- Purchase on SpringerLink
- Instant access to the full article PDF.
USD 39.95
Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout
Additional access options:
Figure 1: Updated external influences on climate and their impact on the CMIP5 model runs.
The alternative text for this image may have been generated using AI.
References
- Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P. & Zwiers, F. W. Nature Clim. Change 3, 767–769 (2013).
Google Scholar - Kosaka, Y. & Xie, S-P. Nature 501, 403–407 (2013).
Google Scholar - Trenberth, K. E. & Fasullo, J. T. Earth's Future 1, 19–32 (2013).
Google Scholar - Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. & Meehl, G. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485–498 (2012).
Google Scholar - Boucher, O. & Reddy, M. S. Energy Policy 36, 193–200 (2008).
Google Scholar - Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M. & Lo, K. Rev. Geophys. 48, RG4004 (2010).
Google Scholar - Cowtan, K. & Way, R. G. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2297 (2013).
- Otto, A. et al. Nature Geosci. 6, 415–416 (2013).
Google Scholar - Vernier, J-P. et al. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L12807 (2011).
Google Scholar - Santer, B. D. et al. Nature Geosci. 7, 185–189 (2014).
Google Scholar - Wolter, K. & Timlin, M. S. Weather 53, 315–324 (1998).
Google Scholar - Fröhlich, C. & Lean, J. Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, 4377–4380 (1998).
Google Scholar - Lean, J. Calculations of Solar Irradiance (2009); http://go.nature.com/VbldYY
Google Scholar - Shindell, D. T. et al. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 2939–2974 (2013).
Google Scholar - Bellouin, N. et al. J. Geophys. Res. 116, D20206 (2011).
Google Scholar - Ma, J. Z. et al. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 1547–1567 (2013).
Google Scholar - Hoyle, C. R. et al. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 321–343 (2011).
Google Scholar - Sato, M., Hansen, J. E., McCormick, M. P. & Pollack, J. B. J. Geophys. Res. 98, 22987–22994 (1993).
Google Scholar
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
- NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, 10025, New York, USA
Gavin A. Schmidt & Drew T. Shindell - Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University, 2880 Broadway, New York, 10025, New York, USA
Kostas Tsigaridis
Authors
- Gavin A. Schmidt
- Drew T. Shindell
- Kostas Tsigaridis
Corresponding author
Correspondence toGavin A. Schmidt.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Schmidt, G., Shindell, D. & Tsigaridis, K. Reconciling warming trends.Nature Geosci 7, 158–160 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2105
- Published: 27 February 2014
- Issue date: March 2014
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2105