Implications of the Paris agreement for the ocean (original) (raw)

In the aftermath of COP21, potential post-2030 emission trajectories and their consistency with the 2 °C target are a core concern for the ocean scientific community in light of the end-century risks of impact scenarios.

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Acknowledgements

This is a product of The Oceans 2015 Initiative, an expert group supported by the Prince Albert II of Monaco Foundation, the Ocean Acidification International Coordination Centre of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the BNP Paribas Foundation and the Monégasque Association for Ocean Acidification.The authors also benefited from financial support from the Children's Investment Fund Foundation (CIFF), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), German Environment Ministry, Gross Family Foundation, European Climate Foundation (ECF), Agence de l'Environnement et de la Maîtrise de l'Énergie (ADEME), Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN), European Union DG CLIMA (21.0104/2014/684427/SER/CLIMA.A.4) and the French Government (ANR-10-LABX-01). A.K.M. acknowledges support from the French National Research Agency (CapAdapt Project ANR-2011-JSH1-004 01 and ANR-15-CE03-0003). R.B. is supported by the RESCCUE project funded by the French Development Agency and the French Global Environment Facility (AFD CZZ 1647 01 F and FFEM CZZ 1667 01 H). F.J. acknowledges support from the Swiss National Science Foundation.The contents of this piece are solely the opinions of the authors and do not constitute a statement of policy, decision or position on behalf of the French Government, the Pacific Community or any funding partners.The authors also thank W. Cramer and P. Barthélemy for their comments on an earlier version.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations, Sciences Po, 27 rue Saint Guillaume, F-75007, Paris, France
    Alexandre K. Magnan, Michel Colombier, Henri Waisman, Thomas Spencer & Jean-Pierre Gattuso
  2. Pacific Community, B.P. D5, Noumea Cedex, 98848, New Caledonia
    Raphaël Billé
  3. Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Sidlerstr. 5, CH-3012, Bern, Switzerland
    Fortunat Joos
  4. Global Change Institute and ARC Centre for Excellence in Coral Reef Studies, University of Queensland, Building 20, St Lucia, 4072, Queensland, Australia
    Ove Hoegh-Guldberg
  5. Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Am Handelshafen 12, D-27570, Bremerhaven, Germany
    Hans-Otto Pörtner
  6. CNRS-INSU, Laboratoire d'Océanographie de Villefranche, F-06230, Villefranche-sur-mer, France
    Jean-Pierre Gattuso
  7. Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ Paris 06, Observatoire Océanologique, F-06230, Villefranche-sur-mer, France
    Jean-Pierre Gattuso

Authors

  1. Alexandre K. Magnan
  2. Michel Colombier
  3. Raphaël Billé
  4. Fortunat Joos
  5. Ove Hoegh-Guldberg
  6. Hans-Otto Pörtner
  7. Henri Waisman
  8. Thomas Spencer
  9. Jean-Pierre Gattuso

Contributions

A.K.M., J.-P.G., M.C. and R.B. designed the research. A.K.M., J.-P.G. and F.J. put Fig. 1 and Table 1 together, and A.K.M., J.-P.G., O.H.-G., F.J. and H.-O.P. analysed ocean-related data and drew up the conclusions from Fig. 1 and Table 1. M.C., H.W. and T.S. analysed INDC-related material. All authors contributed to drafting and revising the manuscript as well as to the Supplementary Information.

Corresponding author

Correspondence toAlexandre K. Magnan.

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Magnan, A., Colombier, M., Billé, R. et al. Implications of the Paris agreement for the ocean.Nature Clim Change 6, 732–735 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3038

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