Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change (original) (raw)
Featured publication
Consensus Study Report
·
2016
As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely ho...
Description
An ad hoc committee will examine the science of attribution of specific extreme weather events to human-caused climate change and natural variability. Specifically, the committee will:
Provide an assessment of current scientific understanding and capabilities for attribution of specific extreme weather events to climate change. Provide guidance about the robustness of extreme event attribution science. The guidance should discriminate among different attribution approaches and different classes of extreme events, and it should consider various characteristics of the analysis (e.g., data coverage and quality, model performance, etc.). Identify research priorities for further development of the approaches.
Contributors
Committee
Sponsors
Heising-Simons Foundation
Litterman Family Foundation
National Academy of Sciences Arthur L. Day Fund
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Science Foundation
The David & Lucile Packard Foundation