RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN HOST INFECTIVITY TO MOSQUITOES AND ASEXUAL PARASITE DENSITY IN PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM (original) (raw)

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We describe a statistical model for the relationship between asexual parasite densities of Plasmodium falciparum and the infectivity of the host to mosquitoes. The model takes into account the delay between asexual parasitemia and infectivity resulting from the time course of gametocytemia. It also allows for the need for the blood meal to contain gametocytes of both sexes if infection is to take place. We show that by fitting this model to data from malariatherapy patients it can explain observed patterns of infectiousness of the human host and is consistent with distributions of gametocyte densities in malariatherapy patients. By integrating this model into an individual-based simulation of human populations exposed to endemic P. falciparum transmission, we are able to predict the contributions of different host age groups to the infectious reservoir. Comparison of model predictions with published estimates of this quantity confirms that infected adults hosts are likely to make a significant contribution to the reservoir of transmission, and points to the need for improved population-based estimates of this age-dependence in infectivity of humans in endemic areas.

Author Notes

Reprint requests: Amanda Ross, Swiss Tropical Institute, Socinstrasse 57, PO Box, CH-4002, Basel, Switzerland.

Copyright:

Copyright 2006 The American Society of Tropical Medicine 2006

Received:

18 Sep 2005

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Accepted:

05 Nov 2005

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Published Online:

Aug 2006

Cover The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene

ProCite

RefWorks

Reference Manager

Past two years Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 570 505 306
Full Text Views 529 15 0
PDF Downloads 235 22 0

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