Potential of global land water recycling to mitigate local temperature extremes (original) (raw)
Akkermans, T., Thiery, W., and Van Lipzig, N. P. M.: The Regional Climate Impact of a Realistic Future Deforestation Scenario in the Congo Basin, J. Climate, 27, 2714–2734, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00361.1, 2014. a
Benjamini, Y. and Hochberg, Y.: Controlling The False Discovery Rate – A Practical And Powerful Approach To Multiple Testing, J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B, 57, 289–300, 1995. a
Berg, A., Sheffield, J., and Milly, P. C. D.: Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 236–244,https://doi.org/10.1002/2016gl071921, 2017. a, b
Chen, X., Yan, Y., Fu, R., Dou, X., and Zhang, E.: Sediment transport from the Yangtze River, China, into the sea over the Post-Three Gorge Dam Period: A discussion, Quatern. Int., 186, 55–64, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2007.10.003, 2008. a
Cook, B. I., Puma, M. J., and Krakauer, N. Y.: Irrigation induced surface cooling in the context of modern and increased greenhouse gas forcing, Clim. Dynam., 37, 1587–1600, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0932-x, 2011. a
de Vrese, P., Hagemann, S., and Claussen, M.: Asian irrigation, African rain: Remote impacts of irrigation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 3737–3745, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068146, 2016. a
Dingman, S. L.: Physical hydrology, Waveland Press, Long Grove, Illinois, 2015. a
Döll, P. and Siebert, S.: Global modeling of irrigation water requirements, Water Resour. Res., 38, 1037, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001WR000355, 2002. a
Döll, P., Hoffmann-Dobrev, H., Portmann, F. T., Siebert, S., Eicker, A., Rodell, M., Strassberg, G., and Scanlon, B. R.: Impact of water withdrawals from groundwater and surface water on continental water storage variations, J. Geodynam., 59–60, 143–156, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jog.2011.05.001, 2012. a
Douville, H., Colin, J., Krug, E., Cattiaux, J., and Thao, S.: Midlatitude daily summer temperatures reshaped by soil moisture under climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 812–818, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066222, 2016. a
Famiglietti, J. S., Lo, M., Ho, S. L., Bethune, J., Anderson, K. J., Syed, T. H., Swenson, S. C., de Linage, C. R., and Rodell, M.: Satellites measure recent rates of groundwater depletion in California's Central Valley, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L03403, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL046442, 2011. a
Fischer, E. M., Seneviratne, S. ., Luethi, D., and Schaer, C.: Contribution of land–atmosphere coupling to recent European summer heat waves, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06707, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL029068, 2007. a
Guimberteau, M., Laval, K., Perrier, A., and Polcher, J.: Global effect of irrigation and its impact on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon, Clim. Dynam., 39, 1329–1348, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1252-5, 2012. a, b
Gupta, A.: Large rivers: geomorphology and management, John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, West Sussex, 2008. a
Hanasaki, N., Kanae, S., and Oki, T.: A reservoir operation scheme for global river routing models, J. Hydrol., 327, 22–41, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.11.011, 2006. a
Hauser, M., Orth, R., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Role of soil moisture versus recent climate change for the 2010 heat wave in western Russia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 2819–2826, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068036, 2016. a
Hauser, M., Orth, R., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions with prescribed soil moisture experiments: an assessment with the Community Earth System Model (version 1.2), Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1665–1677,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1665-2017, 2017. a, b, c, d, e
Hirsch, A. L., Wilhelm, M., Davin, E. L., Thiery, W., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Can climate effective land management reduce regional warming?, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 122, 2269–2288, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD026125, 2017. a, b, c, d, e, f
Hirschi, M., Seneviratne, S. I., Alexandrov, V., Boberg, F., Boroneant, C., Christensen, O. B., Formayer, H., Orlowsky, B., and Stepanek, P.: Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe, Nat. Geosci., 4, 17–21, https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1032, 2011. a
Hurrell, J. W., Holland, M. M., Gent, P. R., Ghan, S., Kay, J. E., Kushner, P. J., Lamarque, J. F., Large, W. G., Lawrence, D., Lindsay, K., Lipscomb, W. H., Long, M. C., Mahowald, N., Marsh, D. R., Neale, R. B., Rasch, P., Vavrus, S., Vertenstein, M., Bader, D., Collins, W. D., Hack, J. J., Kiehl, J., and Marshall, S.: The Community Earth System Model A Framework for Collaborative Research, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94, 1339–1360, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00121.1, 2013. a, b
Jaegermeyr, J., Pastor, A., Biemans, H., and Gerten, D.: Reconciling irrigated food production with environmental flows for Sustainable Development Goals implementation, Nat. Commun., 8, 15900, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15900, 2017. a
Koster, R., Dirmeyer, P., Guo, Z., Bonan, G., Chan, E., Cox, P., Gordon, C., Kanae, S., Kowalczyk, E., Lawrence, D., Liu, P., Lu, C., Malyshev, S., McAvaney, B., Mitchell, K., Mocko, D., Oki, T., Oleson, K., Pitman, A., Sud, Y., Taylor, C., Verseghy, D., Vasic, R., Xue, Y., Yamada, T., and Team, G.: Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation, Science, 305, 1138–1140, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1100217, 2004. a, b
Krakauer, N. Y., Puma, M. J., Cook, B. I., Gentine, P., and Nazarenko, L.: Ocean–atmosphere interactions modulate irrigation's climate impacts, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 863–876, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-863-2016, 2016. a
Lawrence, D., Oleson, K., Flanner, M., Thorton, P., Swenson, S., Lawrence, P., Zeng, X., Yang, Z.-L., Levis, S., Skaguchi, K., Bonan, G., and Slater, A.: Parameterization Improvements and Functional and Structural Advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 3, 1–27,https://doi.org/10.1029/2011MS000045, 2011. a
Lehner, B., Liermann, C. R., Revenga, C., Vörösmarty, C., Fekete, B., Crouzet, P., Döll, P., Endejan, M., Frenken, K., Magome, J., Nilsson, C., Robertson, J. C., Rödel, R., Sindorf, N., and Wisser, D.: Global reservoir and dam (grand) database, Tech. Doc. (ver. 1.1), NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center, available at: http://sedac. ciesin. columbia. edu/data/collection/grand-v1(last access: 21 June 2018), 2011. a
Lorenz, R., Jaeger, E. B., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Persistence of heat waves and its link to soil moisture memory, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L09703,https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042764, 2010. a
Lorenz, R., Argueeso, D., Donat, M. G., Pitman, A. J., van den Hurk, B., Berg, A., Lawrence, D. M., Cheruy, F., Ducharne, A., Hagemann, S., Meier, A., Milly, P. C. D., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Influence of land–atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE-CMIP5 ensemble, J. Geopyhs. Res.-Atmos., 121, 607–623, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024053, 2016. a, b
Lowe, L. D., Webb, J. A., Nathan, R. J., Etchells, T., and Malano, H. M.: Evaporation from water supply reservoirs: An assessment of uncertainty, J. Hydrol., 376, 261–274, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.07.037, 2009. a
Luyssaert, S., Jammet, M., Stoy, P. C., Estel, S., Pongratz, J., Ceschia, E., Churkina, G., Don, A., Erb, K., Ferlicoq, M., Gielen, B., Grünwald, T., Houghton, R. A., Klumpp, K., Knohl, A., Kolb, T., Kuemmerle, T., Laurila, T., Lohila, A., Loustau, D., McGrath, M. J., Meyfroidt, P., Moors, E. J., Naudts, K., Novick, K., Otto, J., Pilegaard, K., Pio, C. A., Rambal, S., Rebmann, C., Ryder, J., Suyker, A. E., Varlagin, A., Wattenbach, M., and Dolman, A. J.: Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature, Nat. Clim. Change, 4, 389–393, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2196, 2014. a
Meehl, G. A., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Kay, J. E., Gettelman, A., Lawrence, D. M., Sanderson, B. M., and Strand, W. G.: Climate Change Projections in CESM1(CAM5) Compared to CCSM4, J. Climate, 26, 6287–6308,https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00572.1, 2013. a
Meinshausen, M., Smith, S. J., Calvin, K., Daniel, J. S., Kainuma, M. L. T., Lamarque, J.-F., Matsumoto, K., Montzka, S. A., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., Thomson, A., Velders, G. J. M., and van Vuuren, D. P. P.: The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300, Climatic Change, 109, 213–241, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z, 2011. a
Neale, R. B., Chen, C.-C., Gettelman, A., Lauritzen, P. H., Park, S., Williamson, D. L., Conley, A. J., Garcia, R., Kinnison, D., Lamarque, J.-F., Marsh, D., Mills, M., Smith, A. K., Tilmes, S., Vitt, F., Morrison, H., Smith, P. C., Collins, W. D., Iacono, M. J., Easter, R. C., Ghan, S. J., Liu, X., Rasch, P. J., and Taylor, M. A.: Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 5.0), Tech. rep., National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, 2012. a
Oleson, K. W., Lawrence, D. M., Bonan, G. B., Flanner, M. G., Kluzek, E., Lawrence, P. J., Levis, S., Swenson, S. C., Thornton, P. E., Dai, A., Decker, M., Dickinson, R., Feddema, J., Heald, C. L., Hoffman, F., Lamarque, J.-F., Mahowald, N., Niu, G.-Y., Qian, T., Randerson, J., Running, S., Sakaguchi, K., Slater, A., Stöckli, R., Wang, A., Yang, Z.-L., Zeng, X., and Zeng, X.: Technical Description of version 4.0 of the Community Land Model (CLM), Tech. rep., National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, 2010. a
Oleson, K. W., Lawrence, D. M., Bonan, G. B., Drewniak, B., Huang, M., Koven, C. D., Levis, S., Li, F., Riley, W. J., Subin, Z. M., Swenson, S. C., Thornton, P. E., Bozbiyik, A., Fisher, R., Heald, C. L., Kluzek, E., Lamarque, J.-F., Lawrence, P. J., Leung, L. R., Lipscomb, W., Muszala, S., Ricciuto, D. M., Sacks, W., Sun, Y., Tang, J., and Yang, Z.-L.: Technical Description of version 4.5 of the Community Land Model (CLM), Tech. rep., National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, 2013. a
Orlowsky, B. and Seneviratne, S. I.: Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1765–1781, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1765-2013, 2013. a, b
Pitman, A.: The evolution of, and revolution in, land surface schemes designed for climate models, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 479–510, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.893, 2003. a
Puma, M. J. and Cook, B. I.: Effects of irrigation on global climate during the 20th century, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 115, D16120, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014122, 2017. a
Rodell, M., Velicogna, I., and Famiglietti, J. S.: Satellite-based estimates of groundwater depletion in India, Nature, 460, 999–1002, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08238, 2009. a, b
Rodell, M., Famiglietti, J. S., Wiese, D. N., Reager, J. T., Beaudoing, H. K., Landerer, F. W., and Lo, M.-H.: Emerging trends in global freshwater availability, Nature, 557, 651–659, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0123-1, 2018. a
Sacks, W. J., Cook, B. I., Buenning, N., Levis, S., and Helkowski, J. H.: Effects of global irrigation on the near-surface climate, Clim. Dynam., 33, 159–175, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0445-z, 2009. a, b, c
Scanlon, B. R., Faunt, C. C., Longuevergne, L., Reedy, R. C., Alley, W. M., McGuire, V. L., and McMahon, P. B.: Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High Plains and Central Valley, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 109, 9320–9325, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1200311109, 2012. a
Schwingshackl, C., Hirschi, M., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Quantifying Spatiotemporal Variations of Soil Moisture Control on Surface Energy Balance and Near-Surface Air Temperature, J. Climate, 30, 7105–7124, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0727.1, 2017. a
Sellers, P., Dickinson, R., Randall, D., Betts, A., Hall, F., Berry, J., Collatz, G., Denning, A., Mooney, H., Nobre, C., Sato, N., Field, C., and Henderson-Sellers, A.: Modeling the exchanges of energy, water, and carbon between continents and the atmosphere, Science, 275, 502–509, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5299.502, 1997. a
Seneviratne, S. I., Corti, T., Davin, E. L., Hirschi, M., Jaeger, E. B., Lehner, I., Orlowsky, B., and Teuling, A. J.: Investigating soil moisture–climate interactions in a changing climate: A review, Earth-Sci. Rev., 99, 125–161,https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.02.004, 2010. a
Seneviratne, S. I., Nicholls, N., Easterling, D., Goodess, C., Kanae, S., Kossin, J., Luo, Y., Marengo, J., McInnes, K., Rahimi, M., Reichstein, M., Sorteberg, A., Vera, C., and Zhang, X.: Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment, in: book section 3, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 109–230, available at:http://www.ipcc.ch/report/srex/ (last access: 21 June 2018), 2012. a
Seneviratne, S. I., Wilhelm, M., Stanelle, T., van den Hurk, B., Hagemann, S., Berg, A., Cheruy, F., Higgins, M. E., Meier, A., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Ducharne, A., Dufresne, J.-L., Findell, K. L., Ghattas, J., Lawrence, D. M., Malyshev, S., Rummukainen, M., and Smith, B.: Impact of soil moisture-climate f eedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 5212–5217, https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50956, 2013. a, b, c
Shamsudduha, M., Taylor, R. G., and Longuevergne, L.: Monitoring groundwater storage changes in the highly seasonal humid tropics: Validation of GRACE measurements in the Bengal Basin, Water Resour. Res., 48, W02508, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR010993, 2012. a
Siebert, S., Burke, J., Faures, J. M., Frenken, K., Hoogeveen, J., Doell, P., and Portmann, F. T.: Groundwater use for irrigation – a global inventory, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1863–1880, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-1863-2010, 2010. a
Taylor, R. G., Scanlon, B., Döll, P., Rodell, M., van Beek, R., Wada, Y., Longuevergne, L., Leblanc, M., Famiglietti, J. S., Edmunds, M., Konikow, L., Green, T. R., Chen, J., Taniguchi, M., Bierkens, M. F. P., MacDonald, A., Fan, Y., Maxwell, R. M., Yechieli, Y., Gurdak, J. J., Allen, D. M., Shamsudduha, M., Hiscock, K., Yeh, P. J. F., Holman, I., and Treidel, H.: Ground water and climate change, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 322–329, https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE1744, 2013. a
Thiery, W., Davin, E. L., Panitz, H.-J., Demuzere, M., Lhermitte, S., and van Lipzig, N.: The Impact of the African Great Lakes on the Regional Climate, J. Climate, 28, 4061–4085, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00565.1, 2015. a
Thiery, W., Davin, E. L., Lawrence, D. M., Hirsch, A. L., Hauser, M., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Present-day irrigation mitigates heat extremes, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 122, 1403–1422, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016jd025740, 2017. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h
Vogel, M. M., Orth, R., Cheruy, F., Hagemann, S., Lorenz, R., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Regional amplification of projected changes in extreme temperatures strongly controlled by soil moisture-temperature feedbacks, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 1511–1519, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071235, 2017. a
Whan, K., Zscheischler, J., Orth, R., Shongwe, M., Rahimi, M., and Asare, Ernest, O. A., and Seneviratne, S. I.: Impact Of Soil Moisture On Extreme Maximum Temperatures In Europe, Weather Clim. Extrem., 9, 57–67, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.05.001, 2015. a
Wilks, D. S.: Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences, in: vol. 100, Academic Press, Kidlington, Oxford, 2011. a
Wilks, D. S.: “The Stippling Shows Statistically Significant Grid Points”: How Research Results are Routinely Overstated and Overinterpreted, and What to Do about It, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 2263–2273, https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-15-00267.1, 2016. a
Wisser, D., Fekete, B. M., Voeroesmarty, C. J., and Schumann, A. H.: Reconstructing 20th century global hydrography: a contribution to the Global Terrestrial Network-Hydrology (GTN-H), Hydrol, Earth Syst, Sci,, 14, 1–24,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-1-2010, 2010.a
Zhang, S. and Wang, B.: Global summer monsoon rainy seasons, Int. J. Climatol., 28, 1563–1578, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1659, 2008.a
Zhang, X., Hegerl, G., Zwiers, F., and Kenyon, J.: Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes, J. Climate, 18, 1641–1651,https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3366.1, 2005. a