George Papaioannou | Democritus University of Thrace (original) (raw)

Papers by George Papaioannou

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating Ensemble Weather Predictions in a Hydrologic-Hydraulic Modelling System for Fine-Resolution Flood Forecasting: The Case of Skala Bridge at Evrotas River, Greece

Atmosphere, Jan 18, 2024

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating Post-Fire Erosion and Flood Protection Techniques: A Narrative Review of Applications

GeoHazards

Wildfires affect and change the burned sites’ condition, functionality, and ecosystem services. A... more Wildfires affect and change the burned sites’ condition, functionality, and ecosystem services. Altered hydrologic processes, such as runoff, increased streamflows, and sediment transport, are only a few examples resulting from burned soils, vegetation, and land cover. Such areas are flood-prone and face risks of extreme peak flows, reduced infiltration, water pollution affecting habitats, and hydromorphological changes. In this study, we present the different post-fire erosion and flood protection treatments that have been developed to avoid and mitigate the consequences and risks mentioned above. We categorize them into Land, Channel, Barrier, and Road treatments and analyze their types, such as cover-based methods, barriers, mulching, in-channel treatments, such as check dams, seeding, or even chemical treatments. Examples of how such treatments were used in real cases are provided, commenting on their results in flood and erosion protection. We found that cover changes were more...

Research paper thumbnail of On the suitability of the copula types for the joint modelling of flood peaks and volumes along the Danube River

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Investigating sea‐state effects on flash flood hydrograph and inundation forecasting

Hydrological Processes, Apr 1, 2021

A common source of uncertainty in flood inundation forecasting is the hydrograph used. Given the ... more A common source of uncertainty in flood inundation forecasting is the hydrograph used. Given the role of sea‐air‐hydro‐land chain processes on the water cycle, flood hydrographs in coastal areas can be indirectly affected by sea state. This study investigates sea‐state effects on precipitation, discharge, and flood inundation forecasting implementing atmospheric, ocean wave, hydrological, and hydraulic‐hydrodynamic coupled models. The Chemical Hydrological Atmospheric Ocean wave System (CHAOS) was used for coupled hydro‐meteorological‐wave simulations ‘accounting’ or ‘not accounting’ the impact of sea state on precipitation and, subsequently, on flood hydrograph. CHAOS includes the WRF‐Hydro hydrological model and the WRF‐ARW meteorological model two‐way coupled with the WAM wave model through the OASIS3‐MCT coupler. Subsequently, the 2D HEC‐RAS hydraulic‐hydrodynamic model was forced by the flood hydrographs and map the inundated areas. A flash flood event occurred on 15 November 2017 in Mandra, Attica, Greece, causing 24 fatalities, and damages was selected as case study. The calibration of models was performed exploiting historical flood records and previous studies. Human interventions such as hydraulic works and the urban areas were included in the hydraulic modelling geometry domain. The representation of the resistance caused by buildings was based on Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) data while the local elevation rise method was used in the urban‐flood simulation. The flood extent results were assessed using the Critical Success Index (CSI), and CSI penalize. Integrating sea‐state affected the forecast of precipitation and discharge peaks, causing up to +24% and from −8% to +36% differences, respectively, improving inundation forecast by 4.5% and flooding additional approximately 70 building blocks. The precipitation forcing time step was also highlighted as significant factor in such a small‐scale flash flood. The integrated multidisciplinary methodological approach could be adopted in operational forecasting for civil protection applications facilitating the protection of socio‐economic activities and human lives during similar future events.

Research paper thumbnail of Trends of lake temperature, mixing depth and ice cover thickness of European lakes during the last four decades

Science of The Total Environment, Jul 1, 2022

Lakes are particularly vulnerable ecosystems to global warming. Surface temperature of most lakes... more Lakes are particularly vulnerable ecosystems to global warming. Surface temperature of most lakes in the world has significantly increased. Here, we analysed time-series of water temperature, mixing-depth, and ice depth of 51 European lakes over the last four decades. We used data of surface temperature, total layer water temperature, mix-layer temperature, mix-layer depth, and ice cover depth obtained from the ERA5-Land reanalysis dataset. Our main objectives were a) to identify significant changes of the examined variables that have occurred from 1981 to 2019 and b) to assess the variability of changes in relation with geographical and lake morphological gradients. To this end, time series analysis was conducted using generalized additive models (GAMs). In addition, we quantified the magnitude of change by estimating the Sen's slopes for each variable and then we examined the variability of these slopes to geographical and lake morphological parameters using GAMs. Our results confirmed that water temperature parameters (surface, total-layer and mix-layer temperature) have significantly increased for all lakes during the last four decades. We also found significant changes of the mixing depth for 14 lakes. In addition, the lake ice depth has significantly decreased in all fifteen lakes of the subarctic climate region. Finally, we showed that the Sen's slopes depend on the geographic coordinates and the elevation of the lakes, whereas lake morphometry (e.g. depth) has a smaller effect on the magnitude of changes. These findings hint that lake ecosystems of Europe have substantially changed over the last forty years and urge the need to take precautionary measures to prevent future implications for the freshwater biota.

Research paper thumbnail of Remote Sensing Methodology for Roughness Estimation in Ungauged Streams for Different Hydraulic/Hydrodynamic Modeling Approaches

Water, Mar 29, 2022

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Flood risk assessment at the regional scale: Computational challenges and the monster of uncertainty

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Joint modelling of flood peaks and volumes along the Danube River

Research paper thumbnail of A Unified Hydrologic Framework for Flood Design Estimation in Ungauged Basins

ECWS-7 2023

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Remote Sensing Methodology for Roughness Estimation in Ungauged Streams for Different Hydraulic/Hydrodynamic Modeling Approaches

Water

This study investigates the generation of spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps based ... more This study investigates the generation of spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps based on image analysis and the extent to which those roughness coefficient values affect the flood inundation modeling using different hydraulic/hydrodynamic modeling approaches ungauged streams. Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) images were used for the generation of high-resolution Orthophoto mosaic (1.34 cm/px) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM). Among various pixel-based and object-based image analyses (OBIA), a Grey-Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) was eventually selected to examine several texture parameters. The combination of local entropy values (OBIA method) with Maximum Likelihood Classifier (MLC; pixel-based analysis) was highlighted as a satisfactory approach (65% accuracy) to determine dominant grain classes along a stream with inhomogeneous bed composition. Spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps were generated based on the riverbed image analysis (grain size classificatio...

Research paper thumbnail of Forecasting soil erosion and sediment yields during flash floods: The disastrous case of Mandra, Greece, 2017

Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 2022

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluation of various modelling approaches in flood routing simulation and flood area mapping

Research paper thumbnail of A GIS based watershed information system for water resources management and planning in semi-arid areas

Research paper thumbnail of Hydromentor: An integrated water resources monitoring and management system at modified semi-arid watersheds

Research paper thumbnail of A Unified Hydrologic Framework for Flood Design Estimation in Ungauged Basins

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Forecasting soil erosion and sediment yields during flash floods: The disastrous case of Mandra, Greece, 2017

Earth Surf. Process. Landforms, 2022

Research paper thumbnail of Unravelling Precipitation Trends in Greece since 1950s Using ERA5 Climate Reanalysis Data

Climate

Precipitation is one of the most variable climatic parameters, as it is determined by many physic... more Precipitation is one of the most variable climatic parameters, as it is determined by many physical processes. The spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation have been significantly affected by climate change during the past decades. Analysis of precipitation trends is challenging, especially in regions such as Greece, which is characterized by complex topography and includes several ungauged areas. With this study, we aim to shed new light on the climatic characteristics and inter-annual trends of precipitation over Greece. For this purpose, we used ERA5 monthly precipitation data from 1950 to 2020 to estimate annual Theil–Sen trends and Mann–Kendall significance over Greece and surrounding areas. Additionally, in order to analyze and model the nonlinear relationships of monthly precipitation time series, we used generalized additive models (GAMs). The results indicated significant declining inter-annual trends of areal precipitation over the study area. Declining trends were ...

Research paper thumbnail of Adjacent Areas: The Lake Pamvotida Paradigm

In recent decades, natural hazards have caused major disasters in the natural and 14 man-made env... more In recent decades, natural hazards have caused major disasters in the natural and 14 man-made environment. Floods are one of the most devasting natural hazards with high mortality 15 percentage, destruction of infrastructure and large financial losses. This study presents a 16 methodological approach for flood risk management at lakes and adjacent areas that is based on 17 the implementation of the EU Floods Directive (2007/60/EC) in Greece. Contemporary engineering 18 approaches have been used for the estimation of the inflow hydrographs. The 19 hydraulic-hydrodynamic simulations implemented in the following order: a) hydrologic modelling 20 of lake tributaries and estimation flood flow inflow to the lake, b) flood inundation modelling of 21 lake tributaries, c) simulation of the lake as a closed system, d) simulation of the lake outflows to 22 the adjacent areas, e) simulation of flood inundation of rural and urban areas adjacent to the lake. 23 The hydrologic modelling has been p...

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating the Forecast Skill of a Hydrometeorological Modelling System in Greece

Atmosphere, 2021

A hydrometeorological forecasting system has been operating at the Institute of Marine Biological... more A hydrometeorological forecasting system has been operating at the Institute of Marine Biological Resources and Inland Waters (IMBRIW) of the Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR) since September 2015. The system consists of the Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model, the WRF-Hydro hydrological model, and the HEC-RAS hydraulic–hydrodynamic model. The system provides daily 120 h weather forecasts focusing on Greece (4 km horizontal resolution) and hydrological forecasts for the Spercheios and Evrotas rivers in Greece (100 m horizontal resolution), also providing flash flood inundation forecasts when needed (5 m horizontal resolution). The main aim of this study is to evaluate precipitation forecasts produced in a 4-year period (September 2015–August 2019) using measurements from meteorological stations across Greece. Water level forecasts for the Evrotas and Spercheios rivers were also evaluated using measurements from hydrological stations operated by the IMB...

Research paper thumbnail of Development of a Decision Support System for Sustainable Environmental Management and Stakeholder Engagement

Hydrology, 2021

Undertaking integrated and sustainable water resources management (ISWRM) and providing socially ... more Undertaking integrated and sustainable water resources management (ISWRM) and providing socially acceptable solutions with scientifically solid bases is a dynamic and challenging process. Two basic pillars–umbrellas can be identified in the literature: stakeholder engagement and analysis; and integrated monitoring–modelling in the form of a decision support system (DSS) that can assess, evaluate and rank the management options. This study presents a framework that can be used as a good-practice example of successful stakeholder engagement (public engagement and collaboration with local communities towards shared visions) and an integrated DSS for ISWRM (including characterisation at catchment and local scales, programmes of measures and their evaluation): the Framework for Integrated Land and Landscape Management (FILLM), developed by an Irish multi-disciplinary and multi-stakeholder platform, the Water Forum. The fundamental theoretical principles and practical aspects of the FILLM...

Research paper thumbnail of Integrating Ensemble Weather Predictions in a Hydrologic-Hydraulic Modelling System for Fine-Resolution Flood Forecasting: The Case of Skala Bridge at Evrotas River, Greece

Atmosphere, Jan 18, 2024

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating Post-Fire Erosion and Flood Protection Techniques: A Narrative Review of Applications

GeoHazards

Wildfires affect and change the burned sites’ condition, functionality, and ecosystem services. A... more Wildfires affect and change the burned sites’ condition, functionality, and ecosystem services. Altered hydrologic processes, such as runoff, increased streamflows, and sediment transport, are only a few examples resulting from burned soils, vegetation, and land cover. Such areas are flood-prone and face risks of extreme peak flows, reduced infiltration, water pollution affecting habitats, and hydromorphological changes. In this study, we present the different post-fire erosion and flood protection treatments that have been developed to avoid and mitigate the consequences and risks mentioned above. We categorize them into Land, Channel, Barrier, and Road treatments and analyze their types, such as cover-based methods, barriers, mulching, in-channel treatments, such as check dams, seeding, or even chemical treatments. Examples of how such treatments were used in real cases are provided, commenting on their results in flood and erosion protection. We found that cover changes were more...

Research paper thumbnail of On the suitability of the copula types for the joint modelling of flood peaks and volumes along the Danube River

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Investigating sea‐state effects on flash flood hydrograph and inundation forecasting

Hydrological Processes, Apr 1, 2021

A common source of uncertainty in flood inundation forecasting is the hydrograph used. Given the ... more A common source of uncertainty in flood inundation forecasting is the hydrograph used. Given the role of sea‐air‐hydro‐land chain processes on the water cycle, flood hydrographs in coastal areas can be indirectly affected by sea state. This study investigates sea‐state effects on precipitation, discharge, and flood inundation forecasting implementing atmospheric, ocean wave, hydrological, and hydraulic‐hydrodynamic coupled models. The Chemical Hydrological Atmospheric Ocean wave System (CHAOS) was used for coupled hydro‐meteorological‐wave simulations ‘accounting’ or ‘not accounting’ the impact of sea state on precipitation and, subsequently, on flood hydrograph. CHAOS includes the WRF‐Hydro hydrological model and the WRF‐ARW meteorological model two‐way coupled with the WAM wave model through the OASIS3‐MCT coupler. Subsequently, the 2D HEC‐RAS hydraulic‐hydrodynamic model was forced by the flood hydrographs and map the inundated areas. A flash flood event occurred on 15 November 2017 in Mandra, Attica, Greece, causing 24 fatalities, and damages was selected as case study. The calibration of models was performed exploiting historical flood records and previous studies. Human interventions such as hydraulic works and the urban areas were included in the hydraulic modelling geometry domain. The representation of the resistance caused by buildings was based on Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) data while the local elevation rise method was used in the urban‐flood simulation. The flood extent results were assessed using the Critical Success Index (CSI), and CSI penalize. Integrating sea‐state affected the forecast of precipitation and discharge peaks, causing up to +24% and from −8% to +36% differences, respectively, improving inundation forecast by 4.5% and flooding additional approximately 70 building blocks. The precipitation forcing time step was also highlighted as significant factor in such a small‐scale flash flood. The integrated multidisciplinary methodological approach could be adopted in operational forecasting for civil protection applications facilitating the protection of socio‐economic activities and human lives during similar future events.

Research paper thumbnail of Trends of lake temperature, mixing depth and ice cover thickness of European lakes during the last four decades

Science of The Total Environment, Jul 1, 2022

Lakes are particularly vulnerable ecosystems to global warming. Surface temperature of most lakes... more Lakes are particularly vulnerable ecosystems to global warming. Surface temperature of most lakes in the world has significantly increased. Here, we analysed time-series of water temperature, mixing-depth, and ice depth of 51 European lakes over the last four decades. We used data of surface temperature, total layer water temperature, mix-layer temperature, mix-layer depth, and ice cover depth obtained from the ERA5-Land reanalysis dataset. Our main objectives were a) to identify significant changes of the examined variables that have occurred from 1981 to 2019 and b) to assess the variability of changes in relation with geographical and lake morphological gradients. To this end, time series analysis was conducted using generalized additive models (GAMs). In addition, we quantified the magnitude of change by estimating the Sen's slopes for each variable and then we examined the variability of these slopes to geographical and lake morphological parameters using GAMs. Our results confirmed that water temperature parameters (surface, total-layer and mix-layer temperature) have significantly increased for all lakes during the last four decades. We also found significant changes of the mixing depth for 14 lakes. In addition, the lake ice depth has significantly decreased in all fifteen lakes of the subarctic climate region. Finally, we showed that the Sen's slopes depend on the geographic coordinates and the elevation of the lakes, whereas lake morphometry (e.g. depth) has a smaller effect on the magnitude of changes. These findings hint that lake ecosystems of Europe have substantially changed over the last forty years and urge the need to take precautionary measures to prevent future implications for the freshwater biota.

Research paper thumbnail of Remote Sensing Methodology for Roughness Estimation in Ungauged Streams for Different Hydraulic/Hydrodynamic Modeling Approaches

Water, Mar 29, 2022

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Flood risk assessment at the regional scale: Computational challenges and the monster of uncertainty

EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, Apr 1, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Joint modelling of flood peaks and volumes along the Danube River

Research paper thumbnail of A Unified Hydrologic Framework for Flood Design Estimation in Ungauged Basins

ECWS-7 2023

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Remote Sensing Methodology for Roughness Estimation in Ungauged Streams for Different Hydraulic/Hydrodynamic Modeling Approaches

Water

This study investigates the generation of spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps based ... more This study investigates the generation of spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps based on image analysis and the extent to which those roughness coefficient values affect the flood inundation modeling using different hydraulic/hydrodynamic modeling approaches ungauged streams. Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) images were used for the generation of high-resolution Orthophoto mosaic (1.34 cm/px) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM). Among various pixel-based and object-based image analyses (OBIA), a Grey-Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) was eventually selected to examine several texture parameters. The combination of local entropy values (OBIA method) with Maximum Likelihood Classifier (MLC; pixel-based analysis) was highlighted as a satisfactory approach (65% accuracy) to determine dominant grain classes along a stream with inhomogeneous bed composition. Spatially distributed roughness coefficient maps were generated based on the riverbed image analysis (grain size classificatio...

Research paper thumbnail of Forecasting soil erosion and sediment yields during flash floods: The disastrous case of Mandra, Greece, 2017

Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 2022

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluation of various modelling approaches in flood routing simulation and flood area mapping

Research paper thumbnail of A GIS based watershed information system for water resources management and planning in semi-arid areas

Research paper thumbnail of Hydromentor: An integrated water resources monitoring and management system at modified semi-arid watersheds

Research paper thumbnail of A Unified Hydrologic Framework for Flood Design Estimation in Ungauged Basins

This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY

Research paper thumbnail of Forecasting soil erosion and sediment yields during flash floods: The disastrous case of Mandra, Greece, 2017

Earth Surf. Process. Landforms, 2022

Research paper thumbnail of Unravelling Precipitation Trends in Greece since 1950s Using ERA5 Climate Reanalysis Data

Climate

Precipitation is one of the most variable climatic parameters, as it is determined by many physic... more Precipitation is one of the most variable climatic parameters, as it is determined by many physical processes. The spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation have been significantly affected by climate change during the past decades. Analysis of precipitation trends is challenging, especially in regions such as Greece, which is characterized by complex topography and includes several ungauged areas. With this study, we aim to shed new light on the climatic characteristics and inter-annual trends of precipitation over Greece. For this purpose, we used ERA5 monthly precipitation data from 1950 to 2020 to estimate annual Theil–Sen trends and Mann–Kendall significance over Greece and surrounding areas. Additionally, in order to analyze and model the nonlinear relationships of monthly precipitation time series, we used generalized additive models (GAMs). The results indicated significant declining inter-annual trends of areal precipitation over the study area. Declining trends were ...

Research paper thumbnail of Adjacent Areas: The Lake Pamvotida Paradigm

In recent decades, natural hazards have caused major disasters in the natural and 14 man-made env... more In recent decades, natural hazards have caused major disasters in the natural and 14 man-made environment. Floods are one of the most devasting natural hazards with high mortality 15 percentage, destruction of infrastructure and large financial losses. This study presents a 16 methodological approach for flood risk management at lakes and adjacent areas that is based on 17 the implementation of the EU Floods Directive (2007/60/EC) in Greece. Contemporary engineering 18 approaches have been used for the estimation of the inflow hydrographs. The 19 hydraulic-hydrodynamic simulations implemented in the following order: a) hydrologic modelling 20 of lake tributaries and estimation flood flow inflow to the lake, b) flood inundation modelling of 21 lake tributaries, c) simulation of the lake as a closed system, d) simulation of the lake outflows to 22 the adjacent areas, e) simulation of flood inundation of rural and urban areas adjacent to the lake. 23 The hydrologic modelling has been p...

Research paper thumbnail of Evaluating the Forecast Skill of a Hydrometeorological Modelling System in Greece

Atmosphere, 2021

A hydrometeorological forecasting system has been operating at the Institute of Marine Biological... more A hydrometeorological forecasting system has been operating at the Institute of Marine Biological Resources and Inland Waters (IMBRIW) of the Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR) since September 2015. The system consists of the Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model, the WRF-Hydro hydrological model, and the HEC-RAS hydraulic–hydrodynamic model. The system provides daily 120 h weather forecasts focusing on Greece (4 km horizontal resolution) and hydrological forecasts for the Spercheios and Evrotas rivers in Greece (100 m horizontal resolution), also providing flash flood inundation forecasts when needed (5 m horizontal resolution). The main aim of this study is to evaluate precipitation forecasts produced in a 4-year period (September 2015–August 2019) using measurements from meteorological stations across Greece. Water level forecasts for the Evrotas and Spercheios rivers were also evaluated using measurements from hydrological stations operated by the IMB...

Research paper thumbnail of Development of a Decision Support System for Sustainable Environmental Management and Stakeholder Engagement

Hydrology, 2021

Undertaking integrated and sustainable water resources management (ISWRM) and providing socially ... more Undertaking integrated and sustainable water resources management (ISWRM) and providing socially acceptable solutions with scientifically solid bases is a dynamic and challenging process. Two basic pillars–umbrellas can be identified in the literature: stakeholder engagement and analysis; and integrated monitoring–modelling in the form of a decision support system (DSS) that can assess, evaluate and rank the management options. This study presents a framework that can be used as a good-practice example of successful stakeholder engagement (public engagement and collaboration with local communities towards shared visions) and an integrated DSS for ISWRM (including characterisation at catchment and local scales, programmes of measures and their evaluation): the Framework for Integrated Land and Landscape Management (FILLM), developed by an Irish multi-disciplinary and multi-stakeholder platform, the Water Forum. The fundamental theoretical principles and practical aspects of the FILLM...