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Papers by Michael Dooley
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IMF Working Papers, 1991
ABSTRACT
Page 1. International Finance Discussion Papers Number 245 July 1984 CAN EXCHANGE RATE PREDICTABI... more Page 1. International Finance Discussion Papers Number 245 July 1984 CAN EXCHANGE RATE PREDICTABILITY BE ACHIEVED WITHOUT MONETARY CONVERGENCE? -- EVIDENCE FROM THE EMS by Kenneth Rogoff ...
Interest rate based tests and savings-investment correlations disagree on the extent of capital m... more Interest rate based tests and savings-investment correlations disagree on the extent of capital mobility in Pacific Rim economies. The apparent success of several East Asian countries in sterilizing capital inflows has also fueled the controversy. This paper argues that previous studies examining money market rates may be misplacing their focus, since most lending is mediated through (sometimes regulated) banking systems. We forward a simple open-economy macro model, incorporating bank credit. Several predictions of the model are tested. Capital inflows are found to affect bank lending, in certain cases. Rapid expansion of bank lending in the previous two years is also associated with increases in the bank lending-interest rate spread, a proxy for risk. Finally, we assess whether bank lending is an important variable in determining changes in economic activity, specifically investment. The data suggest that the link between money and investment is weaker than the corresponding link involving bank credit.
... Korea Stijn Claessens Finance Group University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterda... more ... Korea Stijn Claessens Finance Group University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterdam The Netherlands ... 20431 Peter B. Kenen Department of Economics Fisher Hall Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544 ...
Staff Papers - International Monetary Fund, 1983
Page 1. The Portfolio-Balance Model of Exchange Rates and Some Structural Estimates of the Risk P... more Page 1. The Portfolio-Balance Model of Exchange Rates and Some Structural Estimates of the Risk Premium MICHAEL P. DOOLEY and PETER ISARD* T HIS PAPER FOCUSES on the portfolio-balance model as a framework ...
CLCqW ucJrIqiJ © UO1CC ! VCU O JJC aOI1LCC uo io cxCccq o bibp umA pc dnocq jqioiu cxbjrcr bCuu!o... more CLCqW ucJrIqiJ © UO1CC ! VCU O JJC aOI1LCC uo io cxCccq o bibp umA pc dnocq jqioiu cxbjrcr bCuu!ou bI.oAqcq W pll © ThÔ pA N!CIJCJ b DOOJCA uq NCIJTC CPPW VII 4JU2 LC2CLACq 2110U 2CC1O2 Oj tCX1 COUOUJIC KC2CLCIJ VuX 0b!U!0U2 CXbI2 W° 0 iP VIUOI2 uq W M91!OI!
IMF Working Papers, 1991
ABSTRACT
Page 1. International Finance Discussion Papers Number 245 July 1984 CAN EXCHANGE RATE PREDICTABI... more Page 1. International Finance Discussion Papers Number 245 July 1984 CAN EXCHANGE RATE PREDICTABILITY BE ACHIEVED WITHOUT MONETARY CONVERGENCE? -- EVIDENCE FROM THE EMS by Kenneth Rogoff ...
Interest rate based tests and savings-investment correlations disagree on the extent of capital m... more Interest rate based tests and savings-investment correlations disagree on the extent of capital mobility in Pacific Rim economies. The apparent success of several East Asian countries in sterilizing capital inflows has also fueled the controversy. This paper argues that previous studies examining money market rates may be misplacing their focus, since most lending is mediated through (sometimes regulated) banking systems. We forward a simple open-economy macro model, incorporating bank credit. Several predictions of the model are tested. Capital inflows are found to affect bank lending, in certain cases. Rapid expansion of bank lending in the previous two years is also associated with increases in the bank lending-interest rate spread, a proxy for risk. Finally, we assess whether bank lending is an important variable in determining changes in economic activity, specifically investment. The data suggest that the link between money and investment is weaker than the corresponding link involving bank credit.
... Korea Stijn Claessens Finance Group University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterda... more ... Korea Stijn Claessens Finance Group University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterdam The Netherlands ... 20431 Peter B. Kenen Department of Economics Fisher Hall Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544 ...
Staff Papers - International Monetary Fund, 1983
Page 1. The Portfolio-Balance Model of Exchange Rates and Some Structural Estimates of the Risk P... more Page 1. The Portfolio-Balance Model of Exchange Rates and Some Structural Estimates of the Risk Premium MICHAEL P. DOOLEY and PETER ISARD* T HIS PAPER FOCUSES on the portfolio-balance model as a framework ...