Conor O'Dwyer | University of Florida (original) (raw)
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Papers by Conor O'Dwyer
Urbana - Urban Affairs & Public Policy, 2021
Resurgent populism in East Central Europe is typically analyzed at the national level. This paper... more Resurgent populism in East Central Europe is typically analyzed at the national level. This paper examines populist urban movements in two of the region’s capital cities: Prague and Warsaw. It locates the origin of urban populist grievances in the crisis of urban-planning regimes after communism. At the same time, it argues that the character of populist urban movements, in terms of their mobilizing frames and tactics, varies between cities depending on the openness of municipal institutions to new social actors. The research draws on extensive field interviews, policy documents, academic analyses, and domestic media reports. It sheds light on an under-studied variant of postcommunist populism—one less conservative and potentially more inclusive—and contributes to the literatures on postcommunist civil society, urban planning, and municipal-level politics.
Aspiring dominant-party regimes often institute major institutional and political reforms at the ... more Aspiring dominant-party regimes often institute major institutional and political reforms at the national level to ensure they retain control. However, subnational politics is an important, under-studied, component of regime consolidation. This study uses mayoral races in Hungary and Poland from 2006 to 2018 to examine two factors that may inhibit dominant-party regime consolidation in local politics: the use of two-round, i.e. runoff, electoral systems and strategic coordination among opposition parties. While we find little evidence that strategic coordination can lead to widespread opposition success in single-round systems, we do find that increasing the number of candidates decreases the likelihood of the nationally dominant party winning in the first round while not affecting the second round. As such, two-round mayoral elections may be an important buffer to dominant-party regime consolidation and may provide a training ground for the future opposition.
World Politics, 2004
... In looking at Eastern Europe, it is apparent that Shefter's insight is at once very appr... more ... In looking at Eastern Europe, it is apparent that Shefter's insight is at once very appropriate and too sweeping ... The communist regimes' suppression of civil society and forced participation in a party-defined public sphere ingrained a suspicion of political participation in European ...
Europe-Asia Studies, 2014
Comparative European Politics, 2010
This paper examines the recent backlash against gay rights in Poland and Latvia as a test case of... more This paper examines the recent backlash against gay rights in Poland and Latvia as a test case of the depth and breadth of 'europeanization' in the new postcommunist member-states of the European Union (EU). We argue that antigay mobilization in these countries constitutes illiberal governance (and thus a failure of europeanization) on three grounds: failure of institutional protections for sexual minorities, broad inclusion of illiberal elites in mainstream politics and virulence of antigay rhetoric by political elites in the public sphere. To explain the stalled europeanization of nondiscrimination norms regarding sexual minorities, we apply two analytical models widely used to explain successful norm adoption in other policy areas: the 'external incentives' and 'social learning' models. We find that in the case of gay rights, EU conditionality was weak, and national identity and 'resonance' operated against norm adoption, as did domestic institutions (namely, weakly institutionalized party systems). The EU might have overcome these obstacles through persuasion, but deliberative processes were lacking. Our analysis suggests that some of the key factors underlying both models of norm adoption operate differently in the new, postaccession context, and that social learning is likely to play a greater role in postaccession europeanization.
Urbana - Urban Affairs & Public Policy, 2021
Resurgent populism in East Central Europe is typically analyzed at the national level. This paper... more Resurgent populism in East Central Europe is typically analyzed at the national level. This paper examines populist urban movements in two of the region’s capital cities: Prague and Warsaw. It locates the origin of urban populist grievances in the crisis of urban-planning regimes after communism. At the same time, it argues that the character of populist urban movements, in terms of their mobilizing frames and tactics, varies between cities depending on the openness of municipal institutions to new social actors. The research draws on extensive field interviews, policy documents, academic analyses, and domestic media reports. It sheds light on an under-studied variant of postcommunist populism—one less conservative and potentially more inclusive—and contributes to the literatures on postcommunist civil society, urban planning, and municipal-level politics.
Aspiring dominant-party regimes often institute major institutional and political reforms at the ... more Aspiring dominant-party regimes often institute major institutional and political reforms at the national level to ensure they retain control. However, subnational politics is an important, under-studied, component of regime consolidation. This study uses mayoral races in Hungary and Poland from 2006 to 2018 to examine two factors that may inhibit dominant-party regime consolidation in local politics: the use of two-round, i.e. runoff, electoral systems and strategic coordination among opposition parties. While we find little evidence that strategic coordination can lead to widespread opposition success in single-round systems, we do find that increasing the number of candidates decreases the likelihood of the nationally dominant party winning in the first round while not affecting the second round. As such, two-round mayoral elections may be an important buffer to dominant-party regime consolidation and may provide a training ground for the future opposition.
World Politics, 2004
... In looking at Eastern Europe, it is apparent that Shefter's insight is at once very appr... more ... In looking at Eastern Europe, it is apparent that Shefter's insight is at once very appropriate and too sweeping ... The communist regimes' suppression of civil society and forced participation in a party-defined public sphere ingrained a suspicion of political participation in European ...
Europe-Asia Studies, 2014
Comparative European Politics, 2010
This paper examines the recent backlash against gay rights in Poland and Latvia as a test case of... more This paper examines the recent backlash against gay rights in Poland and Latvia as a test case of the depth and breadth of 'europeanization' in the new postcommunist member-states of the European Union (EU). We argue that antigay mobilization in these countries constitutes illiberal governance (and thus a failure of europeanization) on three grounds: failure of institutional protections for sexual minorities, broad inclusion of illiberal elites in mainstream politics and virulence of antigay rhetoric by political elites in the public sphere. To explain the stalled europeanization of nondiscrimination norms regarding sexual minorities, we apply two analytical models widely used to explain successful norm adoption in other policy areas: the 'external incentives' and 'social learning' models. We find that in the case of gay rights, EU conditionality was weak, and national identity and 'resonance' operated against norm adoption, as did domestic institutions (namely, weakly institutionalized party systems). The EU might have overcome these obstacles through persuasion, but deliberative processes were lacking. Our analysis suggests that some of the key factors underlying both models of norm adoption operate differently in the new, postaccession context, and that social learning is likely to play a greater role in postaccession europeanization.