Janine Billadello | Graduate Center of the City University of New York (original) (raw)
Address: New York, United States
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Papers by Janine Billadello
The 82nd Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, 2018
1. The population of New York City and the New York Metropolitan Area increased significantly bet... more 1. The population of New York City and the New York Metropolitan Area increased significantly between 2010 and 2016, but annually growth has slowed due to greater domestic out-migration. 2. Compared to other large US cities and metro areas, New York's population growth depends heavily on foreign immigration and natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) to offset losses from domestic out-migration. 3. Between 2011 and 2015 the city had few relationships where it was a net receiver of migrants (receiving more migrants than it sends) from other large counties. The New York metro area had no net-receiver relationships with any major metropolitan area. 4. The city was a net sender (sending more migrants than it received) to all of its surrounding suburban counties and to a number of large urban counties across the US. The metro area was a net sender to metropolitan areas throughout the country. Recent media stories provide conjectural evidence that Millennials are fleeing to Los Angeles (Williams, 2015), African Americans are continuing to return to the South (Allen, 2017), and middle class workers are commuting from Philadelphia where the cost of living is lower (Robbins, 2016). But headlines suggesting that New Yorkers are suddenly fleeing in droves are misleading. In reality the city's net domestic migration has actually been negative for the past several decades, with more US residents moving out than moving in. This loss has always been offset by natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) and a steady stream of foreign immigrants, and the rate of the city's population growth is often influenced by the degree to which domestic migration loss is high or low (NYC Planning, 2017b; NYC IBO, 2009). So are more New Yorkers leaving than staying, and where are they going? In this paper we study recent migration trends using data from the Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program and the Internal Revenue Service's migration data. We examine population change and movement at two geographic scales: migration between New York City and other counties, and migration between the New York Metropolitan Area and other metropolitan areas.
The 82nd Annual Meeting of the Society for American Archaeology, 2018
1. The population of New York City and the New York Metropolitan Area increased significantly bet... more 1. The population of New York City and the New York Metropolitan Area increased significantly between 2010 and 2016, but annually growth has slowed due to greater domestic out-migration. 2. Compared to other large US cities and metro areas, New York's population growth depends heavily on foreign immigration and natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) to offset losses from domestic out-migration. 3. Between 2011 and 2015 the city had few relationships where it was a net receiver of migrants (receiving more migrants than it sends) from other large counties. The New York metro area had no net-receiver relationships with any major metropolitan area. 4. The city was a net sender (sending more migrants than it received) to all of its surrounding suburban counties and to a number of large urban counties across the US. The metro area was a net sender to metropolitan areas throughout the country. Recent media stories provide conjectural evidence that Millennials are fleeing to Los Angeles (Williams, 2015), African Americans are continuing to return to the South (Allen, 2017), and middle class workers are commuting from Philadelphia where the cost of living is lower (Robbins, 2016). But headlines suggesting that New Yorkers are suddenly fleeing in droves are misleading. In reality the city's net domestic migration has actually been negative for the past several decades, with more US residents moving out than moving in. This loss has always been offset by natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) and a steady stream of foreign immigrants, and the rate of the city's population growth is often influenced by the degree to which domestic migration loss is high or low (NYC Planning, 2017b; NYC IBO, 2009). So are more New Yorkers leaving than staying, and where are they going? In this paper we study recent migration trends using data from the Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program and the Internal Revenue Service's migration data. We examine population change and movement at two geographic scales: migration between New York City and other counties, and migration between the New York Metropolitan Area and other metropolitan areas.