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Papers by Ben Ale

Research paper thumbnail of Risk Analysis of the Storage Facility of S.E. Fireworks in Enschede, the Netherlands

Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis, 2001

In the course of the investigation into an explosion in a fireworks storage facility in the Nethe... more In the course of the investigation into an explosion in a fireworks storage facility in the Netherlands risk analyses were performed on the facility as it should have been under the current legislation and permits and as it actually was. The results show that under the current legislation the facility was acceptable in its present location, if it adhered to the terms of its permit. However as it actually was it was completely unacceptable. The results are compared with the results of analyses of industrial facilities and other hazardous activities to place the risk of storage of pyrotechnics in the context of other industrial risk.

Research paper thumbnail of Risk analysis and big data

Safety and Reliability, 2016

Big Data can help overcome various problems that exist in present risk analysis practices. By ana... more Big Data can help overcome various problems that exist in present risk analysis practices. By analysing systems as a whole, it is no longer necessary to define in advance what a failure is and what a success is. It is also possible to evaluate how factors that are considered to promote success can combine into catastrophic failures. Big in Big Data is relative. What was called big data 25 years ago is now called small. The continuous development of analysis techniques over the years have resulted in several operational models that use the concept of Big Data. They will become better as the technology and the accessibility of data further improves. With this new generation of systems models, accidents and incidents do not have to wait for analysis to after the fact. They can be studied beforehand in a model. Replacing hindsight by foresight can help to make the world safer, if we desire to do so.

Research paper thumbnail of Ion exchange in molten salts. VI. Occluded sodium nitrate in zeolite A as an anion exchanger. Chloride-nitrate ion exchange in molten sodium (nitrate, chloride) mixtures

The Journal of Physical Chemistry, 1973

Publication costs assisted by the Laboratory for Electrochemistry Anion exchange of chloride and ... more Publication costs assisted by the Laboratory for Electrochemistry Anion exchange of chloride and nitrate ions has been observed between a Na(N03,Cl) melt and a sodium zeolite A with occluded NaN03: Na22(AlSi0&2(NO&o a t 375 and 450". The replacement exchange can be described by an ideal exchange isotherm with a maximum exchange capacity of 1.81 and 1.67 C1-ion per zeolite unit a t 375 and 450", respectively. The standard free enthalpy of exchange was found to be .~Go.T, =-7.7 kcal/mol a t 375".

Research paper thumbnail of Risk assessment and the safety of the public

Research paper thumbnail of International Conference Mapping Environmental Risks and Risk Comparison - RISK 97 - Amsterdam, 21-24 October 1997 - RAI International Congress Centre, Netherlands - Preamble

Journal of Hazardous Materials

Research paper thumbnail of Deciding in uncertainty

Research paper thumbnail of Guideline for quantitative risk assessment: Instructions for a quantitative risk analysis in the Netherlands

Research paper thumbnail of The Irisk Project. Development of an Integrated Technical and Managment Risk Controll and Monitoring Methodology for Managing and Quantifying On-site and Off-site Risk

Research paper thumbnail of A Database of Good Practices as Part of an Assessment Protocol for Safety Management Systems

Research paper thumbnail of ALARP and CBA all in the same game

Safety Science, 2015

ABSTRACT The concept of reducing risk As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) as presented by th... more ABSTRACT The concept of reducing risk As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) as presented by the UK Health and Safety Executive for the purpose of discharging its decision-taking responsibilities and the principle of balancing cost and benefits through monetary Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) which is used more widely in health and safety decision-making seem to occupy the extremes of the decision making spectrum. ALARP seems on the qualitative, holistic, principles based side whereas CBA seems on the quantitative, limited, precisely defined side. These characteristics expose both principles to criticism. Application of the ALARP concept may to lead to different decisions in similar contexts resulting in uncertainty and unpredictability in decision making. CBA leads to decisions in which only money counts and all that cannot be expressed in money or is perceived of no monetary value is neglected. In this paper this issue is explored in more depth, and it is concluded that they are part of the general decision making process. The nature of the relevant safety laws and how they are applied frame the application of these concepts. If the level of acceptable risk is not explicitly set by law, the risk level resulting from compliance to the regulations is just as accidental as the Value of a Statistical Life (VOSL) found from ex post evaluations of decisions. ALARP, QRA and CBA are part of the grander scheme of making decisions. Throughout, the focus is on the principle rather than the practices of ALARP and CBA in reducing risk.

Research paper thumbnail of Using Barrier concepts to understand priorities in the prevention of occupational accidents

Background: In developing nations like India awareness and education about dental implants as a t... more Background: In developing nations like India awareness and education about dental implants as a treatment modality is still scanty. Aim: The study was conducted to determine the perception, awareness of patients toward dental implants as a treatment modality among the general population of Punjab and to assess attitude on accepting dental implants as a treatment modality. Materials and Methods: A structured questionnaire web based survey (via Google Forms) was conducted on 250 randomly selected participants through platform like whatsapp and facebook and assessed using percentage. The participants who agreed opened the link and filled out the form were included in the study. Results: A total of 240 individuals completed the questionnaires out of which 92% of the participants were aware of dental implants. Dentists are the main source of information on dental implants followed by internet. Awareness percentage was significantly higher among males and among those whose education level was graduation and above. 58.4% of the participants regarded high cost of treatment as biggest disadvantage. 44.8% of the individuals blamed poor maintenance for the failure of implants while 42.6% of the individuals thought implants would last 10 years. 90.3% of the participants were ready to restore their loss teeth with dental implants. Conclusion: This study revealed a high level of awareness among public. Special measures should be made to reduce the cost of dental implants to a more affordable rate.

Research paper thumbnail of Controlling security risks with the MMO method

A fimdamental analysis of crime and the juridical systems to punish crime has yielded a starting ... more A fimdamental analysis of crime and the juridical systems to punish crime has yielded a starting point for quantitative risk analysis of security risks. This method is called the MMO concept as a generic concept for the design of security barriers and their evaluation by quantitative risk analysis methods. It is based on a simplification of the basic elements for proving criminal liability that a defendant committed a crime under US law: motive, means and opportunity. These three elements form the preconditions that are needed to let an ill meaning person to develop into a hazard or threat. The MMO concept also forms the key to the development of successful barriers against the completion of the actual act. Taking one of these three away would render the hazard meffective. This enables the development of a model for security threats along the same lines as safety threats and opens the possibility for similar qualitative and quantitative analysis. The MMO concept may seem relatively ...

Research paper thumbnail of Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS

Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications, 2014

ABSTRACT The first version of Platypus was made in May 2013. Though the initial program could alr... more ABSTRACT The first version of Platypus was made in May 2013. Though the initial program could already be used to calculate an entire site it was not very user friendly. Since then, there was a strong drive to improve the functionality of the program, especially with respect to the improvement of analysis tools. Improvements included: an engine to read equipment lists, an engine to change parameters in subsets of process equipment in a plant and copying subsets of the plants. This combination of features has led to a piece of software that enables left-hand side BBN-based risk analyses of entire chemical—or process plants, something that was never done before. Note that detailed scientific information is not disseminated in this paper. Rigorous scientific reporting will take place after full testing of the program. Nevertheless, the reader may increase their understanding by reading earlier publications about this project that explain the philosophy and theoretical framework of Platypus. 1.3 This paper This paper is limited to a description of the capabilities of Platypus. It shows the results of case study that was performed with Platypus version 0.7.10. The case study involves test calculations for the reactive section in an ethylene oxidation process that contains 4 reactors. Since the program is still under development, these results are preliminary. That means that the results in this paper are used to demonstrate how the results that Platypus yields and how they can be used for risk-analyses of process plants. The results should not be interpreted as exact. A brief description of the structure and some of the software features of Platypus is enclosed in this paper.

Research paper thumbnail of Risk informed oversight in air transport using CATS

Theory and Applications, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of The management of third party risk around a major airport

… safety assessment and management, PSAM 4: …, 1998

... In the PASO document two joint aims were defined for the future development of Schiphol airpo... more ... In the PASO document two joint aims were defined for the future development of Schiphol airport: It should develop into a mainport and the Amsterdam I Zwanenburg veldertbaan Buitenveldert NEW I buiten zwanenburglaan-I* J\ Aalsmeerbaan V Kaagbaq ... for new and 10" Vyr. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Towards a causal model for air transport safety—an ongoing research project

Safety Science, 2006

The development of the Netherlands international airport Schiphol has been the subject of fierce ... more The development of the Netherlands international airport Schiphol has been the subject of fierce political debate for several decades. One of the considerations has been the safety of the population living around the airport, the density of which has been and still is growing. The concern about this third party risk has been enhanced by the crash in 1993 of

Research paper thumbnail of Storybuilder—A tool for the analysis of accident reports

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2007

As part of an ongoing effort by the ministry of Social Affairs and Employment of The Netherlands ... more As part of an ongoing effort by the ministry of Social Affairs and Employment of The Netherlands a research project is being undertaken to construct a causal model for the most commonly occurring scenarios related to occupational risk. This model should provide quantitative insight in the causes and consequences of occupational accidents. The results should be used to help selecting optimal strategies to reduce these risks taking the costs of accidents and of measures into account. The research is undertaken by an international consortium under the name of Workgroup Occupational Risk Model. One of the components of the model is a tool to systematically classify and analyse past accidents. This tool: ''Storybuilder'' and its place in the Occupational Risk Model (ORM) are described in the paper. The paper gives some illustrations of the application of the Storybuilder, drawn from the study of ladder accidents, which forms one of the biggest single accident categories in the Dutch data.

Research paper thumbnail of Causal Model for Air Transport Safety: Final report

Research paper thumbnail of Better science does not make decisions easier

Research paper thumbnail of The ethical dilemmas of risky decisions

Research paper thumbnail of Risk Analysis of the Storage Facility of S.E. Fireworks in Enschede, the Netherlands

Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis, 2001

In the course of the investigation into an explosion in a fireworks storage facility in the Nethe... more In the course of the investigation into an explosion in a fireworks storage facility in the Netherlands risk analyses were performed on the facility as it should have been under the current legislation and permits and as it actually was. The results show that under the current legislation the facility was acceptable in its present location, if it adhered to the terms of its permit. However as it actually was it was completely unacceptable. The results are compared with the results of analyses of industrial facilities and other hazardous activities to place the risk of storage of pyrotechnics in the context of other industrial risk.

Research paper thumbnail of Risk analysis and big data

Safety and Reliability, 2016

Big Data can help overcome various problems that exist in present risk analysis practices. By ana... more Big Data can help overcome various problems that exist in present risk analysis practices. By analysing systems as a whole, it is no longer necessary to define in advance what a failure is and what a success is. It is also possible to evaluate how factors that are considered to promote success can combine into catastrophic failures. Big in Big Data is relative. What was called big data 25 years ago is now called small. The continuous development of analysis techniques over the years have resulted in several operational models that use the concept of Big Data. They will become better as the technology and the accessibility of data further improves. With this new generation of systems models, accidents and incidents do not have to wait for analysis to after the fact. They can be studied beforehand in a model. Replacing hindsight by foresight can help to make the world safer, if we desire to do so.

Research paper thumbnail of Ion exchange in molten salts. VI. Occluded sodium nitrate in zeolite A as an anion exchanger. Chloride-nitrate ion exchange in molten sodium (nitrate, chloride) mixtures

The Journal of Physical Chemistry, 1973

Publication costs assisted by the Laboratory for Electrochemistry Anion exchange of chloride and ... more Publication costs assisted by the Laboratory for Electrochemistry Anion exchange of chloride and nitrate ions has been observed between a Na(N03,Cl) melt and a sodium zeolite A with occluded NaN03: Na22(AlSi0&2(NO&o a t 375 and 450". The replacement exchange can be described by an ideal exchange isotherm with a maximum exchange capacity of 1.81 and 1.67 C1-ion per zeolite unit a t 375 and 450", respectively. The standard free enthalpy of exchange was found to be .~Go.T, =-7.7 kcal/mol a t 375".

Research paper thumbnail of Risk assessment and the safety of the public

Research paper thumbnail of International Conference Mapping Environmental Risks and Risk Comparison - RISK 97 - Amsterdam, 21-24 October 1997 - RAI International Congress Centre, Netherlands - Preamble

Journal of Hazardous Materials

Research paper thumbnail of Deciding in uncertainty

Research paper thumbnail of Guideline for quantitative risk assessment: Instructions for a quantitative risk analysis in the Netherlands

Research paper thumbnail of The Irisk Project. Development of an Integrated Technical and Managment Risk Controll and Monitoring Methodology for Managing and Quantifying On-site and Off-site Risk

Research paper thumbnail of A Database of Good Practices as Part of an Assessment Protocol for Safety Management Systems

Research paper thumbnail of ALARP and CBA all in the same game

Safety Science, 2015

ABSTRACT The concept of reducing risk As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) as presented by th... more ABSTRACT The concept of reducing risk As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) as presented by the UK Health and Safety Executive for the purpose of discharging its decision-taking responsibilities and the principle of balancing cost and benefits through monetary Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) which is used more widely in health and safety decision-making seem to occupy the extremes of the decision making spectrum. ALARP seems on the qualitative, holistic, principles based side whereas CBA seems on the quantitative, limited, precisely defined side. These characteristics expose both principles to criticism. Application of the ALARP concept may to lead to different decisions in similar contexts resulting in uncertainty and unpredictability in decision making. CBA leads to decisions in which only money counts and all that cannot be expressed in money or is perceived of no monetary value is neglected. In this paper this issue is explored in more depth, and it is concluded that they are part of the general decision making process. The nature of the relevant safety laws and how they are applied frame the application of these concepts. If the level of acceptable risk is not explicitly set by law, the risk level resulting from compliance to the regulations is just as accidental as the Value of a Statistical Life (VOSL) found from ex post evaluations of decisions. ALARP, QRA and CBA are part of the grander scheme of making decisions. Throughout, the focus is on the principle rather than the practices of ALARP and CBA in reducing risk.

Research paper thumbnail of Using Barrier concepts to understand priorities in the prevention of occupational accidents

Background: In developing nations like India awareness and education about dental implants as a t... more Background: In developing nations like India awareness and education about dental implants as a treatment modality is still scanty. Aim: The study was conducted to determine the perception, awareness of patients toward dental implants as a treatment modality among the general population of Punjab and to assess attitude on accepting dental implants as a treatment modality. Materials and Methods: A structured questionnaire web based survey (via Google Forms) was conducted on 250 randomly selected participants through platform like whatsapp and facebook and assessed using percentage. The participants who agreed opened the link and filled out the form were included in the study. Results: A total of 240 individuals completed the questionnaires out of which 92% of the participants were aware of dental implants. Dentists are the main source of information on dental implants followed by internet. Awareness percentage was significantly higher among males and among those whose education level was graduation and above. 58.4% of the participants regarded high cost of treatment as biggest disadvantage. 44.8% of the individuals blamed poor maintenance for the failure of implants while 42.6% of the individuals thought implants would last 10 years. 90.3% of the participants were ready to restore their loss teeth with dental implants. Conclusion: This study revealed a high level of awareness among public. Special measures should be made to reduce the cost of dental implants to a more affordable rate.

Research paper thumbnail of Controlling security risks with the MMO method

A fimdamental analysis of crime and the juridical systems to punish crime has yielded a starting ... more A fimdamental analysis of crime and the juridical systems to punish crime has yielded a starting point for quantitative risk analysis of security risks. This method is called the MMO concept as a generic concept for the design of security barriers and their evaluation by quantitative risk analysis methods. It is based on a simplification of the basic elements for proving criminal liability that a defendant committed a crime under US law: motive, means and opportunity. These three elements form the preconditions that are needed to let an ill meaning person to develop into a hazard or threat. The MMO concept also forms the key to the development of successful barriers against the completion of the actual act. Taking one of these three away would render the hazard meffective. This enables the development of a model for security threats along the same lines as safety threats and opens the possibility for similar qualitative and quantitative analysis. The MMO concept may seem relatively ...

Research paper thumbnail of Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS

Safety and Reliability: Methodology and Applications, 2014

ABSTRACT The first version of Platypus was made in May 2013. Though the initial program could alr... more ABSTRACT The first version of Platypus was made in May 2013. Though the initial program could already be used to calculate an entire site it was not very user friendly. Since then, there was a strong drive to improve the functionality of the program, especially with respect to the improvement of analysis tools. Improvements included: an engine to read equipment lists, an engine to change parameters in subsets of process equipment in a plant and copying subsets of the plants. This combination of features has led to a piece of software that enables left-hand side BBN-based risk analyses of entire chemical—or process plants, something that was never done before. Note that detailed scientific information is not disseminated in this paper. Rigorous scientific reporting will take place after full testing of the program. Nevertheless, the reader may increase their understanding by reading earlier publications about this project that explain the philosophy and theoretical framework of Platypus. 1.3 This paper This paper is limited to a description of the capabilities of Platypus. It shows the results of case study that was performed with Platypus version 0.7.10. The case study involves test calculations for the reactive section in an ethylene oxidation process that contains 4 reactors. Since the program is still under development, these results are preliminary. That means that the results in this paper are used to demonstrate how the results that Platypus yields and how they can be used for risk-analyses of process plants. The results should not be interpreted as exact. A brief description of the structure and some of the software features of Platypus is enclosed in this paper.

Research paper thumbnail of Risk informed oversight in air transport using CATS

Theory and Applications, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of The management of third party risk around a major airport

… safety assessment and management, PSAM 4: …, 1998

... In the PASO document two joint aims were defined for the future development of Schiphol airpo... more ... In the PASO document two joint aims were defined for the future development of Schiphol airport: It should develop into a mainport and the Amsterdam I Zwanenburg veldertbaan Buitenveldert NEW I buiten zwanenburglaan-I* J\ Aalsmeerbaan V Kaagbaq ... for new and 10" Vyr. ...

Research paper thumbnail of Towards a causal model for air transport safety—an ongoing research project

Safety Science, 2006

The development of the Netherlands international airport Schiphol has been the subject of fierce ... more The development of the Netherlands international airport Schiphol has been the subject of fierce political debate for several decades. One of the considerations has been the safety of the population living around the airport, the density of which has been and still is growing. The concern about this third party risk has been enhanced by the crash in 1993 of

Research paper thumbnail of Storybuilder—A tool for the analysis of accident reports

Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2007

As part of an ongoing effort by the ministry of Social Affairs and Employment of The Netherlands ... more As part of an ongoing effort by the ministry of Social Affairs and Employment of The Netherlands a research project is being undertaken to construct a causal model for the most commonly occurring scenarios related to occupational risk. This model should provide quantitative insight in the causes and consequences of occupational accidents. The results should be used to help selecting optimal strategies to reduce these risks taking the costs of accidents and of measures into account. The research is undertaken by an international consortium under the name of Workgroup Occupational Risk Model. One of the components of the model is a tool to systematically classify and analyse past accidents. This tool: ''Storybuilder'' and its place in the Occupational Risk Model (ORM) are described in the paper. The paper gives some illustrations of the application of the Storybuilder, drawn from the study of ladder accidents, which forms one of the biggest single accident categories in the Dutch data.

Research paper thumbnail of Causal Model for Air Transport Safety: Final report

Research paper thumbnail of Better science does not make decisions easier

Research paper thumbnail of The ethical dilemmas of risky decisions