E. Elizbarashvili - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
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Papers by E. Elizbarashvili
წარმოდგენილია საშიში და კატასტროფული მეტეოროლოგიური მოვლენების ერთდროული რეალიზაციის მოდელირების ... more წარმოდგენილია საშიში და კატასტროფული მეტეოროლოგიური მოვლენების ერთდროული რეალიზაციის მოდელირების კონცეფცია. განხილულია მოდელირების რამოდენიმე ვარიანტი.The concept of modeling the joint implementation of hazardous and catastrophic meteorological phenomena is presented. Several modeling options are considered
Droughts, strong winds, hurricanes, torrential rains, hail, floods, floods, blizzards, extreme te... more Droughts, strong winds, hurricanes, torrential rains, hail, floods, floods, blizzards, extreme temperatures, and other similar disasters cause more severe economic losses than volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, and earthquakes, and these hazards pose climate risks. The main factors of the process of occurrence of climatic risk of dangerous meteorological phenomena are considered. The article describes a methodology for assessing the vulnerability of objects (risk recipients) exposed to hazardous phenomena. On the example of two points located in different geographical conditions - Tbilisi and Dmanisi, possible social and economic risks associated with these phenomena are identified. The greatest climatic danger is represented by fog and strong winds, and in summer, Tbilisi is very hot with concomitant soil, atmospheric drought, and extreme fire hazards. To a lesser extent, the area is damaged by heavy rainfall and hail
Based on the materials of observation of 50 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period bet... more Based on the materials of observation of 50 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period between 1936-2013, research has been made of geography, structure, intensity, duration and dynamics of tropical nights on the Georgian territory. Nights are considered tropical if minimum air temperature is above 20°C (TR20). Tropical nights are most widespread in the intermountain trough – Kolkheti lowland, the plains of Central and Lower Kartli, Alazani valley, where the average number of tropical nights during one year reaches 35. With the growth of altitude, the number of tropical nights naturally decreases, and on the height of 1000m there are no tropical nights detected. As a result of global warming the increase in the number of tropical nights has been most notable on the Black Sea coast and in the region of the nearby Kolkheti lowland (4-6 days per decade). In the internal regions of the lowland and in the Eastern Georgia the rate of change decreases. On the Black Sea coast tropica...
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2020
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2019
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2018
Based on observational data from 30 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936–2013, the ... more Based on observational data from 30 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936–2013, the geography, statistical structure, intensity, duration, and dynamics of tropical nights are investigated. The geoinformation map was constructed for the number of tropical nights for the WMO base period. The periods of occurrence and return of their different gradations and the regularities of long-term variations are revealed.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2017
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2016
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2016
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2007
Based on the observation materials from 50 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936-201... more Based on the observation materials from 50 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936-2011, this article explores climate indices for the moistening regimen - the mean of maximum 24-hour precipitation, rainless and rainy periods. The author constructs geoinformation maps for the spatial structure and explores the dynamics of these indices for the period of global warming, assesses the possible risks of the development of adverse climate conditions (high waters, floods, droughts, desertification). The obtained findings can be used in the summation of corresponding indices for the Caucasus region, the Black Sea area, and Western Asia.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT Created are the grid datasets of monthly mean and annual mean temperature as well of mon... more ABSTRACT Created are the grid datasets of monthly mean and annual mean temperature as well of monthly, seasonal, and annual values of the total precipitation with the resolution of 25 km for the period of 1936–2011. The obtained datasets characterize the real picture of the spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation on the territory of Georgia; therefore, they are used for working out geoinformative maps of temperature and precipitation variations. Revealed are the areas and centers with different intensity of warming and cooling. It is found that the annual temperature and total annual precipitation averaged for the territory do not vary considerably under conditions of the global warming.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2012
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT The statistical structure of hurricane winds is studied using the data of observation at... more ABSTRACT The statistical structure of hurricane winds is studied using the data of observation at 50 meteorological stations in Georgia for the period of 1961–2008. Determined are the number of days and the duration of hurricane winds in different regions of the country. Studied are the empirical functions of their distribution and the areal limits.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2015
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2012
The statistical structure of dangerous fogs with the visibility of less than 50 m is studied usin... more The statistical structure of dangerous fogs with the visibility of less than 50 m is studied using the observation data of 50 meteorological stations in Georgia for the period of 1961-2006. The contribution of dangerous fogs to the total number of foggy days is estimated. The number of days with dangerous fogs and their duration in different regions of the country are determined and the empirical functions of their distribution, sizes of areas of their expansion, temperature regime, and peculiarities of annual variations are studied.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT Air temperature trends under conditions of global warming are studied using the observat... more ABSTRACT Air temperature trends under conditions of global warming are studied using the observational data from 87 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period of 1936–2011. Plotted are the geographic information maps of the spatial structure of temperature variation rate.
წარმოდგენილია საშიში და კატასტროფული მეტეოროლოგიური მოვლენების ერთდროული რეალიზაციის მოდელირების ... more წარმოდგენილია საშიში და კატასტროფული მეტეოროლოგიური მოვლენების ერთდროული რეალიზაციის მოდელირების კონცეფცია. განხილულია მოდელირების რამოდენიმე ვარიანტი.The concept of modeling the joint implementation of hazardous and catastrophic meteorological phenomena is presented. Several modeling options are considered
Droughts, strong winds, hurricanes, torrential rains, hail, floods, floods, blizzards, extreme te... more Droughts, strong winds, hurricanes, torrential rains, hail, floods, floods, blizzards, extreme temperatures, and other similar disasters cause more severe economic losses than volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, and earthquakes, and these hazards pose climate risks. The main factors of the process of occurrence of climatic risk of dangerous meteorological phenomena are considered. The article describes a methodology for assessing the vulnerability of objects (risk recipients) exposed to hazardous phenomena. On the example of two points located in different geographical conditions - Tbilisi and Dmanisi, possible social and economic risks associated with these phenomena are identified. The greatest climatic danger is represented by fog and strong winds, and in summer, Tbilisi is very hot with concomitant soil, atmospheric drought, and extreme fire hazards. To a lesser extent, the area is damaged by heavy rainfall and hail
Based on the materials of observation of 50 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period bet... more Based on the materials of observation of 50 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period between 1936-2013, research has been made of geography, structure, intensity, duration and dynamics of tropical nights on the Georgian territory. Nights are considered tropical if minimum air temperature is above 20°C (TR20). Tropical nights are most widespread in the intermountain trough – Kolkheti lowland, the plains of Central and Lower Kartli, Alazani valley, where the average number of tropical nights during one year reaches 35. With the growth of altitude, the number of tropical nights naturally decreases, and on the height of 1000m there are no tropical nights detected. As a result of global warming the increase in the number of tropical nights has been most notable on the Black Sea coast and in the region of the nearby Kolkheti lowland (4-6 days per decade). In the internal regions of the lowland and in the Eastern Georgia the rate of change decreases. On the Black Sea coast tropica...
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2020
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2019
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2018
Based on observational data from 30 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936–2013, the ... more Based on observational data from 30 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936–2013, the geography, statistical structure, intensity, duration, and dynamics of tropical nights are investigated. The geoinformation map was constructed for the number of tropical nights for the WMO base period. The periods of occurrence and return of their different gradations and the regularities of long-term variations are revealed.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2017
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2016
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2016
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2007
Based on the observation materials from 50 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936-201... more Based on the observation materials from 50 weather stations in Georgia for the period of 1936-2011, this article explores climate indices for the moistening regimen - the mean of maximum 24-hour precipitation, rainless and rainy periods. The author constructs geoinformation maps for the spatial structure and explores the dynamics of these indices for the period of global warming, assesses the possible risks of the development of adverse climate conditions (high waters, floods, droughts, desertification). The obtained findings can be used in the summation of corresponding indices for the Caucasus region, the Black Sea area, and Western Asia.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT Created are the grid datasets of monthly mean and annual mean temperature as well of mon... more ABSTRACT Created are the grid datasets of monthly mean and annual mean temperature as well of monthly, seasonal, and annual values of the total precipitation with the resolution of 25 km for the period of 1936–2011. The obtained datasets characterize the real picture of the spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation on the territory of Georgia; therefore, they are used for working out geoinformative maps of temperature and precipitation variations. Revealed are the areas and centers with different intensity of warming and cooling. It is found that the annual temperature and total annual precipitation averaged for the territory do not vary considerably under conditions of the global warming.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2012
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT The statistical structure of hurricane winds is studied using the data of observation at... more ABSTRACT The statistical structure of hurricane winds is studied using the data of observation at 50 meteorological stations in Georgia for the period of 1961–2008. Determined are the number of days and the duration of hurricane winds in different regions of the country. Studied are the empirical functions of their distribution and the areal limits.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2015
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2009
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2012
The statistical structure of dangerous fogs with the visibility of less than 50 m is studied usin... more The statistical structure of dangerous fogs with the visibility of less than 50 m is studied using the observation data of 50 meteorological stations in Georgia for the period of 1961-2006. The contribution of dangerous fogs to the total number of foggy days is estimated. The number of days with dangerous fogs and their duration in different regions of the country are determined and the empirical functions of their distribution, sizes of areas of their expansion, temperature regime, and peculiarities of annual variations are studied.
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2013
ABSTRACT Air temperature trends under conditions of global warming are studied using the observat... more ABSTRACT Air temperature trends under conditions of global warming are studied using the observational data from 87 meteorological stations of Georgia for the period of 1936–2011. Plotted are the geographic information maps of the spatial structure of temperature variation rate.