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Papers by Gregory Caldeira
Journal of Politics, 1990
Our purpose is to describe and compare the variety and types of organizations that participate as... more Our purpose is to describe and compare the variety and types of organizations that participate as amici curiae before the United States Supreme Court for decisions on petitions for writs of certiorari and jurisdictional statements as well as on decisions on the merits. We have ...
Abstract: We reevaluate the influence of amici curiae on the US Supreme Court&#x2... more Abstract: We reevaluate the influence of amici curiae on the US Supreme Court's decision to grant certiorari. Using expanded data on four representative Court terms, we find that at the same time that the number of amicus filings on certiorari have grown--and perhaps owing to it--the influence of those briefs on the probability of the Court granting certiorari has steadily declined between 1968 and 2007. In addition, we find that the positive influence of briefs in opposition to certiorari noted in some earlier work appears to be an artifact of a particular ...
Journal of Politics, 1996
Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the ... more Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the mass public has addressed popular attitudes toward nominees to the High Bench. Here we hope to stimulate interest in this important and understudied area by examining the ...
Journal of Politics, 1996
Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the ... more Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the mass public has addressed popular attitudes toward nominees to the High Bench. Here we hope to stimulate interest in this important and understudied area by examining the ...
Journal of Politics, 2000
Journal of Law Economics & Organization, 1999
Abstract'Sophisticated voting'has a sol... more Abstract'Sophisticated voting'has a solid theoretical foundation, but scholars have raised serious questions about its empirical importance in real-world institutions. The US Supreme Court is one institution where sophisticated voting should be common, but, paradoxically, where scholarly consensus about its existence has yet to emerge. We develop and test a formal model of sophisticated voting on agenda setting in the Supreme Court. Using data on petitions for certiorari decided in October term 1982, we show that, above and beyond the ...
Political Behavior, 1988
Few political scientists have undertaken systematic study of the determinants of greatness on the... more Few political scientists have undertaken systematic study of the determinants of greatness on the Supreme Court. In this article, I formulate and test a series of competing explanations for judicial eminence in a multivariate model. For the measure of performance on the Court, I use Blaustein and Mersky's ratings of the justices. The alternative explanations include social backgrounds, occupational experiences, political connections, experiences on the Court, and region of residence. Neither occupational experiences nor political connections have an appreciable impact on the level of achievement a justice reaches. Thus, contrary to one of the most popular hypotheses, previous judicial experience does not give an individual any advantage. Instead, in much greater measure, experiences on the Supreme Court and certain social backgrounds differentiate among the various levels of performance. In particular, the statistical analysis indicates the centrality and potency of parental status, religious affiliation, reputation as a dissenter, the number of opinions written in “landmark” cases, holding the office of chief justice, years of service, and the age of the justice at appointment.
Theory: We argue that levels of concurrence and dissent on the US Supreme Court are functions of&... more Theory: We argue that levels of concurrence and dissent on the US Supreme Court are functions of" consensual norms." These norms arise from, and are influenced by, the behaviors of the individual justices, including the actions of the chief justices. In turn, they cause concurrences and dissents to fluctuate around a common level. Hypotheses: If consensual norms are a substantial influence on the behavior of the Court, the long-run extent of concurrence and dissent on the Court will covary substantially, and will do so to ...
Political Research Quarterly, 2004
Abstract We examine the timing of members' position-taking in the House ... more Abstract We examine the timing of members' position-taking in the House of Representatives' decision to impeach President Clinton. Based on our understanding of the goals of members and leaders, we expect members whose constituencies, interest group influences, and partisanship are in alignment to make their positions known quickly, and those with conflicting or ambiguous signals to delay. We further expect members' electoral circumstances within their own party—the potential for a primary challenge—to condition ...
Journal of Politics, 1990
Our purpose is to describe and compare the variety and types of organizations that participate as... more Our purpose is to describe and compare the variety and types of organizations that participate as amici curiae before the United States Supreme Court for decisions on petitions for writs of certiorari and jurisdictional statements as well as on decisions on the merits. We have ...
Abstract: We reevaluate the influence of amici curiae on the US Supreme Court&#x2... more Abstract: We reevaluate the influence of amici curiae on the US Supreme Court's decision to grant certiorari. Using expanded data on four representative Court terms, we find that at the same time that the number of amicus filings on certiorari have grown--and perhaps owing to it--the influence of those briefs on the probability of the Court granting certiorari has steadily declined between 1968 and 2007. In addition, we find that the positive influence of briefs in opposition to certiorari noted in some earlier work appears to be an artifact of a particular ...
Journal of Politics, 1996
Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the ... more Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the mass public has addressed popular attitudes toward nominees to the High Bench. Here we hope to stimulate interest in this important and understudied area by examining the ...
Journal of Politics, 1996
Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the ... more Little of the considerable research devoted to the connections between the Supreme Court and the mass public has addressed popular attitudes toward nominees to the High Bench. Here we hope to stimulate interest in this important and understudied area by examining the ...
Journal of Politics, 2000
Journal of Law Economics & Organization, 1999
Abstract'Sophisticated voting'has a sol... more Abstract'Sophisticated voting'has a solid theoretical foundation, but scholars have raised serious questions about its empirical importance in real-world institutions. The US Supreme Court is one institution where sophisticated voting should be common, but, paradoxically, where scholarly consensus about its existence has yet to emerge. We develop and test a formal model of sophisticated voting on agenda setting in the Supreme Court. Using data on petitions for certiorari decided in October term 1982, we show that, above and beyond the ...
Political Behavior, 1988
Few political scientists have undertaken systematic study of the determinants of greatness on the... more Few political scientists have undertaken systematic study of the determinants of greatness on the Supreme Court. In this article, I formulate and test a series of competing explanations for judicial eminence in a multivariate model. For the measure of performance on the Court, I use Blaustein and Mersky's ratings of the justices. The alternative explanations include social backgrounds, occupational experiences, political connections, experiences on the Court, and region of residence. Neither occupational experiences nor political connections have an appreciable impact on the level of achievement a justice reaches. Thus, contrary to one of the most popular hypotheses, previous judicial experience does not give an individual any advantage. Instead, in much greater measure, experiences on the Supreme Court and certain social backgrounds differentiate among the various levels of performance. In particular, the statistical analysis indicates the centrality and potency of parental status, religious affiliation, reputation as a dissenter, the number of opinions written in “landmark” cases, holding the office of chief justice, years of service, and the age of the justice at appointment.
Theory: We argue that levels of concurrence and dissent on the US Supreme Court are functions of&... more Theory: We argue that levels of concurrence and dissent on the US Supreme Court are functions of" consensual norms." These norms arise from, and are influenced by, the behaviors of the individual justices, including the actions of the chief justices. In turn, they cause concurrences and dissents to fluctuate around a common level. Hypotheses: If consensual norms are a substantial influence on the behavior of the Court, the long-run extent of concurrence and dissent on the Court will covary substantially, and will do so to ...
Political Research Quarterly, 2004
Abstract We examine the timing of members' position-taking in the House ... more Abstract We examine the timing of members' position-taking in the House of Representatives' decision to impeach President Clinton. Based on our understanding of the goals of members and leaders, we expect members whose constituencies, interest group influences, and partisanship are in alignment to make their positions known quickly, and those with conflicting or ambiguous signals to delay. We further expect members' electoral circumstances within their own party—the potential for a primary challenge—to condition ...