Mariam DIALLO - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
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Papers by Mariam DIALLO
AGRODEP Working Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer rev... more AGRODEP Working Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer reviewed but have not been subject to a formal external peer review via IFPRI's Publications Review Committee. They are circulated in order to stimulate discussion and critical comments; any opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of AGRODEP.
ArXiv, 2021
In the agricultural sector, the COVID-19 threatens to lead to a severe food security crisis in th... more In the agricultural sector, the COVID-19 threatens to lead to a severe food security crisis in the region, with disruptions in the food supply chain and agricultural production expected to contract between 2.6% and 7%. From the food crop production side, the travel bans and border closures, the late reception and the use of agricultural inputs such as imported seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides could lead to poor food crop production performances. Another layer of disruption introduced by the mobility restriction measures is the scarcity of agricultural workers, mainly seasonal workers. The lockdown measures and border closures limit seasonal workers' availability to get to the farm on time for planting and harvesting activities. Moreover, most of the imported agricultural inputs travel by air, which the pandemic has heavily impacted. Such transportation disruptions can also negatively affect the food crop production system. This chapter assesses food crop production levels in 2...
The study developed a results framework to analyze Ethiopia's progress towards selected CAADP/Mal... more The study developed a results framework to analyze Ethiopia's progress towards selected CAADP/Malabo, SDGs and Agenda 2063 goals. A Computable General Equilibrium model linked to an income distribution Micro-Simulation model were used to identify priority investment areas for accelerated agricultural growth, poverty and inequality reduction. Simulation results indicate that the current investment trend and composition would leave Ethiopia off-track to meet these objectives. The analysis of alternative agricultural investment scenarios shows that the public sector has still a great role to play in promoting agricultural growth in Ethiopia. Past expenditure levels have been high, though not sufficient, and would need to increase substantially with an emphasis on the quality of public agricultural spending. Productivity remains one of the major challenges but also one of the most effective solutions for accelerated agricultural growth in Ethiopia. Agricultural investments should be designed considering the agricultural value-chain. While social protection programs are important for the poor, rural non-agricultural development could provide a more sustainable source of income. Resume L'étude a élaboré un cadre de résultats pour analyser les progrès de l'Éthiopie vers certains objectifs du PDDAA / Malabo, des ODD et de l'Agenda 2063. Un modèle d'équilibre général calculable lié à un modèle de micro-simulation de répartition des revenus a été utilisé pour identifier les domaines d'investissement prioritaires pour l'accélération de la croissance agricole, la pauvreté et la réduction des inégalités. Les résultats de la simulation indiquent que la tendance et la composition actuelles des investissements laisseraient l'Éthiopie sur la mauvaise voie pour atteindre ces objectifs. L'analyse des scénarios alternatifs d'investissement agricole montre que le secteur public a encore un grand rôle à jouer dans la promotion de la croissance agricole en Éthiopie. Les niveaux de dépenses antérieurs ont été élevés, mais pas suffisants, et devraient augmenter considérablement en mettant l'accent sur la qualité des dépenses publiques agricoles. La productivité reste l'un des défis majeurs mais aussi l'une des solutions les plus efficaces pour accélérer la croissance agricole en Éthiopie. Les investissements agricoles devraient être conçus en tenant compte de la chaîne de valeur agricole. Bien que les programmes de protection sociale soient importants pour les pauvres, le développement rural non agricole pourrait fournir une source de revenus plus durable.
Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries
Development Policy Review
With a scope spanning African countries and regions or issues with relevance to the African conte... more With a scope spanning African countries and regions or issues with relevance to the African context in terms of learning or replication, the AWPS encompasses a wide range of strategic and operational topics, including but not limited to agricultural growth and transformation; industrialization; economic integration; poverty reduction, food security and livelihoods; natural resource management and environmental protection; and digital agriculture.
AGRODEP Working Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer rev... more AGRODEP Working Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have been peer reviewed but have not been subject to a formal external peer review via IFPRI's Publications Review Committee. They are circulated in order to stimulate discussion and critical comments; any opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of AGRODEP.
ArXiv, 2021
In the agricultural sector, the COVID-19 threatens to lead to a severe food security crisis in th... more In the agricultural sector, the COVID-19 threatens to lead to a severe food security crisis in the region, with disruptions in the food supply chain and agricultural production expected to contract between 2.6% and 7%. From the food crop production side, the travel bans and border closures, the late reception and the use of agricultural inputs such as imported seeds, fertilizers, and pesticides could lead to poor food crop production performances. Another layer of disruption introduced by the mobility restriction measures is the scarcity of agricultural workers, mainly seasonal workers. The lockdown measures and border closures limit seasonal workers' availability to get to the farm on time for planting and harvesting activities. Moreover, most of the imported agricultural inputs travel by air, which the pandemic has heavily impacted. Such transportation disruptions can also negatively affect the food crop production system. This chapter assesses food crop production levels in 2...
The study developed a results framework to analyze Ethiopia's progress towards selected CAADP/Mal... more The study developed a results framework to analyze Ethiopia's progress towards selected CAADP/Malabo, SDGs and Agenda 2063 goals. A Computable General Equilibrium model linked to an income distribution Micro-Simulation model were used to identify priority investment areas for accelerated agricultural growth, poverty and inequality reduction. Simulation results indicate that the current investment trend and composition would leave Ethiopia off-track to meet these objectives. The analysis of alternative agricultural investment scenarios shows that the public sector has still a great role to play in promoting agricultural growth in Ethiopia. Past expenditure levels have been high, though not sufficient, and would need to increase substantially with an emphasis on the quality of public agricultural spending. Productivity remains one of the major challenges but also one of the most effective solutions for accelerated agricultural growth in Ethiopia. Agricultural investments should be designed considering the agricultural value-chain. While social protection programs are important for the poor, rural non-agricultural development could provide a more sustainable source of income. Resume L'étude a élaboré un cadre de résultats pour analyser les progrès de l'Éthiopie vers certains objectifs du PDDAA / Malabo, des ODD et de l'Agenda 2063. Un modèle d'équilibre général calculable lié à un modèle de micro-simulation de répartition des revenus a été utilisé pour identifier les domaines d'investissement prioritaires pour l'accélération de la croissance agricole, la pauvreté et la réduction des inégalités. Les résultats de la simulation indiquent que la tendance et la composition actuelles des investissements laisseraient l'Éthiopie sur la mauvaise voie pour atteindre ces objectifs. L'analyse des scénarios alternatifs d'investissement agricole montre que le secteur public a encore un grand rôle à jouer dans la promotion de la croissance agricole en Éthiopie. Les niveaux de dépenses antérieurs ont été élevés, mais pas suffisants, et devraient augmenter considérablement en mettant l'accent sur la qualité des dépenses publiques agricoles. La productivité reste l'un des défis majeurs mais aussi l'une des solutions les plus efficaces pour accélérer la croissance agricole en Éthiopie. Les investissements agricoles devraient être conçus en tenant compte de la chaîne de valeur agricole. Bien que les programmes de protection sociale soient importants pour les pauvres, le développement rural non agricole pourrait fournir une source de revenus plus durable.
Agricultural development promises more growth and less poverty in Africa: Modelling the potential impact of implementing the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme in six countries
Development Policy Review
With a scope spanning African countries and regions or issues with relevance to the African conte... more With a scope spanning African countries and regions or issues with relevance to the African context in terms of learning or replication, the AWPS encompasses a wide range of strategic and operational topics, including but not limited to agricultural growth and transformation; industrialization; economic integration; poverty reduction, food security and livelihoods; natural resource management and environmental protection; and digital agriculture.