MIRZA S H A H A B BAIG (original) (raw)

Papers by MIRZA S H A H A B BAIG

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Security in Tunisia: Challenges, Existing Policies, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Security in Tunisia: Challenges, Existing Policies, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Inflation and Exchange Rate in : An Empirical Investigation

Critical Perspectives on Emerging Economies

Research paper thumbnail of Inflation and Exchange Rate in : An Empirical Investigation

Critical Perspectives on Emerging Economies

Research paper thumbnail of Water Scarcity Threats to National Food Security of Pakistan—Issues, Implications, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Water Scarcity Threats to National Food Security of Pakistan—Issues, Implications, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Realizing Food Security Through Sustainable Agriculture in the Republic of Yemen: Implications for Rural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Research paper thumbnail of Realizing Food Security Through Sustainable Agriculture in the Republic of Yemen: Implications for Rural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Research paper thumbnail of A Cox-based Model for Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing C... more This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk factors. A Cox proportional hazard regression method was adopted to design and develop the risk model. We used Framingham Original Cohort dataset of 5079 men and women aged 30 62 years, who had no overt symptoms of CVD at the baseline. Out of them, 3189 (62.78%) had an actual CVD event. A 10-year CVD risk model based on multiple risk factors (such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, systolic blood pressure, cigarettes per day, pulse rate, and diabetes) was developed in which heart rate was identified as one of the novel contributing risk factors. We validated the model via statistical and empirical validation methods. The proposed model achieved an acceptable discrimination and calibration with C-index (receiver operating characteristic (ROC)) being 0.71 from the validation dataset.

Research paper thumbnail of A Cox-based Model for Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing C... more This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk factors. A Cox proportional hazard regression method was adopted to design and develop the risk model. We used Framingham Original Cohort dataset of 5079 men and women aged 30 62 years, who had no overt symptoms of CVD at the baseline. Out of them, 3189 (62.78%) had an actual CVD event. A 10-year CVD risk model based on multiple risk factors (such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, systolic blood pressure, cigarettes per day, pulse rate, and diabetes) was developed in which heart rate was identified as one of the novel contributing risk factors. We validated the model via statistical and empirical validation methods. The proposed model achieved an acceptable discrimination and calibration with C-index (receiver operating characteristic (ROC)) being 0.71 from the validation dataset.

Research paper thumbnail of Sustainable Agriculture and Food Security in Egypt: Implications for Innovations in Agricultural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the pa... more Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the past two decades, its agricultural sector has faced innumerable constraints and issues, lowering its yields and limiting economic returns. Agricultural Extension and Advisory Service has played an appreciable role in elevating crop yields, that in turn contributed towards national economy and improved rural livelihoods. However, due to multiple distortions, National Extension System needs to be revisited. The chapter examines the present fuctioning of extension system, identifies the constraints faced by the agriculture sector and the shortcomings of the agricultural extension department. Based on these analyses, improvement measures have been suggested and viable and workable development strategies outlined for improving the working of extension. The objective of the chapter is to optimise farmer practices in sustainable agriculture to achieve food security. The information provided could be helpful to the farmers, the planners and the policy makers to develop the agricultural sector on sound footings by employing scientific principles and practices of sustainable agriculture to achieve food security in the country. An improved extension system can help realize sustainable agriculture and achieve food security if strong links are established among Egyptian Agricultural Departments (Agricultural Reseach and Development) and National Agricultural Extension Service (NAES). Further it is important to have a strong coordination to ehance the working efficiency of the both departments to meet national needs.

Research paper thumbnail of Sustainable Agriculture and Food Security in Egypt: Implications for Innovations in Agricultural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the pa... more Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the past two decades, its agricultural sector has faced innumerable constraints and issues, lowering its yields and limiting economic returns. Agricultural Extension and Advisory Service has played an appreciable role in elevating crop yields, that in turn contributed towards national economy and improved rural livelihoods. However, due to multiple distortions, National Extension System needs to be revisited. The chapter examines the present fuctioning of extension system, identifies the constraints faced by the agriculture sector and the shortcomings of the agricultural extension department. Based on these analyses, improvement measures have been suggested and viable and workable development strategies outlined for improving the working of extension. The objective of the chapter is to optimise farmer practices in sustainable agriculture to achieve food security. The information provided could be helpful to the farmers, the planners and the policy makers to develop the agricultural sector on sound footings by employing scientific principles and practices of sustainable agriculture to achieve food security in the country. An improved extension system can help realize sustainable agriculture and achieve food security if strong links are established among Egyptian Agricultural Departments (Agricultural Reseach and Development) and National Agricultural Extension Service (NAES). Further it is important to have a strong coordination to ehance the working efficiency of the both departments to meet national needs.

Research paper thumbnail of Investment and Trading Strategies in Indian Stock Market

The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily ... more The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily data for the CNX 100 companies over the period 01 April 2009 to 31 March 2014. The paper sets up the argument for beta and debt-equity ratio as the important variables for explaining the investment and trading strategies for Indian stock market. Following mean reversion principle without advocating for it, we also develop the strategy for trading in the stock market. The study uses data analysis techniques and arrives at the findings that long term investment in the stocks with low beta and low debt-equity ratio provide higher return, though short term trading the stocks with high beta and high debt-equity ratio provide high return in the short time period. The financial service sector shows that service sector provides very high return in the short time period and low return in the long run as compared to returns from the average stocks.

Research paper thumbnail of Investment and Trading Strategies in Indian Stock Market

The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily ... more The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily data for the CNX 100 companies over the period 01 April 2009 to 31 March 2014. The paper sets up the argument for beta and debt-equity ratio as the important variables for explaining the investment and trading strategies for Indian stock market. Following mean reversion principle without advocating for it, we also develop the strategy for trading in the stock market. The study uses data analysis techniques and arrives at the findings that long term investment in the stocks with low beta and low debt-equity ratio provide higher return, though short term trading the stocks with high beta and high debt-equity ratio provide high return in the short time period. The financial service sector shows that service sector provides very high return in the short time period and low return in the long run as compared to returns from the average stocks.

Research paper thumbnail of Aid Volatility and Economic Growth of Pakistan: A Macroeconomic Policy Framework

ERN: Monetary & Fiscal Policies in Emerging Markets (Topic), 2018

This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth... more This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth of Pakistan (1972-2015). We have empirically analyzed the impact of foreign aid volatility on economic growth conditional to the macroeconomic policy environment. For this purpose, we have constructed an index of macroeconomic policies through Principal Component Analysis. We find that volatile aid hinders the economic growth of Pakistan and impedes the expected positive outcomes of macroeconomic policies. By employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, this study shows that foreign aid and foreign aid volatility both negatively affect economic growth under the current macroeconomic policy framework of Pakistan. These results suggest that foreign aid inflows can only be supportive within finance development and social welfare projects.

Research paper thumbnail of Aid Volatility and Economic Growth of Pakistan: A Macroeconomic Policy Framework

ERN: Monetary & Fiscal Policies in Emerging Markets (Topic), 2018

This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth... more This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth of Pakistan (1972-2015). We have empirically analyzed the impact of foreign aid volatility on economic growth conditional to the macroeconomic policy environment. For this purpose, we have constructed an index of macroeconomic policies through Principal Component Analysis. We find that volatile aid hinders the economic growth of Pakistan and impedes the expected positive outcomes of macroeconomic policies. By employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, this study shows that foreign aid and foreign aid volatility both negatively affect economic growth under the current macroeconomic policy framework of Pakistan. These results suggest that foreign aid inflows can only be supportive within finance development and social welfare projects.

Research paper thumbnail of Determinants of Profitability in Private Commercial Banks of Pakistan

This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period ... more This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period of 2004-2013, utilizing the panel data analysis technique. The independent variables include microeconomic as well as macroeconomic variables. Among the performance measures, the asset quality and size indicated negative relationship with profitability of private commercial banks. The relationship between liquidity and efficiency with profitability was found to be positive. All the micro economic indicators including inflation, interest rate, and gross domestic product proved positively related with profitability.

Research paper thumbnail of Determinants of Profitability in Private Commercial Banks of Pakistan

This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period ... more This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period of 2004-2013, utilizing the panel data analysis technique. The independent variables include microeconomic as well as macroeconomic variables. Among the performance measures, the asset quality and size indicated negative relationship with profitability of private commercial banks. The relationship between liquidity and efficiency with profitability was found to be positive. All the micro economic indicators including inflation, interest rate, and gross domestic product proved positively related with profitability.

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural extension in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: difficult present and demanding future

Journal of Animal and Plant Sciences, 2012

Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector ... more Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector receives great importance. The state has been making concerted efforts through its five -year development plansto develop its agriculture to en sure food security. Due to the supportiveand encouraging policies of the government, and able guidance from the extension service, farmers were able to enhance agricultural production andachieve self -sufficiency, at least to some extent.A voluminous litera ture indicates the state now exports its products such as wheat, dates, watermelon, poultry and fresh eggs and milk. The kingdom also produces some cereals like: wheat, sorghum, barley and millet in the regions rich in waterresources.Tomatoes, watermelons, eggplants,potatoes, cucumbersand onions arealso grown.

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural extension in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: difficult present and demanding future

Journal of Animal and Plant Sciences, 2012

Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector ... more Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector receives great importance. The state has been making concerted efforts through its five -year development plansto develop its agriculture to en sure food security. Due to the supportiveand encouraging policies of the government, and able guidance from the extension service, farmers were able to enhance agricultural production andachieve self -sufficiency, at least to some extent.A voluminous litera ture indicates the state now exports its products such as wheat, dates, watermelon, poultry and fresh eggs and milk. The kingdom also produces some cereals like: wheat, sorghum, barley and millet in the regions rich in waterresources.Tomatoes, watermelons, eggplants,potatoes, cucumbersand onions arealso grown.

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Security in Tunisia: Challenges, Existing Policies, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Security in Tunisia: Challenges, Existing Policies, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Inflation and Exchange Rate in : An Empirical Investigation

Critical Perspectives on Emerging Economies

Research paper thumbnail of Inflation and Exchange Rate in : An Empirical Investigation

Critical Perspectives on Emerging Economies

Research paper thumbnail of Water Scarcity Threats to National Food Security of Pakistan—Issues, Implications, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Water Scarcity Threats to National Food Security of Pakistan—Issues, Implications, and Way Forward

Emerging Challenges to Food Production and Security in Asia, Middle East, and Africa

Research paper thumbnail of Realizing Food Security Through Sustainable Agriculture in the Republic of Yemen: Implications for Rural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Research paper thumbnail of Realizing Food Security Through Sustainable Agriculture in the Republic of Yemen: Implications for Rural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Research paper thumbnail of A Cox-based Model for Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing C... more This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk factors. A Cox proportional hazard regression method was adopted to design and develop the risk model. We used Framingham Original Cohort dataset of 5079 men and women aged 30 62 years, who had no overt symptoms of CVD at the baseline. Out of them, 3189 (62.78%) had an actual CVD event. A 10-year CVD risk model based on multiple risk factors (such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, systolic blood pressure, cigarettes per day, pulse rate, and diabetes) was developed in which heart rate was identified as one of the novel contributing risk factors. We validated the model via statistical and empirical validation methods. The proposed model achieved an acceptable discrimination and calibration with C-index (receiver operating characteristic (ROC)) being 0.71 from the validation dataset.

Research paper thumbnail of A Cox-based Model for Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease

This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing C... more This research is aimed to develop a 10-year risk prediction model and identify key contributing Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) risk factors. A Cox proportional hazard regression method was adopted to design and develop the risk model. We used Framingham Original Cohort dataset of 5079 men and women aged 30 62 years, who had no overt symptoms of CVD at the baseline. Out of them, 3189 (62.78%) had an actual CVD event. A 10-year CVD risk model based on multiple risk factors (such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, systolic blood pressure, cigarettes per day, pulse rate, and diabetes) was developed in which heart rate was identified as one of the novel contributing risk factors. We validated the model via statistical and empirical validation methods. The proposed model achieved an acceptable discrimination and calibration with C-index (receiver operating characteristic (ROC)) being 0.71 from the validation dataset.

Research paper thumbnail of Sustainable Agriculture and Food Security in Egypt: Implications for Innovations in Agricultural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the pa... more Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the past two decades, its agricultural sector has faced innumerable constraints and issues, lowering its yields and limiting economic returns. Agricultural Extension and Advisory Service has played an appreciable role in elevating crop yields, that in turn contributed towards national economy and improved rural livelihoods. However, due to multiple distortions, National Extension System needs to be revisited. The chapter examines the present fuctioning of extension system, identifies the constraints faced by the agriculture sector and the shortcomings of the agricultural extension department. Based on these analyses, improvement measures have been suggested and viable and workable development strategies outlined for improving the working of extension. The objective of the chapter is to optimise farmer practices in sustainable agriculture to achieve food security. The information provided could be helpful to the farmers, the planners and the policy makers to develop the agricultural sector on sound footings by employing scientific principles and practices of sustainable agriculture to achieve food security in the country. An improved extension system can help realize sustainable agriculture and achieve food security if strong links are established among Egyptian Agricultural Departments (Agricultural Reseach and Development) and National Agricultural Extension Service (NAES). Further it is important to have a strong coordination to ehance the working efficiency of the both departments to meet national needs.

Research paper thumbnail of Sustainable Agriculture and Food Security in Egypt: Implications for Innovations in Agricultural Extension

Climate Change, Food Security and Natural Resource Management

Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the pa... more Egypt has been famous for its productive and prominent agriculture for many centuries. For the past two decades, its agricultural sector has faced innumerable constraints and issues, lowering its yields and limiting economic returns. Agricultural Extension and Advisory Service has played an appreciable role in elevating crop yields, that in turn contributed towards national economy and improved rural livelihoods. However, due to multiple distortions, National Extension System needs to be revisited. The chapter examines the present fuctioning of extension system, identifies the constraints faced by the agriculture sector and the shortcomings of the agricultural extension department. Based on these analyses, improvement measures have been suggested and viable and workable development strategies outlined for improving the working of extension. The objective of the chapter is to optimise farmer practices in sustainable agriculture to achieve food security. The information provided could be helpful to the farmers, the planners and the policy makers to develop the agricultural sector on sound footings by employing scientific principles and practices of sustainable agriculture to achieve food security in the country. An improved extension system can help realize sustainable agriculture and achieve food security if strong links are established among Egyptian Agricultural Departments (Agricultural Reseach and Development) and National Agricultural Extension Service (NAES). Further it is important to have a strong coordination to ehance the working efficiency of the both departments to meet national needs.

Research paper thumbnail of Investment and Trading Strategies in Indian Stock Market

The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily ... more The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily data for the CNX 100 companies over the period 01 April 2009 to 31 March 2014. The paper sets up the argument for beta and debt-equity ratio as the important variables for explaining the investment and trading strategies for Indian stock market. Following mean reversion principle without advocating for it, we also develop the strategy for trading in the stock market. The study uses data analysis techniques and arrives at the findings that long term investment in the stocks with low beta and low debt-equity ratio provide higher return, though short term trading the stocks with high beta and high debt-equity ratio provide high return in the short time period. The financial service sector shows that service sector provides very high return in the short time period and low return in the long run as compared to returns from the average stocks.

Research paper thumbnail of Investment and Trading Strategies in Indian Stock Market

The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily ... more The paper explores the investment and trading strategies for the Indian stock market using daily data for the CNX 100 companies over the period 01 April 2009 to 31 March 2014. The paper sets up the argument for beta and debt-equity ratio as the important variables for explaining the investment and trading strategies for Indian stock market. Following mean reversion principle without advocating for it, we also develop the strategy for trading in the stock market. The study uses data analysis techniques and arrives at the findings that long term investment in the stocks with low beta and low debt-equity ratio provide higher return, though short term trading the stocks with high beta and high debt-equity ratio provide high return in the short time period. The financial service sector shows that service sector provides very high return in the short time period and low return in the long run as compared to returns from the average stocks.

Research paper thumbnail of Aid Volatility and Economic Growth of Pakistan: A Macroeconomic Policy Framework

ERN: Monetary & Fiscal Policies in Emerging Markets (Topic), 2018

This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth... more This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth of Pakistan (1972-2015). We have empirically analyzed the impact of foreign aid volatility on economic growth conditional to the macroeconomic policy environment. For this purpose, we have constructed an index of macroeconomic policies through Principal Component Analysis. We find that volatile aid hinders the economic growth of Pakistan and impedes the expected positive outcomes of macroeconomic policies. By employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, this study shows that foreign aid and foreign aid volatility both negatively affect economic growth under the current macroeconomic policy framework of Pakistan. These results suggest that foreign aid inflows can only be supportive within finance development and social welfare projects.

Research paper thumbnail of Aid Volatility and Economic Growth of Pakistan: A Macroeconomic Policy Framework

ERN: Monetary & Fiscal Policies in Emerging Markets (Topic), 2018

This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth... more This study explores the linkage among aid volatility, macroeconomic policies, and economic growth of Pakistan (1972-2015). We have empirically analyzed the impact of foreign aid volatility on economic growth conditional to the macroeconomic policy environment. For this purpose, we have constructed an index of macroeconomic policies through Principal Component Analysis. We find that volatile aid hinders the economic growth of Pakistan and impedes the expected positive outcomes of macroeconomic policies. By employing the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique, this study shows that foreign aid and foreign aid volatility both negatively affect economic growth under the current macroeconomic policy framework of Pakistan. These results suggest that foreign aid inflows can only be supportive within finance development and social welfare projects.

Research paper thumbnail of Determinants of Profitability in Private Commercial Banks of Pakistan

This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period ... more This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period of 2004-2013, utilizing the panel data analysis technique. The independent variables include microeconomic as well as macroeconomic variables. Among the performance measures, the asset quality and size indicated negative relationship with profitability of private commercial banks. The relationship between liquidity and efficiency with profitability was found to be positive. All the micro economic indicators including inflation, interest rate, and gross domestic product proved positively related with profitability.

Research paper thumbnail of Determinants of Profitability in Private Commercial Banks of Pakistan

This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period ... more This study examines the profitability of the private commercial banks in Pakistan for the period of 2004-2013, utilizing the panel data analysis technique. The independent variables include microeconomic as well as macroeconomic variables. Among the performance measures, the asset quality and size indicated negative relationship with profitability of private commercial banks. The relationship between liquidity and efficiency with profitability was found to be positive. All the micro economic indicators including inflation, interest rate, and gross domestic product proved positively related with profitability.

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural extension in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: difficult present and demanding future

Journal of Animal and Plant Sciences, 2012

Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector ... more Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector receives great importance. The state has been making concerted efforts through its five -year development plansto develop its agriculture to en sure food security. Due to the supportiveand encouraging policies of the government, and able guidance from the extension service, farmers were able to enhance agricultural production andachieve self -sufficiency, at least to some extent.A voluminous litera ture indicates the state now exports its products such as wheat, dates, watermelon, poultry and fresh eggs and milk. The kingdom also produces some cereals like: wheat, sorghum, barley and millet in the regions rich in waterresources.Tomatoes, watermelons, eggplants,potatoes, cucumbersand onions arealso grown.

Research paper thumbnail of Agricultural extension in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: difficult present and demanding future

Journal of Animal and Plant Sciences, 2012

Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector ... more Agriculture is not environmentally ideal for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia ye tagricultural sector receives great importance. The state has been making concerted efforts through its five -year development plansto develop its agriculture to en sure food security. Due to the supportiveand encouraging policies of the government, and able guidance from the extension service, farmers were able to enhance agricultural production andachieve self -sufficiency, at least to some extent.A voluminous litera ture indicates the state now exports its products such as wheat, dates, watermelon, poultry and fresh eggs and milk. The kingdom also produces some cereals like: wheat, sorghum, barley and millet in the regions rich in waterresources.Tomatoes, watermelons, eggplants,potatoes, cucumbersand onions arealso grown.