N. Nakicenovic - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Papers by N. Nakicenovic
Working Papers, 1998
Downloadable! The emission targets adopted in the Kyoto Protocol far exceeded the likely level of... more Downloadable! The emission targets adopted in the Kyoto Protocol far exceeded the likely level of emissions from Russia and Ukraine. These countries could sell their "bubbles" if the Protocol enters into force and industrialized countries establish an international emission trading ...
With 2 refs., 3 tabs., 6 figs. See also BMFT-FB-T--83-001SIGLEDEGerman
La cuestion ecologica esta en estrecha relacion con el uso de la energia. A su vez, la explotacio... more La cuestion ecologica esta en estrecha relacion con el uso de la energia. A su vez, la explotacion energetica parece ser uno de los grandes interrogantes de nuestro siglo xxi; siglo, por otra parte, profundamente tecnologico. Debatir en torno a un optimismo o un pesimismo, resulta infecundo como ineficaz. Ahora bien, una tercera via parece atisbarse para hacer frente este reto global: la sobriedad energetica no dependera ni del clima ni de las politicas economicas sino de la eleccion de las tecnologias que se utilicen en el consumo, menos invasivas e intensivas y en la conciencia eficaz que los recursos naturales, que disponemos, presentan un limite.
Environmental Research Letters, 2021
Climate science provides strong evidence of the necessity of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, i... more Climate science provides strong evidence of the necessity of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, in line with the Paris Climate Agreement. The IPCC 1.5 °C special report (SR1.5) presents 414 emissions scenarios modelled for the report, of which around 50 are classified as ‘1.5 °C scenarios’, with no or low temperature overshoot. These emission scenarios differ in their reliance on individual mitigation levers, including reduction of global energy demand, decarbonisation of energy production, development of land-management systems, and the pace and scale of deploying carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. The reliance of 1.5 °C scenarios on these levers needs to be critically assessed in light of the potentials of the relevant technologies and roll-out plans. We use a set of five parameters to bundle and characterise the mitigation levers employed in the SR1.5 1.5 °C scenarios. For each of these levers, we draw on the literature to define ‘medium’ and ‘high’ upper bounds that deli...
Fuel and Energy Abstracts, 1996
The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) held its 40th Anniversary Confer... more The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) held its 40th Anniversary Conferencein October 2012. As a follow-up to the insightful presentations and discussions at the conference, it was decided to publish some of the research highlights as a special issue in this journal. Building upon IIASA's scientific foundations and agenda, this special issue has two major themes: Dealing with uncertainty in integrated analyses of human-environment systems; Social, technical and institutional transformatons in response to global sustainability challenges. Several papers illustrate methodological advances in dealing with uncertainties with practical applications related to major global and regional challenges such as food security, greenhouse gas emission reductions and moving towards green economy. Other papers illustrate a range of advances regarding multiple transformations and their versatile interconnected impacts with practical applications related to major global c...
Inter Academy …, 2007
... of Energy Economics at Vienna University of Technology & Leader of Energy and Technology ... more ... of Energy Economics at Vienna University of Technology & Leader of Energy and Technology Programs at IIASA Rajendra Pachauri (India), Director-General, The Energy and Resources Institute & Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Majid Shafie-Pour (Iran ...
The objective of this paper is to assess, on the basis of a number of indicative examples, the ti... more The objective of this paper is to assess, on the basis of a number of indicative examples, the time needed to build new and replace old transportation and energy systems, and their infrastructures. Most of the examples are taken from the United States, since the United States has been one of the few countries to experience most of the technological changes that occurred during the last 200 years. However, because most of these technological changes were subsequently disseminated throughout the world, the examples also indicate the dynamics of these processes elsewhere. Within the scope of this paper, the use of the term infrastructure is rather narrow, referring only to transportation and energy grids and networks, and other components of these two systems. These two systems are interesting because they played a crucial role in the economic and technological development process, are very capital intensive and, in general, have long lifetimes. The analysis of the historical developme...
Working Papers, 1998
Downloadable! The emission targets adopted in the Kyoto Protocol far exceeded the likely level of... more Downloadable! The emission targets adopted in the Kyoto Protocol far exceeded the likely level of emissions from Russia and Ukraine. These countries could sell their "bubbles" if the Protocol enters into force and industrialized countries establish an international emission trading ...
With 2 refs., 3 tabs., 6 figs. See also BMFT-FB-T--83-001SIGLEDEGerman
La cuestion ecologica esta en estrecha relacion con el uso de la energia. A su vez, la explotacio... more La cuestion ecologica esta en estrecha relacion con el uso de la energia. A su vez, la explotacion energetica parece ser uno de los grandes interrogantes de nuestro siglo xxi; siglo, por otra parte, profundamente tecnologico. Debatir en torno a un optimismo o un pesimismo, resulta infecundo como ineficaz. Ahora bien, una tercera via parece atisbarse para hacer frente este reto global: la sobriedad energetica no dependera ni del clima ni de las politicas economicas sino de la eleccion de las tecnologias que se utilicen en el consumo, menos invasivas e intensivas y en la conciencia eficaz que los recursos naturales, que disponemos, presentan un limite.
Environmental Research Letters, 2021
Climate science provides strong evidence of the necessity of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, i... more Climate science provides strong evidence of the necessity of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, in line with the Paris Climate Agreement. The IPCC 1.5 °C special report (SR1.5) presents 414 emissions scenarios modelled for the report, of which around 50 are classified as ‘1.5 °C scenarios’, with no or low temperature overshoot. These emission scenarios differ in their reliance on individual mitigation levers, including reduction of global energy demand, decarbonisation of energy production, development of land-management systems, and the pace and scale of deploying carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. The reliance of 1.5 °C scenarios on these levers needs to be critically assessed in light of the potentials of the relevant technologies and roll-out plans. We use a set of five parameters to bundle and characterise the mitigation levers employed in the SR1.5 1.5 °C scenarios. For each of these levers, we draw on the literature to define ‘medium’ and ‘high’ upper bounds that deli...
Fuel and Energy Abstracts, 1996
The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) held its 40th Anniversary Confer... more The International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) held its 40th Anniversary Conferencein October 2012. As a follow-up to the insightful presentations and discussions at the conference, it was decided to publish some of the research highlights as a special issue in this journal. Building upon IIASA's scientific foundations and agenda, this special issue has two major themes: Dealing with uncertainty in integrated analyses of human-environment systems; Social, technical and institutional transformatons in response to global sustainability challenges. Several papers illustrate methodological advances in dealing with uncertainties with practical applications related to major global and regional challenges such as food security, greenhouse gas emission reductions and moving towards green economy. Other papers illustrate a range of advances regarding multiple transformations and their versatile interconnected impacts with practical applications related to major global c...
Inter Academy …, 2007
... of Energy Economics at Vienna University of Technology & Leader of Energy and Technology ... more ... of Energy Economics at Vienna University of Technology & Leader of Energy and Technology Programs at IIASA Rajendra Pachauri (India), Director-General, The Energy and Resources Institute & Chairman, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Majid Shafie-Pour (Iran ...
The objective of this paper is to assess, on the basis of a number of indicative examples, the ti... more The objective of this paper is to assess, on the basis of a number of indicative examples, the time needed to build new and replace old transportation and energy systems, and their infrastructures. Most of the examples are taken from the United States, since the United States has been one of the few countries to experience most of the technological changes that occurred during the last 200 years. However, because most of these technological changes were subsequently disseminated throughout the world, the examples also indicate the dynamics of these processes elsewhere. Within the scope of this paper, the use of the term infrastructure is rather narrow, referring only to transportation and energy grids and networks, and other components of these two systems. These two systems are interesting because they played a crucial role in the economic and technological development process, are very capital intensive and, in general, have long lifetimes. The analysis of the historical developme...