Paul Feigin - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Paul Feigin

Research paper thumbnail of Statistical inference for stochastic processes

Advances in Applied Probability, 1973

to + 00 the limit behaviour of M; is similar to that of Sn, and we obtain a weak-convergence theo... more to + 00 the limit behaviour of M; is similar to that of Sn, and we obtain a weak-convergence theorem to this effect, thereby extending earlier work by Heyde. When oscillation occurs, Problems I and II are substantially (though not entirely) equivalent, the connection being provided by the continuous mapping theorem of weak convergence theory; again there are connections with earlier work by Heyde. A complete solution to Problem II is obtained when X is spectrally negative, by means of results of Zolotarev and the author (this contains the usual solution for the Wiener case). In general one cannot obtain even the one-dimensional distributions of Y explicitly, but we obtain complete asymptotic information on Yand Z. We find explicitly the process X(Z) giving the place of first exit from an interval. We also discuss the method of ladder-points in this context, note some open problems, and discuss some connections with related work.

Research paper thumbnail of Asymptotic theory of conditional inference for stochastic processes

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, May 1, 1986

This paper develops an approach to conditional inference for nonergodic stochastic process models... more This paper develops an approach to conditional inference for nonergodic stochastic process models by considering asymptotic properties. The context for most of the analysis is that of Le Cam's local asymptotic theory: in particular, the locally asymptotically mixed normal (LAMN) situation. An attempt has been made to evaluate local asymptotic properties of global procedures. locally asymptotically mixed normal * nonergodic stochastic processes * decision theory * approximate ancillarity * local ancillarity * asymptotic conditional risk * contiguity * conditional exponential families

Research paper thumbnail of Estimation for autoregressive processes with positive innovations

Communications in statistics, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Asymptotic Theory for Measures of Concordance with Special Reference to Average Kendall Tau

Annals of Statistics, Dec 1, 1982

Research paper thumbnail of A Double-Blind, Delayed-Start Trial of Rasagiline in Parkinson's Disease

The New England Journal of Medicine, Sep 24, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Random Coefficient Autoregressive Processes:A Markov Chain Analysis of Stationarity and Finiteness of Moments

Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1985

Simple yet practically efficient conditions for the ergodicity of a Markov chain on a general sta... more Simple yet practically efficient conditions for the ergodicity of a Markov chain on a general state space have recently been developed. We illustrate their application to non-linear time series models and, in particular, to random coefficient autoregressive models. As well as ensuring the existence of a unique stationary distribution, geometric rates of convergence to stationarity are ensured. Moreover, sufficient conditions for the existence and convergence of moments can be determined by a closely related method. The latter conditions, in particular, are new.

Research paper thumbnail of Embedded polynomial plans of random walks and their applications

Journal of Mathematical Sciences, Jun 1, 2005

Research paper thumbnail of On a Model for Concordance between Judges

Journal of the royal statistical society series b-methodological, 1978

CONSIDER a number n of judges, each of whom ranks the same set of k objects according to some par... more CONSIDER a number n of judges, each of whom ranks the same set of k objects according to some particular criterion. Assume that each judge ranks (stochastically) independently of the other judges so that we regard the situation as that of n rankings (Daniels, 1950; Kendall, 1970) or of n related samples (Conover, 1971, p. 246). We wish to say something about whether and to what degree the judges act concordantly (or homogeneously) with respect to a particular ranking which is not assumed known beforehand. More particularly we wish to estimate this underlying ranking and also consider a model for the proposed measure of concordance. In so doing we address ourselves to the problem of non-null modelling referred to in Kendall (1970, p. V). To place the suggested model in its proper setting it is appropriate to review briefly the relevant literature on modelling non-null distributions for rankings. These models may be, broadly speaking, divided into three classes: (I) parametric; (II) paired comparison; and (III) sampling. The parametric approach may be further subdivided into the categories: (Ia) multivariate; and (Ib) independent deviations. They may be described as follows:

Research paper thumbnail of The efficiency criteria problem for stochastic processes

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 1978

concerning parameters of stochastic processes. Spxial at ttmti(w 1% 1 conditional exponential fam... more concerning parameters of stochastic processes. Spxial at ttmti(w 1% 1 conditional exponential families of stochastic processes and tc! three tc\t\ hard 1~ the' ~DI;I~E likelihood estimate as well as to the likelihood ratio tc\t. A contiguit! c';bi~:lnl;ttu~n trr. UW$ try that a previously suggested criterion is inadequate and itself provtdcx a par:iai scab problem. A heuristic argument is also put forward to support a propoGticrn rr optimality of the maximum iikelihood estimate in a certain WW. Two examples *isi< the theory are discussed. asymptotic efficiency contiguity .: 'l~~itional exponential families hypothesis testing

Research paper thumbnail of On Efficiency and Exponential Families in Stochastic Process Estimation

Springer eBooks, 1975

A general definition of efficiency for stochastic process estimation is proposed and some of its ... more A general definition of efficiency for stochastic process estimation is proposed and some of its ramifications are explored. Of particular importance in the definition is the form of the derivative of the logarithm of the likelihood. The question of the simplest possible form for this leads on to a discussion of extensions of the concepts of sufficiency and exponential families, the latter in a Markov process context. The paper concludes with several illustrative examples.

Research paper thumbnail of On the Cadlaguity of Random Measures

Annals of Probability, May 1, 1984

Research paper thumbnail of On the characterization of point processes with the order statistic property

Journal of Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1979

We provide a probabilistic proof of the characterization of point processes (on the real line) wi... more We provide a probabilistic proof of the characterization of point processes (on the real line) with the order statistic property. The characterization is used to investigate the homogeneity of such processes and is also related to the martingale theory associated with point processes.

Research paper thumbnail of Some comments concerning a curious singularity

Journal of Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1979

Consider the maximum likelihood estimation of θ based on continuous observation of the process X,... more Consider the maximum likelihood estimation of θ based on continuous observation of the process X, which satisfies dXt = θXtdt + dWt. Feigin (1976) showed that, when suitably normalized, the maximum likelihood estimate is asymptotically normally distributed when the true value of θ ≠ 0. The claim that this asymptotic normality also holds for θ = 0 is shown to be false. The parallel discrete-time model is mentioned and the ramifications of these singularities to martingale central limit theory is discussed.

Research paper thumbnail of Conditional Exponential Families and a Representation Theorem for Asympotic Inference

Annals of Statistics, May 1, 1981

Research paper thumbnail of A characterization of point processes with the order statistic property

Advances in Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1978

Research paper thumbnail of Hypothesis testing and efficiency for stochastic processes

Advances in Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1977

convergence theorem in the theoretical framework of the so-called distancediminishing models whic... more convergence theorem in the theoretical framework of the so-called distancediminishing models which gives a straightforward application to conditional probabilities related to partially observed events. Finally we prove a Shannon-McMillan-type theorem finding application to classification procedures. A note on identification characterisation of the Gaussian distribution and time reversibility in linear stochastic processes

Research paper thumbnail of Linear Programming Estimators and Bootstrapping for Heavy Tailed Phenomena

Advances in Applied Probability, Sep 1, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of Pólya distributions, combinatorial identities, and generalized stirling numbers

Journal of Mathematical Sciences, Jun 1, 2005

Research paper thumbnail of Linear functionals and Markov chains associated with Dirichlet processes

Mathematical proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, May 1, 1989

Research paper thumbnail of Delay Prediction for Managing Multiclass Service Systems: An Investigation of Queueing Theory and Machine Learning Approaches

IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2022

Research paper thumbnail of Statistical inference for stochastic processes

Advances in Applied Probability, 1973

to + 00 the limit behaviour of M; is similar to that of Sn, and we obtain a weak-convergence theo... more to + 00 the limit behaviour of M; is similar to that of Sn, and we obtain a weak-convergence theorem to this effect, thereby extending earlier work by Heyde. When oscillation occurs, Problems I and II are substantially (though not entirely) equivalent, the connection being provided by the continuous mapping theorem of weak convergence theory; again there are connections with earlier work by Heyde. A complete solution to Problem II is obtained when X is spectrally negative, by means of results of Zolotarev and the author (this contains the usual solution for the Wiener case). In general one cannot obtain even the one-dimensional distributions of Y explicitly, but we obtain complete asymptotic information on Yand Z. We find explicitly the process X(Z) giving the place of first exit from an interval. We also discuss the method of ladder-points in this context, note some open problems, and discuss some connections with related work.

Research paper thumbnail of Asymptotic theory of conditional inference for stochastic processes

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, May 1, 1986

This paper develops an approach to conditional inference for nonergodic stochastic process models... more This paper develops an approach to conditional inference for nonergodic stochastic process models by considering asymptotic properties. The context for most of the analysis is that of Le Cam's local asymptotic theory: in particular, the locally asymptotically mixed normal (LAMN) situation. An attempt has been made to evaluate local asymptotic properties of global procedures. locally asymptotically mixed normal * nonergodic stochastic processes * decision theory * approximate ancillarity * local ancillarity * asymptotic conditional risk * contiguity * conditional exponential families

Research paper thumbnail of Estimation for autoregressive processes with positive innovations

Communications in statistics, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Asymptotic Theory for Measures of Concordance with Special Reference to Average Kendall Tau

Annals of Statistics, Dec 1, 1982

Research paper thumbnail of A Double-Blind, Delayed-Start Trial of Rasagiline in Parkinson's Disease

The New England Journal of Medicine, Sep 24, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Random Coefficient Autoregressive Processes:A Markov Chain Analysis of Stationarity and Finiteness of Moments

Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1985

Simple yet practically efficient conditions for the ergodicity of a Markov chain on a general sta... more Simple yet practically efficient conditions for the ergodicity of a Markov chain on a general state space have recently been developed. We illustrate their application to non-linear time series models and, in particular, to random coefficient autoregressive models. As well as ensuring the existence of a unique stationary distribution, geometric rates of convergence to stationarity are ensured. Moreover, sufficient conditions for the existence and convergence of moments can be determined by a closely related method. The latter conditions, in particular, are new.

Research paper thumbnail of Embedded polynomial plans of random walks and their applications

Journal of Mathematical Sciences, Jun 1, 2005

Research paper thumbnail of On a Model for Concordance between Judges

Journal of the royal statistical society series b-methodological, 1978

CONSIDER a number n of judges, each of whom ranks the same set of k objects according to some par... more CONSIDER a number n of judges, each of whom ranks the same set of k objects according to some particular criterion. Assume that each judge ranks (stochastically) independently of the other judges so that we regard the situation as that of n rankings (Daniels, 1950; Kendall, 1970) or of n related samples (Conover, 1971, p. 246). We wish to say something about whether and to what degree the judges act concordantly (or homogeneously) with respect to a particular ranking which is not assumed known beforehand. More particularly we wish to estimate this underlying ranking and also consider a model for the proposed measure of concordance. In so doing we address ourselves to the problem of non-null modelling referred to in Kendall (1970, p. V). To place the suggested model in its proper setting it is appropriate to review briefly the relevant literature on modelling non-null distributions for rankings. These models may be, broadly speaking, divided into three classes: (I) parametric; (II) paired comparison; and (III) sampling. The parametric approach may be further subdivided into the categories: (Ia) multivariate; and (Ib) independent deviations. They may be described as follows:

Research paper thumbnail of The efficiency criteria problem for stochastic processes

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 1978

concerning parameters of stochastic processes. Spxial at ttmti(w 1% 1 conditional exponential fam... more concerning parameters of stochastic processes. Spxial at ttmti(w 1% 1 conditional exponential families of stochastic processes and tc! three tc\t\ hard 1~ the' ~DI;I~E likelihood estimate as well as to the likelihood ratio tc\t. A contiguit! c';bi~:lnl;ttu~n trr. UW$ try that a previously suggested criterion is inadequate and itself provtdcx a par:iai scab problem. A heuristic argument is also put forward to support a propoGticrn rr optimality of the maximum iikelihood estimate in a certain WW. Two examples *isi< the theory are discussed. asymptotic efficiency contiguity .: 'l~~itional exponential families hypothesis testing

Research paper thumbnail of On Efficiency and Exponential Families in Stochastic Process Estimation

Springer eBooks, 1975

A general definition of efficiency for stochastic process estimation is proposed and some of its ... more A general definition of efficiency for stochastic process estimation is proposed and some of its ramifications are explored. Of particular importance in the definition is the form of the derivative of the logarithm of the likelihood. The question of the simplest possible form for this leads on to a discussion of extensions of the concepts of sufficiency and exponential families, the latter in a Markov process context. The paper concludes with several illustrative examples.

Research paper thumbnail of On the Cadlaguity of Random Measures

Annals of Probability, May 1, 1984

Research paper thumbnail of On the characterization of point processes with the order statistic property

Journal of Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1979

We provide a probabilistic proof of the characterization of point processes (on the real line) wi... more We provide a probabilistic proof of the characterization of point processes (on the real line) with the order statistic property. The characterization is used to investigate the homogeneity of such processes and is also related to the martingale theory associated with point processes.

Research paper thumbnail of Some comments concerning a curious singularity

Journal of Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1979

Consider the maximum likelihood estimation of θ based on continuous observation of the process X,... more Consider the maximum likelihood estimation of θ based on continuous observation of the process X, which satisfies dXt = θXtdt + dWt. Feigin (1976) showed that, when suitably normalized, the maximum likelihood estimate is asymptotically normally distributed when the true value of θ ≠ 0. The claim that this asymptotic normality also holds for θ = 0 is shown to be false. The parallel discrete-time model is mentioned and the ramifications of these singularities to martingale central limit theory is discussed.

Research paper thumbnail of Conditional Exponential Families and a Representation Theorem for Asympotic Inference

Annals of Statistics, May 1, 1981

Research paper thumbnail of A characterization of point processes with the order statistic property

Advances in Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1978

Research paper thumbnail of Hypothesis testing and efficiency for stochastic processes

Advances in Applied Probability, Jun 1, 1977

convergence theorem in the theoretical framework of the so-called distancediminishing models whic... more convergence theorem in the theoretical framework of the so-called distancediminishing models which gives a straightforward application to conditional probabilities related to partially observed events. Finally we prove a Shannon-McMillan-type theorem finding application to classification procedures. A note on identification characterisation of the Gaussian distribution and time reversibility in linear stochastic processes

Research paper thumbnail of Linear Programming Estimators and Bootstrapping for Heavy Tailed Phenomena

Advances in Applied Probability, Sep 1, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of Pólya distributions, combinatorial identities, and generalized stirling numbers

Journal of Mathematical Sciences, Jun 1, 2005

Research paper thumbnail of Linear functionals and Markov chains associated with Dirichlet processes

Mathematical proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, May 1, 1989

Research paper thumbnail of Delay Prediction for Managing Multiclass Service Systems: An Investigation of Queueing Theory and Machine Learning Approaches

IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2022