Rob Dellink - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Papers by Rob Dellink
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that have historically contributed the least to g... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that have historically contributed the least to greenhouse gas emissions and land-use change. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of climate change adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning a share of the financial burden to individual countries, namely historical responsibility, equality and capacity to pay. Specific political and scientific choices are discussed, highlighting implications for international burden-sharing schemes. A hybrid approach, combining historical responsibility and capacity to pay seems a promising starting point for international negotiations on the design of burden-sharing schemes. From the numerical assessment, it is clear that UNFCCC Annex I countries carry the greatest burden under most scenarios, but contributions differ substantially subject to the choice of an indicator for capacity to pay. The contributions are less sensitive to choices related to responsibility calculations, apart from those associated with land-use related emissions. Assuming the costs of climate adaptation are 100billionperyear,thetotalfinancialcontributionbytheAnnexIcountrieswouldbeintherangeof100 billion per year, the total financial contribution by the Annex I countries would be in the range of 100billionperyear,thetotalfinancialcontributionbytheAnnexIcountrieswouldbeintherangeof55-68 billion per year.
This document describes economic baseline projections to 2050 for several world regions. It descr... more This document describes economic baseline projections to 2050 for several world regions. It describes how socio-economic drivers are used to create a consistent projection of economic activity for the coming decades, applying the general framework of “conditional convergence”. This economic baseline is created using the ENV-Linkages model version 3. This baseline is used for modelling analysis with the ENVLinkages model as carried out for the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 (to be released in Spring 2012). Specific attention is given in this paper to projections for the energy system as part of the economy, to allow detailed links between economic activity and environmental pressures, including emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs).Ce document décrit les projections économiques mondiales d’un scénario de référence à l’horizon 2050. Il explique comment les différents déterminants socio-économiques sont combinés entre eux pour créer une projection cohérente de l’activité économique ...
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning contributions of individual countries, namely historical responsibility,
This paper introduces a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up abatement inform... more This paper introduces a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up abatement information for important environmental themes, which can be applied to a wide variety of countries. Empirical abatement cost curves determine the characteristics of abatement and substitution possibilities between pollution and abatement. The analysis of efficient reduction strategies for the Netherlands shows that the costs of current environmental policy
British Poultry Science, 2004
This paper deals with an assessment of the economic costs of environmental policies in the Nether... more This paper deals with an assessment of the economic costs of environmental policies in the Netherlands, using a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up information on abatement techniques. Empirical abatement cost curves are used to determine substitution possibilities between pollution and abatement and the characteristics of abatement goods. The results show that an absolute decoupling of economy and environment
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 2009
Public Economics and the Environment in an Imperfect World, 1995
In %sjgaper the economie effects of a regulating energy levy are ïllustrated usmg a small macro-e... more In %sjgaper the economie effects of a regulating energy levy are ïllustrated usmg a small macro-economie empirical simulation model for TTie Netherlands, called theEnTech-model. The model is especially designed to reckon with the effects of changes in prices on the bias of technological progress. It appears that a so-called employment doublé dividend, i.e., increasing employment and decreasing energy use at the same time, can occur. A general levy yields stronger results than a levy on household use only. However, the stronger effects of a general levy on employment and energy use are accompanied by shrinking production and, under some scenarios, by decreasing disposable income of workers and/or non-workers. Furthermore, total R&D-expenditures decrease due to shrinking production. This latter effect can, however, be compensated using part of the proceeds of the levy. All in all, the effects of a regulating energy levy will not be very spectacular, considering the size of the levy. m Paper prepared for presentation at the 50th congress of the International Institute of Public Finance. First version.
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Economic models suggest that in many cases, market leakage rates of greenhouse gas abatement reac... more Economic models suggest that in many cases, market leakage rates of greenhouse gas abatement reach the two-digit percentage range. Consequently, the Marrakesh Accords require Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects to account for leakage. Despite this, most project proponents neglect market leakage for their project, because the influence of an individual project on market prices seems to be negligible. Insufficient leakage accounting is facilitated by a lack of theories and applicable proposals regarding the quantification and attribution of leakage effects. The aim of this paper is to develop a proposal for the attribution of market leakage effects to CDM projects. To this purpose, we identify the transmission mechanisms for CDM project leakage, investigate the current practice of leakage accounting, and analyse alternative attribution methods for leakage effects that are transmitted through price changes. We find that project-specific approaches must fail to take account of such leakage effects. Consequently, we propose to estimate aggregate market leakage effects and attribute them proportionally to individual projects. Our proposal is based on commodity-specific leakage factors which can be applied by project developers to any emission reductions that are associated with a project's leakage-relevant demand or supply changes. The proposal is conservative, equitable, incentive compatible and applicable at manageable costs. JEL-Classification: D62, F18, Q25, Q41
OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 2008
Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLI... more Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLIS in its original format ECO/WKP(2008)61 Unclassified English -Or. English ECO/WKP(2008)61 2
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning contributions of individual countries, namely historical responsibility, equality and capacity to pay. Specific political and scientific choices are discussed, highlighting implications for international burden-sharing. Combining historical responsibility and capacity to pay seems a promising starting point for international negotiations on the design of burden-sharing schemes. From the numerical assessment, it is clear that UNFCCC Annex I countries carry the greatest burden under most scenarios, but contributions differ substantially subject to the choice of an indicator for capacity to pay. The total financial contribution by the Annex I countries could be in the range of $55-68 billion annually.
Resource and Energy Economics, 2012
Veterinary Immunology and Immunopathology, 2008
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
By-products from agriculture and forestry can contribute to production of clean and cheap (bio)el... more By-products from agriculture and forestry can contribute to production of clean and cheap (bio)electricity. To assess the role of such multi-product crops in the response to climate policies, we present an applied general equilibrium model with special attention to biomass and multi-product crops for Poland. The potential to boost production of bioelectricity through the use of multi-product crops turns out to be limited to only 2-3% of total electricity production. Further expansion of the bioelectricity sector will have to be based on biomass crops explicitly grown for energy purposes. The competition between agriculture and biomass for scarce land remains limited, given the availability of relatively poor land types and substitution possibilities. The importance of indirect effects illustrates that the AGE framework is appropriate.
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that have historically contributed the least to g... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that have historically contributed the least to greenhouse gas emissions and land-use change. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of climate change adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning a share of the financial burden to individual countries, namely historical responsibility, equality and capacity to pay. Specific political and scientific choices are discussed, highlighting implications for international burden-sharing schemes. A hybrid approach, combining historical responsibility and capacity to pay seems a promising starting point for international negotiations on the design of burden-sharing schemes. From the numerical assessment, it is clear that UNFCCC Annex I countries carry the greatest burden under most scenarios, but contributions differ substantially subject to the choice of an indicator for capacity to pay. The contributions are less sensitive to choices related to responsibility calculations, apart from those associated with land-use related emissions. Assuming the costs of climate adaptation are 100billionperyear,thetotalfinancialcontributionbytheAnnexIcountrieswouldbeintherangeof100 billion per year, the total financial contribution by the Annex I countries would be in the range of 100billionperyear,thetotalfinancialcontributionbytheAnnexIcountrieswouldbeintherangeof55-68 billion per year.
This document describes economic baseline projections to 2050 for several world regions. It descr... more This document describes economic baseline projections to 2050 for several world regions. It describes how socio-economic drivers are used to create a consistent projection of economic activity for the coming decades, applying the general framework of “conditional convergence”. This economic baseline is created using the ENV-Linkages model version 3. This baseline is used for modelling analysis with the ENVLinkages model as carried out for the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 (to be released in Spring 2012). Specific attention is given in this paper to projections for the energy system as part of the economy, to allow detailed links between economic activity and environmental pressures, including emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs).Ce document décrit les projections économiques mondiales d’un scénario de référence à l’horizon 2050. Il explique comment les différents déterminants socio-économiques sont combinés entre eux pour créer une projection cohérente de l’activité économique ...
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning contributions of individual countries, namely historical responsibility,
This paper introduces a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up abatement inform... more This paper introduces a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up abatement information for important environmental themes, which can be applied to a wide variety of countries. Empirical abatement cost curves determine the characteristics of abatement and substitution possibilities between pollution and abatement. The analysis of efficient reduction strategies for the Netherlands shows that the costs of current environmental policy
British Poultry Science, 2004
This paper deals with an assessment of the economic costs of environmental policies in the Nether... more This paper deals with an assessment of the economic costs of environmental policies in the Netherlands, using a dynamic Applied General Equilibrium model with bottom-up information on abatement techniques. Empirical abatement cost curves are used to determine substitution possibilities between pollution and abatement and the characteristics of abatement goods. The results show that an absolute decoupling of economy and environment
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 2009
Public Economics and the Environment in an Imperfect World, 1995
In %sjgaper the economie effects of a regulating energy levy are ïllustrated usmg a small macro-e... more In %sjgaper the economie effects of a regulating energy levy are ïllustrated usmg a small macro-economie empirical simulation model for TTie Netherlands, called theEnTech-model. The model is especially designed to reckon with the effects of changes in prices on the bias of technological progress. It appears that a so-called employment doublé dividend, i.e., increasing employment and decreasing energy use at the same time, can occur. A general levy yields stronger results than a levy on household use only. However, the stronger effects of a general levy on employment and energy use are accompanied by shrinking production and, under some scenarios, by decreasing disposable income of workers and/or non-workers. Furthermore, total R&D-expenditures decrease due to shrinking production. This latter effect can, however, be compensated using part of the proceeds of the levy. All in all, the effects of a regulating energy levy will not be very spectacular, considering the size of the levy. m Paper prepared for presentation at the 50th congress of the International Institute of Public Finance. First version.
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Economic models suggest that in many cases, market leakage rates of greenhouse gas abatement reac... more Economic models suggest that in many cases, market leakage rates of greenhouse gas abatement reach the two-digit percentage range. Consequently, the Marrakesh Accords require Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects to account for leakage. Despite this, most project proponents neglect market leakage for their project, because the influence of an individual project on market prices seems to be negligible. Insufficient leakage accounting is facilitated by a lack of theories and applicable proposals regarding the quantification and attribution of leakage effects. The aim of this paper is to develop a proposal for the attribution of market leakage effects to CDM projects. To this purpose, we identify the transmission mechanisms for CDM project leakage, investigate the current practice of leakage accounting, and analyse alternative attribution methods for leakage effects that are transmitted through price changes. We find that project-specific approaches must fail to take account of such leakage effects. Consequently, we propose to estimate aggregate market leakage effects and attribute them proportionally to individual projects. Our proposal is based on commodity-specific leakage factors which can be applied by project developers to any emission reductions that are associated with a project's leakage-relevant demand or supply changes. The proposal is conservative, equitable, incentive compatible and applicable at manageable costs. JEL-Classification: D62, F18, Q25, Q41
OECD Economics Department Working Papers, 2008
Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLI... more Document complet disponible sur OLIS dans son format d'origine Complete document available on OLIS in its original format ECO/WKP(2008)61 Unclassified English -Or. English ECO/WKP(2008)61 2
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions... more Climate change may cause most harm to countries that contribute least to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper identifies deontology, solidarity and consequentialism as the principles that can serve as a basis for a fair international burden sharing scheme of adaptation costs. We translate these principles into criteria that can be applied in assigning contributions of individual countries, namely historical responsibility, equality and capacity to pay. Specific political and scientific choices are discussed, highlighting implications for international burden-sharing. Combining historical responsibility and capacity to pay seems a promising starting point for international negotiations on the design of burden-sharing schemes. From the numerical assessment, it is clear that UNFCCC Annex I countries carry the greatest burden under most scenarios, but contributions differ substantially subject to the choice of an indicator for capacity to pay. The total financial contribution by the Annex I countries could be in the range of $55-68 billion annually.
Resource and Energy Economics, 2012
Veterinary Immunology and Immunopathology, 2008
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
By-products from agriculture and forestry can contribute to production of clean and cheap (bio)el... more By-products from agriculture and forestry can contribute to production of clean and cheap (bio)electricity. To assess the role of such multi-product crops in the response to climate policies, we present an applied general equilibrium model with special attention to biomass and multi-product crops for Poland. The potential to boost production of bioelectricity through the use of multi-product crops turns out to be limited to only 2-3% of total electricity production. Further expansion of the bioelectricity sector will have to be based on biomass crops explicitly grown for energy purposes. The competition between agriculture and biomass for scarce land remains limited, given the availability of relatively poor land types and substitution possibilities. The importance of indirect effects illustrates that the AGE framework is appropriate.