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Papers by Samuel H. Preston

Research paper thumbnail of African-American marriage in 1910: Beneath the surface of census data

This paper examines the quality of information about marital status, marital duration, and marria... more This paper examines the quality of information about marital status, marital duration, and marriage order among African-American women in the U.S. Census of 1910. It compares the reported prevalence of widowhood to estimates of widowhood based on the mortality of black men and on the ages of women at first marriage. It also compares the reported distributions of duration of first marriage to estimates based on mortality and on age at first marriage. It concludes that census reports are subject to serious error. Widowhood is overreported, and marital turnover appears to have been faster than implied by census reports. The prevelance of "own children" is used to confirm these conclusions and to suggest motivations for misreporting.

Research paper thumbnail of Fatal Years: Child Mortality in Late Nineteenth-Century America

Research paper thumbnail of Age, period, and cohort effects in demography: a review

Research paper thumbnail of Estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from retrospective reports of mothers

Health policy and education, 1982

In this paper we compare various models for estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from... more In this paper we compare various models for estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from the type of data commonly available in developing countries. Specifically, we examine how much precision is lost as various pieces of information, such as dates of birth and death for each child, are discarded. The conclusion which we reach is that even incomplete mortality data of the type collected in household surveys or censuses can yield estimates which are very close to those based on the much richer wealth of data collected in detailed maternity histories. Two substantive conclusions of interest are that in the two countries (Sri Lanka and Korea) we examined, the education of the father has a significant and pronounced effect on childhood mortality even when the mother's education is controlled, and once other covariates are controlled, there is no difference between urban and rural childhood mortality.

Research paper thumbnail of Using successive censuses to estimate census completeness for African-Americans 1930-1990

Research paper thumbnail of Sessions will consider the use of his-torical materials in genetics and demog-raphy; the treatment of variation and heterogeneity in the two fields; the ge

Research paper thumbnail of VOLUME 19, ARTICLE 35, PAGES 1323-1350 PUBLISHED 25 JULY 2008

... Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez 1 Samuel H. Preston2 ... In the early 1980's, a technique to decom... more ... Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez 1 Samuel H. Preston2 ... In the early 1980's, a technique to decompose changes in life expectancy by age and cause of death was independently developed by Arriaga (1982; 1984), Andreev (1982), Pollard (1982), and Pressat (1985). ...

Research paper thumbnail of Forum: Fatal Years-Major new evidence on health transition and its interpretation

Research paper thumbnail of Supplementary material for

Research paper thumbnail of infant and child mortality: the United States

Research paper thumbnail of Cohort fertility patterns and breast cancer mortality among US women

Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced ris... more Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced risks of being diagnosed with breast cancer. We use U.S. Vital Statistics and Census data and age-period-cohort models to examine whether cohort fertility patterns are associated with breast cancer mortality rates among women aged 40 and older in 1948-2003. Cohorts marked by higher proportions childless at ages 15-24 and lower cumulative second birth rates at ages 15-29 have higher rates of breast cancer mortality. This is the first demonstration that cohort fertility patterns have left a clear imprint on trends in U.S. breast cancer mortality rates.

Research paper thumbnail of NCBI Bookshelf

Research paper thumbnail of Estimación de las covariables de la mortalidad en la niñez a partir de declaraciones retrospectivas de las madres

Research paper thumbnail of and Consequences of Demographic Change

Research paper thumbnail of A comparison of old age mortality patterns in low mortality countries 1950-1985

Research paper thumbnail of Differential fertility and the distribution of traits: The case of IQ": Reply

... Traits: The Case of IQ1 Samuel H. Preston and Cameron Campbell University of Pennsylvania ...... more ... Traits: The Case of IQ1 Samuel H. Preston and Cameron Campbell University of Pennsylvania ... Correspondence may be sent to Samuel H. Preston, University of Pennsylva-nia, Population Studies Center, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104-6298. ? ...

Research paper thumbnail of Socioeconomic Differences in Adult Mortality and Health Status

... 2 This may be the only study of their joint effects. RECENT EVIDENCE ON THE EXTENT OFSOCIOECO... more ... 2 This may be the only study of their joint effects. RECENT EVIDENCE ON THE EXTENT OFSOCIOECONOMIC DIFFERENCES IN MORTALITY AND HEALTH STATUS After being for many years one of the industrialized countries with the poorest data on socioeconomic ...

Research paper thumbnail of Using Successive Censuses to Reconstruct the African-American Population, 1930-1990

Research paper thumbnail of Population Aging Research Center, University of Pennsylvania

Research paper thumbnail of Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes Peter McDonald

© 2001 by Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, and Michel Guillot 350 Main Street, MaIden, MA 02... more © 2001 by Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, and Michel Guillot 350 Main Street, MaIden, MA 02148-5018, USA 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK 550 Swanston Street, Carlton South, Melbourne, Victoria 3053, Australia Kurfilrstendamm 57, 10707 ...

Research paper thumbnail of African-American marriage in 1910: Beneath the surface of census data

This paper examines the quality of information about marital status, marital duration, and marria... more This paper examines the quality of information about marital status, marital duration, and marriage order among African-American women in the U.S. Census of 1910. It compares the reported prevalence of widowhood to estimates of widowhood based on the mortality of black men and on the ages of women at first marriage. It also compares the reported distributions of duration of first marriage to estimates based on mortality and on age at first marriage. It concludes that census reports are subject to serious error. Widowhood is overreported, and marital turnover appears to have been faster than implied by census reports. The prevelance of "own children" is used to confirm these conclusions and to suggest motivations for misreporting.

Research paper thumbnail of Fatal Years: Child Mortality in Late Nineteenth-Century America

Research paper thumbnail of Age, period, and cohort effects in demography: a review

Research paper thumbnail of Estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from retrospective reports of mothers

Health policy and education, 1982

In this paper we compare various models for estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from... more In this paper we compare various models for estimating the covariates of childhood mortality from the type of data commonly available in developing countries. Specifically, we examine how much precision is lost as various pieces of information, such as dates of birth and death for each child, are discarded. The conclusion which we reach is that even incomplete mortality data of the type collected in household surveys or censuses can yield estimates which are very close to those based on the much richer wealth of data collected in detailed maternity histories. Two substantive conclusions of interest are that in the two countries (Sri Lanka and Korea) we examined, the education of the father has a significant and pronounced effect on childhood mortality even when the mother's education is controlled, and once other covariates are controlled, there is no difference between urban and rural childhood mortality.

Research paper thumbnail of Using successive censuses to estimate census completeness for African-Americans 1930-1990

Research paper thumbnail of Sessions will consider the use of his-torical materials in genetics and demog-raphy; the treatment of variation and heterogeneity in the two fields; the ge

Research paper thumbnail of VOLUME 19, ARTICLE 35, PAGES 1323-1350 PUBLISHED 25 JULY 2008

... Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez 1 Samuel H. Preston2 ... In the early 1980's, a technique to decom... more ... Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez 1 Samuel H. Preston2 ... In the early 1980's, a technique to decompose changes in life expectancy by age and cause of death was independently developed by Arriaga (1982; 1984), Andreev (1982), Pollard (1982), and Pressat (1985). ...

Research paper thumbnail of Forum: Fatal Years-Major new evidence on health transition and its interpretation

Research paper thumbnail of Supplementary material for

Research paper thumbnail of infant and child mortality: the United States

Research paper thumbnail of Cohort fertility patterns and breast cancer mortality among US women

Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced ris... more Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced risks of being diagnosed with breast cancer. We use U.S. Vital Statistics and Census data and age-period-cohort models to examine whether cohort fertility patterns are associated with breast cancer mortality rates among women aged 40 and older in 1948-2003. Cohorts marked by higher proportions childless at ages 15-24 and lower cumulative second birth rates at ages 15-29 have higher rates of breast cancer mortality. This is the first demonstration that cohort fertility patterns have left a clear imprint on trends in U.S. breast cancer mortality rates.

Research paper thumbnail of NCBI Bookshelf

Research paper thumbnail of Estimación de las covariables de la mortalidad en la niñez a partir de declaraciones retrospectivas de las madres

Research paper thumbnail of and Consequences of Demographic Change

Research paper thumbnail of A comparison of old age mortality patterns in low mortality countries 1950-1985

Research paper thumbnail of Differential fertility and the distribution of traits: The case of IQ": Reply

... Traits: The Case of IQ1 Samuel H. Preston and Cameron Campbell University of Pennsylvania ...... more ... Traits: The Case of IQ1 Samuel H. Preston and Cameron Campbell University of Pennsylvania ... Correspondence may be sent to Samuel H. Preston, University of Pennsylva-nia, Population Studies Center, 3718 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104-6298. ? ...

Research paper thumbnail of Socioeconomic Differences in Adult Mortality and Health Status

... 2 This may be the only study of their joint effects. RECENT EVIDENCE ON THE EXTENT OFSOCIOECO... more ... 2 This may be the only study of their joint effects. RECENT EVIDENCE ON THE EXTENT OFSOCIOECONOMIC DIFFERENCES IN MORTALITY AND HEALTH STATUS After being for many years one of the industrialized countries with the poorest data on socioeconomic ...

Research paper thumbnail of Using Successive Censuses to Reconstruct the African-American Population, 1930-1990

Research paper thumbnail of Population Aging Research Center, University of Pennsylvania

Research paper thumbnail of Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes Peter McDonald

© 2001 by Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, and Michel Guillot 350 Main Street, MaIden, MA 02... more © 2001 by Samuel H. Preston, Patrick Heuveline, and Michel Guillot 350 Main Street, MaIden, MA 02148-5018, USA 108 Cowley Road, Oxford OX4 1JF, UK 550 Swanston Street, Carlton South, Melbourne, Victoria 3053, Australia Kurfilrstendamm 57, 10707 ...