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Papers by Slobodan Jankovic

Srpska politička misao, 2022

This paper, divided in three chapters of uneven length, analyses the world trends in near future.... more This paper, divided in three chapters of uneven length, analyses the world trends in near future. Forecasting major processes at the global scale is a key task of the IR discipline. Author asks the question whether current world order restructuring is causing the outbreak of the new World War. In order to answer the question, he first underlines importance of forecasting, and explains what the world war is. Author claims that approach according to which it is required to have theoretical background in order to make scientific prediction is erroneous. The closest there is to objective framework is according to the author, to employ Italian neoclassical geopolitical school. In the article, author questions international and national, societal, political and only briefly economic trends in the collective West and in the Middle East. He presents the reasons why BRICS, or the East and South are growing and leading the change in major power redistribution in the framework of the new multipolar world order.

Serbian Political Thought, 2015

The EU is a major trading power in the world and formally the largest economy. Yet, its security ... more The EU is a major trading power in the world and formally the largest economy. Yet, its security and foreign policy have minor weight in global affairs. The EU is trying to accommodate its economic interests, partnership with the USA and the promotion of the global political and economic policies aimed at the promotion and application of good governance, respect of human rights and democratisation. Although its documents contain popular proclamations and articulated aims towards a more assertive presence in world security, it has achieved modest results in the Middle East and North Africa, where it failed to provide unified action of its member states. Instead, NATO and the Franco-British entante frugale are indirectly taking over the functionality and efficiency of EU Common Security and Defense Policy in this region. Key words: EU, Middle East, Africa, CSDP, entante frugale, UfM.

Medjunarodni problemi, 2016

The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become ... more The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become a macro-regional power by 2023. The author analyses components of variables in Davuto?lu's equation of power and the results of the ?zero problems with neighbours? policy as an essential prerequisite for Turkey becoming one of the poles of power at the global level. Presenting the state of progress in military industries, in the development of technological infrastructure and in the economy, the author assesses the limited progress and failure to materialise the country?s expected goals. After years of progress in various fields, the leading AKP party is now troubled by conflicts inside and outside the country. The author concludes that Turkey will not be able to realise its 2023 strategy due to combination of failures in internal, foreign and economic policies.

Institute of International Politics and Economics; Global Resource Management Program, 2015

Middle East and North Africa are for the long time mostly objects of international politics of ou... more Middle East and North Africa are for the long time mostly objects of international politics of outside powers. World reordering reflects on the local turbulences. Prospects for the consolidation of regional countries not dominated by the West were shattered in the Arab Spring and in its aftermath. IN short period of turbulences several changes are transforming the communities and international relations from Morocco to Iran. Deep crisis of governance and instability of borders, dying Peace process, the birth of the ‘Islamic State’ and general chaos are spreading through the region. They are both shaped by the conflicts initiated mostly by the USA, but also by their rising inadequacy and impossibility to control and calm the anarchy. Key words: USA, Arab Spring, Middle East peace process, failed states, Iran, Global East, Egypt.

Medjunarodni problemi, 2007

... godine, tokom posete Ankari, iranski ministar spoljnih poslova Manučer Motaki (ManouchehrMott... more ... godine, tokom posete Ankari, iranski ministar spoljnih poslova Manučer Motaki (ManouchehrMottaki) izjavio je da dve zemlje trenutno imaju trgovinsku razmenu od 6,7 milijardi dolara a da je dogovoreno da se ona uveća za još deset milijardi.37 Teheran i Ankara imaju barem ...

The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become ... more The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become a macro-regional power by 2023. The author analyses components of variables in Davutoğluʼs equation of power and the results of the " zero problems with neighbours " policy as an essential prerequisite for Turkey becoming one of the poles of power at the global level. Presenting the state of progress in military industries, in the development of technological infrastructure and in the economy, the author assesses the limited progress and failure to materialise the country's expected goals. After years of progress in various fields, the leading AKP party is now troubled by conflicts inside and outside the country. The author concludes that Turkey will not be able to realise its 2023 strategy due to combination of failures in internal, foreign and economic policies.

Issue of prognosis, analyses of future trends is companion to statecraft, political, economic an... more Issue of prognosis, analyses of future trends is
companion to statecraft, political, economic and military
planning. How we plan, what does IR says about
scientific prognosis. Jankovic starts with this set of issues
in order to pass into prognosis itself based on observable
world trends. He claims that European Union has entered
its climax comparing it foreignpolicy situation with that
of war situation of Third Reich in 1943. Article is divided
in five parts. After presenting and criticizing Anglo-American approach in prognosis, he starts with analysis
of the world order changes, of EU trends, Middle, Far
East and some trends regarding Africa. Author presents
macro trends in North – West Pacific, in Israel-Palestine,
in Syria, Iraq, in Europe.

Books by Slobodan Jankovic

Dialóg Campus Volume, 2019

This edited volume examines the post-Cold War rela- tionship of ten selected Central and Eastern ... more This edited volume examines the post-Cold War rela- tionship of ten selected Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries with the United States. It concludes with a summary chapter that highlights the main similarities and differences of the ten case studies. The relationship of the United States and CEE states has oscillated a lot since the end of the Cold War. The disagreements and problems were most evident in the political domain. Due to the institutionalised nature of the military domain, the defence cooperation has been mostly resilient to the fluctuations of the political relations. In the meanwhile, trade relations have never really reached the strategic sig-nificance that some states might have hoped in the 1990s. The examination of the past 30 years suggests that the defence collaboration will continue to provide a solid ba-sis of cooperation, despite the fact that the asymmetries with the U.S. are most visible in this area. Due to their limited resources and weak military capabilities, CEE states will continue to rely on U.S. assurances against the security threats that they are facing, while the U.S. will continue to urge the CEE states to take a larger share of the burden.

Srpska politička misao, 2022

This paper, divided in three chapters of uneven length, analyses the world trends in near future.... more This paper, divided in three chapters of uneven length, analyses the world trends in near future. Forecasting major processes at the global scale is a key task of the IR discipline. Author asks the question whether current world order restructuring is causing the outbreak of the new World War. In order to answer the question, he first underlines importance of forecasting, and explains what the world war is. Author claims that approach according to which it is required to have theoretical background in order to make scientific prediction is erroneous. The closest there is to objective framework is according to the author, to employ Italian neoclassical geopolitical school. In the article, author questions international and national, societal, political and only briefly economic trends in the collective West and in the Middle East. He presents the reasons why BRICS, or the East and South are growing and leading the change in major power redistribution in the framework of the new multipolar world order.

Serbian Political Thought, 2015

The EU is a major trading power in the world and formally the largest economy. Yet, its security ... more The EU is a major trading power in the world and formally the largest economy. Yet, its security and foreign policy have minor weight in global affairs. The EU is trying to accommodate its economic interests, partnership with the USA and the promotion of the global political and economic policies aimed at the promotion and application of good governance, respect of human rights and democratisation. Although its documents contain popular proclamations and articulated aims towards a more assertive presence in world security, it has achieved modest results in the Middle East and North Africa, where it failed to provide unified action of its member states. Instead, NATO and the Franco-British entante frugale are indirectly taking over the functionality and efficiency of EU Common Security and Defense Policy in this region. Key words: EU, Middle East, Africa, CSDP, entante frugale, UfM.

Medjunarodni problemi, 2016

The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become ... more The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become a macro-regional power by 2023. The author analyses components of variables in Davuto?lu's equation of power and the results of the ?zero problems with neighbours? policy as an essential prerequisite for Turkey becoming one of the poles of power at the global level. Presenting the state of progress in military industries, in the development of technological infrastructure and in the economy, the author assesses the limited progress and failure to materialise the country?s expected goals. After years of progress in various fields, the leading AKP party is now troubled by conflicts inside and outside the country. The author concludes that Turkey will not be able to realise its 2023 strategy due to combination of failures in internal, foreign and economic policies.

Institute of International Politics and Economics; Global Resource Management Program, 2015

Middle East and North Africa are for the long time mostly objects of international politics of ou... more Middle East and North Africa are for the long time mostly objects of international politics of outside powers. World reordering reflects on the local turbulences. Prospects for the consolidation of regional countries not dominated by the West were shattered in the Arab Spring and in its aftermath. IN short period of turbulences several changes are transforming the communities and international relations from Morocco to Iran. Deep crisis of governance and instability of borders, dying Peace process, the birth of the ‘Islamic State’ and general chaos are spreading through the region. They are both shaped by the conflicts initiated mostly by the USA, but also by their rising inadequacy and impossibility to control and calm the anarchy. Key words: USA, Arab Spring, Middle East peace process, failed states, Iran, Global East, Egypt.

Medjunarodni problemi, 2007

... godine, tokom posete Ankari, iranski ministar spoljnih poslova Manučer Motaki (ManouchehrMott... more ... godine, tokom posete Ankari, iranski ministar spoljnih poslova Manučer Motaki (ManouchehrMottaki) izjavio je da dve zemlje trenutno imaju trgovinsku razmenu od 6,7 milijardi dolara a da je dogovoreno da se ona uveća za još deset milijardi.37 Teheran i Ankara imaju barem ...

The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become ... more The article examines the probability of achieving the self-imposed criteria for Turkey to become a macro-regional power by 2023. The author analyses components of variables in Davutoğluʼs equation of power and the results of the " zero problems with neighbours " policy as an essential prerequisite for Turkey becoming one of the poles of power at the global level. Presenting the state of progress in military industries, in the development of technological infrastructure and in the economy, the author assesses the limited progress and failure to materialise the country's expected goals. After years of progress in various fields, the leading AKP party is now troubled by conflicts inside and outside the country. The author concludes that Turkey will not be able to realise its 2023 strategy due to combination of failures in internal, foreign and economic policies.

Issue of prognosis, analyses of future trends is companion to statecraft, political, economic an... more Issue of prognosis, analyses of future trends is
companion to statecraft, political, economic and military
planning. How we plan, what does IR says about
scientific prognosis. Jankovic starts with this set of issues
in order to pass into prognosis itself based on observable
world trends. He claims that European Union has entered
its climax comparing it foreignpolicy situation with that
of war situation of Third Reich in 1943. Article is divided
in five parts. After presenting and criticizing Anglo-American approach in prognosis, he starts with analysis
of the world order changes, of EU trends, Middle, Far
East and some trends regarding Africa. Author presents
macro trends in North – West Pacific, in Israel-Palestine,
in Syria, Iraq, in Europe.

Dialóg Campus Volume, 2019

This edited volume examines the post-Cold War rela- tionship of ten selected Central and Eastern ... more This edited volume examines the post-Cold War rela- tionship of ten selected Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries with the United States. It concludes with a summary chapter that highlights the main similarities and differences of the ten case studies. The relationship of the United States and CEE states has oscillated a lot since the end of the Cold War. The disagreements and problems were most evident in the political domain. Due to the institutionalised nature of the military domain, the defence cooperation has been mostly resilient to the fluctuations of the political relations. In the meanwhile, trade relations have never really reached the strategic sig-nificance that some states might have hoped in the 1990s. The examination of the past 30 years suggests that the defence collaboration will continue to provide a solid ba-sis of cooperation, despite the fact that the asymmetries with the U.S. are most visible in this area. Due to their limited resources and weak military capabilities, CEE states will continue to rely on U.S. assurances against the security threats that they are facing, while the U.S. will continue to urge the CEE states to take a larger share of the burden.