Stanley Pliska - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Papers by Stanley Pliska
Many financial data series are found to be co-integrated. The implications of cointegrationon opt... more Many financial data series are found to be co-integrated. The implications of cointegrationon option valuation are studied in this article, as we develop the optionvaluation theory for co-integrated price systems. We also examine the diffusion limitof the system and numerically demonstrate the co-integration effect using spread options.
In this paper we generalize the one-factor MBS-pricing model pro- posed by Kariya and Kobayashi(2... more In this paper we generalize the one-factor MBS-pricing model pro- posed by Kariya and Kobayashi(2000) to a 3-factor model. We describe prepayment behavior due to refinancing and rising housing prices by incentive response functions. Our valuation of an MBS is based on discrete-time, no-arbitrage pricing theory, making an association be- tween prepayment behavior and cash flow patterns. The structure, ra-
In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal contr... more In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal control of discrete time Markov chains to a new class of models. The state space is only ®nite, but now the assumptions about the Markov transition matrix are much less restrictive. Our results are then applied to the ®nancial problem of managing a portfolio of assets which are a¨ected by Markovian microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and where the investor seeks to maximize the portfolio's risk adjusted growth rate.
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics, 2011
Abstract We provide an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal... more Abstract We provide an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and investment, in the spirit of previous works by Pliska and Ye, to allow for a wage earner to have a random lifetime and to use a portion of the income to purchase life insurance in ...
Managerial Finance, 2011
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to generalize the one-factor mortgage-backed securities (M... more Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to generalize the one-factor mortgage-backed securities (MBS)-pricing model proposed by Kariya and Kobayashi to a three-factor model. The authors describe prepayment behavior due to refinancing and rising housing prices by discrete-time, no-arbitrage pricing theory, making an association between prepayment behavior and cash flow patterns. Design/methodology/approach – The structure, rationality and potential for
SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 2005
This paper presents an application of risk sensitive control theory in financial decision making.... more This paper presents an application of risk sensitive control theory in financial decision making. The investor has an infinite horizon objective that can be interpreted as maximizing the portfolio's risk adjusted exponential growth rate. There are two assets, a stock and a bank account, and two underlying Brownian motions, so this model is incomplete. The novel feature here is that the interest rate for the bank account is governed by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. This is significant for risk sensitive portfolio management because the factor process, unlike in the Gaussian and all other cases treated in the literature, cannot be negative.
Review of Accounting and Finance, 2003
Quantitative Finance, 2004
This paper studies the asset allocation problem of optimally tracking a target mix of asset categ... more This paper studies the asset allocation problem of optimally tracking a target mix of asset categories when there are transaction costs. We consider the trading strategy for an investor who is trying to minimize both fixed and proportional transaction costs while simultaneously minimizing the tracking error with respect to a specified, target asset mix. We use impulse control theory in
Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 1997
It is known that the optimal trading strategy for a certain portfolio problem featuring fixed tra... more It is known that the optimal trading strategy for a certain portfolio problem featuring fixed transaction costs is obtained from the solution of a free boundary problem. The latter can only be solved with numerical methods, and computations become formidable when the number of ...
Optimization, 2012
We introduce an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and inv... more We introduce an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and investment, in the spirit of previous works by Pliska and Ye, to allow for a wage earner to have a random lifetime and to use a portion of the income to purchase life insurance in order to provide for his estate, while investing his savings in a financial market comprised of one risk-free security and an arbitrary number of risky securities driven by multidimensional Brownian motion. We then provide a detailed analysis of the optimal consumption, investment, and insurance purchase strategies for the wage earner whose goal is to maximize the expected utility obtained from his family consumption, from the size of the estate in the event of premature death, and from the size of the estate at the time of retirement. We use dynamic programming methods to obtain explicit solutions for the case of discounted constant relative risk aversion utility functions and describe new analytical results which are presented together with the corresponding economic interpretations.
Operations Research, 1991
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research (ZOR), 1999
In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal contr... more In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal control of discrete time Markov chains to a new class of models. The state space is only ®nite, but now the assumptions about the Markov transition matrix are much less restrictive. Our results are then applied to the ®nancial problem of managing a portfolio of assets which are a¨ected by Markovian microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and where the investor seeks to maximize the portfolio's risk adjusted growth rate.
Mathematical Finance, 2005
A continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied where all the market coeff... more A continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied where all the market coefficients are random and the wealth process under any admissible trading strategy is not allowed to be below zero at any time. The trading strategy under consideration is defined in terms of the dollar amounts, rather than the proportions of wealth, allocated in individual stocks. The problem is completely solved using a decomposition approach. Specifically, a (constrained) variance minimizing problem is formulated and its feasibility is characterized. Then, after a system of equations for two Lagrange multipliers is solved, variance minimizing portfolios are derived as the replicating portfolios of some contingent claims, and the variance minimizing frontier is obtained. Finally, the efficient frontier is identified as an appropriate portion of the variance minimizing frontier after the monotonicity of the minimum variance on the expected terminal wealth over this portion is proved and all the efficient portfolios are found. In the special case where the market coefficients are deterministic, efficient portfolios are explicitly expressed as feedback of the current wealth, and the efficient frontier is represented by parameterized equations. Our results indicate that the efficient policy for a mean-variance investor is simply to purchase a European put option that is chosen, according to his or her risk preferences, from a particular class of options.
Mathematical Finance, 1995
We study optimal portfolio management policies for an investor who must pay a transaction cost eq... more We study optimal portfolio management policies for an investor who must pay a transaction cost equal to a tixed fraction of his portfolio value each time he trades. We focus on the infinite horizon objective function of maximizing the asymptotic growth rate. so the optimal policies we derive approximate those of an investor with logarithmic utility at a distant horizon. When investment opportunities are modeled as m correlated geometric Brownian motion stocks and a riskless bond, we show that the optimal policy reduces to solving a single stopping time problem. When there is a single risky stock, we give a system of equations whose solution determines the optimal rule. We use numerical methods to solve for the optimal policy when there are two risky stocks. We study several specific examples and observe the general qualitative result that, even with very low transaction cost levels, the optimal policy entails very infrequent trading.
Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1991
An example is given of a securities market in which there is no arbitrage and a risk-neutral agen... more An example is given of a securities market in which there is no arbitrage and a risk-neutral agent has an optimal demand subject to a minimum wealth constraint, yet there is no risk-neutral probability measure and no state price density. Also, there is no linear pricing rule on Lp for any p < a. This failure of the 'Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing' is due to a lack of countable additivity of the pricing operator in the market. Some suilicient conditions are also given for the existence of a risk-neutral probability measure and state price density for pricing L" claims.
Journal of Economic Theory, 1985
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2004
This paper investigates theoretical and practical aspects of options that are based upon two or m... more This paper investigates theoretical and practical aspects of options that are based upon two or more assets which are co-integrated. For this purpose, a new, discrete-time model of asset prices is developed, a model featuring both the co-integration property as well as stochastic volatilities. Using a GARCH, equilibrium-based option pricing approach, it is shown that when volatilities are deterministic the option prices do not depend on the co-integration parameters, except for the mis-speciÿcation e ect as to the manner in which the volatilities are estimated. However, with stochastic volatilities the option prices explicitly depend upon the co-integration parameters. In order to understand these results better, this paper also examines a continuous-time, di usion limit of the asset price system and empirically studies the co-integration e ect using spread options based upon the S& P500 and the NASDAQ100. These numerical results suggest that consideration of co-integration can substantially alter the value, delta and vega of a spread option. ?
Journal of Community Health, 1984
This synopsis presents data on the impact of services and evaluation issues for the nation's larg... more This synopsis presents data on the impact of services and evaluation issues for the nation's largest preventive child health program, the Early and Periodic Screening, Diagnosis and Treatment program (EPSDT). The information is drawn from a series of six EPSDT demonstration/evaluation (D/E) projects sponsored by the Health Care Financing Administration between 1972 and 1979. These projects were implemented in order to learn how to provide preventive services for children participating in the Medicaid program. The results of D/E activities are revised in a methodological framework as defined by principles of epidemiology and evaluation research. Consideration of the major threats to valid interpretation of the D/E findings shows self-selection to be the most serious methodological problem. Data pertaining to the history of use of preventive services, number of children found to have problems in screening, the treatment status and subjective seriousness of these problems, and the resolution of conditions referred to diagnosis and treatment are presented within the context of this methodological critique.
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2007
In this paper we consider optimal insurance and consumption rules for a wage earner whose lifetim... more In this paper we consider optimal insurance and consumption rules for a wage earner whose lifetime is random. The wage earner is endowed with an initial wealth, and he also receives an income continuously, but this may be terminated by the wage earner's premature death. We use dynamic programming to analyze this problem and derive the optimal insurance and consumption rules. Explicit solutions are found for the family of CRRA utilities, and the demand for life insurance is studied by examining our solutions and doing numerical experiments.
Many financial data series are found to be co-integrated. The implications of cointegrationon opt... more Many financial data series are found to be co-integrated. The implications of cointegrationon option valuation are studied in this article, as we develop the optionvaluation theory for co-integrated price systems. We also examine the diffusion limitof the system and numerically demonstrate the co-integration effect using spread options.
In this paper we generalize the one-factor MBS-pricing model pro- posed by Kariya and Kobayashi(2... more In this paper we generalize the one-factor MBS-pricing model pro- posed by Kariya and Kobayashi(2000) to a 3-factor model. We describe prepayment behavior due to refinancing and rising housing prices by incentive response functions. Our valuation of an MBS is based on discrete-time, no-arbitrage pricing theory, making an association be- tween prepayment behavior and cash flow patterns. The structure, ra-
In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal contr... more In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal control of discrete time Markov chains to a new class of models. The state space is only ®nite, but now the assumptions about the Markov transition matrix are much less restrictive. Our results are then applied to the ®nancial problem of managing a portfolio of assets which are a¨ected by Markovian microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and where the investor seeks to maximize the portfolio's risk adjusted growth rate.
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics, 2011
Abstract We provide an extension to Merton&#x27;s famous continuous time model of optimal... more Abstract We provide an extension to Merton&#x27;s famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and investment, in the spirit of previous works by Pliska and Ye, to allow for a wage earner to have a random lifetime and to use a portion of the income to purchase life insurance in ...
Managerial Finance, 2011
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to generalize the one-factor mortgage-backed securities (M... more Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to generalize the one-factor mortgage-backed securities (MBS)-pricing model proposed by Kariya and Kobayashi to a three-factor model. The authors describe prepayment behavior due to refinancing and rising housing prices by discrete-time, no-arbitrage pricing theory, making an association between prepayment behavior and cash flow patterns. Design/methodology/approach – The structure, rationality and potential for
SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 2005
This paper presents an application of risk sensitive control theory in financial decision making.... more This paper presents an application of risk sensitive control theory in financial decision making. The investor has an infinite horizon objective that can be interpreted as maximizing the portfolio's risk adjusted exponential growth rate. There are two assets, a stock and a bank account, and two underlying Brownian motions, so this model is incomplete. The novel feature here is that the interest rate for the bank account is governed by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics. This is significant for risk sensitive portfolio management because the factor process, unlike in the Gaussian and all other cases treated in the literature, cannot be negative.
Review of Accounting and Finance, 2003
Quantitative Finance, 2004
This paper studies the asset allocation problem of optimally tracking a target mix of asset categ... more This paper studies the asset allocation problem of optimally tracking a target mix of asset categories when there are transaction costs. We consider the trading strategy for an investor who is trying to minimize both fixed and proportional transaction costs while simultaneously minimizing the tracking error with respect to a specified, target asset mix. We use impulse control theory in
Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 1997
It is known that the optimal trading strategy for a certain portfolio problem featuring fixed tra... more It is known that the optimal trading strategy for a certain portfolio problem featuring fixed transaction costs is obtained from the solution of a free boundary problem. The latter can only be solved with numerical methods, and computations become formidable when the number of ...
Optimization, 2012
We introduce an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and inv... more We introduce an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal consumption and investment, in the spirit of previous works by Pliska and Ye, to allow for a wage earner to have a random lifetime and to use a portion of the income to purchase life insurance in order to provide for his estate, while investing his savings in a financial market comprised of one risk-free security and an arbitrary number of risky securities driven by multidimensional Brownian motion. We then provide a detailed analysis of the optimal consumption, investment, and insurance purchase strategies for the wage earner whose goal is to maximize the expected utility obtained from his family consumption, from the size of the estate in the event of premature death, and from the size of the estate at the time of retirement. We use dynamic programming methods to obtain explicit solutions for the case of discounted constant relative risk aversion utility functions and describe new analytical results which are presented together with the corresponding economic interpretations.
Operations Research, 1991
Mathematical Methods of Operations Research (ZOR), 1999
In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal contr... more In this paper we extend standard dynamic programming results for the risk sensitive optimal control of discrete time Markov chains to a new class of models. The state space is only ®nite, but now the assumptions about the Markov transition matrix are much less restrictive. Our results are then applied to the ®nancial problem of managing a portfolio of assets which are a¨ected by Markovian microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and where the investor seeks to maximize the portfolio's risk adjusted growth rate.
Mathematical Finance, 2005
A continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied where all the market coeff... more A continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied where all the market coefficients are random and the wealth process under any admissible trading strategy is not allowed to be below zero at any time. The trading strategy under consideration is defined in terms of the dollar amounts, rather than the proportions of wealth, allocated in individual stocks. The problem is completely solved using a decomposition approach. Specifically, a (constrained) variance minimizing problem is formulated and its feasibility is characterized. Then, after a system of equations for two Lagrange multipliers is solved, variance minimizing portfolios are derived as the replicating portfolios of some contingent claims, and the variance minimizing frontier is obtained. Finally, the efficient frontier is identified as an appropriate portion of the variance minimizing frontier after the monotonicity of the minimum variance on the expected terminal wealth over this portion is proved and all the efficient portfolios are found. In the special case where the market coefficients are deterministic, efficient portfolios are explicitly expressed as feedback of the current wealth, and the efficient frontier is represented by parameterized equations. Our results indicate that the efficient policy for a mean-variance investor is simply to purchase a European put option that is chosen, according to his or her risk preferences, from a particular class of options.
Mathematical Finance, 1995
We study optimal portfolio management policies for an investor who must pay a transaction cost eq... more We study optimal portfolio management policies for an investor who must pay a transaction cost equal to a tixed fraction of his portfolio value each time he trades. We focus on the infinite horizon objective function of maximizing the asymptotic growth rate. so the optimal policies we derive approximate those of an investor with logarithmic utility at a distant horizon. When investment opportunities are modeled as m correlated geometric Brownian motion stocks and a riskless bond, we show that the optimal policy reduces to solving a single stopping time problem. When there is a single risky stock, we give a system of equations whose solution determines the optimal rule. We use numerical methods to solve for the optimal policy when there are two risky stocks. We study several specific examples and observe the general qualitative result that, even with very low transaction cost levels, the optimal policy entails very infrequent trading.
Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1991
An example is given of a securities market in which there is no arbitrage and a risk-neutral agen... more An example is given of a securities market in which there is no arbitrage and a risk-neutral agent has an optimal demand subject to a minimum wealth constraint, yet there is no risk-neutral probability measure and no state price density. Also, there is no linear pricing rule on Lp for any p < a. This failure of the 'Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing' is due to a lack of countable additivity of the pricing operator in the market. Some suilicient conditions are also given for the existence of a risk-neutral probability measure and state price density for pricing L" claims.
Journal of Economic Theory, 1985
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2004
This paper investigates theoretical and practical aspects of options that are based upon two or m... more This paper investigates theoretical and practical aspects of options that are based upon two or more assets which are co-integrated. For this purpose, a new, discrete-time model of asset prices is developed, a model featuring both the co-integration property as well as stochastic volatilities. Using a GARCH, equilibrium-based option pricing approach, it is shown that when volatilities are deterministic the option prices do not depend on the co-integration parameters, except for the mis-speciÿcation e ect as to the manner in which the volatilities are estimated. However, with stochastic volatilities the option prices explicitly depend upon the co-integration parameters. In order to understand these results better, this paper also examines a continuous-time, di usion limit of the asset price system and empirically studies the co-integration e ect using spread options based upon the S& P500 and the NASDAQ100. These numerical results suggest that consideration of co-integration can substantially alter the value, delta and vega of a spread option. ?
Journal of Community Health, 1984
This synopsis presents data on the impact of services and evaluation issues for the nation's larg... more This synopsis presents data on the impact of services and evaluation issues for the nation's largest preventive child health program, the Early and Periodic Screening, Diagnosis and Treatment program (EPSDT). The information is drawn from a series of six EPSDT demonstration/evaluation (D/E) projects sponsored by the Health Care Financing Administration between 1972 and 1979. These projects were implemented in order to learn how to provide preventive services for children participating in the Medicaid program. The results of D/E activities are revised in a methodological framework as defined by principles of epidemiology and evaluation research. Consideration of the major threats to valid interpretation of the D/E findings shows self-selection to be the most serious methodological problem. Data pertaining to the history of use of preventive services, number of children found to have problems in screening, the treatment status and subjective seriousness of these problems, and the resolution of conditions referred to diagnosis and treatment are presented within the context of this methodological critique.
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2007
In this paper we consider optimal insurance and consumption rules for a wage earner whose lifetim... more In this paper we consider optimal insurance and consumption rules for a wage earner whose lifetime is random. The wage earner is endowed with an initial wealth, and he also receives an income continuously, but this may be terminated by the wage earner's premature death. We use dynamic programming to analyze this problem and derive the optimal insurance and consumption rules. Explicit solutions are found for the family of CRRA utilities, and the demand for life insurance is studied by examining our solutions and doing numerical experiments.