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Stefan Herzog

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Papers by Stefan Herzog

Research paper thumbnail of The Ecological Validity of Fluency Stefan M. Herzog and Ralph Hertwig University of Basel

Abstract This chapter reviews the ecological validity of processing fluency; that is, the extent ... more Abstract This chapter reviews the ecological validity of processing fluency; that is, the extent to which we can draw valid inferences about the external world by paying heed to our internal experience of fluency. As a proximal cue, fluency can help us navigate an uncertain world because it reflects the statistical structure of our environment. We can use the ecological connection between fluency and the world to inform our judgments and decisions.

Research paper thumbnail of The Crowd Within and the Benefits of Dialectical Bootstrapping A Reply to

Psychological Science, 2012

Can the “wisdom of crowds”(Surowiecki, 2004) be exploited within a single mind? Yes, one can incr... more Can the “wisdom of crowds”(Surowiecki, 2004) be exploited within a single mind? Yes, one can increase accuracy by averaging multiple estimates from the same person (Herzog & Hertwig, 2009; Hourihan & Benjamin, 2010; Müller-Trede, 2011; Rauhut & Lorenz, 2011; Stroop, 1932; Vul & Pashler, 2008; White & Antonakis, 2013; Winkler & Clemen, 2004). We proposed boosting this crowd-within effect with what we called dialectical bootstrapping (Herzog & Hertwig, 2009; hereafter, H&H): averaging a person's first estimate with his or ...

Research paper thumbnail of Fast and frugal heuristics: tools of social rationality

Research paper thumbnail of The wisdom of ignorant crowds: Predicting sport outcomes by mere recognition

Judgment and Decision Making, 2011

Research paper thumbnail of The Power of Fluency and Aggregation: Two Case Studies in the Cognitive Science of Human Judgment

Research paper thumbnail of Temporal distance and ease of retrieval

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of The Wisdom of Many in One Mind Improving Individual Judgments With Dialectical Bootstrapping

Psychological Science, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of A choice prediction competition: Choices from experience and from description

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Fluency heuristic: a model of how the mind exploits a by-product of information retrieval

Journal of Experimental Psychology-learning Memory and Cognition, 2008

Research paper thumbnail of The Ecological Validity of Fluency Stefan M. Herzog and Ralph Hertwig University of Basel

Abstract This chapter reviews the ecological validity of processing fluency; that is, the extent ... more Abstract This chapter reviews the ecological validity of processing fluency; that is, the extent to which we can draw valid inferences about the external world by paying heed to our internal experience of fluency. As a proximal cue, fluency can help us navigate an uncertain world because it reflects the statistical structure of our environment. We can use the ecological connection between fluency and the world to inform our judgments and decisions.

Research paper thumbnail of The Crowd Within and the Benefits of Dialectical Bootstrapping A Reply to

Psychological Science, 2012

Can the “wisdom of crowds”(Surowiecki, 2004) be exploited within a single mind? Yes, one can incr... more Can the “wisdom of crowds”(Surowiecki, 2004) be exploited within a single mind? Yes, one can increase accuracy by averaging multiple estimates from the same person (Herzog & Hertwig, 2009; Hourihan & Benjamin, 2010; Müller-Trede, 2011; Rauhut & Lorenz, 2011; Stroop, 1932; Vul & Pashler, 2008; White & Antonakis, 2013; Winkler & Clemen, 2004). We proposed boosting this crowd-within effect with what we called dialectical bootstrapping (Herzog & Hertwig, 2009; hereafter, H&H): averaging a person's first estimate with his or ...

Research paper thumbnail of Fast and frugal heuristics: tools of social rationality

Research paper thumbnail of The wisdom of ignorant crowds: Predicting sport outcomes by mere recognition

Judgment and Decision Making, 2011

Research paper thumbnail of The Power of Fluency and Aggregation: Two Case Studies in the Cognitive Science of Human Judgment

Research paper thumbnail of Temporal distance and ease of retrieval

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 2007

Research paper thumbnail of The Wisdom of Many in One Mind Improving Individual Judgments With Dialectical Bootstrapping

Psychological Science, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of A choice prediction competition: Choices from experience and from description

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2009

Research paper thumbnail of Fluency heuristic: a model of how the mind exploits a by-product of information retrieval

Journal of Experimental Psychology-learning Memory and Cognition, 2008

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