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Papers by Stuart Michelson
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2008
ABSTRACT Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time... more ABSTRACT Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a business appraiser forecasts future cash flows of any sort, these future value estimates are actually means of all likely cash flows in that particular year. The same holds true with discount rate estimates. Several software products allow an analyst to simulate variable future cash flows and/or discount rates but they all require the forecasting of a mean figure, its standard deviation or variance, the shape of its distribution and the correlation coefficients between all variables involved. Usually, accurately estimating most of these data are impossible in a business valuation context. This article presents a simplified method of developing an actual risk measure (standard deviation) that may be used with discounted cash flow valuation models.
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis
Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a busine... more Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a business appraiser forecasts future cash flows of any sort, these future value estimates are actually means of all likely cash flows in that particular year. The same holds true with discount rate estimates. Several software products allow an analyst to simulate variable future cash flows and/or discount rates but they all require the forecasting of a mean figure, its standard deviation or variance, the shape of its distribution and the correlation coefficients between all variables involved. Usually, accurately estimating most of these data are impossible in a business valuation context. This article presents a simplified method of developing an actual risk measure (standard deviation) that may be used with discounted cash flow valuation models.
In this study, we provide an examination of the literature on the variables that have influenced ... more In this study, we provide an examination of the literature on the variables that have influenced prior faculty decisions to retire. This provides a background on which to analysis current retirement issues facing faculty that teach at public institutions. By selecting the largest four-year public institutions of higher education in all fifty states, a broad overview of the breadth and scope of plan benefits and conditions is presented. We focus on the choices in defined benefit and defined contribution plans since the end of mandatory retirement and evaluate the risk and return of these plans for individual faculty and their decision to retire.
Journal of Real Estate Literature, 2005
Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, Oct 1, 2010
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2007 698975, Feb 22, 2009
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2006 650139, Feb 22, 2009
Managerial Finance, 2005
... R, and Resnick, B., Spring 1991, US-Based International Mutual Funds: A PerformanceEvaluatio... more ... R, and Resnick, B., Spring 1991, US-Based International Mutual Funds: A PerformanceEvaluation, Journal of ... A Study of Mutual Fund Investor's Fund Selection Ability, The Journal of Finance, 54 ... this index is listed for Pacific stock funds and measures the performance of stock ...
International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 2011
Financial Services Review, Oct 1, 2007
This paper develops a refinance model that provides pertinent information for investors about ref... more This paper develops a refinance model that provides pertinent information for investors about refinancing their mortgage. We discuss the input variables and how to compute the breakeven number of months when deciding to refinance a mortgage. We incorporate the interest rate tax effects that are normally ignored by investors when making their refinancing decision. We also compute the net present value and internal rate of return to allow one to analyze refinancing as an investment decision. Additionally we have developed an Excel model, complete with automated macros, to perform this analysis.
Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 2011
Journal of Business Economics Research, 2011
Financial Services Review, Dec 1, 2008
This study provides a base line cross sectional analysis of defined benefit (DB) and defined cont... more This study provides a base line cross sectional analysis of defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) retirement plans based on the largest four-year public institutions of higher education in each of the 50 states. The focus is on types of plans that are being offered and an evaluation of their risk and return. Findings pnwide comparative analysis on the broader trends in DB and DC plans offered by other public and private plans.
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2008 701956, Feb 22, 2009
International Journal of Business, Sep 22, 2010
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2008
ABSTRACT Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time... more ABSTRACT Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a business appraiser forecasts future cash flows of any sort, these future value estimates are actually means of all likely cash flows in that particular year. The same holds true with discount rate estimates. Several software products allow an analyst to simulate variable future cash flows and/or discount rates but they all require the forecasting of a mean figure, its standard deviation or variance, the shape of its distribution and the correlation coefficients between all variables involved. Usually, accurately estimating most of these data are impossible in a business valuation context. This article presents a simplified method of developing an actual risk measure (standard deviation) that may be used with discounted cash flow valuation models.
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis
Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a busine... more Risk, in a financial sense, is defined as variance about some forecasted value. Any time a business appraiser forecasts future cash flows of any sort, these future value estimates are actually means of all likely cash flows in that particular year. The same holds true with discount rate estimates. Several software products allow an analyst to simulate variable future cash flows and/or discount rates but they all require the forecasting of a mean figure, its standard deviation or variance, the shape of its distribution and the correlation coefficients between all variables involved. Usually, accurately estimating most of these data are impossible in a business valuation context. This article presents a simplified method of developing an actual risk measure (standard deviation) that may be used with discounted cash flow valuation models.
In this study, we provide an examination of the literature on the variables that have influenced ... more In this study, we provide an examination of the literature on the variables that have influenced prior faculty decisions to retire. This provides a background on which to analysis current retirement issues facing faculty that teach at public institutions. By selecting the largest four-year public institutions of higher education in all fifty states, a broad overview of the breadth and scope of plan benefits and conditions is presented. We focus on the choices in defined benefit and defined contribution plans since the end of mandatory retirement and evaluate the risk and return of these plans for individual faculty and their decision to retire.
Journal of Real Estate Literature, 2005
Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, Oct 1, 2010
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2007 698975, Feb 22, 2009
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2006 650139, Feb 22, 2009
Managerial Finance, 2005
... R, and Resnick, B., Spring 1991, US-Based International Mutual Funds: A PerformanceEvaluatio... more ... R, and Resnick, B., Spring 1991, US-Based International Mutual Funds: A PerformanceEvaluation, Journal of ... A Study of Mutual Fund Investor's Fund Selection Ability, The Journal of Finance, 54 ... this index is listed for Pacific stock funds and measures the performance of stock ...
International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 2011
Financial Services Review, Oct 1, 2007
This paper develops a refinance model that provides pertinent information for investors about ref... more This paper develops a refinance model that provides pertinent information for investors about refinancing their mortgage. We discuss the input variables and how to compute the breakeven number of months when deciding to refinance a mortgage. We incorporate the interest rate tax effects that are normally ignored by investors when making their refinancing decision. We also compute the net present value and internal rate of return to allow one to analyze refinancing as an investment decision. Additionally we have developed an Excel model, complete with automated macros, to perform this analysis.
Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 2011
Journal of Business Economics Research, 2011
Financial Services Review, Dec 1, 2008
This study provides a base line cross sectional analysis of defined benefit (DB) and defined cont... more This study provides a base line cross sectional analysis of defined benefit (DB) and defined contribution (DC) retirement plans based on the largest four-year public institutions of higher education in each of the 50 states. The focus is on types of plans that are being offered and an evaluation of their risk and return. Findings pnwide comparative analysis on the broader trends in DB and DC plans offered by other public and private plans.
Http Dx Doi Org 10 3905 Joi 2008 701956, Feb 22, 2009
International Journal of Business, Sep 22, 2010