Tugba Zeydanli - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Tugba Zeydanli

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Aug 1, 2021

Abstract This study investigates the lead effects of future plant closures for prospective displa... more Abstract This study investigates the lead effects of future plant closures for prospective displaced workers’ subjective and objective outcomes. We analyze the effects on their forward-looking subjective outcomes (job insecurity, probabilistic expectations of job loss and of job search), a current subjective outcome (job satisfaction), and current objective outcomes (weekly hours of work, earnings). We estimate the causal effect of the knowledge of future plant closure by combining propensity-score matching with fixed-effects difference-in-differences regressions using longitudinal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Our analysis shows significant lead effects in the year before plant closure. Although wide confidence intervals preclude definitive conclusions, our evidence does not exclude the existence of lead effects two years prior to a plant closure. Additionally, the lead effects do not generally show heterogeneous results based on job position, gender, or immigrant status.

Journal of Happiness Studies, May 5, 2014

We investigate whether individuals feel happier when others around them are happier in broadly de... more We investigate whether individuals feel happier when others around them are happier in broadly defined worker groups. This will be a formal test of spillovers in happiness. Answering this question requires a careful handling of the reflection problem, as it may not be possible to separate the endogenous spillover effects from contextual effects unless an appropriately designed identification strategy is employed. Implementing such a strategy and using the 2008 release of the British Housing Panel Survey (BHPS), we show that the group-level happiness does not have a statistically significant endogenous effect on individual-level happiness in the Great Britain. We report, however, statistically significant contextual effects in various dimensions including age, education, employer status, and health. These results suggest that higher group-level happiness does not spill over to the individual level in neither negative nor positive sense, while the individual-level happiness is instead determined by social context (i.e., the group-level counterparts of certain observed covariates). We also test the relevance of the "Easterlin paradox" and find that our result regarding the effect of income on happiness-controlling for social interactions effects-is the group-level analogue of Easterlin's original results.

Social Science Research Network, 2015

The literature documents that job satisfaction is positively correlated with worker performance a... more The literature documents that job satisfaction is positively correlated with worker performance and productivity. We examine whether aggregate job satisfaction in a certain labor market environment can have an impact on individual-level job satisfaction. If the answer is yes, then policies targeted to increase job satisfaction can increase productivity not only directly, but through spillover externalities too. We seek an answer to this question using two different data sets from the United Kingdom characterizing two different labor market environments: Workplace Employment Relations Survey (WERS) at the workplace level (i.e., narrowly defined worker groups) and British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) at the local labor market level (i.e., larger worker groups defined in industry × region cells). Implementing an original empirical strategy to identify spillover effects, we find that one standard deviation increase in aggregate job satisfaction leads to a 0.42 standard deviation increase in individual-level job satisfaction at the workplace level and 0.15 standard deviation increase in individual-level job satisfaction at the local labor market level. These social interactions effects are sizable and should not be ignored in assessing the effectiveness of the policies designed to improve job satisfaction.

African Development Review, Dec 1, 2017

In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), competitive elections can cause considerable violence and widespread... more In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), competitive elections can cause considerable violence and widespread destruction of property, most of which is ethnically motivated. Recent literature shows that ethnic identification is more prominent during competitive election periods in comparison to other identifying categories such as gender, religion, and class/ occupation. This paper utilizes data from 12 SSA countries and over 40,000 respondents taken from the Afrobarometer. It asks if individual perceived living conditions changes in the run-up to competitive elections. Strong evidence shows that a perceived living condition does change. It is positively related to the proximity to an election and this proximity effect depends on the competitiveness of the election. The paper further investigates the background mechanisms behind this positive relationship, that is, to what extent does living conditions of the individual change if the party that the individual supports wins the election and is there a change in living conditions of the individual before and after the election? In addition, this paper documents that ethnic identification also has a positive impact on individual perceived living conditions after controlling for electoral cycle variables.

Social Indicators Research, Oct 18, 2013

Individuals tend to self-report higher well-being levels on certain days of the weeks than they d... more Individuals tend to self-report higher well-being levels on certain days of the weeks than they do on the remaining days, controlling for observables. Using the 2008 release of the British Household Panel Survey, we test whether this empirical observation suffers from selection bias. In other words, we examine if subjective well-being is correlated with unobserved characteristics that lead the individuals to take the interview on specific days of the week. We focus on two distinct well-being measures: job satisfaction and happiness. We provide convincing evidence for both of these measures that the interviews are not randomly distributed across the days of the week. In other words, individuals with certain unobserved characteristics tend to take the interviews selectively. We conclude that a considerable part of the day-ofthe-week patterns can be explained by a standard "non-random sorting on unobservables" argument rather than "mood fluctuations". This means that the day-of-the-week estimates reported in the literature are likely to be biased and should be treated cautiously.

This dissertation consists of three essays on subjective well-being. The first essay examines whe... more This dissertation consists of three essays on subjective well-being. The first essay examines whether aggregate job satisfaction in a certain labor market environment can have an impact on individual-level job satisfaction. We seek an answer to this question using two different datasets from the United Kingdom characterizing two different labor market environments: Workplace Employment Relations Survey (WERS) at the workplace level (i.e., narrowly defined worker groups) and British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) at the local labor market level (i.e., larger worker groups defined in industry × region cells). Implementing an original empirical strategy to identify spillover effects, we find that one standard deviation increase in aggregate job satisfaction leads to a 0.42 standard deviation increase in individual-level job satisfaction at the workplace level and 0.15 standard deviation increase in individual-level job satisfaction at the local labor market level. These social interactions effects iii are sizable and should not be ignored in assessing the effectiveness of the policies designed to improve job satisfaction. Individuals tend to self-report higher subjective well-being levels on certain days of the weeks than they do on the remaining days, controlling for observed variation. The second essay tests whether this empirical observation suffers from selection bias by using the 2008 release of the British Household Panel Survey. In other words, we examine if subjective well-being is correlated with unobserved characteristics that lead the individuals to take the interview on specific days of the week. We focus on two distinct well-being measures: job satisfaction and happiness. We provide convincing evidence for both of these measures that the interviews are not randomly distributed across the days of the week. In other words, individuals with certain unobserved characteristics tend to take the interviews selectively. We conclude that a considerable part of the day-of-the-week patterns can be explained by a standard "non-random sorting on unobservables" argument rather than "mood fluctuations". This means that the day-of-the-week estimates reported in the literature are likely to be biased and should be treated cautiously. In Sub-Saharan Africa, some scholars identify ethnicity as a cause of instability and poor economic growth, which is due to worse public policies. Eifert, Miguel, and Posner (2010) show that ethnic identification is more prominent during competitive election periods in comparison to other identifying categories such as gender, religion, and class/occupation. The third essay utilizes data from 12 Sub-Saharan African countries and over 40,000 respondents taken iv from the Afrobarometer. It asks if individual subjective well-being changes in the run up to competitive elections. We find strong evidence that individual subjective well-being does change. It is positively related to the proximity to an election and this proximity effect depends on the competitiveness of the election. We further investigate the background mechanisms behind this positive relationship i.e.: to what extent does well-being of the individual change if the party that the individual supports wins the election, and is there a change in well-being of the individual before and after the election? In addition, we document that ethnic identification also has a positive impact on individual well-being after controlling for electoral cycle variables. Policy makers should internalize these positive externalities driven from politically-induced ethnic identification.

Social Science Research Network, 2021

This paper presents the first empirical evidence of the causal impact of individuals' education o... more This paper presents the first empirical evidence of the causal impact of individuals' education on their attitudes towards traditional gender roles in Europe. We employ two national panel datasets from the UK and Switzerland and a repeated cross-sectional dataset with information from 13 Western European countries for the analysis. To estimate the causal impact of education on gender role attitudes, we exploit the exogenous variation in individuals' education induced by the compulsory school reforms implemented in European countries after World War II. Our results suggest that an additional year of education instigates egalitarian gender role attitudes equivalent of 0.1-0.3 of a standard deviation. While education's moderating effect is particularly prominent among women, we find no evidence of effect heterogeneity concerning individuals' religiosity. Our findings are robust to numerous checks performed and are briefly discussed for their policy relevance.

Social Indicators Research, May 22, 2013

ABSTRACT This paper investigates the link between job satisfaction and home ownership. We explici... more ABSTRACT This paper investigates the link between job satisfaction and home ownership. We explicitly focus on the effect of a transition from non-ownership to ownership on the self-reported job satisfaction scores. In other words, we concentrate on the change in job satisfaction response for individuals observed right before and after the transition. Utilizing the panel feature of the British Household Panel Survey, we find that transition to ownership reduces job satisfaction within a year following the purchase—controlling for observed variation and unobserved heterogeneity. The reduction in job satisfaction is sharper when the purchase is financed through a mortgage. We also test if this pattern persists over years. We show that the initial reduction in job satisfaction is more than doubled within 3 years after the transition for both categories of ownership. We conclude that home ownership may be a constraint for the career prospects of the employed workers, since it reduces mobility and forces them to become more dependent on the local labor market conditions. These concerns are deeper in case of a debt-financed ownership.

African Development Review

Predicted probabilities of having a child, by country and gender.</p

Results of probit model on having the first child, by country and gender.</p

Marginal effects of having a child for the pooled model, by gender.</p

Results of probit model on having the second child, by country and gender.</p

Results of probit model on having a child (of any birth order), by country and gender.&l... more Results of probit model on having a child (of any birth order), by country and gender.</p

Predicted probabilities of having a second child, by country and gender.</p

Pas de résumé disponible.This dissertation consists of three essays on subjective well-being.The ... more Pas de résumé disponible.This dissertation consists of three essays on subjective well-being.The first essay examines whether aggregate job satisfaction in a certain labormarket environment can have an impact on individual-level job satisfaction.We seek an answer to this question using two different datasets from the UnitedKingdom characterizing two different labor market environments: WorkplaceEmployment Relations Survey (WERS) at the workplace level (i.e., narrowlydefined worker groups) and British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) at thelocal labor market level (i.e., larger worker groups defined in industry × regioncells). Implementing an original empirical strategy to identify spillover effects,we find that one standard deviation increase in aggregate job satisfaction leadsto a 0.42 standard deviation increase in individual-level job satisfaction at theworkplace level and 0.15 standard deviation increase in individual-level jobsatisfaction at the local labor market level. These soc...

Marginal effects of having the first child for the pooled model, by gender.</p

Marginal effects of having the second child for the pooled model, by gender.</p

Results of probit model on having a child (any birth order), first child and second chil... more Results of probit model on having a child (any birth order), first child and second child, by gender, pooled regression.</p