Wisnu Winardi - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Papers by Wisnu Winardi

Research paper thumbnail of Estimating Undocumented Transactions of Exports and Imports of Goods in Indonesia

Research paper thumbnail of Strengthening the Roles of Sustainable Maritime Economy in East Java, Indonesia

Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Indonesian Economy and Development (ICIED 2017), 2018

East Java is one of the strategic areas in strengthening the maritime economy in Indonesia. This ... more East Java is one of the strategic areas in strengthening the maritime economy in Indonesia. This study aims to (1) observe the roles of the maritime sector on the economic development in East Java, Indonesia; especially in the period of 2010-2015, and (2) to analyze the government's efforts in regulating the maritime sector in order to strengthen the strategies and safeguard and protect maritime users on an ongoing basis. The method used is input output (IO) method using data of IO year 2010 and 2015 East Java. The analysis shows that the maritime industry sector is a strategic sector in boosting regional economic performance. Some indications that cause the sector to be strategic are (1) the output of the maritime sector has been much processed before it reaches the final demand, (2) market consumption more in the processed industry, (3) the fishery product is processed before it is exported (4) Widespread market run (5) possess a wider range of investments and (6) stronger sector linkages. Furthermore, the government regulations through ministerial laws help the maritime industry be more strategic and promote environmentally-sound maritime development.

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Kenaikan Harga Kedelai Dunia Dan Penghapusan Tarif Impor Kedelai Terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat

The drought sufferd by saybean producing countries has coused an increase in world saybean price ... more The drought sufferd by saybean producing countries has coused an increase in world saybean price in 2012. Such condition resulted in unrest among various domestic companies since the majority of saybean consuption in indonesian is fulfilled through importation. This research is performed to analyze the impact of increased price of world saybean on the people’s welfore using the hicksin equivalent variation (EV) derived from the result of simultion uing static CGE model. This research also simulates the same shocking impact on the real importations, composite price, households consumptions and government income. Based on the result of simulation, the increase in world saybean price is estimated to decrease the real import of saybean and soy-related commodities in general, increase the composite price, reduse households consumption and welfore and increase the government income , the saybean importation tarif elimination policy adopted as a response to the 5% increase in world saybean...

Research paper thumbnail of Reinventing Social Responsibility in Indonesia: Impact of Increased Inter Household Transfers in Economy

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik, Jul 1, 2017

Dalam beberapa tahun ini ekonomi Indonesia tumbuh baik dengan diikuti tren penurunan tingkat peng... more Dalam beberapa tahun ini ekonomi Indonesia tumbuh baik dengan diikuti tren penurunan tingkat pengangguran dan kemiskinan. Namun demikian, capaian tersebut menjadi kurang maksimal karena belum disertai dengan peningkatan kualitas distribusi pendapatan. Sebagai negara besar dengan penduduk yang heterogen dan menganut nilai sosial, budaya dan agama yang kuat, Indonesia memiliki modal potensial yang dapat digunakan untuk memperbaiki kondisi tersebut. Salah satu modal tersebut di antaranya adalah transfer antar rumah tangga. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi dampak peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga sebagai refleksi dari peningkatan kepedulian sosial terhadap beberapa aspek ekonomi. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah model computable general equilibrium, berdasarkan data sistem neraca sosial ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2008. Model yang digunakan termasuk dalam kelas neo-klasik yang mengasumsikan analisis dampak bersifat jangka panjang. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga berdampak terhadap peningkatan pendapatan rumah tangga, peningkatan penerimaan pemerintah, penurunan tingkat harga komposit, dan peningkatan pemerataan distribusi pendapatan. Lebih lanjut, peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga juga berpengaruh terhadap struktur ekonomi, terutama pada komponen konsumsi rumah tangga dan investasi. Kontribusi konsumsi rumah tangga terhadap PDB menurut pengeluaran diperkirakan menjadi turun, sedangkan investasi meningkat. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga memiliki manfaat yang luas, baik dari aspek sosial maupun ekonomi.

Research paper thumbnail of The role of inter-household transfers in mitigating the impact of economic shocks on income distribution in Indonesia

Statistical Journal of the IAOS

COVID-19 outbreak has triggered many economic shocks globally. In this study we estimate the role... more COVID-19 outbreak has triggered many economic shocks globally. In this study we estimate the role of inter-households transfer in mitigating the impacts of the outbreak on Indonesian economy using a CGE model. The result shows that commodity prices and enactment of physical distancing measures bring negative impacts on the economy. Government response by lowering direct tax rates and increasing transfer to households could not fully compensate the impacts but enlighten it slightly. Households response by increasing inter-household transfers helps the government policy, particularly in reducing the decrease of households’ income and consumption. The result indicates that inter-household transfer could be regarded as an effective instrument to improve the household income distribution quality and reduce the poverty. Regarding that, stakeholders in the economy should improve the collaborative policies to capitalize the policy instruments optimally. Furthermore, the result also indicate...

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Pembatasan Impor Hortikultura Terhadap Aktivitas Perekonomian, Tingkat Harga Dan Kesejahteraan

Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan, Feb 4, 2014

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows higher import restriction on horticultural products will not only increase the factor income (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restriction on horticulture product serves as income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take the issue into account, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite prices increase, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability. Keywords: import reduction; prices, inflation, CGE; social welfare; income distribution.JEL Classification: E25, E27

Research paper thumbnail of The Impact of World Cpo Price Change Towards Prices, Economic Activities, and Income Distribution in Indonesia

Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, Dec 31, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of The Import Restriction of Horticultural Product, Domestic Activities, Price Level, and the Welfare

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows that higher import restrictions on horticultural products will not only increase the income factor (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restrictions on horticulture products serves as an income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take into account this issue, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite price increases, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability.

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Kenaikan Harga Kedelai Dunia dan Penghapusan Tarif Impor Kedelai Terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat

Research paper thumbnail of http://www.bi.go.id/id/publikasi/jurnal-ekonomi/Documents/WisnuWinardi.pdf

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows higher import restriction on horticultural products will not only increase the factor income (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restriction on horticulture product serves as income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take the issue into account, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite prices increase, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability.

Research paper thumbnail of Ekonomi Konsumen dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia

Research paper thumbnail of Estimating Undocumented Transactions of Exports and Imports of Goods in Indonesia

Research paper thumbnail of Strengthening the Roles of Sustainable Maritime Economy in East Java, Indonesia

Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Indonesian Economy and Development (ICIED 2017), 2018

East Java is one of the strategic areas in strengthening the maritime economy in Indonesia. This ... more East Java is one of the strategic areas in strengthening the maritime economy in Indonesia. This study aims to (1) observe the roles of the maritime sector on the economic development in East Java, Indonesia; especially in the period of 2010-2015, and (2) to analyze the government's efforts in regulating the maritime sector in order to strengthen the strategies and safeguard and protect maritime users on an ongoing basis. The method used is input output (IO) method using data of IO year 2010 and 2015 East Java. The analysis shows that the maritime industry sector is a strategic sector in boosting regional economic performance. Some indications that cause the sector to be strategic are (1) the output of the maritime sector has been much processed before it reaches the final demand, (2) market consumption more in the processed industry, (3) the fishery product is processed before it is exported (4) Widespread market run (5) possess a wider range of investments and (6) stronger sector linkages. Furthermore, the government regulations through ministerial laws help the maritime industry be more strategic and promote environmentally-sound maritime development.

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Kenaikan Harga Kedelai Dunia Dan Penghapusan Tarif Impor Kedelai Terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat

The drought sufferd by saybean producing countries has coused an increase in world saybean price ... more The drought sufferd by saybean producing countries has coused an increase in world saybean price in 2012. Such condition resulted in unrest among various domestic companies since the majority of saybean consuption in indonesian is fulfilled through importation. This research is performed to analyze the impact of increased price of world saybean on the people’s welfore using the hicksin equivalent variation (EV) derived from the result of simultion uing static CGE model. This research also simulates the same shocking impact on the real importations, composite price, households consumptions and government income. Based on the result of simulation, the increase in world saybean price is estimated to decrease the real import of saybean and soy-related commodities in general, increase the composite price, reduse households consumption and welfore and increase the government income , the saybean importation tarif elimination policy adopted as a response to the 5% increase in world saybean...

Research paper thumbnail of Reinventing Social Responsibility in Indonesia: Impact of Increased Inter Household Transfers in Economy

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik, Jul 1, 2017

Dalam beberapa tahun ini ekonomi Indonesia tumbuh baik dengan diikuti tren penurunan tingkat peng... more Dalam beberapa tahun ini ekonomi Indonesia tumbuh baik dengan diikuti tren penurunan tingkat pengangguran dan kemiskinan. Namun demikian, capaian tersebut menjadi kurang maksimal karena belum disertai dengan peningkatan kualitas distribusi pendapatan. Sebagai negara besar dengan penduduk yang heterogen dan menganut nilai sosial, budaya dan agama yang kuat, Indonesia memiliki modal potensial yang dapat digunakan untuk memperbaiki kondisi tersebut. Salah satu modal tersebut di antaranya adalah transfer antar rumah tangga. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi dampak peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga sebagai refleksi dari peningkatan kepedulian sosial terhadap beberapa aspek ekonomi. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah model computable general equilibrium, berdasarkan data sistem neraca sosial ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2008. Model yang digunakan termasuk dalam kelas neo-klasik yang mengasumsikan analisis dampak bersifat jangka panjang. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga berdampak terhadap peningkatan pendapatan rumah tangga, peningkatan penerimaan pemerintah, penurunan tingkat harga komposit, dan peningkatan pemerataan distribusi pendapatan. Lebih lanjut, peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga juga berpengaruh terhadap struktur ekonomi, terutama pada komponen konsumsi rumah tangga dan investasi. Kontribusi konsumsi rumah tangga terhadap PDB menurut pengeluaran diperkirakan menjadi turun, sedangkan investasi meningkat. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa peningkatan transfer antar rumah tangga memiliki manfaat yang luas, baik dari aspek sosial maupun ekonomi.

Research paper thumbnail of The role of inter-household transfers in mitigating the impact of economic shocks on income distribution in Indonesia

Statistical Journal of the IAOS

COVID-19 outbreak has triggered many economic shocks globally. In this study we estimate the role... more COVID-19 outbreak has triggered many economic shocks globally. In this study we estimate the role of inter-households transfer in mitigating the impacts of the outbreak on Indonesian economy using a CGE model. The result shows that commodity prices and enactment of physical distancing measures bring negative impacts on the economy. Government response by lowering direct tax rates and increasing transfer to households could not fully compensate the impacts but enlighten it slightly. Households response by increasing inter-household transfers helps the government policy, particularly in reducing the decrease of households’ income and consumption. The result indicates that inter-household transfer could be regarded as an effective instrument to improve the household income distribution quality and reduce the poverty. Regarding that, stakeholders in the economy should improve the collaborative policies to capitalize the policy instruments optimally. Furthermore, the result also indicate...

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Pembatasan Impor Hortikultura Terhadap Aktivitas Perekonomian, Tingkat Harga Dan Kesejahteraan

Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan, Feb 4, 2014

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows higher import restriction on horticultural products will not only increase the factor income (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restriction on horticulture product serves as income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take the issue into account, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite prices increase, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability. Keywords: import reduction; prices, inflation, CGE; social welfare; income distribution.JEL Classification: E25, E27

Research paper thumbnail of The Impact of World Cpo Price Change Towards Prices, Economic Activities, and Income Distribution in Indonesia

Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, Dec 31, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of The Import Restriction of Horticultural Product, Domestic Activities, Price Level, and the Welfare

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows that higher import restrictions on horticultural products will not only increase the income factor (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restrictions on horticulture products serves as an income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take into account this issue, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite price increases, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability.

Research paper thumbnail of Dampak Kenaikan Harga Kedelai Dunia dan Penghapusan Tarif Impor Kedelai Terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat

Research paper thumbnail of http://www.bi.go.id/id/publikasi/jurnal-ekonomi/Documents/WisnuWinardi.pdf

This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the econom... more This paper analyzes the impact of entry ports reduction on horticultural production on the economic activities, prices and also toward social welfare by using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. The simulation shows higher import restriction on horticultural products will not only increase the factor income (at current value), but will also increase the composite prices. The higher effect of the latter leads to social welfare reduction, but on the other hand favors the agriculture household types. This finding shows import restriction on horticulture product serves as income redistribution policy instrument. With regard to this, the monetary authority should take the issue into account, especially in order to anticipate the effect of composite prices increase, which could lead to the need of extra efforts in managing price stability.

Research paper thumbnail of Ekonomi Konsumen dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia