nooshin maroufi - Academia.edu (original) (raw)

Uploads

Papers by nooshin maroufi

Sustainable Water Resources Management

Environmental Science and Pollution Research

Economic development is associated with higher energy consumption, which has a direct impact on c... more Economic development is associated with higher energy consumption, which has a direct impact on climate change. As a result, today's growth policies should also align with environmental sustainability goals. Although socioeconomic variables related to air pollution have been extensively studied in previous studies, little research has examined their long-and short-term effects. This study aimed to investigate the long-run and short-run relationship between carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions, energy consumption, especially gas as a clean fuel, foreign direct investments (FDI), and gross domestic product (GDP) using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in Iran during the period of 40 years. The estimation results indicated the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for Iran. Moreover, empirical findings illustrate that the impact of financial growth on CO 2 emissions, in the long run, is U-shaped in Iran. The reliance on gas as a fuel for the country led to a reduction of the carbon and ecological footprints in a short time compared to other polluting fuels. Further, our empirical results indicate that economic growth and foreign direct investment contribute to reducing pollutant and carbon emissions in Iran over long and short periods. According to the empirical findings, important energy policy recommendations are offered. Keywords CO 2 emission • ARDL • Economic growth • Foreign direct investment • Gas consumption • Renewable energy Nomenclature EKC Environmental Kuznets curve GDP Gross domestic product FDI Foreign direct investment BP British Petroleum PLS Partial least squares ARDL Autoregressive distributed lag IEA International Energy Agency αi …n Short-run coefficients ∆ Promptness of correction ECMt−1 First differences of variables over time I (0) Lower boundaries I (1) Upper boundaries ἐt The error term CUSUM Cumulative sum of recursive residuals Highlights • The ARDL lag bound test is used to determine the socioeconomic factors on CO 2 emission. • The inverted U-shaped (EKC hypothesis) pattern is affirmed in Iran. • The strongest interaction appears between FDI, gas consumption, GDP, and CO 2 emission which have both short and long run. • In the long run, natural gas consumption shows a rising impact on CO 2 emissions, in contrast to the short-run impact. • The Iranian energy portfolio needs to be diversified urgently.

Sustainable Water Resources Management

Environmental Science and Pollution Research

Economic development is associated with higher energy consumption, which has a direct impact on c... more Economic development is associated with higher energy consumption, which has a direct impact on climate change. As a result, today's growth policies should also align with environmental sustainability goals. Although socioeconomic variables related to air pollution have been extensively studied in previous studies, little research has examined their long-and short-term effects. This study aimed to investigate the long-run and short-run relationship between carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions, energy consumption, especially gas as a clean fuel, foreign direct investments (FDI), and gross domestic product (GDP) using autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in Iran during the period of 40 years. The estimation results indicated the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis for Iran. Moreover, empirical findings illustrate that the impact of financial growth on CO 2 emissions, in the long run, is U-shaped in Iran. The reliance on gas as a fuel for the country led to a reduction of the carbon and ecological footprints in a short time compared to other polluting fuels. Further, our empirical results indicate that economic growth and foreign direct investment contribute to reducing pollutant and carbon emissions in Iran over long and short periods. According to the empirical findings, important energy policy recommendations are offered. Keywords CO 2 emission • ARDL • Economic growth • Foreign direct investment • Gas consumption • Renewable energy Nomenclature EKC Environmental Kuznets curve GDP Gross domestic product FDI Foreign direct investment BP British Petroleum PLS Partial least squares ARDL Autoregressive distributed lag IEA International Energy Agency αi …n Short-run coefficients ∆ Promptness of correction ECMt−1 First differences of variables over time I (0) Lower boundaries I (1) Upper boundaries ἐt The error term CUSUM Cumulative sum of recursive residuals Highlights • The ARDL lag bound test is used to determine the socioeconomic factors on CO 2 emission. • The inverted U-shaped (EKC hypothesis) pattern is affirmed in Iran. • The strongest interaction appears between FDI, gas consumption, GDP, and CO 2 emission which have both short and long run. • In the long run, natural gas consumption shows a rising impact on CO 2 emissions, in contrast to the short-run impact. • The Iranian energy portfolio needs to be diversified urgently.