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Research paper thumbnail of Breaking the low-pay, no-pay cycle: Final evidence from the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) demonstration

Research paper thumbnail of The Jobseeker’s Allowance Skills Conditionality Pilot

Research paper thumbnail of Mind the Gap Evaluation: Report and Executive Summary

Mind the Gap sought to improve the metacognition and academic attainment of pupils in Year 4. The... more Mind the Gap sought to improve the metacognition and academic attainment of pupils in Year 4. There were two aspects to the intervention. The first involved training teachers in how to embed metacognitive approaches in their work, and how to continue to effectively and strategically involve parents. This training took place over a day and was provided by a consultant. The second component focused on parental engagement and offered families the opportunity to participate in a series of facilitated workshops where children and parents work together to create an animated film. Sessions were coordinated by a practitioner who helped participants to think about how they are learning, create learning goals and reflect on their progress; to be metacognitive about the learning process they were engaged in together. The families were offered 2 hours of workshops per week for 5 weeks (10 hours in total). The project targeted schools in four areas of England: Birmingham, Devon, London and Manch...

Research paper thumbnail of Policy evaluation in a time of austerity: introduction

National Institute Economic Review, 2012

As Phil Davies (pp. R41–52) notes, the last government made a series of high-profile commitments ... more As Phil Davies (pp. R41–52) notes, the last government made a series of high-profile commitments to the idea of evidence-based policy. Central to this philosophy was a culture of evaluation whereby potential and actual policies were scrutinised and appraised in order to build and refine a knowledge base of 'what works'. While this was far from consistently applied, and the results of evaluations were not always comfortable reading for the government (for example, the very mixed results from the National Evaluation of Sure Start ...

Research paper thumbnail of Breaking the Low-Pay, No-Pay Cycle: Final Evidence from the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) Demonstration

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of The New Deal for Young People: effect of the options on the labour market status of young men

April 1998 with the twin aims of helping the young unemployed into work and increasing their empl... more April 1998 with the twin aims of helping the young unemployed into work and increasing their employability. It is a key element of the government's welfare-to-work strategy, being the largest of the New Deal programmes and the first to be implemented. The target group is all 18-24 year olds who have been claiming unemployment benefit

Research paper thumbnail of Visualising the school-to-work transition: an analysis using optimal matching

Abstract This paper explores the school-to-work transition in the UK with the aim of achieving a ... more Abstract This paper explores the school-to-work transition in the UK with the aim of achieving a richer understanding of individuals' choices and activities in the five years after reaching school-leaving age. Through the technique ofoptimal matching', we assess the degree of similarity between individuals' post-16 experiences in a way that captures the full detail of their five-year histories.

Research paper thumbnail of The impact of Pathways to Work on benefit receipt for the under 25s

This report describes the impact of Pathways to Work (Pathways) on those aged between 18 and 24 a... more This report describes the impact of Pathways to Work (Pathways) on those aged between 18 and 24 at the start of their claim for Incapacity Benefit (IB) within the original seven pilot areas and the first two groups of expansion areas (those areas where Pathways was introduced in October 2005 and April 2006). The figures are based on a difference-in-differences analysis of administrative data and consider the impact of Pathways on claims for IB and Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA).

Research paper thumbnail of The effect of lifelong learning on men’s wages

Abstract This paper develops a model of earnings and applies this to an examination of the effect... more Abstract This paper develops a model of earnings and applies this to an examination of the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey, a variant of the mover-stayer model is developed in which hourly wages are either taken from a stationary distribution (movers) or are closely related to the hourly wage one year earlier (stayers).

Research paper thumbnail of Work Focused Interviews for Partners and enhanced New Deal for Partners: quantitative impact assessment

The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) co... more The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) colleagues; in particular, Jenny Crook and Helen Wood who managed the project, and Mike Daly and Jane Perry who were involved in the early stages of the project. A number of people were involved in constructing the database on which the evaluation was based, in particular: Jess Arrowsmith, Jeremy Burrows and Katherine Tomlinson. Michael Lechner provided invaluable consultancy advice.

Research paper thumbnail of Mandating Intensive Activity Period for jobseekers aged 50+: final report of the quantitative evaluation

Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 500 Mandating Intensive Activity Peri... more Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 500 Mandating Intensive Activity Period for jobseekers aged 50+: final report of the quantitative evaluation Richard Dorsett and Deborah Smeaton A report of research carried out by the Policy Studies Institute on behalf of the Department for Work and Pensions Page 2. © Crown Copyright 2008.

Research paper thumbnail of Using matched substitutes to adjust for nonignorable nonresponse: an empirical investigation using labour market data

Abstract This paper assesses the potential for reducing attrition bias by replacing survey dropou... more Abstract This paper assesses the potential for reducing attrition bias by replacing survey dropouts with individuals from a refreshment sample, identified using propensity score matching. By linking administrative records with survey data, it is possible to observe outcomes for dropouts and therefore to test models of attrition. Doing so reveals the dropout process to be nonignorable such that the commonly-used method of reweighting non-dropouts is ineffective in overcoming attrition bias.

Research paper thumbnail of 9. Employment incentives for sole parents: labour market effects of changes to financial incentives and support

The New Zealand Government has used the tax system as a vehicle for delivering family-targeted so... more The New Zealand Government has used the tax system as a vehicle for delivering family-targeted social assistance since 1986 when Family Assistance Tax Credits replaced other social assistance for families that was paid entirely through the Department of Social Welfare.

Research paper thumbnail of Economic benefits of lifelong learning

Abstract This paper examines the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using... more Abstract This paper examines the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey, a variant of the mover-stayer model is developed in which hourly wages are either taken from a stationary distribution (movers) or are closely related to the hourly wage one year earlier (stayers). Mover-stayer status is not observed and we therefore model wages using an endogenous switching regression, extended to take account of non-random selection into employment.

Research paper thumbnail of Pathways to Work for new and repeat incapacity benefits claimants: Evaluation synthesis report

Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 525 Pathways to Work for new and repe... more Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 525 Pathways to Work for new and repeat incapacity benefits claimants: Evaluation synthesis report Richard Dorsett A report of research carried out by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research on behalf of the Department for Work and Pensions Page 2. © Crown Copyright 2008.

Research paper thumbnail of Earnings top-up evaluation: effects on unemployed people

Roberts, S. Stafford, B. and Vincent, J. 2001, Department of Social Security Research Report No. ... more Roberts, S. Stafford, B. and Vincent, J. 2001, Department of Social Security Research Report No. 133). This report presents the findings of qualitative research conducted by CRSP as part of the evaluation of ETU. The report has three parts focusing on ex-recipients of ETU, self-employed recipients and unsuccessful ETU applicants.

Research paper thumbnail of Joint Claims for JSA extension: A technical report on the quantitative evaluation of labour market effects

Joint Claims for Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA)(hereafter,'Joint Claims') was introduced on 19 March... more Joint Claims for Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA)(hereafter,'Joint Claims') was introduced on 19 March 2001. Previously,(income-based) JSA could be received at the increased rate for a dependent partner yet there was no obligation for that partner to seek work. 1 Joint Claims effectively removed the distinction between claimant and dependent partner such that both were required to satisfy the requirement of actively seeking, and being available for, work.

Research paper thumbnail of The Jobseeker’s Allowance Skills Conditionality Pilot

" The Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA) Skills Conditionality Pilot was launched in April 2010 with the... more " The Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA) Skills Conditionality Pilot was launched in April 2010 with the aim of exploring the labour market effects of mandating participation in training. The pilot targeted JSA claimants entering stage 3 of the Jobseeker's Regime and Flexible New Deal (JRFND) who had an identified skills need. It was based on a random assignment design whereby the requirement to participate would be imposed on the basis of National Insurance number (NINO) to half of those referred to training.

Research paper thumbnail of Work-Based Learning for Adults: an evaluation of labour market effects

A. 1 Sampling weights and sample representativeness 91 A. 2 Simulating start dates for non-partic... more A. 1 Sampling weights and sample representativeness 91 A. 2 Simulating start dates for non-participants 91 A. 3 Performance of the match 92 A. 4 Sensitivity analysis 95 A. 5 Characteristics of participants excluded from the analysis 96 A. 6 Outcomes for participants and matched non-participants 97 iv

Research paper thumbnail of Evidence on the effect of Pathways to Work on existing claimants

Background The Pathways to Work package of reforms ('Pathways', for short) is aimed at encouragin... more Background The Pathways to Work package of reforms ('Pathways', for short) is aimed at encouraging employment among people claiming incapacity benefits. The reforms were piloted for those starting a new claim in three Jobcentre Plus districts in October 2003 and a further four Jobcentre Plus districts in April 2004.

Research paper thumbnail of Breaking the low-pay, no-pay cycle: Final evidence from the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) demonstration

Research paper thumbnail of The Jobseeker’s Allowance Skills Conditionality Pilot

Research paper thumbnail of Mind the Gap Evaluation: Report and Executive Summary

Mind the Gap sought to improve the metacognition and academic attainment of pupils in Year 4. The... more Mind the Gap sought to improve the metacognition and academic attainment of pupils in Year 4. There were two aspects to the intervention. The first involved training teachers in how to embed metacognitive approaches in their work, and how to continue to effectively and strategically involve parents. This training took place over a day and was provided by a consultant. The second component focused on parental engagement and offered families the opportunity to participate in a series of facilitated workshops where children and parents work together to create an animated film. Sessions were coordinated by a practitioner who helped participants to think about how they are learning, create learning goals and reflect on their progress; to be metacognitive about the learning process they were engaged in together. The families were offered 2 hours of workshops per week for 5 weeks (10 hours in total). The project targeted schools in four areas of England: Birmingham, Devon, London and Manch...

Research paper thumbnail of Policy evaluation in a time of austerity: introduction

National Institute Economic Review, 2012

As Phil Davies (pp. R41–52) notes, the last government made a series of high-profile commitments ... more As Phil Davies (pp. R41–52) notes, the last government made a series of high-profile commitments to the idea of evidence-based policy. Central to this philosophy was a culture of evaluation whereby potential and actual policies were scrutinised and appraised in order to build and refine a knowledge base of 'what works'. While this was far from consistently applied, and the results of evaluations were not always comfortable reading for the government (for example, the very mixed results from the National Evaluation of Sure Start ...

Research paper thumbnail of Breaking the Low-Pay, No-Pay Cycle: Final Evidence from the UK Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) Demonstration

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of The New Deal for Young People: effect of the options on the labour market status of young men

April 1998 with the twin aims of helping the young unemployed into work and increasing their empl... more April 1998 with the twin aims of helping the young unemployed into work and increasing their employability. It is a key element of the government's welfare-to-work strategy, being the largest of the New Deal programmes and the first to be implemented. The target group is all 18-24 year olds who have been claiming unemployment benefit

Research paper thumbnail of Visualising the school-to-work transition: an analysis using optimal matching

Abstract This paper explores the school-to-work transition in the UK with the aim of achieving a ... more Abstract This paper explores the school-to-work transition in the UK with the aim of achieving a richer understanding of individuals' choices and activities in the five years after reaching school-leaving age. Through the technique ofoptimal matching', we assess the degree of similarity between individuals' post-16 experiences in a way that captures the full detail of their five-year histories.

Research paper thumbnail of The impact of Pathways to Work on benefit receipt for the under 25s

This report describes the impact of Pathways to Work (Pathways) on those aged between 18 and 24 a... more This report describes the impact of Pathways to Work (Pathways) on those aged between 18 and 24 at the start of their claim for Incapacity Benefit (IB) within the original seven pilot areas and the first two groups of expansion areas (those areas where Pathways was introduced in October 2005 and April 2006). The figures are based on a difference-in-differences analysis of administrative data and consider the impact of Pathways on claims for IB and Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA).

Research paper thumbnail of The effect of lifelong learning on men’s wages

Abstract This paper develops a model of earnings and applies this to an examination of the effect... more Abstract This paper develops a model of earnings and applies this to an examination of the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey, a variant of the mover-stayer model is developed in which hourly wages are either taken from a stationary distribution (movers) or are closely related to the hourly wage one year earlier (stayers).

Research paper thumbnail of Work Focused Interviews for Partners and enhanced New Deal for Partners: quantitative impact assessment

The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) co... more The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) colleagues; in particular, Jenny Crook and Helen Wood who managed the project, and Mike Daly and Jane Perry who were involved in the early stages of the project. A number of people were involved in constructing the database on which the evaluation was based, in particular: Jess Arrowsmith, Jeremy Burrows and Katherine Tomlinson. Michael Lechner provided invaluable consultancy advice.

Research paper thumbnail of Mandating Intensive Activity Period for jobseekers aged 50+: final report of the quantitative evaluation

Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 500 Mandating Intensive Activity Peri... more Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 500 Mandating Intensive Activity Period for jobseekers aged 50+: final report of the quantitative evaluation Richard Dorsett and Deborah Smeaton A report of research carried out by the Policy Studies Institute on behalf of the Department for Work and Pensions Page 2. © Crown Copyright 2008.

Research paper thumbnail of Using matched substitutes to adjust for nonignorable nonresponse: an empirical investigation using labour market data

Abstract This paper assesses the potential for reducing attrition bias by replacing survey dropou... more Abstract This paper assesses the potential for reducing attrition bias by replacing survey dropouts with individuals from a refreshment sample, identified using propensity score matching. By linking administrative records with survey data, it is possible to observe outcomes for dropouts and therefore to test models of attrition. Doing so reveals the dropout process to be nonignorable such that the commonly-used method of reweighting non-dropouts is ineffective in overcoming attrition bias.

Research paper thumbnail of 9. Employment incentives for sole parents: labour market effects of changes to financial incentives and support

The New Zealand Government has used the tax system as a vehicle for delivering family-targeted so... more The New Zealand Government has used the tax system as a vehicle for delivering family-targeted social assistance since 1986 when Family Assistance Tax Credits replaced other social assistance for families that was paid entirely through the Department of Social Welfare.

Research paper thumbnail of Economic benefits of lifelong learning

Abstract This paper examines the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using... more Abstract This paper examines the effect of lifelong learning on men's employment and wages. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey, a variant of the mover-stayer model is developed in which hourly wages are either taken from a stationary distribution (movers) or are closely related to the hourly wage one year earlier (stayers). Mover-stayer status is not observed and we therefore model wages using an endogenous switching regression, extended to take account of non-random selection into employment.

Research paper thumbnail of Pathways to Work for new and repeat incapacity benefits claimants: Evaluation synthesis report

Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 525 Pathways to Work for new and repe... more Page 1. Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 525 Pathways to Work for new and repeat incapacity benefits claimants: Evaluation synthesis report Richard Dorsett A report of research carried out by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research on behalf of the Department for Work and Pensions Page 2. © Crown Copyright 2008.

Research paper thumbnail of Earnings top-up evaluation: effects on unemployed people

Roberts, S. Stafford, B. and Vincent, J. 2001, Department of Social Security Research Report No. ... more Roberts, S. Stafford, B. and Vincent, J. 2001, Department of Social Security Research Report No. 133). This report presents the findings of qualitative research conducted by CRSP as part of the evaluation of ETU. The report has three parts focusing on ex-recipients of ETU, self-employed recipients and unsuccessful ETU applicants.

Research paper thumbnail of Joint Claims for JSA extension: A technical report on the quantitative evaluation of labour market effects

Joint Claims for Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA)(hereafter,'Joint Claims') was introduced on 19 March... more Joint Claims for Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA)(hereafter,'Joint Claims') was introduced on 19 March 2001. Previously,(income-based) JSA could be received at the increased rate for a dependent partner yet there was no obligation for that partner to seek work. 1 Joint Claims effectively removed the distinction between claimant and dependent partner such that both were required to satisfy the requirement of actively seeking, and being available for, work.

Research paper thumbnail of The Jobseeker’s Allowance Skills Conditionality Pilot

" The Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA) Skills Conditionality Pilot was launched in April 2010 with the... more " The Jobseeker's Allowance (JSA) Skills Conditionality Pilot was launched in April 2010 with the aim of exploring the labour market effects of mandating participation in training. The pilot targeted JSA claimants entering stage 3 of the Jobseeker's Regime and Flexible New Deal (JRFND) who had an identified skills need. It was based on a random assignment design whereby the requirement to participate would be imposed on the basis of National Insurance number (NINO) to half of those referred to training.

Research paper thumbnail of Work-Based Learning for Adults: an evaluation of labour market effects

A. 1 Sampling weights and sample representativeness 91 A. 2 Simulating start dates for non-partic... more A. 1 Sampling weights and sample representativeness 91 A. 2 Simulating start dates for non-participants 91 A. 3 Performance of the match 92 A. 4 Sensitivity analysis 95 A. 5 Characteristics of participants excluded from the analysis 96 A. 6 Outcomes for participants and matched non-participants 97 iv

Research paper thumbnail of Evidence on the effect of Pathways to Work on existing claimants

Background The Pathways to Work package of reforms ('Pathways', for short) is aimed at encouragin... more Background The Pathways to Work package of reforms ('Pathways', for short) is aimed at encouraging employment among people claiming incapacity benefits. The reforms were piloted for those starting a new claim in three Jobcentre Plus districts in October 2003 and a further four Jobcentre Plus districts in April 2004.

Research paper thumbnail of What young English people do once they reach school-leaving age: a cross-cohort comparison for the last 30 years.

This paper examines how young people’s early transitions into the labour market have changed betw... more This paper examines how young people’s early transitions into the labour market have changed between cohorts born in 1958, 1970, 1980, and 1990. We use sequence analysis to characterise transition patterns and identify three distinct pathways in all cohorts. An ‘Entering the Labour Market’ group has declined significantly in size (from 91% in the earliest cohort, to 37% in the most recent), an ‘Accumulating Human Capital’ group has grown in its place (from 4% to 51%), but also a ‘Potential Cause for Concern’ group has grown alongside this, reaching 12% in the most recent cohort. These trends appear to reflect behavioural rather than compositional changes. Females and those who are from a non-white ethnic background have gone from being more likely to be in the ‘Potential Cause for Concern’ group, to being less likely. Coming from a low socio-economic status background has remained a strong predictor of having a transition of this type across all four cohorts. These early transitions are important, not least since we show they are highly predictive of longer-term outcomes.