Samet GÜRSOY - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Papers by Samet GÜRSOY
Energies, Nov 7, 2023
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY
Ekonomi ve finansal araştırmalar dergisi :, Jun 26, 2024
TroyAcademy, 2023
ChatGPT is a derivative of the GPT model and is an artificial intelligence technology used in the... more ChatGPT is a derivative of the GPT model and is an artificial intelligence technology used in the field of natural language processing. This model is used to generate appropriate responses to the user's text-based input by pre-training large amounts of text. The aim of this study is to examine the advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats of using ChatGPT in financial markets by performing a SWOT analysis. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that ChatGPT has potential advantages in financial analysis and decision-making processes. ChatGPT offers fast and direct communication, instant data analysis and personalized investment recommendations. These features can help investors track market movements and create personal investment strategies. At the same time, predicting future price movements by analyzing large amounts of data can ensure effective and efficient use in financial markets.
Ekonomika
Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten year... more Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten years in the last quarter of 2021. It’s possible to express that energy prices in 2021 were much higher, compared to the crisis of 2020’s Covid-19 breakout’s historical descent in the first few months. There are a few factors to this rally. The epidemic caused structural fractions on a global scale. But in general, there is no doubt that crisis factors, which mainly concern Europe, are not limited (with) recovery process in the economy. With this notion, the main structure of this work’s subject aims to analyze the lead-up to the energy crisis that became apparent in 2021. Also, in the work, the energy crisis that’s been occurring will be analyzed thoroughly, with the help of its dynamics and causes. Within the scope of the study, the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test was run using the weekly stock closing data of EU natural gas prices (EUGP), Gazprom (XGASPR), and Equinor (XEQUNR) f...
Uluslararası piyasalarda 1929`dan 1970`lere kadar etkisini gösteren Keynesçi düşünce yapısının bi... more Uluslararası piyasalarda 1929`dan 1970`lere kadar etkisini gösteren Keynesçi düşünce yapısının bir sonucu olan korumacı ve müdahaleci yaklaşım, artık yerini daha liberal ve dışa açık bir şekilde işleyen piyasalara bırakmıştır. Bu yaklaşım önceleri finansal sermaye ihtiyacı duyan az gelişmiş veya gelişmekte olan ekonomiler için bir can suyu niteliği taşırken, daha sonraları sermaye giriş çıkışlarındaki ani dalgalanmalar ülkelerin makroekonomik değişkenleri üzerinde olumsuz sonuçlara sebep olmuştur. Bu alanda daha önceki yapılan çalışmalara bakıldığında anlık sermaye hareketliliğinin ülkelerin reel döviz kurlarında, faiz oranları ve sermaye piyasaları üzerinde yüksek bir volatilite oluşturduğu, sonuçta buna bağlı olarak piyasaların finansal olarak daha kırılgan ve dışa bağımlı hale gelmesine neden olduğu görülmüştür. Bu nedenle ülkeler ortaya çıkan bu olumsuz durumu bertaraf etmek için sermaye kontrolü kuralları altında bir dizi düzenleme ve denetleme mekanizması geliştirmişlerdir. Bunlar içerisinde en yaygın yöntem Tobin vergisi uygulaması olup, birçok ülke tarafından farklı zamanlarda kullanılmıştır. Bu çalışmada ise 1992 yılından günümüze kadar uygulanmış sermaye kontrolleri incelenmiştir. Genel olarak sonuçlara bakıldığında farklı ülkelerde uygulanmış sermaye kontrolleri kısmen başarı sağlamış olsa da Malezya ve Şili dışında birçok ülkede başarısızlıkla sonuçlanmıştır. Birçok çalışmanın sonucunda ise; uygulamaların her ülkenin kendi ekonomik, finansal ve coğrafi dinamikleri dikkate alınarak yapıldığında başarıya ulaşmaya daha yakın olunacağı belirtilmiştir.
İktisadi idari ve siyasal araştırmalar dergisi, Jun 30, 2023
Foreign trade plays a key role in the development of a country's economy and international so... more Foreign trade plays a key role in the development of a country's economy and international social relations. Accordingly, the increase and decrease in a country's trade openness directly and indirectly affects macroeconomic indicators. In short, it is important to know the expected relationship between trade openness and inflation for a country's economy. Investigating the relationship between trade openness and inflation is important in keeping inflation under control, along with foreign trade policy practices. On the other hand, the theoretical basis of the association between trade openness and inflation is known with the Romer (1993) Hypothesis. According to the Romer Hypothesis, it is argued that an increase in trade openness will negatively affect inflation. However, although there are findings supporting this theory for the studies done so far, there are empirical studies expressing the opposite. This study has investigated this relationship in MIKTA countries. Kónya (2006) panel causality test was used in the study using annual data between 1960 and 2020. In result of the paper, it is found that there is no causal linkage between trade openness and inflation in countries. These results do not coincide with the Romer (1993) Hypothesis.
Environmental Science and Pollution Research, May 16, 2023
Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Aug 9, 2023
Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, Mar 30, 2022
Purpose-Investigating the relationship between the energy consumption for Bitcoin and the price a... more Purpose-Investigating the relationship between the energy consumption for Bitcoin and the price and policy uncertainties in the cryptocurrency markets. Methodology-It was preferred for unit root tests of series the Zivot-Andrews Unit Root Test, which takes into account structural breaks. Depending on the stagnation of the variables at different levels, the Toda-Yamamoto (1995) causality test was applied by using weekly data in period 19.02.2017 and 07.02.2021. Findings-One-way causality was found on the indices of cryptocurrency price uncertainty and cryptocurrency policy uncertainty from bitcoin energy consumption. In addition, it is understood from the Chi-Square Test Statistic (13.16980) coefficient that the change in bitcoin energy consumption is more dominant on the crypto money policy uncertainty. It was reached that changes in bitcoin energy consumption have an effect on both price and crypto money policies in all crypto markets. Conclusion-In line with these results, it is concluded that the uncertainties in the crypto markets are under the influence of many external political factors. This study investigated the effect of price and political uncertainty on bitcoin energy consumption in the entire cryptocurrency market, but it was concluded that bitcoin energy consumption is not only linked to crypto markets, but also under the influence of government interventions, bans, ill-recognition, and developments and movements in other financial markets.
Energies, Jan 24, 2023
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY
Geothermal Energy
The aim of this study is to investigate the impacts of wind and geothermal energy consumption on ... more The aim of this study is to investigate the impacts of wind and geothermal energy consumption on economic growth and financial development over the period 2016:M1 and 2020:M11. The data obtained from Germany, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, Portugal, Turkey, and the United States of America, which consume wind and geothermal energy, were utilized in the research study. To this end, after determining the cointegration relationship between the variables, the long-term elasticity coefficients were estimated by employing the FMOLS (2000) and DOLS (2001) models. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that geothermal energy consumption had a positive impact on financial development. Nonetheless, wind energy had no impact on financial development, whereas it had a negative impact on economic growth. According to the Dumitrescu–Hurlin causality test results, it was determined that a unilateral causality existed from wind and geothermal energy consumption to economic grow...
DergiPark (Istanbul University), Dec 21, 2021
It is argued that the economy model, in which public sector is predominant provides more advantag... more It is argued that the economy model, in which public sector is predominant provides more advantages than the economy model in which market economy is effective in the process of ensuring macroeconomic stability, and this is a requirement of the welfare state understanding. From this basic view, the relationship between the economic size of public sector and macroeconomic stability was examined in the study, in which Turkeyˈs data for the period 1980-2019 was used. According to the causality test results of Toda and Yamamoto (1995), it was concluded that there is a causal relationship from public expenditures to economic growth and inflation, but there is no causality relationship to unemployment. These results provide important evidence that changes in the size of the public sector are the cause of changes in economic growth and inflation.
Bu makaleyle, Pazarda basariyi yakalamaya calisan cep telefonu markalarinin calismalari incelenms... more Bu makaleyle, Pazarda basariyi yakalamaya calisan cep telefonu markalarinin calismalari incelenmstir. Marka inovasyonu ve onun cep telefonu satislarina katkisi arastirilmistir. Bu amacla Motorola cep telefonunun durumu dunyadaki diger cep telefonu markalariyla karsilastirmali olarak degerlendirilmistir. Ornek olay calismasiyla, Motorola cep telefonu markasi inovasyon acisindan incelenmistir. Yapilan calisma sonucunda ise Motorola markasi inovasyon acisindan rakiplerine gore pazardaki ustunlugunu kaybetmis oldugu anlasilmistir
Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, Mar 30, 2022
Purpose-Metaverse is one of the blockchain-based digital assets developed in recent years. The co... more Purpose-Metaverse is one of the blockchain-based digital assets developed in recent years. The concept of metaverse refers to an alternative virtual universe in which individuals are represented by their avatars (virtual representation), they can create applications, socialize, buy and sell goods and services, and share. In addition, there are meta coins, i.e. local crypto coins, used in the metaverse. In this study, the concepts of metaverse and meta coin, which have become popular recently, are explained, and the existence of price bubbles in MANA, the meta coin of the Decentraland digital reality platform, which has the largest market value among meta coins, is investigated. Methodology-The existence of price bubbles is investigated by the newly developed GSADF multiple bubble test. Findings-According to the result of the analysis carried out with the GSADF test, the existence of price bubbles in MANA prices in different periods has been determined. Especially the bubbles that have formed in the recent period have been realized as a longer term. This situation shows the impression that significant speculative movements have occurred in the MANA token recently. Conclusion-According to the findings, MANA prices are open to speculation. It is important for those investing or considering investing in MANA and other meta coins to consider the existence of bubbles in the respective token prices.
Sosyoekonomi, 2019
Bu çalışmanın amacı, ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi, Türkiye ekonomi... more Bu çalışmanın amacı, ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi, Türkiye ekonomisi için 1960-2016 yıllarına ait yıllık verilerle ekonometrik açıdan incelemektir. Bu amaçla, analizde ihracat ile ithalatın toplamının milli gelire oranı ve reel kişi başına düşen gelir değişkenleri kullanılmıştır. Ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkilerin analizi için Engle-Granger ve Gregory-Hansen eşbütünleşme testleri ve nedensellik ilişkisini belirlemek için Granger nedensellik testi yapılmıştır. Yapılan test sonuçlarında, değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki tespit edilememiş, çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur.
DergiPark (Istanbul University), Mar 12, 2023
Journal of Applied Finance & Accounting
In this paper, we investigate the effect of the monetary policy uncertainty index for the US on t... more In this paper, we investigate the effect of the monetary policy uncertainty index for the US on the dollar index. In other words, in this study, the relationship between the US MPU (USM) and the Dollar index (XD) was examined. We employ the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test from the period January 1986 through August 2020 by using monthly data. The results of the empirical analysis prove a strong non-linear causal relationship between the variable MPU index and XD. The overall result ascertains a positive and negative bidirectional asymmetric and non-linear causality existing between the variables XD and USM index. The results of the empirical investigation endorse important policy inputs for the macroeconomic policy formulators.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research), Dec 31, 2022
In recent years, the increase in global crises in areas such as climate, food, health, and intern... more In recent years, the increase in global crises in areas such as climate, food, health, and international relations has led to an increase in the level of interest of both economists and senior managers in macroeconomic indicators. In this context, the consumer confidence index and the geopolitical risk index have become increasingly popular in both econometric analyses and academic discussions. In this study, the effects of consumer confidence and geopolitical risk indices on food imports and exports in Turkey for the period between January 2013 and January 2021 were analyzed through symmetric and asymmetric causality analyses. The consistent results of the Toda Yamamoto causality and Hatemi-j asymmetric causality tests indicated that a decrease in the consumer confidence index in Turkey leads to a decrease in exports of processed food goods and an increase in geopolitical risk leads to an increase in imports of unprocessed food goods.
Uluslararası Ekonomi, İşletme ve Politika Dergisi
Türkiye gibi gelişmekte olan birçok ülkede yüksek enflasyon oranlarının en temel sorunlardan bir ... more Türkiye gibi gelişmekte olan birçok ülkede yüksek enflasyon oranlarının en temel sorunlardan bir tanesi olmasına bağlı olarak, enflasyon oranlarının faiz oranı üzerindeki etkisi halen tartışılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada ise bu durumun iktisat literatüründe bir karşılığı olan Fisher Etkisi göz önünde bulundurularak incelenmiştir. Bu doğrultuda Ocak 2005-Ekim 2020 dönemleri arası aylık enflasyon ve faiz verileri kullanılarak Hatemi-J (2012) asimetrik nedensellik testi çalıştırılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucunda ise genel itibari ile enflasyon oranları ile faiz oranları arasında nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu yönünde bulgulara erişilmiştir. Değişkenlerin pozitif ve negatif şoklarına ayrılarak yapılan analizlerde ise enflasyondaki artış ile faizlerde ki artış arasında iki yönlü simetrik bir nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Bununla birlikte, faizlerdeki artış enflasyonu hem simetrik hem de asimetrik etkilediği görülmüştür. Çalışmadan elde edilen bulgulara bakıldığında 2005-2020 yılları için Türkiye'de Fisher Hipotezi'nin geçerli olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
Energies, Nov 7, 2023
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY
Ekonomi ve finansal araştırmalar dergisi :, Jun 26, 2024
TroyAcademy, 2023
ChatGPT is a derivative of the GPT model and is an artificial intelligence technology used in the... more ChatGPT is a derivative of the GPT model and is an artificial intelligence technology used in the field of natural language processing. This model is used to generate appropriate responses to the user's text-based input by pre-training large amounts of text. The aim of this study is to examine the advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats of using ChatGPT in financial markets by performing a SWOT analysis. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that ChatGPT has potential advantages in financial analysis and decision-making processes. ChatGPT offers fast and direct communication, instant data analysis and personalized investment recommendations. These features can help investors track market movements and create personal investment strategies. At the same time, predicting future price movements by analyzing large amounts of data can ensure effective and efficient use in financial markets.
Ekonomika
Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten year... more Prices of natural gas, coal, and electricity have risen to the highest level of the last ten years in the last quarter of 2021. It’s possible to express that energy prices in 2021 were much higher, compared to the crisis of 2020’s Covid-19 breakout’s historical descent in the first few months. There are a few factors to this rally. The epidemic caused structural fractions on a global scale. But in general, there is no doubt that crisis factors, which mainly concern Europe, are not limited (with) recovery process in the economy. With this notion, the main structure of this work’s subject aims to analyze the lead-up to the energy crisis that became apparent in 2021. Also, in the work, the energy crisis that’s been occurring will be analyzed thoroughly, with the help of its dynamics and causes. Within the scope of the study, the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test was run using the weekly stock closing data of EU natural gas prices (EUGP), Gazprom (XGASPR), and Equinor (XEQUNR) f...
Uluslararası piyasalarda 1929`dan 1970`lere kadar etkisini gösteren Keynesçi düşünce yapısının bi... more Uluslararası piyasalarda 1929`dan 1970`lere kadar etkisini gösteren Keynesçi düşünce yapısının bir sonucu olan korumacı ve müdahaleci yaklaşım, artık yerini daha liberal ve dışa açık bir şekilde işleyen piyasalara bırakmıştır. Bu yaklaşım önceleri finansal sermaye ihtiyacı duyan az gelişmiş veya gelişmekte olan ekonomiler için bir can suyu niteliği taşırken, daha sonraları sermaye giriş çıkışlarındaki ani dalgalanmalar ülkelerin makroekonomik değişkenleri üzerinde olumsuz sonuçlara sebep olmuştur. Bu alanda daha önceki yapılan çalışmalara bakıldığında anlık sermaye hareketliliğinin ülkelerin reel döviz kurlarında, faiz oranları ve sermaye piyasaları üzerinde yüksek bir volatilite oluşturduğu, sonuçta buna bağlı olarak piyasaların finansal olarak daha kırılgan ve dışa bağımlı hale gelmesine neden olduğu görülmüştür. Bu nedenle ülkeler ortaya çıkan bu olumsuz durumu bertaraf etmek için sermaye kontrolü kuralları altında bir dizi düzenleme ve denetleme mekanizması geliştirmişlerdir. Bunlar içerisinde en yaygın yöntem Tobin vergisi uygulaması olup, birçok ülke tarafından farklı zamanlarda kullanılmıştır. Bu çalışmada ise 1992 yılından günümüze kadar uygulanmış sermaye kontrolleri incelenmiştir. Genel olarak sonuçlara bakıldığında farklı ülkelerde uygulanmış sermaye kontrolleri kısmen başarı sağlamış olsa da Malezya ve Şili dışında birçok ülkede başarısızlıkla sonuçlanmıştır. Birçok çalışmanın sonucunda ise; uygulamaların her ülkenin kendi ekonomik, finansal ve coğrafi dinamikleri dikkate alınarak yapıldığında başarıya ulaşmaya daha yakın olunacağı belirtilmiştir.
İktisadi idari ve siyasal araştırmalar dergisi, Jun 30, 2023
Foreign trade plays a key role in the development of a country's economy and international so... more Foreign trade plays a key role in the development of a country's economy and international social relations. Accordingly, the increase and decrease in a country's trade openness directly and indirectly affects macroeconomic indicators. In short, it is important to know the expected relationship between trade openness and inflation for a country's economy. Investigating the relationship between trade openness and inflation is important in keeping inflation under control, along with foreign trade policy practices. On the other hand, the theoretical basis of the association between trade openness and inflation is known with the Romer (1993) Hypothesis. According to the Romer Hypothesis, it is argued that an increase in trade openness will negatively affect inflation. However, although there are findings supporting this theory for the studies done so far, there are empirical studies expressing the opposite. This study has investigated this relationship in MIKTA countries. Kónya (2006) panel causality test was used in the study using annual data between 1960 and 2020. In result of the paper, it is found that there is no causal linkage between trade openness and inflation in countries. These results do not coincide with the Romer (1993) Hypothesis.
Environmental Science and Pollution Research, May 16, 2023
Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Aug 9, 2023
Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, Mar 30, 2022
Purpose-Investigating the relationship between the energy consumption for Bitcoin and the price a... more Purpose-Investigating the relationship between the energy consumption for Bitcoin and the price and policy uncertainties in the cryptocurrency markets. Methodology-It was preferred for unit root tests of series the Zivot-Andrews Unit Root Test, which takes into account structural breaks. Depending on the stagnation of the variables at different levels, the Toda-Yamamoto (1995) causality test was applied by using weekly data in period 19.02.2017 and 07.02.2021. Findings-One-way causality was found on the indices of cryptocurrency price uncertainty and cryptocurrency policy uncertainty from bitcoin energy consumption. In addition, it is understood from the Chi-Square Test Statistic (13.16980) coefficient that the change in bitcoin energy consumption is more dominant on the crypto money policy uncertainty. It was reached that changes in bitcoin energy consumption have an effect on both price and crypto money policies in all crypto markets. Conclusion-In line with these results, it is concluded that the uncertainties in the crypto markets are under the influence of many external political factors. This study investigated the effect of price and political uncertainty on bitcoin energy consumption in the entire cryptocurrency market, but it was concluded that bitcoin energy consumption is not only linked to crypto markets, but also under the influence of government interventions, bans, ill-recognition, and developments and movements in other financial markets.
Energies, Jan 24, 2023
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative... more This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY
Geothermal Energy
The aim of this study is to investigate the impacts of wind and geothermal energy consumption on ... more The aim of this study is to investigate the impacts of wind and geothermal energy consumption on economic growth and financial development over the period 2016:M1 and 2020:M11. The data obtained from Germany, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, Portugal, Turkey, and the United States of America, which consume wind and geothermal energy, were utilized in the research study. To this end, after determining the cointegration relationship between the variables, the long-term elasticity coefficients were estimated by employing the FMOLS (2000) and DOLS (2001) models. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that geothermal energy consumption had a positive impact on financial development. Nonetheless, wind energy had no impact on financial development, whereas it had a negative impact on economic growth. According to the Dumitrescu–Hurlin causality test results, it was determined that a unilateral causality existed from wind and geothermal energy consumption to economic grow...
DergiPark (Istanbul University), Dec 21, 2021
It is argued that the economy model, in which public sector is predominant provides more advantag... more It is argued that the economy model, in which public sector is predominant provides more advantages than the economy model in which market economy is effective in the process of ensuring macroeconomic stability, and this is a requirement of the welfare state understanding. From this basic view, the relationship between the economic size of public sector and macroeconomic stability was examined in the study, in which Turkeyˈs data for the period 1980-2019 was used. According to the causality test results of Toda and Yamamoto (1995), it was concluded that there is a causal relationship from public expenditures to economic growth and inflation, but there is no causality relationship to unemployment. These results provide important evidence that changes in the size of the public sector are the cause of changes in economic growth and inflation.
Bu makaleyle, Pazarda basariyi yakalamaya calisan cep telefonu markalarinin calismalari incelenms... more Bu makaleyle, Pazarda basariyi yakalamaya calisan cep telefonu markalarinin calismalari incelenmstir. Marka inovasyonu ve onun cep telefonu satislarina katkisi arastirilmistir. Bu amacla Motorola cep telefonunun durumu dunyadaki diger cep telefonu markalariyla karsilastirmali olarak degerlendirilmistir. Ornek olay calismasiyla, Motorola cep telefonu markasi inovasyon acisindan incelenmistir. Yapilan calisma sonucunda ise Motorola markasi inovasyon acisindan rakiplerine gore pazardaki ustunlugunu kaybetmis oldugu anlasilmistir
Journal of Business, Economics and Finance, Mar 30, 2022
Purpose-Metaverse is one of the blockchain-based digital assets developed in recent years. The co... more Purpose-Metaverse is one of the blockchain-based digital assets developed in recent years. The concept of metaverse refers to an alternative virtual universe in which individuals are represented by their avatars (virtual representation), they can create applications, socialize, buy and sell goods and services, and share. In addition, there are meta coins, i.e. local crypto coins, used in the metaverse. In this study, the concepts of metaverse and meta coin, which have become popular recently, are explained, and the existence of price bubbles in MANA, the meta coin of the Decentraland digital reality platform, which has the largest market value among meta coins, is investigated. Methodology-The existence of price bubbles is investigated by the newly developed GSADF multiple bubble test. Findings-According to the result of the analysis carried out with the GSADF test, the existence of price bubbles in MANA prices in different periods has been determined. Especially the bubbles that have formed in the recent period have been realized as a longer term. This situation shows the impression that significant speculative movements have occurred in the MANA token recently. Conclusion-According to the findings, MANA prices are open to speculation. It is important for those investing or considering investing in MANA and other meta coins to consider the existence of bubbles in the respective token prices.
Sosyoekonomi, 2019
Bu çalışmanın amacı, ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi, Türkiye ekonomi... more Bu çalışmanın amacı, ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi, Türkiye ekonomisi için 1960-2016 yıllarına ait yıllık verilerle ekonometrik açıdan incelemektir. Bu amaçla, analizde ihracat ile ithalatın toplamının milli gelire oranı ve reel kişi başına düşen gelir değişkenleri kullanılmıştır. Ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkilerin analizi için Engle-Granger ve Gregory-Hansen eşbütünleşme testleri ve nedensellik ilişkisini belirlemek için Granger nedensellik testi yapılmıştır. Yapılan test sonuçlarında, değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki tespit edilememiş, çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur.
DergiPark (Istanbul University), Mar 12, 2023
Journal of Applied Finance & Accounting
In this paper, we investigate the effect of the monetary policy uncertainty index for the US on t... more In this paper, we investigate the effect of the monetary policy uncertainty index for the US on the dollar index. In other words, in this study, the relationship between the US MPU (USM) and the Dollar index (XD) was examined. We employ the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test from the period January 1986 through August 2020 by using monthly data. The results of the empirical analysis prove a strong non-linear causal relationship between the variable MPU index and XD. The overall result ascertains a positive and negative bidirectional asymmetric and non-linear causality existing between the variables XD and USM index. The results of the empirical investigation endorse important policy inputs for the macroeconomic policy formulators.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research), Dec 31, 2022
In recent years, the increase in global crises in areas such as climate, food, health, and intern... more In recent years, the increase in global crises in areas such as climate, food, health, and international relations has led to an increase in the level of interest of both economists and senior managers in macroeconomic indicators. In this context, the consumer confidence index and the geopolitical risk index have become increasingly popular in both econometric analyses and academic discussions. In this study, the effects of consumer confidence and geopolitical risk indices on food imports and exports in Turkey for the period between January 2013 and January 2021 were analyzed through symmetric and asymmetric causality analyses. The consistent results of the Toda Yamamoto causality and Hatemi-j asymmetric causality tests indicated that a decrease in the consumer confidence index in Turkey leads to a decrease in exports of processed food goods and an increase in geopolitical risk leads to an increase in imports of unprocessed food goods.
Uluslararası Ekonomi, İşletme ve Politika Dergisi
Türkiye gibi gelişmekte olan birçok ülkede yüksek enflasyon oranlarının en temel sorunlardan bir ... more Türkiye gibi gelişmekte olan birçok ülkede yüksek enflasyon oranlarının en temel sorunlardan bir tanesi olmasına bağlı olarak, enflasyon oranlarının faiz oranı üzerindeki etkisi halen tartışılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada ise bu durumun iktisat literatüründe bir karşılığı olan Fisher Etkisi göz önünde bulundurularak incelenmiştir. Bu doğrultuda Ocak 2005-Ekim 2020 dönemleri arası aylık enflasyon ve faiz verileri kullanılarak Hatemi-J (2012) asimetrik nedensellik testi çalıştırılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucunda ise genel itibari ile enflasyon oranları ile faiz oranları arasında nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu yönünde bulgulara erişilmiştir. Değişkenlerin pozitif ve negatif şoklarına ayrılarak yapılan analizlerde ise enflasyondaki artış ile faizlerde ki artış arasında iki yönlü simetrik bir nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Bununla birlikte, faizlerdeki artış enflasyonu hem simetrik hem de asimetrik etkilediği görülmüştür. Çalışmadan elde edilen bulgulara bakıldığında 2005-2020 yılları için Türkiye'de Fisher Hipotezi'nin geçerli olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
PARA GELMİŞİ, GEÇMİŞİ, GELECEĞİ, 2021
Günümüzde özellikle kripto paraların artan popülaritesi ile birlikte paranın değişim evreleri ve ... more Günümüzde özellikle kripto paraların artan popülaritesi ile birlikte paranın değişim evreleri ve bugün ki haline nasıl geldiği merak edilmektedir. bu kitap çalışması paranın bugün ki haline gelmesinde geçirdiği evrelerini bu kitabın sayfaları ile sınırlı olarak anlatmaktadır. kitapla ilgili görüş ve önerileriniz benim için çok önemlidir. görüş ve önerileriniz için lüffen bu adrese (sametgursoy@mehmetakif.edu.tr) mesajlarınızı bekliyor olacağım. sevgi ve saygılarımla...