Neil Bearden | INSEAD - Academia.edu (original) (raw)
Papers by Neil Bearden
Harvard Business Review, 2016
A case study is presented which deals with various aspects of an office romance involving a compa... more A case study is presented which deals with various aspects of an office romance involving a company's male chief financial officer (CFO) and a female salesperson, and it mentions the potential impacts of such as relationship on other co-workers and business management professionals. Decision making in business is assessed, along with the social aspects of a work environment, company policies, and the possible impact that an office relationship might have on an individual's career development.
Decision Support Systems, Feb 1, 2014
Springer eBooks, Aug 9, 2007
Social Science Research Network, 2012
Social Science Research Network, 2011
Journal of Mathematical Psychology, Oct 1, 2005
Management Science, May 1, 2013
Existing research on newsvendor behavior asserts that individuals engage in demand chasing—adjust... more Existing research on newsvendor behavior asserts that individuals engage in demand chasing—adjusting their order quantities towards prior demand. Several metrics have been used to identify this heuristic. By simulation, current metrics are shown to yield excessive false positives, indicating demand chasing when the true order generating process is independent of prior demand. A simple correlation measure does not suffer from this problem and is proposed here as an alternative to some of the more commonly used measures. This paper was accepted by Martin Lariviere, operations management.
Journal of Operations Management, Nov 22, 2012
Springer eBooks, Oct 20, 2005
Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, Oct 1, 2008
Management Science, Sep 1, 2006
Social Science Research Network, 2011
Before and during the 2010 Soccer World Cup, participants made probabilistic forecasts for the ou... more Before and during the 2010 Soccer World Cup, participants made probabilistic forecasts for the outcomes of the tournament. We examine the relationship between their depression levels and their performance in this forecasting task. Across two different waves of predictions and with multiple measures and components of prediction accuracy, we find that depressed forecasters were less accurate. The poorer accuracy amongst the more depressed forecasters was primarily driven by neglect for base rate probabilities: The depressed participants assigned probabilities that departed more substantially from the base rates, particularly for low base rate events. Given the high incidence of depression in the workforce, the importance of judgmental probabilistic forecasting in many settings, and that we may be the first to look at depression- accuracy relationship using a real-world prediction task involving exogenous uncertainty, these findings may have important implications for both theory and practice.
Social Science Research Network, 2011
We present an extension of the secretary problem in which the DM sequentially observes up to n ap... more We present an extension of the secretary problem in which the DM sequentially observes up to n applicants whose actual values X1,X2,...,Xn are drawn iid from a uniform distribution on [0,1]. The DM must select exactly one applicant, cannot recall released applicants, and ...
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, Apr 1, 2001
Risk aversion is one of the most commonly cited properties of human decision making (eg, Kahneman... more Risk aversion is one of the most commonly cited properties of human decision making (eg, Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This finding is at odds with traditional expected value theory, but not with more recent theories of rational choice (eg, von Neumann & Morgenstern, 1944). Since ...
Social Science Research Network, 2011
International Journal of Forecasting, 2013
Decision Analysis, Sep 1, 2014
Harvard Business Review, 2016
A case study is presented which deals with various aspects of an office romance involving a compa... more A case study is presented which deals with various aspects of an office romance involving a company's male chief financial officer (CFO) and a female salesperson, and it mentions the potential impacts of such as relationship on other co-workers and business management professionals. Decision making in business is assessed, along with the social aspects of a work environment, company policies, and the possible impact that an office relationship might have on an individual's career development.
Decision Support Systems, Feb 1, 2014
Springer eBooks, Aug 9, 2007
Social Science Research Network, 2012
Social Science Research Network, 2011
Journal of Mathematical Psychology, Oct 1, 2005
Management Science, May 1, 2013
Existing research on newsvendor behavior asserts that individuals engage in demand chasing—adjust... more Existing research on newsvendor behavior asserts that individuals engage in demand chasing—adjusting their order quantities towards prior demand. Several metrics have been used to identify this heuristic. By simulation, current metrics are shown to yield excessive false positives, indicating demand chasing when the true order generating process is independent of prior demand. A simple correlation measure does not suffer from this problem and is proposed here as an alternative to some of the more commonly used measures. This paper was accepted by Martin Lariviere, operations management.
Journal of Operations Management, Nov 22, 2012
Springer eBooks, Oct 20, 2005
Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, Oct 1, 2008
Management Science, Sep 1, 2006
Social Science Research Network, 2011
Before and during the 2010 Soccer World Cup, participants made probabilistic forecasts for the ou... more Before and during the 2010 Soccer World Cup, participants made probabilistic forecasts for the outcomes of the tournament. We examine the relationship between their depression levels and their performance in this forecasting task. Across two different waves of predictions and with multiple measures and components of prediction accuracy, we find that depressed forecasters were less accurate. The poorer accuracy amongst the more depressed forecasters was primarily driven by neglect for base rate probabilities: The depressed participants assigned probabilities that departed more substantially from the base rates, particularly for low base rate events. Given the high incidence of depression in the workforce, the importance of judgmental probabilistic forecasting in many settings, and that we may be the first to look at depression- accuracy relationship using a real-world prediction task involving exogenous uncertainty, these findings may have important implications for both theory and practice.
Social Science Research Network, 2011
We present an extension of the secretary problem in which the DM sequentially observes up to n ap... more We present an extension of the secretary problem in which the DM sequentially observes up to n applicants whose actual values X1,X2,...,Xn are drawn iid from a uniform distribution on [0,1]. The DM must select exactly one applicant, cannot recall released applicants, and ...
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics, Apr 1, 2001
Risk aversion is one of the most commonly cited properties of human decision making (eg, Kahneman... more Risk aversion is one of the most commonly cited properties of human decision making (eg, Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This finding is at odds with traditional expected value theory, but not with more recent theories of rational choice (eg, von Neumann & Morgenstern, 1944). Since ...
Social Science Research Network, 2011
International Journal of Forecasting, 2013
Decision Analysis, Sep 1, 2014