Dharendra Wardhana | King's College London (original) (raw)

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Papers by Dharendra Wardhana

International Journal of Development Issues

Purpose This paper aims to unpack the nexus of development and demography controlling for three i... more Purpose This paper aims to unpack the nexus of development and demography controlling for three important variables to represent the meaning of development, that is, poverty rate, unemployment rate and human development index (HDI). Demographic variables are proxied with total fertility rate (TFR) and net migration rate (NMR). Design/methodology/approach This research applies cluster analysis at the provincial level using INDO-DAPOER and 2015 Intercensal Population Survey data sets. Findings Demographic and development status of Indonesian provinces can be classified into four clusters, and members of these clusters are mostly dissimilar with those of previous groupings on demographic dividends (Adioetomo, 2018). With only less than 50% matching rate, the author argues that there is no simple linear relationship between demographic and development variables. Research limitations/implications The most recent data set on Population Census Year 2020 has not been made available at the t...

Kompas, 2022

Data BPS bulan Agustus 2021 memperlihatkan penurunan tingkat pengangguran terbuka (TPT) sejak mas... more Data BPS bulan Agustus 2021 memperlihatkan penurunan tingkat pengangguran terbuka (TPT) sejak masa pandemi. Hanya terdapat delapan provinsi yang mencatat TPT lebih tinggi dari angka nasional (6,49 persen) dan tak ada yang menyentuh angka double digit. Kondisi ini lebih baik dibandingkan tahun lalu ketika empat provinsi mencatat TPT di atas 10 persen. Sebelum dihantam Covid-19, indikator TPT sempat menyentuh level terendah sepanjang masa (4,99 persen). Empat tahun beruntun sejak 2016, TPT senantiasa mencetak rekor berada di bawah enam persen, yang kemudian terhenti saat pandemi merebak di awal 2020...

The Jakarta Post, 2021

This was the title of my presentation at the 16th Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) ... more This was the title of my presentation at the 16th Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) international conference held virtually two weeks ago. In choosing the title, I was inspired by a classic Indonesian adage, banyak anak banyak rezeki (each child brings its own fortune), that runs counter to the Malthusian perspective...

Bisnis Indonesia, 2020

Sejak pertengahan Maret 2020, sebagian besar pekerja mulai fasih memanfaatkan piranti teknologi i... more Sejak pertengahan Maret 2020, sebagian besar pekerja mulai fasih memanfaatkan piranti teknologi informasi dan komunikasi dalam pekerjaan sehari-hari. Sebelum pandemi melanda, teleconference hanya digunakan sebagai sarana pelengkap (komplementer) namun saat ini lebih terlihat sebagai wahana pengganti (substitusi) rapat konvensional. Tak jarang kita menemui seseorang terlihat hadir secara virtual pada lebih dari satu acara secara bersamaan...

The Jakarta Post, 2020

When the government declared the COVID-19 pandemic a national disaster and decided to restrict pu... more When the government declared the COVID-19 pandemic a national disaster and decided to restrict public mobility in mid-April, I was stranded in Yogyakarta and worked from home for a good three months...

Kompas, 2020

Dengan kondisi ekonomi dan kesejahteraan yang kian membaik, muncul pertanyaan penting: apakah alo... more Dengan kondisi ekonomi dan kesejahteraan yang kian membaik, muncul pertanyaan penting: apakah alokasi anggaran yang besar untuk program penanggulangan kemiskinan masih dibutuhkan?

The Jakarta Post, 2019

The World Bank analytically divides the world’s economies into four income groups: high, upper-mi... more The World Bank analytically divides the world’s economies into four income groups: high, upper-middle, lower-middle and low. Countries that are categorized as upper-middle income are the ones with income per capita ranging from US$3,896 to $12,055...

The Journal of Indonesia Sustainable Development Planning

The year 2020 will be recorded in world history as one of the most challenging periods. With the ... more The year 2020 will be recorded in world history as one of the most challenging periods. With the benefit of hindsight from previous crises, humanity will eventually (and this time hopefully) prevail. Covid-19 pandemic which has been around for a full calendar year sets a reminder and a call for us to adapt with a new mindset to embrace the new normal in our life. Not many countries can strike a delicate balance between saving lives and protecting livelihoods during this difficult time. Obviously, most developing countries have been struggling to control this seemingly intractable calamity from the first day of the outbreak. Covid-19 pandemic has sent the world one strong message, it is that we are only as safe as the most vulnerable among us. This indicates the central place of solidarity in our life. While we are predicting the emergency-authorized vaccine as the “game-changer”, estimating the outcome in the following years leads us to numerous possibilities and scenarios. Question...

Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business, 2006

This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy t... more This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy through “theory-guided view” mechanism by using such indicators as unemployment rate, real Gross Domestic Product, and real wages. By implementing structural VAR methodological framework, it makes possible to trace and to identify how an economy works through imposing restrictions in order to conform to theory. Our results suggest that long-term unemployment affected the process of policy making of both monetary and real sector in achieving objectives set in national development planning. Keywords: Structural unemployment, hysteresis framework, structural VAR

International Journal of Development Issues

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find the relationship between local direct elections and ... more Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find the relationship between local direct elections and the change in social spending, controlling for GDP per capita, revenues and wide-range socio-welfare indicators at the regional level. Design/methodology/approach This research uses a model of time-series cross-sectional panel data set for 33 provinces in Indonesia from 2001 to 2012. Findings The main finding of this research is that the political budget cycle does exist in Indonesia. Incumbents responded to the direct elections more sensitively rather than to other variables in the model. The most important variables that are significant in the model are not only direct election but also inter-governmental grants. Interestingly, the local economy (as measured by GDP per capita) does not clearly exhibit a meaningful impact. Research limitations/implications Although the importance of decentralisation in Indonesia is actually at the regency level, obtaining the data is really challenging....

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

This document is a guideline for the central and regional governments in carrying out development... more This document is a guideline for the central and regional governments in carrying out development planning in the next 5 years. Meanwhile the latest developments in the world are fighting against the corona virus (Covid-19 or SARS-CoV-2) which at that time attacked from its origin in Wuhan-China, then to Asian countries (Japan, Korea, Singapore), and worst in Iran), then to Europe with the worst regions in Italy and Spain, flying to America, Australia, and also Indonesia which was found the first case on March 3, 2020. Practically the whole world is now busy mobilising all resources to overcome this outbreak.

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business, 2006

ABSTRACT This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national ... more ABSTRACT This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy through" theory-guided view" mechanism by using such indicators as unemployment rate, real Gross Domestic Product, and real wages. By implementing ...

This dissertation is presented in part fulfilment of the requirement for the completion of an M.S... more This dissertation is presented in part fulfilment of the requirement for the completion of an M.Sc. in the School of Economics, University of Nottingham. The work is the sole responsibility of the candidate.

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

Tempo.Co Indonesian News Portal, 2018

International Journal of Development Issues

Purpose This paper aims to unpack the nexus of development and demography controlling for three i... more Purpose This paper aims to unpack the nexus of development and demography controlling for three important variables to represent the meaning of development, that is, poverty rate, unemployment rate and human development index (HDI). Demographic variables are proxied with total fertility rate (TFR) and net migration rate (NMR). Design/methodology/approach This research applies cluster analysis at the provincial level using INDO-DAPOER and 2015 Intercensal Population Survey data sets. Findings Demographic and development status of Indonesian provinces can be classified into four clusters, and members of these clusters are mostly dissimilar with those of previous groupings on demographic dividends (Adioetomo, 2018). With only less than 50% matching rate, the author argues that there is no simple linear relationship between demographic and development variables. Research limitations/implications The most recent data set on Population Census Year 2020 has not been made available at the t...

Kompas, 2022

Data BPS bulan Agustus 2021 memperlihatkan penurunan tingkat pengangguran terbuka (TPT) sejak mas... more Data BPS bulan Agustus 2021 memperlihatkan penurunan tingkat pengangguran terbuka (TPT) sejak masa pandemi. Hanya terdapat delapan provinsi yang mencatat TPT lebih tinggi dari angka nasional (6,49 persen) dan tak ada yang menyentuh angka double digit. Kondisi ini lebih baik dibandingkan tahun lalu ketika empat provinsi mencatat TPT di atas 10 persen. Sebelum dihantam Covid-19, indikator TPT sempat menyentuh level terendah sepanjang masa (4,99 persen). Empat tahun beruntun sejak 2016, TPT senantiasa mencetak rekor berada di bawah enam persen, yang kemudian terhenti saat pandemi merebak di awal 2020...

The Jakarta Post, 2021

This was the title of my presentation at the 16th Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) ... more This was the title of my presentation at the 16th Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) international conference held virtually two weeks ago. In choosing the title, I was inspired by a classic Indonesian adage, banyak anak banyak rezeki (each child brings its own fortune), that runs counter to the Malthusian perspective...

Bisnis Indonesia, 2020

Sejak pertengahan Maret 2020, sebagian besar pekerja mulai fasih memanfaatkan piranti teknologi i... more Sejak pertengahan Maret 2020, sebagian besar pekerja mulai fasih memanfaatkan piranti teknologi informasi dan komunikasi dalam pekerjaan sehari-hari. Sebelum pandemi melanda, teleconference hanya digunakan sebagai sarana pelengkap (komplementer) namun saat ini lebih terlihat sebagai wahana pengganti (substitusi) rapat konvensional. Tak jarang kita menemui seseorang terlihat hadir secara virtual pada lebih dari satu acara secara bersamaan...

The Jakarta Post, 2020

When the government declared the COVID-19 pandemic a national disaster and decided to restrict pu... more When the government declared the COVID-19 pandemic a national disaster and decided to restrict public mobility in mid-April, I was stranded in Yogyakarta and worked from home for a good three months...

Kompas, 2020

Dengan kondisi ekonomi dan kesejahteraan yang kian membaik, muncul pertanyaan penting: apakah alo... more Dengan kondisi ekonomi dan kesejahteraan yang kian membaik, muncul pertanyaan penting: apakah alokasi anggaran yang besar untuk program penanggulangan kemiskinan masih dibutuhkan?

The Jakarta Post, 2019

The World Bank analytically divides the world’s economies into four income groups: high, upper-mi... more The World Bank analytically divides the world’s economies into four income groups: high, upper-middle, lower-middle and low. Countries that are categorized as upper-middle income are the ones with income per capita ranging from US$3,896 to $12,055...

The Journal of Indonesia Sustainable Development Planning

The year 2020 will be recorded in world history as one of the most challenging periods. With the ... more The year 2020 will be recorded in world history as one of the most challenging periods. With the benefit of hindsight from previous crises, humanity will eventually (and this time hopefully) prevail. Covid-19 pandemic which has been around for a full calendar year sets a reminder and a call for us to adapt with a new mindset to embrace the new normal in our life. Not many countries can strike a delicate balance between saving lives and protecting livelihoods during this difficult time. Obviously, most developing countries have been struggling to control this seemingly intractable calamity from the first day of the outbreak. Covid-19 pandemic has sent the world one strong message, it is that we are only as safe as the most vulnerable among us. This indicates the central place of solidarity in our life. While we are predicting the emergency-authorized vaccine as the “game-changer”, estimating the outcome in the following years leads us to numerous possibilities and scenarios. Question...

Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business, 2006

This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy t... more This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy through “theory-guided view” mechanism by using such indicators as unemployment rate, real Gross Domestic Product, and real wages. By implementing structural VAR methodological framework, it makes possible to trace and to identify how an economy works through imposing restrictions in order to conform to theory. Our results suggest that long-term unemployment affected the process of policy making of both monetary and real sector in achieving objectives set in national development planning. Keywords: Structural unemployment, hysteresis framework, structural VAR

International Journal of Development Issues

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find the relationship between local direct elections and ... more Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find the relationship between local direct elections and the change in social spending, controlling for GDP per capita, revenues and wide-range socio-welfare indicators at the regional level. Design/methodology/approach This research uses a model of time-series cross-sectional panel data set for 33 provinces in Indonesia from 2001 to 2012. Findings The main finding of this research is that the political budget cycle does exist in Indonesia. Incumbents responded to the direct elections more sensitively rather than to other variables in the model. The most important variables that are significant in the model are not only direct election but also inter-governmental grants. Interestingly, the local economy (as measured by GDP per capita) does not clearly exhibit a meaningful impact. Research limitations/implications Although the importance of decentralisation in Indonesia is actually at the regency level, obtaining the data is really challenging....

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

This document is a guideline for the central and regional governments in carrying out development... more This document is a guideline for the central and regional governments in carrying out development planning in the next 5 years. Meanwhile the latest developments in the world are fighting against the corona virus (Covid-19 or SARS-CoV-2) which at that time attacked from its origin in Wuhan-China, then to Asian countries (Japan, Korea, Singapore), and worst in Iran), then to Europe with the worst regions in Italy and Spain, flying to America, Australia, and also Indonesia which was found the first case on March 3, 2020. Practically the whole world is now busy mobilising all resources to overcome this outbreak.

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business, 2006

ABSTRACT This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national ... more ABSTRACT This paper is mainly aimed to measure labor supply shocks and their effects to national economy through" theory-guided view" mechanism by using such indicators as unemployment rate, real Gross Domestic Product, and real wages. By implementing ...

This dissertation is presented in part fulfilment of the requirement for the completion of an M.S... more This dissertation is presented in part fulfilment of the requirement for the completion of an M.Sc. in the School of Economics, University of Nottingham. The work is the sole responsibility of the candidate.

Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning

Tempo.Co Indonesian News Portal, 2018