William Remus | University of Hawaii at Manoa (original) (raw)

Papers by William Remus

Research paper thumbnail of Angklung and Gong Kebyar Choice

This paper looks at the issues in choosing a type of Balinese Gamelan for university instruction ... more This paper looks at the issues in choosing a type of Balinese Gamelan for university instruction and performances. Gamelan gong kebyar is the usual choice but increasingly universities are acquiring gamelan angklung (and even a few semar pegulingan). This article is about why this is happening and provides a guide to making a choice of Balinese gamelan.

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family Genealogy v

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family Genealogy v

Research paper thumbnail of The Rotzellen Familyof West Prussiax

The Rotzellen Familyof West Prussia

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family of Saxony Book V

Research paper thumbnail of Criterion-referenced judgemental forecasting models

Journal of Forecasting, Jul 1, 1991

Research paper thumbnail of An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Graphical and Tabular Data Presentations on Decision Making

Management Science, May 1, 1984

A key issue in designing a computer-based decision support system is how best to depict the data.... more A key issue in designing a computer-based decision support system is how best to depict the data. Since most systems use either graphical or tabular displays, this experiment compares the latter two when used as decision aids for the production scheduling problem modeled by Holt, Modigliani, Muth, and Simon. The tabular aids and the graphical aids yield equally costly decisions. When the erratic components of the decisions are reduced, the tabular aids outperform the graphical aids.

Research paper thumbnail of When and how cognitive style impacts decision-making

ABSTRACT Arguing along several lines, G.P. Huber (1983) asserted that cognitive style should not ... more ABSTRACT Arguing along several lines, G.P. Huber (1983) asserted that cognitive style should not be a basis for DSS (decision-support system) designed but that it may be useful in the development of training procedures. An experiment is described that tests these assertions using a production scheduling task. Results indicate that (1) by merely providing outcome feedback, individuals of all cognitive styles (as measured by the Myers-Briggs type indicator and risk preference) learned the task equally well; (2) cognitive style was useful in explaining performance differences during task learning but not thereafter; and (3) cognitive style did not predict the heuristics used but rather the consistency of their use; that is, the impact of cognitive style manifested as erratic decisions rather than systematic bias. These results are used to discuss the role of cognitive style in both training and design and to suggest reasons for the inconsistent results in cognitive style research.< >

Research paper thumbnail of Neural network models of managerial judgment

1, Introduction Over the last few decades, there has been much research directed at understanding... more 1, Introduction Over the last few decades, there has been much research directed at understanding pd modeling managerial judgment. While research has given us many insights into human judgment processes, the most successful models of managerial judgment are often simple. ...

Research paper thumbnail of A Decision Support System for Business School Accreditation

The Journal of data education, 1985

Research paper thumbnail of Using students as subjects in experiments on decision support systems

An examination is made of the decision-making of managers and undergraduate business students for... more An examination is made of the decision-making of managers and undergraduate business students for the production scheduling problem, using decision support systems (DSS). The experiment described found significant differences between undergraduate students and managers in costs, the effectiveness of their decision heuristics, and in level of erratic decision-making. These differences occurred in both the learning phase and the stable decision-making phase. It appears that in DSS research using tasks such as production scheduling, undergraduate students with little business experience differ from managers

Research paper thumbnail of Does updating judgmental forecasts improve forecast accuracy?

International Journal of Forecasting, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of Neural networks in forecasting and decision making

International Conference on Information Systems, Dec 1, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Does Adding a Formal Leader Improve the Performance of a Team in a Business Simulation?

Simulation & Gaming, Dec 1, 1991

Game administrators must decide on team size and task assignments within teams. The research repo... more Game administrators must decide on team size and task assignments within teams. The research reported in this article addresses one key component of that decision; namely, should a formal leader be added to each group or should the group members be allowed to perform as peers. The authors held constant the differences across sections and across the subtasks that the individual group members performed. The authors found no evidence that groups with the added leader had better financial performance than groups without a formal leader.

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting Actual University Enrollments

College student journal, 1983

Research paper thumbnail of Toward intelligent decision support systems: An artificially intelligent statistician

Management Information Systems Quarterly, Dec 1, 1986

... Representation for Model Management Systems," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering,... more ... Representation for Model Management Systems," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Volume 10 ... Plus Some Evidence for a Method of Improving on Clinical Inferences," Psychological Bulletin ... Eric D. Carlson, Building Effective Decision Support Systems, Prentice Hall ...

Research paper thumbnail of Neural Network Models for Time Series Forecasts

Management Science, Jul 1, 1996

Neural networks have been advocated as an alternative to traditional statistical forecasting meth... more Neural networks have been advocated as an alternative to traditional statistical forecasting methods. In the present experiment, time series forecasts produced by neural networks are compared with forecasts from six statistical time series methods generated in a major forecasting competition (Makridakis et al. [Makridakis, S., A. Anderson, R. Carbone, R. Fildes, M. Hibon, R. Lewandowski, J. Newton, E. Parzen, R. Winkler. 1982. The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition. J. Forecasting 1 111–153.]); the traditional method forecasts were estimated by experts in the particular technique. The neural networks were estimated using the same ground rules as the competition. Across monthly and quarterly time series, the neural networks did significantly better than traditional methods. As suggested by theory, the neural networks were particularly effective for discontinuous time series.

Research paper thumbnail of Unit And Random Linear Models In Decision Making

Multivariate Behavioral Research, Apr 1, 1978

... For example, stands;rdized test scares may be as usef;:I is assigning eeurse grades as the ra... more ... For example, stands;rdized test scares may be as usef;:I is assigning eeurse grades as the raw test scores since 830th measures provide ... when Dawes and Corrigank saules were used only to rank order the alternatives, If the rank ordering were used to make a ~Iassificstioin ...

Research paper thumbnail of Testing Bowman's Managerial Coefficient Theory Using a Competitive Gaming Environment

Management Science, Apr 1, 1978

In this paper Bowman's managerial coefficient theory is evaluated in a competitive environmen... more In this paper Bowman's managerial coefficient theory is evaluated in a competitive environment, the Executive Game. The literature on Bowman's theory is surveyed and a review is made to justify using games to test decision theories. The experimental data reveal that decision rules fit the data well. Erratic and biased decision making is found to be a linear function of rank. Learning consistent with oligopolistic theory is found to occur. The applicability of Bowman's theory in competitive environment is established and the theory extended.

Research paper thumbnail of Uses and gratifications and acceptance of Web-based information services: An integrated model

Computers in Human Behavior, Sep 1, 2014

Research paper thumbnail of Angklung and Gong Kebyar Choice

This paper looks at the issues in choosing a type of Balinese Gamelan for university instruction ... more This paper looks at the issues in choosing a type of Balinese Gamelan for university instruction and performances. Gamelan gong kebyar is the usual choice but increasingly universities are acquiring gamelan angklung (and even a few semar pegulingan). This article is about why this is happening and provides a guide to making a choice of Balinese gamelan.

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family Genealogy v

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family Genealogy v

Research paper thumbnail of The Rotzellen Familyof West Prussiax

The Rotzellen Familyof West Prussia

Research paper thumbnail of Remus Family of Saxony Book V

Research paper thumbnail of Criterion-referenced judgemental forecasting models

Journal of Forecasting, Jul 1, 1991

Research paper thumbnail of An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Graphical and Tabular Data Presentations on Decision Making

Management Science, May 1, 1984

A key issue in designing a computer-based decision support system is how best to depict the data.... more A key issue in designing a computer-based decision support system is how best to depict the data. Since most systems use either graphical or tabular displays, this experiment compares the latter two when used as decision aids for the production scheduling problem modeled by Holt, Modigliani, Muth, and Simon. The tabular aids and the graphical aids yield equally costly decisions. When the erratic components of the decisions are reduced, the tabular aids outperform the graphical aids.

Research paper thumbnail of When and how cognitive style impacts decision-making

ABSTRACT Arguing along several lines, G.P. Huber (1983) asserted that cognitive style should not ... more ABSTRACT Arguing along several lines, G.P. Huber (1983) asserted that cognitive style should not be a basis for DSS (decision-support system) designed but that it may be useful in the development of training procedures. An experiment is described that tests these assertions using a production scheduling task. Results indicate that (1) by merely providing outcome feedback, individuals of all cognitive styles (as measured by the Myers-Briggs type indicator and risk preference) learned the task equally well; (2) cognitive style was useful in explaining performance differences during task learning but not thereafter; and (3) cognitive style did not predict the heuristics used but rather the consistency of their use; that is, the impact of cognitive style manifested as erratic decisions rather than systematic bias. These results are used to discuss the role of cognitive style in both training and design and to suggest reasons for the inconsistent results in cognitive style research.< >

Research paper thumbnail of Neural network models of managerial judgment

1, Introduction Over the last few decades, there has been much research directed at understanding... more 1, Introduction Over the last few decades, there has been much research directed at understanding pd modeling managerial judgment. While research has given us many insights into human judgment processes, the most successful models of managerial judgment are often simple. ...

Research paper thumbnail of A Decision Support System for Business School Accreditation

The Journal of data education, 1985

Research paper thumbnail of Using students as subjects in experiments on decision support systems

An examination is made of the decision-making of managers and undergraduate business students for... more An examination is made of the decision-making of managers and undergraduate business students for the production scheduling problem, using decision support systems (DSS). The experiment described found significant differences between undergraduate students and managers in costs, the effectiveness of their decision heuristics, and in level of erratic decision-making. These differences occurred in both the learning phase and the stable decision-making phase. It appears that in DSS research using tasks such as production scheduling, undergraduate students with little business experience differ from managers

Research paper thumbnail of Does updating judgmental forecasts improve forecast accuracy?

International Journal of Forecasting, 2000

Research paper thumbnail of Neural networks in forecasting and decision making

International Conference on Information Systems, Dec 1, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Does Adding a Formal Leader Improve the Performance of a Team in a Business Simulation?

Simulation & Gaming, Dec 1, 1991

Game administrators must decide on team size and task assignments within teams. The research repo... more Game administrators must decide on team size and task assignments within teams. The research reported in this article addresses one key component of that decision; namely, should a formal leader be added to each group or should the group members be allowed to perform as peers. The authors held constant the differences across sections and across the subtasks that the individual group members performed. The authors found no evidence that groups with the added leader had better financial performance than groups without a formal leader.

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting Actual University Enrollments

College student journal, 1983

Research paper thumbnail of Toward intelligent decision support systems: An artificially intelligent statistician

Management Information Systems Quarterly, Dec 1, 1986

... Representation for Model Management Systems," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering,... more ... Representation for Model Management Systems," IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Volume 10 ... Plus Some Evidence for a Method of Improving on Clinical Inferences," Psychological Bulletin ... Eric D. Carlson, Building Effective Decision Support Systems, Prentice Hall ...

Research paper thumbnail of Neural Network Models for Time Series Forecasts

Management Science, Jul 1, 1996

Neural networks have been advocated as an alternative to traditional statistical forecasting meth... more Neural networks have been advocated as an alternative to traditional statistical forecasting methods. In the present experiment, time series forecasts produced by neural networks are compared with forecasts from six statistical time series methods generated in a major forecasting competition (Makridakis et al. [Makridakis, S., A. Anderson, R. Carbone, R. Fildes, M. Hibon, R. Lewandowski, J. Newton, E. Parzen, R. Winkler. 1982. The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition. J. Forecasting 1 111–153.]); the traditional method forecasts were estimated by experts in the particular technique. The neural networks were estimated using the same ground rules as the competition. Across monthly and quarterly time series, the neural networks did significantly better than traditional methods. As suggested by theory, the neural networks were particularly effective for discontinuous time series.

Research paper thumbnail of Unit And Random Linear Models In Decision Making

Multivariate Behavioral Research, Apr 1, 1978

... For example, stands;rdized test scares may be as usef;:I is assigning eeurse grades as the ra... more ... For example, stands;rdized test scares may be as usef;:I is assigning eeurse grades as the raw test scores since 830th measures provide ... when Dawes and Corrigank saules were used only to rank order the alternatives, If the rank ordering were used to make a ~Iassificstioin ...

Research paper thumbnail of Testing Bowman's Managerial Coefficient Theory Using a Competitive Gaming Environment

Management Science, Apr 1, 1978

In this paper Bowman's managerial coefficient theory is evaluated in a competitive environmen... more In this paper Bowman's managerial coefficient theory is evaluated in a competitive environment, the Executive Game. The literature on Bowman's theory is surveyed and a review is made to justify using games to test decision theories. The experimental data reveal that decision rules fit the data well. Erratic and biased decision making is found to be a linear function of rank. Learning consistent with oligopolistic theory is found to occur. The applicability of Bowman's theory in competitive environment is established and the theory extended.

Research paper thumbnail of Uses and gratifications and acceptance of Web-based information services: An integrated model

Computers in Human Behavior, Sep 1, 2014