Профессиональная структура современной России: особенности и динамика (original) (raw)

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Профессиональная структура современной России: особенности и динамика

n the 2000-2010s, the dynamics of the professional structure of Russia was characterized by the persisting trends of decrease in the number of skilled workers in the industrial sector and increase in the number of trade and service workers. However, in the 2000s a new trend has also developed: an increase in the share of specialists among the employed. In the 2010s this trend became even more prominent, reflecting the transition of Russian society to a new stage of economic and technological development. The population responded to this trend with a rapid increase in the share of people with higher education, which was far ahead of the increase in the number of jobs for highly qualified specialists. As a result, both employment at jobs that do not require higher education and unemployment have risen sharply among Russians with higher education. However, since people with higher education have the opportunity to choose the most attractive jobs in any professional classes, the aspiration of Russians to receive higher education has remained in place. All these trends have aggravated the problem of the “qualification pit” (skills mismatch), in which there are currently more than half of the working population in Russia. An important aspect of it is also the mass occurrence of mismatch between employment and specialization received during education, which has become the new norm for all professional classes. Due to unjustified inequalities in wages, universal deprofessionalization is taking place against the background of an increase in formal indicators of the education level. Among the imbalances in the development of the professional structure is also the growing socio-demographic asymmetry. The age gap between representatives of various professional classes and subgroups is growing, youth unemployment is still high even against the background of a labor shortage. The gender asymmetry of employment is also increasing; it is seen in the increasing feminization of all groups of “white-collar” employment against the growing share of men among skilled manual workers. This lead, among other things, to an increasingly privileged position of male specialists and an increase in the disbalance in the character of employment of men and women, which determines changes in their demographic behavior.

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We investigate the time-varying role of Russia in the international causal network of financial stress. The network is derived using the factor-adjusted network estimation for high-dimensional time series (FNETS), which is applied to text-based financial stress indices for 66 countries. We run this technique for sequentially expanding time windows (ranging from 2000Q1:2013Q4 to 2000Q1:2023Q4). Based ...

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Akim M., Technology in Society 2026 Vol. Volume 85 P. 1–20

The pace at which cities are getting smart creates many dilemmas in trade-offs among technological advancement, sustainability and equity. As cities adopt artificial intelligence (AI), the Metaverse and other related technologies, they face persistent challenges of governance, infrastructure, digital equality, and environmental concerns. Although research is being done on the benefits of having smart cities, ...

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Agglomeration policy has long been a widely accepted approach in spatial development, premised on the assumption that large, integrated city-regions drive national economic growth through higher productivity, innovation, and global integration. This paper examines how this paradigm is reworked under conditions of polycrisis, understood as a durable state of overlapping and mutually reinforcing economic, geopolitical, and institutional crises. Focusing ...

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Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.

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Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...

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Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.

The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...

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Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...

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Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.

In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...

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