The strategy of protest against Covid-19 containment policies in Germany - PubMed (original) (raw)

. 2021 Sep;102(5):2236-2250.

doi: 10.1111/ssqu.13066. Epub 2021 Sep 9.

Affiliations

• PMID: 34908611
• PMCID: PMC8662088
• DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13066

The strategy of protest against Covid-19 containment policies in Germany

Thomas Plümper et al. Soc Sci Q. 2021 Sep.

Abstract

Objectives: The article analyzes the epidemiological and political logics of protest against containment policies in Germany. To maximize the mobilization potential, protest organizers organize more protest events when Covid-19 mortality rates are low, the stringency of containment policies is high, and in districts in which the vote share of mainstream parties is traditionally low.

Method: Using a negative binomial model, we analyze the number of protest events in a sample of 401 German districts over the period from March to May 2020.

Results: We find robust positive predicted effects of the stringency of containment policies and negative predicted effects for the mortality rate and the strengths of mainstream parties.

Conclusion: We interpret these findings as evidence of the strategic behavior of protest organizers that target protest participation and mobilization to keep the movement alive and potentially grow it.

Keywords: Covid‐19; SARS‐CoV‐2; containment policies; mobilization; protest.

© 2021 The Authors. Social Science Quarterly published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Southwestern Social Science Association.

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Figures

FIGURE 1

Number of protest events by district (March 2020 to January 2021 total)

FIGURE 2

95 percent confidence intervals of effect sizes for each month

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