Ali Kutan | Southern Illinois University Edwardsville (original) (raw)
Papers by Ali Kutan
Journal of Financial Stability, 2009
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2001
This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transition... more This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transitioneconomy candidates for admission to the European Union (EU), Poland and Hungary. Using a rational expectations, dynamic open economy aggregate supply- aggregate demand model, we consider real oil price, supply, balance of payments, demand, and monetary disturbances incorporating important features of transition economies such as balance
This paper provides an empirical inquiry into the sources of movements of the real and nominal ex... more This paper provides an empirical inquiry into the sources of movements of the real and nominal exchange rates in Hungary and Poland for during the 1990:01-1998:02 period. We decompose the exchange rate movements into those attributable to real and nominal shocks, we find that (1) nominal shocks have played a significant role in Poland, but not in Hungary, in explaining
The last decade of the 20th century brought about many economic and financial changes in the econ... more The last decade of the 20th century brought about many economic and financial changes in the economies of the former communist countries. This paper provides an overview of the developments that took place in the areas of financial markets and institutions and monetary policy in three of the most advanced transition economies, namely, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. After
A consumer-choice model developed by Enders, Sandler and Parise (1992) is utilized to study the r... more A consumer-choice model developed by Enders, Sandler and Parise (1992) is utilized to study the regional effects of terrorism on competitors’ market shares in tourism sector where involved countries enjoy significant tourism activities but are subject to high frequency of terrorist attacks. The theoretical model is tested for three Mediterranean countries, namely Greece, Israel, and Turkey, for the period from
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
We examine the patterns of information flows within and across sectors of the two Chinese stock e... more We examine the patterns of information flows within and across sectors of the two Chinese stock exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen, using daily data during 1994 - 2001. Using the generalized forecast error variance decomposition, we find a high degree of interdependence, indicating that the sectors are highly integrated and sector prices reflect information from other sectors. Industry is the
ICPSR Data Holdings, 2000
A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, purchasing power parity (PPP) the... more A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, purchasing power parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when the black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear ADF test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In this
Applied Economics Letters, 2010
A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) the... more A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In
Applied Economics, 2009
Several different approaches have been followed by researchers to test the validity of Purchasing... more Several different approaches have been followed by researchers to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Since the introduction of the unit-root tests, researchers have applied a battery of these tests to determine whether the real exchange rates are stationary. If the answer is in the affirmative, PPP is validated. While application of the standard augmented Dickey–Fuller test has
Economics Letters - ECON LETT, 2002
Using aggregated data on macroeconomic announcements may disguise the effect of public informatio... more Using aggregated data on macroeconomic announcements may disguise the effect of public information on asset returns. We use a disaggregated procedure that captures the impact of each announcement on Nikkei returns and find that public information does affect the market.
Ten European Union (EU) candidate countries are scheduled to join the Union by 2004. A key requir... more Ten European Union (EU) candidate countries are scheduled to join the Union by 2004. A key requirement to join the Economic and Monetary Union is real and financial convergence to EU standards. Using recent panel unit root techniques, we find strong evidence of price level convergence, but not real convergence. Thus, an early peg to the Euro and a quick adoption of the Euro as a national currency is feasible for the candidates, but the benefits of joining the Euro zone are as yet limited.
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2008
Journal of Financial Stability, 2009
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2001
This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transition... more This paper examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in two leading transitioneconomy candidates for admission to the European Union (EU), Poland and Hungary. Using a rational expectations, dynamic open economy aggregate supply- aggregate demand model, we consider real oil price, supply, balance of payments, demand, and monetary disturbances incorporating important features of transition economies such as balance
This paper provides an empirical inquiry into the sources of movements of the real and nominal ex... more This paper provides an empirical inquiry into the sources of movements of the real and nominal exchange rates in Hungary and Poland for during the 1990:01-1998:02 period. We decompose the exchange rate movements into those attributable to real and nominal shocks, we find that (1) nominal shocks have played a significant role in Poland, but not in Hungary, in explaining
The last decade of the 20th century brought about many economic and financial changes in the econ... more The last decade of the 20th century brought about many economic and financial changes in the economies of the former communist countries. This paper provides an overview of the developments that took place in the areas of financial markets and institutions and monetary policy in three of the most advanced transition economies, namely, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. After
A consumer-choice model developed by Enders, Sandler and Parise (1992) is utilized to study the r... more A consumer-choice model developed by Enders, Sandler and Parise (1992) is utilized to study the regional effects of terrorism on competitors’ market shares in tourism sector where involved countries enjoy significant tourism activities but are subject to high frequency of terrorist attacks. The theoretical model is tested for three Mediterranean countries, namely Greece, Israel, and Turkey, for the period from
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000
We examine the patterns of information flows within and across sectors of the two Chinese stock e... more We examine the patterns of information flows within and across sectors of the two Chinese stock exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen, using daily data during 1994 - 2001. Using the generalized forecast error variance decomposition, we find a high degree of interdependence, indicating that the sectors are highly integrated and sector prices reflect information from other sectors. Industry is the
ICPSR Data Holdings, 2000
A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, purchasing power parity (PPP) the... more A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, purchasing power parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when the black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear ADF test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In this
Applied Economics Letters, 2010
A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) the... more A group of studies have shown that in less developed countries, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory is supported more often when black market exchange rates rather than official rates are used in the testing procedure. They have all relied upon linear Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test applied either to the residuals of a cointegrating vector or to real exchange rates. In
Applied Economics, 2009
Several different approaches have been followed by researchers to test the validity of Purchasing... more Several different approaches have been followed by researchers to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Since the introduction of the unit-root tests, researchers have applied a battery of these tests to determine whether the real exchange rates are stationary. If the answer is in the affirmative, PPP is validated. While application of the standard augmented Dickey–Fuller test has
Economics Letters - ECON LETT, 2002
Using aggregated data on macroeconomic announcements may disguise the effect of public informatio... more Using aggregated data on macroeconomic announcements may disguise the effect of public information on asset returns. We use a disaggregated procedure that captures the impact of each announcement on Nikkei returns and find that public information does affect the market.
Ten European Union (EU) candidate countries are scheduled to join the Union by 2004. A key requir... more Ten European Union (EU) candidate countries are scheduled to join the Union by 2004. A key requirement to join the Economic and Monetary Union is real and financial convergence to EU standards. Using recent panel unit root techniques, we find strong evidence of price level convergence, but not real convergence. Thus, an early peg to the Euro and a quick adoption of the Euro as a national currency is feasible for the candidates, but the benefits of joining the Euro zone are as yet limited.
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2008