Junior Pan Pacs: A 10 Year Lookback (original) (raw)

Junior Pan Pacs: A 10 Year Lookback

It's been 10 years since the 2014 Junior Pan Pacs. Ten years later, how have the swimmers who debuted on a JPP team developed? (Lilly King, pictured above) Archive photo via Melissa Lundie

The 2014 Junior Pan Pacs were in Kihei, Hawaii, and the American junior team had a dominant showing in the medal count, consistent with what we’ve always seen from them at the event. The United States won 28 out of the possible 36 gold medals, with the men’s team sweeping all the events except for the 200 breaststroke.

Ten years have passed since the championships in Hawaii, and we’re in the thick of the 2024 Canberra Junior Pan Pacific championships. The United States is continuing to showcase its impressive depth amongst the younger generation in the pool; at the time I’m writing this article (conclusion of day two), the USA holds 11 gold medals (out of the total 17).

This year’s American Junior Pan Pac roster was decided at the Olympic Trials in June, where the fastest swimmers aged 14-18 by the end of the calendar year who did not make the Olympic team had the opportunity to compete for the United States in Canberra. 38 swimmers were named to the team this year.

Seeing America’s dominance at the junior level raises a few questions. Does their success at the major junior international events translate well to senior success later down the line? If so, who from a previous junior team has continued their success on senior-level international teams?

JUNIOR PAN PAC ALUMNI

Looking at previous USA Swimming’s Junior Pan Pacs Rosters– dating back to 2014– and comparing them with the biggest international long course meets (Olympics, World Championships, Pan American Champs, and Pan Pacific Champs), there are many names that stand out. The following swimmers have all established themselves well on the senior scale competing for the United States, and they made their international starts on a Junior Pan Pac team in the past ten years. Their list of international teams since their Junior Pan Pac debuts are under their names as well.

Lilly King (2014):

Blake Pieroni (2014):

Bobby Finke (2016):

Alex Walsh (2016/2018)

Drew Kibler (2016/2018)

Alex Shackell, Erin Gemmell, and Thomas Heilman (2022):

Other Olympians that have competed on a Junior Pan Pacific team (since 2014):

Paris 2024
Tokyo 2021
Rio 2016

Of the 159 swimmers who have been named to Junior Pan Pacs teams since 2014, 49 have been featured on an American international long course team. Of all these swimmers, many are still competing at high levels today, with a good number still competing in the NCAA and a few more training with pro groups. With this knowledge, it’s possible we see around a third of the swimmers on the current JPP team make at least one senior championship team during their careers.

HOW THE US STAYS DOMINANT

Because the United States has won over half of the gold medals at each of these past few championships, many are unsure if the junior success a good measure of a country’s future. Having the biggest pool of talent to choose from in the entire world, the Americans have always stood at a distinct advantage for international junior meets.

If the priority meet for countries like Australia and Canada was Junior Pan Pacs instead of the Olympics or a World Championship meet, the tables would likely look different. For example, Summer McIntosh, as a swimmer who will still be 18 by December 31st, would have technically been eligible for Junior Pan Pacs this year, had she not competed at the Olympics. But because she’s fast enough, she’s competing at the senior level, and Canada’s junior depth (while still impressive) just doesn’t have the sheer numbers advantage that the United States does. The United States just has that extra “oomph” with the next tier of swimmers that other countries don’t quite have.

Australia had six members of their 2022 Junior Pan Pacs team either age out and make the 2024 Olympic team (Flynn Southam, William Petric, Iona Anderson, Jamie Perkins) or make the Olympic team while still eligible (Jaclyn Barclay, Iona Anderson). Each swimmer, aside from Barclay, earned at least one individual medal at the 2022 championship in Honolulu. Losing Flynn Southam really hurts their junior medal prospects, as he placed first in the 50/100/200 freestyles, and helped Australia to a win in the 800 freestyle relay.

This year, Australia only took home four gold medals, three individuals (Joshua Conias and Milla Jansen in the 50 freestyles, and Inez Miller in the 200 freestyle) and one relay (men’s 4×100 freestyle relay), compared to their eight golds from 2022. For reference, the United States won 20 total golds at the 2024 competition.

The charter nations (Japan, USA, Australia, and Canada) have all agreed to only send swimmers to this meet who haven’t competed at Worlds, the Olympics, or the senior version of Pan Pacs.

2024 OLYMPIC COMPARISON

Even on the Olympic level, the United States juniors outrank most high-performing countries. Just comparing the United States to Canada and Australia for the following scenario, it’s evident that the depth of the youngest United States stars is still second to none. The following swimmers (who will still be 18 or younger by December 31) competed for their nations at the Olympics:

Australia
Canada
United States

The United States continually exhibits its junior depth, even in the senior-level meets. It’s a testament to the country’s youth and developmental programs that five of the fastest Americans under the age of 18 are all absent from the Junior Pan Pacs roster, and the country is still continuing to stay ultra-competitive in Canberra.

In This Story

Alex Shackell
Alex Walsh
Blake Pieroni
Bobby Finke
Drew Kibler
Erin Gemmell
Gretchen Walsh
Lilly King
Summer McIntosh
Thomas Heilman