Atsuyuki Naka | University of New Orleans (original) (raw)

Papers by Atsuyuki Naka

Research paper thumbnail of Oil Market Factors as a Source of Commonality in Liquidity in International Equity Markets

Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2021

When stock markets are less liquid or illiquid, investors are expected to require compensation fo... more When stock markets are less liquid or illiquid, investors are expected to require compensation for taking the risk of not being able to sell quickly. Many studies have documented the existence of the co-movements (commonality) of market liquidity in equity markets as a priced factor. The primary objective of this paper is to introduce the oil market as a potential source of commonality in liquidity. We hypothesize that conditions specific to the oil market can contribute to commonality in liquidity affecting both supply-side and demand-side factors because of its importance to the global economy in general. To this aim, a sample of firms is drawn from 50 countries spanning the period from January 1995 to December 2015. We examine two channels that transmit the effect of oil market movements to the liquidity commonality in international equity markets, namely, oil price returns and oil price volatility. Seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) are utilized to estimate the effect of oil ...

Research paper thumbnail of Corresponding Author

Re-examining inflation and inflation uncertainty in developed and emerging countries

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamics in Emerging Asian Equity Markets

Volatility clustering, leverage effects, and jumps dynamics in emerging asian equity markets

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting Return on Socially Responsible Investment Funds with Market Fundamental and Consumer Confidence

In this paper, we examine how the market fundamental represented by dividend yield on S&P 500 ind... more In this paper, we examine how the market fundamental represented by dividend yield on S&P 500 index and consumer confidence as measured by the changes in consumer sentiment index (CSI) can predict future returns on a sample of mutual funds that comply with socially responsible investment (SRI) principles. Results reveal that both variables can predict SRI fund returns positively, while the coefficient on dividend yield is greater in magnitude than the coefficient on consumer sentiment. In addition, positive changes in consumer sentiment predict SRI return more strongly than negative changes in consumer sentiment. This finding can be interpreted as a rise in activism of SRI investors during period of high sentiment period and a fall in activism when sentiment is lower. The results hold for horizons of 3 to up to 12 months and are robust with different estimation specifications. Further, we find that flows of SRI funds do not predict the returns of these funds.

Research paper thumbnail of Corporate future investments and stock liquidity: Evidence from emerging markets

International Review of Economics & Finance, 2019

Abstract This paper studies the impact of stock liquidity on future investments in emerging marke... more Abstract This paper studies the impact of stock liquidity on future investments in emerging markets. Since stock liquidity is an important determinant of the cost of equity, we expect a positive relation between future investments and stock liquidity. We conjecture that this relation is more pronounced in financially constrained firms due to their limited access to external capital and less pronounced in weaker financially developed markets due to their lack of ability to mobilize capital. We find robust evidence of this relation, and the findings suggest that the relation is influenced by financial constraints and the degree of financial market development.

Research paper thumbnail of Is the Tokyo Spot Foreign Exchange Market Consistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis?

Review of Financial Economics, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Diversification of risk exposure through country mutual funds under alternative investment opportunities

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Portfolio investment outflow and the complementary role of direct investment

Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 2015

Purpose – This paper aims to uncover potential contemporaneous relationship between foreign portf... more Purpose – This paper aims to uncover potential contemporaneous relationship between foreign portfolio investment (FPI) and another popular type of cross-border investment outflow, namely, foreign direct investment (FDI). Design/methodology/approach – The relationship between FPI and FDI are modeled using simultaneous equations approach to take potential endogeneity in to account. In a panel of 45 countries over the period of 2001-2009, FPI and FDI are found to be strategically complimentary to each other. Findings – The two-stage least square estimates suggest existence of both statistically and economically significant relationship between these two types of outflows. In particular, the FDI outflow has empirically significant predictive power in explaining the FPI outflow. Similarly, the FPI outflow also has significant explanatory power for the observed level of FDI outflow. Second, the FPI has greater explanatory power for FDI outflow than the FDI for the FPI outflow. Originality...

Research paper thumbnail of Forward Hedging the Exchange Risks of U.S. Equity Investments in the U.K., Germany and France

The Financial Review, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of The London International Stock Exchange's Foreign Currency Exposures to the Dollar, Yen and Mark

Managerial Finance, 1997

This paper studies the exchange rate exposure of investments by the United States, Japan and Germ... more This paper studies the exchange rate exposure of investments by the United States, Japan and Germany in the London International Stock Exchange (LSE) from 1982 to 1991. Japanese and German investments are fully exposed to their own exchange rates, and the US is “supernominally” exposed to its own exchange rate. No significant changes in exposure are associated with the Plaza and Louvre Accords. The 1987 worldwide stock market crash exhibits a significant decrease in US exposure, and increase in German exposure. US, Japanese and German investments are also fully exposed to their own exchange rates for the periods before and after the 1986 “Big Bang” in London, except that US investments are “supernominally” exposed in the pre‐Big Bang period.

Research paper thumbnail of Re-examining Cointegration, Unit Roots and Efficiency in Foreign Exchange Rates

Journal of Business Finance <html_ent glyph="@amp;" ascii="&"/> Accounting, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of Examining Cross-border Comovements of REITs Around the World

Journal of Real Estate Research, 2021

Research paper thumbnail of An empirical investigation of asset pricing models using Japanese stock market data

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting equity premium with adjusted dividend-price ratio: the USA and international evidence

Review of Accounting and Finance

Purpose This paper aims to achieve two main objectives. The first is to introduce a suitable adju... more Purpose This paper aims to achieve two main objectives. The first is to introduce a suitable adjustment to the conventional dividend-price ratio, which would address econometric concerns and improve the predictability of the equity premium. The second is to compare the predictive performance of the newly introduced adjusted dividend-price ratio with the conventional dividend-price ratio. Design/methodology/approach The authors hypothesize that the adjusted dividend-price ratio will have better predictive power and forecasting quality for equity premium compared to the conventional dividend-price ratio. To test the hypothesis, the authors predict equity premium with both variables on a sample of 11 developed and emerging market indexes over a period spanning June 1995 to March 2017. To accommodate time variation in parameter values or structural breaks in the data, the authors conducted a fixed window rolling regressions using both variables. A variety of forecast techniques includin...

Research paper thumbnail of Examining return predictability of industry style portfolios with prior return relative to a benchmark

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Diversification benefit of Japanese real estate over the last four decades

Research paper thumbnail of Stock Return Volatility And Trading Volume Relationships Captured With Stable Paretian GARCH And Threshold GARCH Models

Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 2012

Research paper thumbnail of Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency: A Look at London

The Changing Environment of International Financial Markets, 1994

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamic Relations Between Macroeconomic Variables and the Japanese Stock Market: An Application of a Vector Error Correction Model

Journal of Financial Research, 1995

By employing the vector error correction model (VECM) in a system of seven equations, we find tha... more By employing the vector error correction model (VECM) in a system of seven equations, we find that the Japanese stock market is cointegrated with a group of six macroeconomic variables. The signs of the long-term elasticity coefficients of the macroeconomic variables on stock ...

Research paper thumbnail of Jumps and Asymmetric Volatility in the Short-Term Interest Rate

This paper examines the dynamics of the U.S. short-term interest rates. We extend a standard Cox,... more This paper examines the dynamics of the U.S. short-term interest rates. We extend a standard Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (CIR, 1985) model by incorporating a new class of GARCH-jump model where the jump intensity is conditional to the past information set. The paper shows that the asymmetric level-GARCH with autoregressive jump intensity specification explains the dynamics of the short-term interest rate over the level, and level-GARCH specification of the CIR model. We also observe that jumps are inherent characteristics of the T-bill rate and are state dependent to the past jump information. In particular, jumps are positively related to the level of uncertainty in the market and they are more likely to arrive if there was a jump in the immediate past period. Also, we uncover evidence of asymmetric or leverage effect in volatility of the short-term rate.

Research paper thumbnail of Oil Market Factors as a Source of Commonality in Liquidity in International Equity Markets

Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2021

When stock markets are less liquid or illiquid, investors are expected to require compensation fo... more When stock markets are less liquid or illiquid, investors are expected to require compensation for taking the risk of not being able to sell quickly. Many studies have documented the existence of the co-movements (commonality) of market liquidity in equity markets as a priced factor. The primary objective of this paper is to introduce the oil market as a potential source of commonality in liquidity. We hypothesize that conditions specific to the oil market can contribute to commonality in liquidity affecting both supply-side and demand-side factors because of its importance to the global economy in general. To this aim, a sample of firms is drawn from 50 countries spanning the period from January 1995 to December 2015. We examine two channels that transmit the effect of oil market movements to the liquidity commonality in international equity markets, namely, oil price returns and oil price volatility. Seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) are utilized to estimate the effect of oil ...

Research paper thumbnail of Corresponding Author

Re-examining inflation and inflation uncertainty in developed and emerging countries

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamics in Emerging Asian Equity Markets

Volatility clustering, leverage effects, and jumps dynamics in emerging asian equity markets

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting Return on Socially Responsible Investment Funds with Market Fundamental and Consumer Confidence

In this paper, we examine how the market fundamental represented by dividend yield on S&P 500 ind... more In this paper, we examine how the market fundamental represented by dividend yield on S&P 500 index and consumer confidence as measured by the changes in consumer sentiment index (CSI) can predict future returns on a sample of mutual funds that comply with socially responsible investment (SRI) principles. Results reveal that both variables can predict SRI fund returns positively, while the coefficient on dividend yield is greater in magnitude than the coefficient on consumer sentiment. In addition, positive changes in consumer sentiment predict SRI return more strongly than negative changes in consumer sentiment. This finding can be interpreted as a rise in activism of SRI investors during period of high sentiment period and a fall in activism when sentiment is lower. The results hold for horizons of 3 to up to 12 months and are robust with different estimation specifications. Further, we find that flows of SRI funds do not predict the returns of these funds.

Research paper thumbnail of Corporate future investments and stock liquidity: Evidence from emerging markets

International Review of Economics & Finance, 2019

Abstract This paper studies the impact of stock liquidity on future investments in emerging marke... more Abstract This paper studies the impact of stock liquidity on future investments in emerging markets. Since stock liquidity is an important determinant of the cost of equity, we expect a positive relation between future investments and stock liquidity. We conjecture that this relation is more pronounced in financially constrained firms due to their limited access to external capital and less pronounced in weaker financially developed markets due to their lack of ability to mobilize capital. We find robust evidence of this relation, and the findings suggest that the relation is influenced by financial constraints and the degree of financial market development.

Research paper thumbnail of Is the Tokyo Spot Foreign Exchange Market Consistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis?

Review of Financial Economics, 1992

Research paper thumbnail of Diversification of risk exposure through country mutual funds under alternative investment opportunities

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2017

Research paper thumbnail of Portfolio investment outflow and the complementary role of direct investment

Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 2015

Purpose – This paper aims to uncover potential contemporaneous relationship between foreign portf... more Purpose – This paper aims to uncover potential contemporaneous relationship between foreign portfolio investment (FPI) and another popular type of cross-border investment outflow, namely, foreign direct investment (FDI). Design/methodology/approach – The relationship between FPI and FDI are modeled using simultaneous equations approach to take potential endogeneity in to account. In a panel of 45 countries over the period of 2001-2009, FPI and FDI are found to be strategically complimentary to each other. Findings – The two-stage least square estimates suggest existence of both statistically and economically significant relationship between these two types of outflows. In particular, the FDI outflow has empirically significant predictive power in explaining the FPI outflow. Similarly, the FPI outflow also has significant explanatory power for the observed level of FDI outflow. Second, the FPI has greater explanatory power for FDI outflow than the FDI for the FPI outflow. Originality...

Research paper thumbnail of Forward Hedging the Exchange Risks of U.S. Equity Investments in the U.K., Germany and France

The Financial Review, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of The London International Stock Exchange's Foreign Currency Exposures to the Dollar, Yen and Mark

Managerial Finance, 1997

This paper studies the exchange rate exposure of investments by the United States, Japan and Germ... more This paper studies the exchange rate exposure of investments by the United States, Japan and Germany in the London International Stock Exchange (LSE) from 1982 to 1991. Japanese and German investments are fully exposed to their own exchange rates, and the US is “supernominally” exposed to its own exchange rate. No significant changes in exposure are associated with the Plaza and Louvre Accords. The 1987 worldwide stock market crash exhibits a significant decrease in US exposure, and increase in German exposure. US, Japanese and German investments are also fully exposed to their own exchange rates for the periods before and after the 1986 “Big Bang” in London, except that US investments are “supernominally” exposed in the pre‐Big Bang period.

Research paper thumbnail of Re-examining Cointegration, Unit Roots and Efficiency in Foreign Exchange Rates

Journal of Business Finance <html_ent glyph="@amp;" ascii="&"/> Accounting, 1997

Research paper thumbnail of Examining Cross-border Comovements of REITs Around the World

Journal of Real Estate Research, 2021

Research paper thumbnail of An empirical investigation of asset pricing models using Japanese stock market data

Research paper thumbnail of Predicting equity premium with adjusted dividend-price ratio: the USA and international evidence

Review of Accounting and Finance

Purpose This paper aims to achieve two main objectives. The first is to introduce a suitable adju... more Purpose This paper aims to achieve two main objectives. The first is to introduce a suitable adjustment to the conventional dividend-price ratio, which would address econometric concerns and improve the predictability of the equity premium. The second is to compare the predictive performance of the newly introduced adjusted dividend-price ratio with the conventional dividend-price ratio. Design/methodology/approach The authors hypothesize that the adjusted dividend-price ratio will have better predictive power and forecasting quality for equity premium compared to the conventional dividend-price ratio. To test the hypothesis, the authors predict equity premium with both variables on a sample of 11 developed and emerging market indexes over a period spanning June 1995 to March 2017. To accommodate time variation in parameter values or structural breaks in the data, the authors conducted a fixed window rolling regressions using both variables. A variety of forecast techniques includin...

Research paper thumbnail of Examining return predictability of industry style portfolios with prior return relative to a benchmark

The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2016

Research paper thumbnail of Diversification benefit of Japanese real estate over the last four decades

Research paper thumbnail of Stock Return Volatility And Trading Volume Relationships Captured With Stable Paretian GARCH And Threshold GARCH Models

Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 2012

Research paper thumbnail of Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency: A Look at London

The Changing Environment of International Financial Markets, 1994

Research paper thumbnail of Dynamic Relations Between Macroeconomic Variables and the Japanese Stock Market: An Application of a Vector Error Correction Model

Journal of Financial Research, 1995

By employing the vector error correction model (VECM) in a system of seven equations, we find tha... more By employing the vector error correction model (VECM) in a system of seven equations, we find that the Japanese stock market is cointegrated with a group of six macroeconomic variables. The signs of the long-term elasticity coefficients of the macroeconomic variables on stock ...

Research paper thumbnail of Jumps and Asymmetric Volatility in the Short-Term Interest Rate

This paper examines the dynamics of the U.S. short-term interest rates. We extend a standard Cox,... more This paper examines the dynamics of the U.S. short-term interest rates. We extend a standard Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (CIR, 1985) model by incorporating a new class of GARCH-jump model where the jump intensity is conditional to the past information set. The paper shows that the asymmetric level-GARCH with autoregressive jump intensity specification explains the dynamics of the short-term interest rate over the level, and level-GARCH specification of the CIR model. We also observe that jumps are inherent characteristics of the T-bill rate and are state dependent to the past jump information. In particular, jumps are positively related to the level of uncertainty in the market and they are more likely to arrive if there was a jump in the immediate past period. Also, we uncover evidence of asymmetric or leverage effect in volatility of the short-term rate.